Johon 10/11

[JOHON8]

Sunday: Serie C1/B

Nocerina vs Taranto

Nocerina ML / 1.85 / 5 units

Taranto has a 17 year old keeper in net, a couple important defensive midfielders missing. Also Nocerina on a long winning streak.

I really wanted to go bigger on this since I don't find game like this often. But it's a lower division league game in Italy anything can happen.

[hedgejob]

You're crazy for playing 3rd division games and crazier for risking 5u.

[JOHON8]

You're crazy for playing 3rd division games and crazier for risking 5u.

I'd rather use info like this to trust my big bets on rather than flipping a coin like most top division games are. I'll let my record speak for itself.

[JOHON8]

Saturday Bundesliga: Wolfsburg-Stuttgart

Wolfsburg ML / 2.18 / 5 units

Stuttgart with serious injury problems.

[JOHON8]

FC Koln vs Hamburg

FC Koln ML / 3.75 / 1 unit
FC Koln +0.5 / 1.8 / 2 units

Koln has replacements in management, they should play strong at home and put out a perofmrance for their fans. By the way Hamburg with a long list of injuries.

[JOHON8]

Kasierslautern - Mgladbach Over 3.5 / 2.78 / 1 unit

Both of these teams defenses are garbage. I'm only worried that out of the 100 chances they can at least finish 4 goals.

[JOHON8]

Hercules - Real Madrid

Hercules HT / Real madrid FT / 27.00 / 0.20 units
-Madrid has Ronaldo, Ozil and others back after they rested midweek. Mourinho knows what he's doing. If Hercules have any chance to get anything out of this game they will attack early and try to hold on like they did vs Barcelona. But they don't have a good home record, plus Madrid will be too much. I think odds on this are good for Madrid making a comeback if they are down at half time. To win from behind odds are 8.00, but not worth it IMO, if it's gonna happen worth risking small on the 27.00.

I love Madrid in this position, but -2 is too much to cover away from home vs Hercules who has players like Valdez and Trezeguet to fight back the deficit. Probably over is the play, but only worth taking 3.5 which is also too high. Live would be best to see what strategies they are playing.

[JOHON8]

Manchester United -1 / 2.00 / 2 units

I like this situation.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport2/hi/football/eng_prem/9137317.stm

[JOHON8]

What a great day, I need Madrid to make an epic comeback. Hercules won the 1st half, if Madrid scores 1 more goal and holds on I will cash the 27.00.

[Josu]

Hercules - Real Madrid

Hercules HT / Real madrid FT / 27.00 / 0.20 units
-Madrid has Ronaldo, Ozil and others back after they rested midweek. Mourinho knows what he's doing. If Hercules have any chance to get anything out of this game they will attack early and try to hold on like they did vs Barcelona. But they don't have a good home record, plus Madrid will be too much. I think odds on this are good for Madrid making a comeback if they are down at half time. To win from behind odds are 8.00, but not worth it IMO, if it's gonna happen worth risking small on the 27.00.

I love Madrid in this position, but -2 is too much to cover away from home vs Hercules who has players like Valdez and Trezeguet to fight back the deficit. Probably over is the play, but only worth taking 3.5 which is also too high. Live would be best to see what strategies they are playing.

Haha, ******* awesome man!

[JOHON8]

Saturday Bundesliga: Wolfsburg-Stuttgart

Wolfsburg ML / 2.18 / 5 units WIN

Stuttgart with serious injury problems.

FC Koln vs Hamburg

FC Koln ML / 3.75 / 1 unit WIN
FC Koln +0.5 / 1.8 / 2 units WIN

Koln has replacements in management, they should play strong at home and put out a perofmrance for their fans. By the way Hamburg with a long list of injuries.

Kasierslautern - Mgladbach Over 3.5 / 2.78 / 1 unit LOSS

Both of these teams defenses are garbage. I'm only worried that out of the 100 chances they can at least finish 4 goals.

