All over it

startm · 10-28-10, 04:53 PM

Helsingborg 2 - 0 Mjallby -

Optional · 10-29-10, 06:11 AM

Colorado Rapids v Columbus Crew OVER 2.25 (+104) [2-1] 1-0
Helsingborg v Mjallby OVER 2.50 (-109) [2-2] 2-0

Picks 0-2-0
Scores 0-1-1
Parlays 0-0-0

29th October

Austria
A. Lustenau v Gratkorn Over 2.5 $1.67 [2-1]

Wales
Bangor v Bala Town Over 3.0 $1.76 [3-1]

Ireland
Bray v Shamrock Over 3.0 $1.90 [1-3]

Netherlands
Eindhoven v G.A. Eagles Over 2.5 $1.58 [2-2]

England
Southport v Kidderminster Over 2.5 $2.11 [1-2]

Total Parlay to pay $4.43
Bangor v Bala Town Over 2.5 ($1.40)
Bray v Shamrock Over 2.5 ($1.63)
Eindhoven v G.A. Eagles Over 3.0 ($1.94)

ML Parlay to pay $2.24
Benfica/Shamrock/Bangor/Bayern

Optional · 10-29-10, 04:22 PM

3-1-1 for the day

A. Lustenau v Gratkorn Over 2.5 $1.67 [2-1] 2-1
Bangor v Bala Town Over 3.0 $1.76 [3-1] 3-0
Bray v Shamrock Over 3.0 $1.90 [1-3]2-2
Eindhoven v G.A. Eagles Over 2.5 $1.58 [2-2] 1-1
Southport v Kidderminster Over 2.5 $2.11 [1-2]2-2

ML Parlay Wins
Total Parlay Loses

Picks 3-3-1
Scores 2-2-3
Parlays 1-1-0

Larsson_76 · 10-29-10, 05:07 PM

Nice one, Over/Under is funny to play, because it is the goals you wanna see in game

Optional · 10-30-10, 08:00 AM

30th October

Denmark 1st

Copenhagen v Lyngby Over 2.5 $1.65 [3-0]

Denmark 2nd

Hobro v Hvidovre Over 2.5 $1.55 [2-1]

(over 3 is much better value at $1.86 but not confident enough on these 2 teams to go that far)

England Conference

Grimsby v Eastbourne Over 2.5 $1.70 [3-1]

(Over 2.75 at $1.92 is also good if all you can get)

Forest Green - York Over 2.5 $1.92 [1-2]

England Championship

Barnsley v Hull Over 2.25 $1.70 [2-1]

Cardiff v Norwich Over 2.5 $1.93 [2-1]

Maybe more to come. Running behind schedule today.

Optional · 10-30-10, 08:31 AM

Adding;

Wales

Airbus v Carmarthen Over 2.5 $1.45 [3-1]

(Maybe put half stake on Over 3.5 $2.10 if you can get it)

England League 1

Yeovil v Swindon Over 2.5 $2.00 [1-2]

Huddersfield v Walsall Over 2.5 $1.75 [3-1]

England League 2

Torquay v Morecambe Over 2.5 $2.02 [2-1]

England Premier

Manchester Utd v Tottenham Over 2.5 $1.75 [2-1]

Parlay for $11.56

Huddersfield Town v Walsall OVER 2.75 (-109)
Yeovil Town v Swindon Town OVER 2.50 (-108)
Manchester United (-170) v Tottenham Hotspur
Torquay United v Morecambe OVER 2.50 (-103)

Optional · 10-30-10, 02:34 PM

8-2½-½ for the day.

