Johon 10/11

[JOHON8]

Villareal being a joke today at home!

1-1 there is still time left

[schenker88]

this seems to be a good thread i'll keep an eye onit!

with 27-24 how the hell r u +39 units in profit? nice run man!!!
how strong is your largest bet? u never chase losses sure?

bol all time

[JOHON8]

this seems to be a good thread i'll keep an eye onit!

with 27-24 how the hell r u +39 units in profit? nice run man!!!
how strong is your largest bet? u never chase losses sure?

bol all time

I don't bet 1 unit per game, IMO you are never making a descent enough profit in the long run, and for your time doing this. I find games I got good info on and bet big, I take risks and lose big bets but it should pay off in the long run.

[schenker88]

I don't bet 1 unit per game, IMO you are never making a descent enough profit in the long run, and for your time doing this. I find games I got good info on and bet big, I take risks and lose big bets but it should pay off in the long run.

that also shoud be a good idea... what means "IMO"?
do u always post your unit sizes by selections?

[JOHON8]

Almeria vs Barcelona Under 6.5 2.08 (1x)

I don't think Barca want to embarass Almeria anymore, and Almeria won't score. But if 1 lucky goal goes in it's still a win.

that also shoud be a good idea... what means "IMO"? do u always post your unit sizes by selections?

IMO = in my opinion

[JOHON8]

Almeria vs Barcelona Under 6.5 2.08 (1x)

I was wrong, Barca just scored to make it 7-0. Messi with a hat trick he's godly. I'm just gonna go take a break and then enjoy the Madrid game. Enough games pending to make a profit this weekend anyways peace.

[Tommy_de1st]

I remember you saying a week ago in my thread that noone should bet against Messi and it's so damn right

[Vreston]

How did you do on that big card you had yesterday?

You are right when you say it's not profitable in the long run to bet the same units on every play. I had a super hot month last month, but I bet small units. These last two weeks have been mediocre and I have lost it all back. If I had put more units on my strong plays last month then I would be way ahead.

Today I am so frustrated that I am unable to get it out of my system.
I was down and I played a 3 team parlay after a LONG time. Mainz, Carlisle and QPR. Mainz turned the game around and won 2-3, QPR won easily and f***ing Carlisle lost to a lowly team to send me to the dumps. It always happens like that. Always one team to ruin everything.

[JOHON8]

How did you do on that big card you had yesterday?

You are right when you say it's not profitable in the long run to bet the same units on every play. I had a super hot month last month, but I bet small units. These last two weeks have been mediocre and I have lost it all back. If I had put more units on my strong plays last month then I would be way ahead.

Today I am so frustrated that I am unable to get it out of my system.
I was down and I played a 3 team parlay after a LONG time. Mainz, Carlisle and QPR. Mainz turned the game around and won 2-3, QPR won easily and f***ing Carlisle lost to a lowly team to send me to the dumps. It always happens like that. Always one team to ruin everything.

check your PM

[latinrus]

How did you do on that big card you had yesterday?

You are right when you say it's not profitable in the long run to bet the same units on every play. I had a super hot month last month, but I bet small units. These last two weeks have been mediocre and I have lost it all back. If I had put more units on my strong plays last month then I would be way ahead.

Today I am so frustrated that I am unable to get it out of my system.
I was down and I played a 3 team parlay after a LONG time. Mainz, Carlisle and QPR. Mainz turned the game around and won 2-3, QPR won easily and f***ing Carlisle lost to a lowly team to send me to the dumps. It always happens like that. Always one team to ruin everything.

Happens buddy! Today Villareal fvcked my 5 team parlay! It was the play that I thought won fail and was the one that went the other way!

[JOHON8]

Serie A: Catania vs Bari

Catania ML 1.81 (5x)
Catania -0.5&-1 2.30 (3x)

Bari is missing 10 regular players. Catania is missing couple important players too, but I'll take the risk.

[JOHON8]

With the luck I'm having, the rest of my bets on this game are live. 500k just dropped on Catania, I got no idea what's going on other than the info I got.