Hercules - Real Madrid

Hercules HT / Real madrid FT / 27.00 / 0.20 units WIN
-Madrid has Ronaldo, Ozil and others back after they rested midweek. Mourinho knows what he's doing. If Hercules have any chance to get anything out of this game they will attack early and try to hold on like they did vs Barcelona. But they don't have a good home record, plus Madrid will be too much. I think odds on this are good for Madrid making a comeback if they are down at half time. To win from behind odds are 8.00, but not worth it IMO, if it's gonna happen worth risking small on the 27.00.

I love Madrid in this position, but -2 is too much to cover away from home vs Hercules who has players like Valdez and Trezeguet to fight back the deficit. Probably over is the play, but only worth taking 3.5 which is also too high. Live would be best to see what strategies they are playing.

Manchester United -1 / 2.00 / 2 units WIN

I like this situation.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport2/hi/foot...em/9137317.stm

Sunday: Serie C1/B

Nocerina vs Taranto

Nocerina ML / 1.85 / 5 units PENDING

Taranto has a 17 year old keeper in net, a couple important defensive midfielders missing. Also Nocerina on a long winning streak.

I really wanted to go bigger on this since I don't find game like this often. But it's a lower division league game in Italy anything can happen.

5-0-1
+16.45

I feel sick for putting only .20 units on 27.00, that's +2600. Oh well I managed my risk... 5 units pending. I have profited out of injury information today.

thread record:
14-21-2
+24.48

[JOHON8]

Haha, ******* awesome man!

[JOHON8]

After a pretty good day I feel Italy is going to screw me out of 5 units tomorrow. I'll do some research to find same kind of games I found today. If anyone wants to chip in and point me to a direction let me know so we can share info.

soccer thread record:
19-22-2
+24.48

[beeps220]

Absolute awesome pick on the Real game! Spot on

[Mr.Kitty]

5-0-1 +16.45 I feel sick for putting only .20 units on 27.00, that's +2600. Oh well I managed my risk... 5 units pending. I have profited out of injury information today. thread record: 14-21-2 +24.48

[JOHON8]

Sunday: Serie C1/B

Nocerina vs Taranto

Nocerina ML / 1.85 / 5 units

Taranto has a 17 year old keeper in net, a couple important defensive midfielders missing. Also Nocerina on a long winning streak.

I really wanted to go bigger on this since I don't find game like this often. But it's a lower division league game in Italy anything can happen.

1-0-0
+4.25

Game ended 1-0 for Nocerina.

soccer thread record:
20-22-2
+28.73

[ukbsktbll]

Gotn Bilboa vs Getafe live betting available? Any play?

[beeps220]

Sunday: Serie C1/B

Nocerina vs Taranto

Nocerina ML / 1.85 / 5 units

Taranto has a 17 year old keeper in net, a couple important defensive midfielders missing. Also Nocerina on a long winning streak.

I really wanted to go bigger on this since I don't find game like this often. But it's a lower division league game in Italy anything can happen.

Ecellent hit here

One question for you, you're always able to get some great info like this. How much time did you have to take to find this in an Italian C Division or do you have a process for this? I usually look at a game I like then try to find the info. Whatever you're doing is working a lot better. By the way, about 5 more months and I'll be down in Costa Rica. Can finally use some real books, live betting, etc

[JOHON8]

Ecellent hit here

One question for you, you're always able to get some great info like this. How much time did you have to take to find this in an Italian C Division or do you have a process for this? I usually look at a game I like then try to find the info. Whatever you're doing is working a lot better. By the way, about 5 more months and I'll be down in Costa Rica. Can finally use some real books, live betting, etc

There's a lot of ways to find info on injuries and other problems a club has online. I sometimes check blogs and websites of other people who are more familiar with their own leagues. It's impossible for me to go through every league everyday to find these games, that's a waste of time. I think the main thing is to be patient and pick out the games that look good. Spend a little time listing the games that interest you, then only take the ones you are confident with based on the information.