Copenhagen v Lyngby Over 2.5 $1.65 [3-0] 3-2
Hobro v Hvidovre Over 2.5 $1.55 [2-1] 1-2
Grimsby v Eastbourne Over 2.5 $1.70 [3-1] 2-2
Forest Green - York Over 2.5 $1.92 [1-2] 2-1
Barnsley v Hull Over 2.25 $1.70 [2-1] 1-1(½ push ½ loss)
Cardiff v Norwich Over 2.5 $1.93 [2-1] 3-1
Airbus v Carmarthen Over 2.5 $1.45 [3-1] 2-4
Yeovil v Swindon Over 2.5 $2.00 [1-2]3-3
Huddersfield v Walsall Over 2.5 $1.75 [3-1] 1-0
Torquay v Morecambe Over 2.5 $2.02 [2-1] 3-1
Manchester Utd v Tottenham Over 2.5 $1.75 [2-1] 2-0

Parlay loses

Picks 11-5½-1½ .666 +3.40u
Parlays 1-2-0 .333 -0.76u
Scores 6-3-9

Based on 1 unit risked per pick/parlay. (which may not be the optimal staking plan)
Scores is for Team Totals >= prediction. 1 team correct = push.

Optional · 10-31-10, 07:51 AM

31st October

Belgium Jupiler

Club Brugge v Standard Liege Over 2.5 $1.70 [1-3]

Belgium EXQI

OH Leuven v Roeselare Over 2.5 $1.70 [2-1]

Denmark Superligaen

Esbjerg v Brondby Over 2.25 $1.60 [1-2]

Denmark 1st

Aarhus v AB Copenhagen Over 2.5 $1.65 [2-1]

More to come...

Optional · 10-31-10, 08:11 AM

Switzerland Challenge

Lugano v Schaffhausen Over 3.0 $1.76 [3-2]

(over 3.5 is $2.40 and worth a shot at those odds)

Sweden Allsvenskan

Kalmar v Häcken Over 2.5 $1.75 [2-1]
Gefle v Djurgården Over 2.25 $1.80 [1-2]

Optional · 10-31-10, 08:45 AM

Wales

TNS v Neath Over 2.5 $1.44 [2-1]

(Over 3 ~ $1.70 would suit if on offer)

Nth Ireland

Donegal Celtic v Newry Town Over 2.5 $1.65 [2-1]

Switzerland Super League

Young Boys v Grasshopper Over 2.5 $1.60 [3-1]

(over 3 ~ 1.90 would suit too)

St. Gallen v Thun Over 2.5 $1.70 [1-2]

Optional · 10-31-10, 09:11 AM

Parlay for $6.14

Club Brugge v Standard Liege OVER 2.75 (-125)
Esbjerg v Brondby IF OVER 2.50 (-116)
Young Boys v Grasshopper OVER 3.00 (-120)

Optional · 10-31-10, 10:31 AM

Cyprus

AEK Larnaca v Olympiakos Nikosia Over 2.5 $1.86 [2-1]

forget that one. Mixed up times and it had already kicked off.

Optional · 10-31-10, 02:24 PM

9-1 for the day. Unfortunately the 1 was also part of the parlay.

Club Brugge v Standard Liege Over 2.5 $1.70 [1-3] 2-2
OH Leuven v Roeselare Over 2.5 $1.70 [2-1] 3-0
Esbjerg v Brondby Over 2.25 $1.60 [1-2] 1-2
Aarhus v AB Copenhagen Over 2.5 $1.65 [2-1] 4-3
Lugano v Schaffhausen Over 3.0 $1.76 [3-2] (Game Postponed)
Kalmar v Häcken Over 2.5 $1.75 [2-1] 1-3
Gefle v Djurgården Over 2.25 $1.80 [1-2] 2-2
TNS v Neath Over 2.5 $1.44 [2-1] 3-1
Donegal Celtic v Newry Town Over 2.5 $1.65 [2-1] 0-3
Young Boys v Grasshopper Over 2.5 $1.60 [3-1] 1-0
St. Gallen v Thun Over 2.5 $1.70 [1-2] 2-1

Parlay for $6.14 loses

Picks 20-6½-1½ .755 +8.39u
Parlays 1-3-0 .250 -1.76u
Scores 10-4-14 .357

Based on 1 unit risked per pick/parlay. (which is not my staking plan)
Score wins if both Team Totals >= prediction. 1 team correct = push.