[Mr.Kitty]

Serie A: Catania vs Bari Catania ML 1.81 (5x) Catania -0.5&-1 2.30 (3x) Bari is missing 10 regular players. Catania is missing couple important players too, but I'll take the risk.

Yeah, I tend to agree here. Catania have some injuries themselves, mostly in defense but still Bari have it much worse. A.Masiello, Donati, Almiron, Barreto, Ghezzal, Kutuzov, Rivas ans Castillo have all played atleast 6 games this season and most of them are regulars. Most of their offense is taken away, they had to call up 7 junior players to train with the team this week.

It would be bad by Catania not to take advantage of this "crisis", they are pretty strong at home, 3-3-0, 7:3. And from what ive heard Bari has played horrid in away games which obviously is evident if you look at their record. I think you will win this one.

Good luck

[JOHON8]

Sunday: Botafogo vs Internacional

Botafogo ML 1.63 (5x) LOSS

the handicap line was removed, doubt it will be back up since the word on the reserves came out.

Sevilla -1 2.09 (2x) LOSS

14 goals and 4 wins in the last 4 games for Sevilla, Mallorca not good on the road. They'll be missing their winger Capel and I think another guy is questionable but Sevilla are on a roll with most of their players involved in attacks. They got a pretty easy schedule ahead let's just hope they don't get complacent.

Upgrading this with another 5 units, gonna trust League 2 with a dime. I don't advise anyone to do what I'm doing, but this is the way I play.

adding 5 units: Shrewsbury ML 1.91 (10x) LOSS

Chamionship: Derby vs Scunthorpe

Derby -0.5&-1 1.84 (5x) WIN

Grosseto -0.5&-1 2.14 (1x) LOSS
Sassuolo -0.5&-1.0 2.08 (1x) LOSS

-2 of the worst teams in Serie B.

Germany 3rd League
FC Heidenheim v Burghausen - Over 2.5 goals 1.87 (1.5x) WIN

Eredivisie
Groningen ML 1.94 (1x) WIN

J League
G-Osaka PK 1.88 (2x) WIN

Russia Premier (2nd last week of league, lots of politics going on)
Anzhi vs FC Saturn Moscow LOSS
Correct Score 1-1 2.46 (.5x)
Correct Score 0-0 4.1 (.5x)

-I think the under at 1.4 or draw at 1.5 is a sure bet but not gonna risk it, too shady

Kryliya vs Dinamo Moscow LOSS
Correct Score 2-1 3.3 (.5x)

-Can't risk Kryliya ML at 1.47.

Rubin Kazan vs Zenit
Rubin ML 1.62 (2x) LOSS

Zenit already won the league. Rubin wants CL spot. Zenit not sending a lot of players to Rubin. Not gonna trust this with more than 2 bills, Zenit is still a great team with some honor at least I think.

Serie A: Catania vs Bari

Catania ML 1.81 (5x) WIN
Catania -0.5&-1 2.30 (3x) WIN

Bari is missing 10 regular players. Catania is missing couple important players too, but I'll take the risk.

Horrible weekend, lost a 10 unit play in the 87th minute. But in general the info did not work out as it should have with. Catania barely beat a team without 8 regulars, Botafogo just lost, Shrewsbury lead till the 87th minute but conceded, Derby did win but barely as well. The most solid pick was G-Osaka, they were fighting for a Cup spot playing away to a team that was relegated without a lot of players + they had Endo (Japan WC) which I found out until he scored. Might adjust a few things for next week but weekends like this exist for a reason.

6-7.5-0
-8.24

soccer record
33-31.5-4.5
+30.83

[phenomenon]

Catania saved us mate,
they were 10 men but scored and I took back my losses,like u did

[JOHON8]

Early Champions League Plays.