Honestly I have no process, everyday I learn new things online, learn new ways to find info. These games like the Italian C divison one are 1 out of many that are out there every week. I was hoping with this thread we could share info, but there aren't too many people on here that want to help, most want to just tail, that's okay, but we aren't going anywhere like this.

GL with your trip to Costa Rica, books make a big difference in the betting, I use betfair a lot.

[JOHON8]

Champions League Wednesday: Chelsea vs Spartak Moscow

Chelsea -1.5/-2.0 / 1.94 / 2 units

Spartak is missing their Captain, top CL goal scorer this season and a couple other players. But the main reason is that Chelsea are at home infront of their fans with a chance to seal the knockout stages with 3 points here. Can't go bigger than 2 units on this big spread simply because Spartak will defend with their lives.

GL

[SRBI]

Champions League Wednesday: Chelsea vs Spartak Moscow

Chelsea -1.5/-2.0 / 1.94 / 2 units

Spartak is missing their Captain, top CL goal scorer this season and a couple other players. But the main reason is that Chelsea are at home infront of their fans with a chance to seal the knockout stages with 3 points here. Can't go bigger than 2 units on this big spread simply because Spartak will defend with their lives.

GL

On it. Good luck man. Check your PM.

[JOHON8]

On it. Good luck man. Check your PM.

GL to you too, I'll check.

[JOHON8]

Norway Div. 1

Moss vs. Follo

Follo ML / 1.7 / 6 units

Relegation battle for Follo. They need to win to be saved, Moss is already relegated. Odds dropped from 2.00 to 1.7 recently, and this game is 5 days from now.

[JOHON8]

Champions League Wednesday: Chelsea vs Spartak Moscow

Chelsea -1.5/-2.0 / 1.94 / 2 units WIN

Spartak is missing their Captain, top CL goal scorer this season and a couple other players. But the main reason is that Chelsea are at home infront of their fans with a chance to seal the knockout stages with 3 points here. Can't go bigger than 2 units on this big spread simply because Spartak will defend with their lives.

GL

Chelsea 4-1 Spartak
1-0-0
+1.88

Easy win, would have put more units if it was ML or -1, but glad to see huge spread covered. The real money made was not betting Madrid and Arsenal today. Arsenal and Madrid both on 9 points like Chelsea, the difference is Chelsea played at home and they played a much weaker team.

soccer thread record:
21-22-2
+30.61

[phenomenon]

nice mate, but I was a little scared when HT ended 0-0

[beeps220]

Great job with the Chelsea pick, tailed you on it

[Tommy_de1st]

Norway Div. 1 Moss vs. Follo Follo ML / 1.7 / 6 units Relegation battle for Follo. They need to win to be saved, Moss is already relegated. Odds dropped from 2.00 to 1.7 recently, and this game is 5 days from now.

I'm really curious how this match will end. The odds keep slowly dropping down

[Tommy_de1st]

I'm really curious how this match will end. The odds keep slowly dropping down

You know the funny thing? I saw the odds dropping to 1.67 and after writing my previous post the odds suddenly went to 1.75 (Betfair) in 3 minutes - strange

[Tommy_de1st]

John, something's wrong here. Follo 1.83 as of now.
Do we have any Norwegian here. Danller, any news on Follo?

[GazGaz]

I would be carefull, thd relegated team will want to drag them down. It happens a lot.

[Tommy_de1st]

Follo 2.1, damn

[SRBI]

Slammed that Chelsea AH yesterday. I'm set for the week. Good luck on your plays fellaz...

[danller]

Follo didnt get their licence renewed for next season, so they are going to play 2. division next year..

[Tommy_de1st]

Follo didnt get their licence renewed for next season, so they are going to play 2. division next year..

Now everything's clear

[JOHON8]

Yeah that Norway game might have been a big mistake. Can't do anything about it now 6 units in the balance, screwed by politics.

It went up from 1.69 to 2.26, almost 30 cents... They are still favorites to win but... I'll probably work my way to cover that risk this weekend.