Optional · 11-01-10, 02:04 AM

1st November

Romania

Universitatea Cluj v Astra Ploiesti Over 2.0 $1.74 [2-1]

Czech Rep.

Jablonec v Ml. Boleslav Over 2.5 $2.06 [2-1]

Cyprus

Alki v APOP Paphos Over 2.5 $1.98 [1-2]

Denmark

Nordsjaelland v Odense Over 2.5 $1.90 [1-2]

Sweden

Mjällby v Åtvidabergs Over 2.5 $1.90 [2-1]

Turkey

Konyaspor v Trabzonspor Over 2.5 $1.80 [1-3]

Italy Serie B

Torino v Ascoli Over 2.0 $1.67 [2-1]

Switzerland Challenge league

Aarau v Servette Over 3.0 $1.94 [2-2]

England

Blackpool v West Brom Over 2.75 $1.96 [1-3]

Parlay for $13.84

Baumit Jablonec v Mlada Boleslav OVER 2.50 (+103)
FC Nordsjælland v Odense BKOVER 2.50 (-114)
Mjällby v Åtvidaberg OVER 2.50 (-114)
Aarau v Servette OVER 3.00 (-107)

Parlay for $6.79

Blackpool v West Brom OVER 2.75 (-108)
Konyaspor v Trabzonspor OVER 2.75 (-114)
FC Nordsjælland v Odense BK OVER 2.50 (-114)

Blue_Chips · 11-01-10, 10:04 AM

Good luck today!

Optional · 11-01-10, 06:12 PM

5-4 for the day, +0.23 units.

And 1-1 for the parlays, -0.12 units.

Universitatea Cluj v Astra Ploiesti Over 2.0 $1.74 [2-1] 1-0
Jablonec v Ml. Boleslav Over 2.5 $2.06 [2-1] 1-1
Alki v APOP Paphos Over 2.5 $1.98 [1-2] 0-0
Nordsjaelland v Odense Over 2.5 $1.90 [1-2] 1-4
Mjällby v Åtvidabergs Over 2.5 $1.90 [2-1] 2-1
Konyaspor v Trabzonspor Over 2.5 $1.80 [1-3] 1-2
Torino v Ascoli Over 2.0 $1.67 [2-1] 2-1
Aarau v Servette Over 3.0 $1.94 [2-2] 0-0
Blackpool v West Brom Over 2.75 $1.96 [1-3] 2-1

Parlay for $13.84 loses
Parlay for $6.79 wins (reduced to $1.88 for ½ push on 2 legs)

Picks 25-10½-1½ .704 +8.62u
Parlays 2-4-0 .333 -1.88u
Scores 13-7-17 .351

Win-Loss-Push
Based on 1 unit risked per pick/parlay.
Score wins if both Team Totals >= prediction. 1 team correct = push.

Optional · 11-02-10, 02:09 PM

2nd November

Ireland

Galway v Bray Over 2.25 $1.66 [1-2]

England L1

Swindon v Charlton Over 2.5 $1.83 [2-1]

Rochdale v Oldham Over 2.25 $1.81 [2-2]

England L2

Chesterfield v Accrington Over 2.5 $1.77 [3-1]

Rotherham v Macclesfield Over 2.5 $1.88 [3-1]

Parlay to come.

Optional · 11-02-10, 02:40 PM

Parlay for $7.32

Rochdale v Oldham Athletic OVER 2.50 (+111)
Rotherham United v Macclesfield Town OVER 2.50 (-127)
Galway United v Bray Wanderers OVER 2.50 (-109)

Parlay for $14.68

Benfica (-117) v Olympique Lyonnais
Werder Bremen v FC Twente Enschede Over 3.0 (+110)
Rotherham United v Macclesfield Town OVER 2.50 (-127)
Rochdale v Oldham Athletic OVER 2.50 (+111)

Optional · 11-02-10, 06:46 PM

2-2 for the day, -0.4 units.
Both parlays lost, -2 units.