Panathinaikos v Barcelona / Over 3.5 Goals 2.8 / 1x
Hapoel Tel Aviv v Benfica / Asian Handicap Benfica -1.0 2.15 / .5x
Valencia v Bursaspor / Asian Handicap Valencia -2.0 2.1 / 1x
Tottenham v W Bremen / Tottenham Total Goals 3 goals or more 2.00 / .5x
Schalke v Lyon / Match Odds Schalke ML 2.36 / 1x
UEFA Champions League / Accumulators / Tues 19:45 Doubles AC Milan/Arsenal 4.3 / .5x
Chelsea v Zilina / Asian Handicap Chelsea -2.0 & -2.5 2.12 / .5x
Roma v B Munich / Correct Score 0 - 1 18.00 / .25x
Roma v B Munich / Asian Handicap B Munich +0.5 2.04 / 1x
Accumulators / Wed 19:45 Doubles Schalke/Valencia 2.8 / .5x
Accumulators / Wed 19:45 Doubles Schalke/Tottenham 3.4 / .5x
Accumulators / Wed 19:45 Doubles Tottenham/Valencia 1.8 / 1.5x

[JOHON8]

LIVE J-League 3rd minute: G-Osaka -2.0&2.5 1.91 (1x)

[JOHON8]

LIVE J-League 3rd minute: G-Osaka -2.0&2.5 1.91 (1x)

FT: 2-1
0-0-1
-1
Motivation was a big factor here, either Osaka wins by a lot or they just take the win casually.

soccer record
33-32.5-4.5
+29.83

[JOHON8]

FC Copenhagen PK 3.2 (1.5x)
Tel Aviv vs Benfica Over 2.5 Goals 2.02 (1x)
Tottenham -1 1.71 (5x)

[JOHON8]

2 units for props:

Rubin Kazan/FC Copenhagen 65.00 (.5x)

Call me crazy for putting 50$ on 65.00 but I like Copenhagen's chances of scoring in this match up. If Rubin go 1-0 up I think it's worth a shot to see if Copenhagen can make a come back. Weather will not affect Copenhagen like it did Barcelona, this is a team from Denmark.

Rubin Kazan/DRAW 18.5 (.25x)
FC Copenhagen/DRAW 21 (.25x)

I like the chances of at least one of these 3 hitting. If not, then 1 unit down the drain.

Schalke/DRAW 17.00 (.25x)
Lyon/Schalke 32.00 (.25x)
Twente/Inter 28.00 (.25x)
Tel Aviv vs Benfica over 4.5 goals 7.2 (.25x)

[JOHON8]

2 units for props:

Rubin Kazan/FC Copenhagen 65.00 (.5x) LOSS

Call me crazy for putting 50$ on 65.00 but I like Copenhagen's chances of scoring in this match up. If Rubin go 1-0 up I think it's worth a shot to see if Copenhagen can make a come back. Weather will not affect Copenhagen like it did Barcelona, this is a team from Denmark.

Rubin Kazan/DRAW 18.5 (.25x) LOSS
FC Copenhagen/DRAW 21 (.25x) LOSS

I like the chances of at least one of these 3 hitting. If not, then 1 unit down the drain.

Schalke/DRAW 17.00 (.25x) LOSS
Lyon/Schalke 32.00 (.25x) LOSS
Twente/Inter 28.00 (.25x) LOSS
Tel Aviv vs Benfica over 4.5 goals 7.2 (.25x) LOSS

FC Copenhagen PK 3.2 (1.5x) LOSS
Tel Aviv vs Benfica Over 2.5 Goals 2.02 (1x) WIN
Tottenham -1 1.71 (5x) WIN

Early Champions League Plays.