Galway v Bray Over 2.25 $1.66 [1-2] 1-0
Swindon v Charlton Over 2.5 $1.83 [2-1] 0-3
Rochdale v Oldham Over 2.25 $1.81 [2-2] (match abandonded)
Chesterfield v Accrington Over 2.5 $1.77 [3-1] 5-2
Rotherham v Macclesfield Over 2.5 $1.88 [3-1] 1-1

Parlay for $7.32 lost.
Parlay for $14.68 lost.

Picks 27-12½-1½ .684 +8.22u
Parlays 2-6-0 .250 -3.88u
Scores 13-7-21 .317

Win-Loss-Push
Based on 1 unit risked per pick/parlay.
Score wins if both Team Totals >= prediction. 1 team correct = push.

Optional · 11-05-10, 04:11 AM

5th November

Australia

North Queensland v Central Coast Over 2.25 $2.00 [2-1]

Hungary

Kecskeméti v Ujpest Over 2.5 $1.70 [1-2]

Denmark 2nd League

Hjørring v Hobro Over 2.5 $1.70 [3-1]
Vestsjaelland v Koge Over 2.5 $1.60 [1-2]

Germany Bundesliga 2

Ingolstadt v Cottbus Over 2.5 $1.87 [1-2]

Austria 2nd League

St. Polten v Altach Over 2.5 $1.65 [1-2]
Admira v St. Andrä Over 2.5 $1.45 [3-1]
Gratkorn v Vienna Over 2.5 $1.60 [2-1]

Netherlands

Sparta v Helmond Over 2.5 $1.47 [2-1]
Apeldoorn v Emmen Over 2.5 $1.55 [2-1]
G.A. Eagles v Sittard Over 2.5 $1.45 [2-1]

Parlay for $12.69

North Queensland v Central Coast OVER 2.25 (-104)
Hjørring v Hobro OVER 2.75 (-114)
Gratkorn v Vienna OVER 3.0 (-104)
Apeldoorn v Emmen OVER 3.0 (-132)

Optional · 11-06-10, 12:43 AM

6-5 for the day, -1.23 units.
Parlay loses, -1 unit.

North Queensland v Central Coast Over 2.25 $2.00 [2-1] 0-1
Kecskeméti v Ujpest Over 2.5 $1.70 [1-2] 4-3
Hjørring v Hobro Over 2.5 $1.70 [3-1] 0-2
Vestsjaelland v Koge Over 2.5 $1.60 [1-2] 1-3
Ingolstadt v Cottbus Over 2.5 $1.87 [1-2] 1-2
St. Polten v Altach Over 2.5 $1.65 [1-2] 0-0
Admira v St. Andrä Over 2.5 $1.45 [3-1] 2-0
Gratkorn v Vienna Over 2.5 $1.60 [2-1] 4-0
Sparta v Helmond Over 2.5 $1.47 [2-1] 1-1
Apeldoorn v Emmen Over 2.5 $1.55 [2-1] 2-2
G.A. Eagles v Sittard Over 2.5 $1.45 [2-1] 3-0

Parlay for $12.69 loses

Picks 33-17½-1½ .653 +6.99u
Parlays 2-7-0 .222 -4.88u
Scores 17-9-26 = Confidence 40.38%

Win-Loss-Push
Based on 1 unit risked per pick/parlay.
Score wins if both Team Totals >= prediction. 1 team correct = push.
Confidence = W%-L%+(P%/2)

Optional · 11-07-10, 06:38 AM

7th November

Russia

Sibir Novosibirsk v Zenit Over 2.5 $1.85 [1-3]

Spain 2

Celta Vigo v Betis Over 2.25 $1.92 [1-2]

Netherlands

Ajax v Den Haag Over 3.5 $1.71 [2-2]
Feyenoord v Roda Over 2.5 $1.66 [1-2]

Switzerland

Luzern v Basel Over 2.5 $1.51 [2-2]

Switzerland 2

Biel v Aarau Over 3.0 $2.04 [3-1]

Denmark 2

Roskilde v Naestved Over 2.5 $1.75 [2-1]
AB Copenhagen v Skive Over 3.0 $1.96 [3-1]

Norway 2

Bryne v Fredrikstad Over 3.0 $1.86 [2-2]

England

Arsenal v Newcastle Over 2.5 $1.51 [2-1]

England Championship

Cardiff v Swansea Over 2.5 $2.04 [2-1]

Germany

Stuttgart v Bremen Over 2.5 $1.54 [1-2]
Leverkusen v Kaiserslautern Over 2.5 $1.67 [2-1]

Spain

Getafe v Barcelona Over 2.5 $1.68 [1-2]

Belgium

Cercle Brugge v Gent Over 2.5 $1.70 [1-2]

Denmark

Silkeborg - Nordsjaelland Over 2.5 $1.82 [1-2]

Parlay to come.

Optional · 11-07-10, 07:41 AM

Parlay for $24.41

Stuttgart v Bremen OVER 3.0 (-123)
Cardiff v Swansea OVER 2.25 (-102)
Cercle Brugge v Gent OVER 2.75 (-114)
Silkeborg v Nordsjaelland OVER 2.5 (-129)
AB Copenhagen v Skive OVER 3.0 (+104)

Optional · 11-08-10, 02:43 AM

7-8½-½ for the day, -2.9 units.
Parlay loses, -1 unit.

Sibir Novosibirsk v Zenit Over 2.5 $1.85 [1-3] 2-5
Celta Vigo v Betis Over 2.25 $1.92 [1-2] 1-1 (½ push, ½ loss)
Ajax v Den Haag Over 3.5 $1.71 [2-2] 0-1
Feyenoord v Roda Over 2.5 $1.66 [1-2] 1-1
Luzern v Basel Over 2.5 $1.51 [2-2] 1-1
Biel v Aarau Over 3.0 $2.04 [3-1] 7-1
Roskilde v Naestved Over 2.5 $1.75 [2-1] 1-1
AB Copenhagen v Skive Over 3.0 $1.96 [3-1] 2-2
Bryne v Fredrikstad Over 3.0 $1.86 [2-2] 2-2
Arsenal v Newcastle Over 2.5 $1.51 [2-1] 0-1
Cardiff v Swansea Over 2.5 $2.04 [2-1] 0-1
Stuttgart v Bremen Over 2.5 $1.54 [1-2] 6-0
Leverkusen v Kaiserslautern Over 2.5 $1.67 [2-1] 3-1
Getafe v Barcelona Over 2.5 $1.68 [1-2] 1-3
Cercle Brugge v Gent Over 2.5 $1.70 [1-2] 0-1
Silkeborg v Nordsjaelland Over 2.5 $1.82 [1-2] 1-0

Parlay for $12.69 loses

Picks 40-26-2 .606 +4.09u
Parlays 2-8-0 .200 -5.88u
Scores 22-12-34 = Confidence .397

Win-Loss-Push
Based on 1 unit risked per pick/parlay.
Score wins if both Team Totals >= prediction. 1 team correct = push.
Confidence = W%-L%+(P%/2)

Optional · 11-08-10, 07:13 AM

8th November

Switzerland Challenge League

Wohlen v Vaduz Over 3.0 $2.06 [1-3]

Turkey

Besiktas v Kasimpasa Over 2.75 $1.72 [2-1]

Spain

Sevilla v Valencia Over 2.5 $1.80 [2-1]

Optional · 11-08-10, 05:44 PM

1-2 for the day, -0.94 units.