Panathinaikos v Barcelona / Over 3.5 Goals 2.8 / 1x LOSS
Hapoel Tel Aviv v Benfica / Asian Handicap Benfica -1.0 2.15 / .5x LOSS
Valencia v Bursaspor / Asian Handicap Valencia -2.0 2.1 / 1x WIN
Tottenham v W Bremen / Tottenham Total Goals 3 goals or more 2.00 / .5x WIN
Schalke v Lyon / Match Odds Schalke ML 2.36 / 1x WIN
UEFA Champions League / Accumulators / Tues 19:45 Doubles AC Milan/Arsenal 4.3 / .5x LOSS
Chelsea v Zilina / Asian Handicap Chelsea -2.0 & -2.5 2.12 / .5x LOSS
Roma v B Munich / Correct Score 0 - 1 18.00 / .25x LOSS
Roma v B Munich / Asian Handicap B Munich +0.5 2.04 / 1x LOSS
Accumulators / Wed 19:45 Doubles Schalke/Valencia 2.8 / .5x WIN
Accumulators / Wed 19:45 Doubles Schalke/Tottenham 3.4 / .5x WIN
Accumulators / Wed 19:45 Doubles Tottenham/Valencia 1.8 / 1.5x WIN

8-14-0
+3.61

Should have gone bigger on the 3 strongest plays, yes I'm up a descent amount after all those plays but I failed in being up a lot more.

I could have even done better with increasing my units on the strong plays. Schalke, Tottenham, Valencia... I can swear the news media made me feel nervous about my own bets with the info they gave of how much they were missing players blah blah blah, in the end they don't know shit about what I knew. Always find info from different sources, but in the end get from it what you need, never use anyone elses full opinion. I knew these teams were motivated and in good scoring form, but bookmakers and the media won in making me pussy out and go smaller than I should. They will pay a lot more next time.


soccer record
41-46.5-4.5
+33.44

[Tommy_de1st]

they always do that with all this shit like Bale is out etc. I also played only 1.5x

[JOHON8]

Brazil: Avai vs Santos
Avai ML 2.00 (5x)
Avai -0&-0.5 1.72 (7x)

They will be fighting for my money till the last second. Read their websites for info, especially Santos.

Serie B: Siena vs Novara
Siena ML 1.99 (1x)
Friendly tip.

[JOHON8]

2 teams neck and neck for the title

Fluminense RJ -1&-1.5 (5x)
Corinthians -1.0&-1.5 (1.5x)

[latinrus]

I see at the end u take the FLumi!

I'm still thinking the line has already dropped a lot

[JOHON8]

I see at the end u take the FLumi!

I'm still thinking the line has already dropped a lot

Yeah it will drop more before game time. If you really want you can play it live and hope it finishes 0-0 at half time, or if Palmeiras gets a lucky goal etc...

When Fluminense score, I predict the line for my original bet will drop to like 1.1, I'm gonna hedge by putting half a unit on it to remove any possibility for a loss. Might do it with other plays too. Too many times have these Brazillian teams lost their leads.

[Tommy_de1st]

You right but there is one condition: Fliminense have to score first.

GL

[Vreston]

2 teams neck and neck for the title

Fluminense RJ -1&-1.5 (5x)
Corinthians -1.0&-1.5 (1.5x)

Sounds good. BOL!

[JOHON8]

Bulgarian Premier: Minior vs Sliven

Minior ML 1.62 (3x)

If Minior wasn't the last on the table I'd trust them with 5 or more units. Sliven is playing b team, with financial problems. Both are fighting relegation.

[JOHON8]

Bulgarian Premier: Minior vs Sliven

Minior ML 1.62 (3x) 4-1 WIN

If Minior wasn't the last on the table I'd trust them with 5 or more units. Sliven is playing b team, with financial problems. Both are fighting relegation.

Serie B: Siena vs Novara
Siena ML 1.99 (1x) 1-1 LOSS
Friendly tip.

1-1-0
+.86

Siena unlucky to concede 90th minute, but Novara is a top team regardless. Would have gone bigger on Minior if I had time to look at how bad Slivens B team was/financial situation.

soccer record
42-47.5-4.5
+34.3

[Tommy_de1st]

John, what do you think about Chelsea? currently 3.55

[JOHON8]

John, what do you think about Chelsea? currently 3.55

Wait at least till half time, Ancelotti needs to chance his game plan. It's gonna be hard to steal a win though, the Newcastle goal was lucky but they look more confident after that.

[Tommy_de1st]

yeah, i think that too

[JOHON8]

wtf they score 10 seconds before the half time whistle...

[Tommy_de1st]

Too late, 1-1