Wohlen v Vaduz Over 3.0 $2.06 [1-3] 1-3
Besiktas v Kasimpasa Over 2.75 $1.72 [2-1] 1-1
Sevilla v Valencia Over 2.5 $1.80 [2-1] 2-0

Picks 41-28-2 .594 +3.15u
Parlays 2-8-0 .200 -5.88u
Scores 23-12-36 = Confidence .408

Win-Loss-Push
Based on 1 unit risked per pick/parlay.
Score wins if both Team Totals >= prediction. 1 team correct = push.
Confidence = W%-L%+(P%/2)

Optional · 11-15-10, 09:07 AM

15th November

Cyprus
Ethnikos - AEL Limassol Over 2.25 $1.96 [2-1]

Netherlands 2
Emmen - G.A. Eagles Over 3.0 $1.98 [1-3]

Switzerland 2
Kriens - Wohlen Over 2.5 $1.60 [1-2]

Parlay for $3.56
Emmen - G.A. Eagles Over 3.0 -109
Kriens - Wohlen Over 3.0 -117

Blue_Chips · 11-15-10, 10:28 AM

Good luck today!

Optional · 11-16-10, 12:07 AM

0-3 for the day, -3 units.
Parlay loses, -1 unit.

Ethnikos - AEL Limassol Over 2.25 $1.96 [2-1] 0-0
Emmen - G.A. Eagles Over 3.0 $1.98 [1-3] 1-1
Kriens - Wohlen Over 2.5 $1.60 [1-2] 2-0

Parlay for $3.56 loses

Picks 41-31-2 .569 +0.15u
Avg Odds $1.763 = Break Even .569
Parlays 2-9-0 .182 -6.88u
Scores 23-13-38 = Confidence .392

Win-Loss-Push
Based on 1 unit risked per pick/parlay.
Score wins if both Team Totals >= prediction. 1 team correct = push.
Confidence = W%-L%+(P%/2)

minet123 · 11-16-10, 12:20 AM

We all have those kind of days
good luck tomorrow

Optional · 11-16-10, 12:30 AM

Thanks Minet.

At least I'm still at break even, but it's been a poor run all over since I started posting the picks. Was hovering around .700 for around 6 weeks testing the idea beforehand.

I'm happy though. Know I'll bounce back. And once I have enough picks logged here I'll start analyzing simple ways to filter them and hopefully improve the strike rate as well.

Optional · 11-16-10, 05:28 AM

16th November

England FA Cup

Peterborough v Stockport Over 3.0 $1.92 [3-1]

Parlay for $6.21

Jordon v Cyprus PK $1.67
Peterborough -1½ $1.90 v Stockport
Southend United v Macclesfield O 2½ $1.96

Optional · 11-16-10, 08:27 PM

1-0 for the day, +.92 units.
Parlay wins, +2.72 units

Peterborough v Stockport Over 3.0 $1.92 [3-1] 4-1

Parlay wins (reduced to $3.72 for push in 1st leg)

Picks 42-31-2 .575 +1.07u
Avg Odds $1.765 = Break Even .568
Parlays 3-9-0 .250 -4.16u
Scores 24-13-38 = Confidence .400

Win-Loss-Push
Based on 1 unit risked per pick/parlay.
Score wins if both Team Totals >= prediction. 1 team correct = push.
Confidence = W%-L%+(P%/2)

Optional · 11-17-10, 03:40 AM

17th November

Australia

Newcastle v Brisbane Over 2.0 $1.65 [1-2]

England FA Cup

Luton v Corby Town Over 2.5 $1.70 [3-0]

International Friendly

Ireland v Norway Over 2.5 $2.40 [2-1]

Parlay for $18.30

RUSSIA (-192) v Belgium
NETHERLANDS (-243) v Turkey
ITALY (+105) v Romania
Finland v San Marino OVER 4.5 (+110)
Croatia v Malta Over 3.75 (-102)

Parlay for $22.27

Newcastle v Brisbane Over 2.25 +116
Luton Town v Corby Over 2.75 -126
Ireland +144 v Norway
Nth Ireland +163 v Morocco

Parlay for $10.81

Hamlin NOT win Sprint Cup +147
Luton Town v Corby Over 2.75 -126
Ireland +144 v Norway