vitalyo "wxuv-VI" system play

[Mr.Kitty]

Looking good
HT Khimki 0 - 0 SKA-Energiya Not even a yellow card
Cheers GL.

Couldent ask for anything better , always a good feeling when you´re on the under. Need this one and im 3 for 3 today. Are you going to play anything on Carling cup? im leaning Barnsley under, QPR over and Leicester -1.5.

[vitalyo]

Couldent ask for anything better , always a good feeling when you´re on the under. Need this one and im 3 for 3 today. Are you going to play anything on Carling cup? im leaning Barnsley under, QPR over and Leicester -1.5.

No I don't play English soccer - period . There is no value . I don't even look at the odds or match ups .My advice to you do not bet on them .Keep a paper trail (however i do have profitable strategy) you will win few backs . You will thank me later.You will never make money off them .When it comes to British soccer I only bet props/corners .
Books will never limit you (even if you win)if you bet EPL . Odds are so grind up that they don't even care if you win.
I posted in one of the trends why books love players betting EPL . You are dew for a loss unless you are genius( i am not a genius) . One of the bookmakers accuse me been a scalper and we went back and forward with emails . His case was that i was betting lower leagues. I told him straight, that there is no value betting top 3 leagues . And if they can't set the odds right for lower leagues then they should not offer them .
The thing is if you drop $5000 on Barnsley under it doesn't do to them fvck all they will easily balance the money and come out as a winner . If you drop 5K on Khimki game under then their is a problem ,because book only have $300 on Over.
So right there will be a winner or a loser . They don't like this - .
In 2 weeks we will have all you can eat soccer . No need to fvck around.

I have 4 bets for tomorrow . I'll post them between 02:00 and 04:00

Cheers GL.

[donsirlisir]

i will start to tail you bro

[Mr.Kitty]

No I don't play English soccer - period . There is no value . I don't even look at the odds or match ups .My advice to you do not bet on them .Keep a paper trail (however i do have profitable strategy) you will win few backs . You will thank me later.You will never make money off them .When it comes to British soccer I only bet props/corners .
Books will never limit you (even if you win)if you bet EPL . Odds are so grind up that they don't even care if you win.
I posted in one of the trends why books love players betting EPL . You are dew for a loss unless you are genius( i am not a genius) . One of the bookmakers accuse me been a scalper and we went back and forward with emails . His case was that i was betting lower leagues. I told him straight, that there is no value betting top 3 leagues . And if they can't set the odds right for lower leagues then they should not offer them .
The thing is if you drop $5000 on Barnsley under it doesn't do to them fvck all they will easily balance the money and come out as a winner . If you drop 5K on Khimki game under then their is a problem ,because book only have $300 on Over.
So right there will be a winner or a loser . They don't like this - .
In 2 weeks we will have all you can eat soccer . No need to fvck around.

I have 4 bets for tomorrow . I'll post them between 02:00 and 04:00

Cheers GL.

Okey thanks for the info, ill probably pass on Carling Cup, would hate to ruin a good day on some shady bet. Going to check out your bets tomorrow.

[hedgejob]

No I don't play English soccer - period . There is no value . I don't even look at the odds or match ups .My advice to you do not bet on them .Keep a paper trail (however i do have profitable strategy) you will win few backs . You will thank me later.You will never make money off them .When it comes to British soccer I only bet props/corners .
Books will never limit you (even if you win)if you bet EPL . Odds are so grind up that they don't even care if you win.
I posted in one of the trends why books love players betting EPL . You are dew for a loss unless you are genius( i am not a genius) . One of the bookmakers accuse me been a scalper and we went back and forward with emails . His case was that i was betting lower leagues. I told him straight, that there is no value betting top 3 leagues . And if they can't set the odds right for lower leagues then they should not offer them .
The thing is if you drop $5000 on Barnsley under it doesn't do to them fvck all they will easily balance the money and come out as a winner . If you drop 5K on Khimki game under then their is a problem ,because book only have $300 on Over.
So right there will be a winner or a loser . They don't like this - .
In 2 weeks we will have all you can eat soccer . No need to fvck around.

I have 4 bets for tomorrow . I'll post them between 02:00 and 04:00

Cheers GL.

Gotta say I agree with everything you said.

[Supamanu]

No I don't play English soccer - period . There is no value . I don't even look at the odds or match ups .My advice to you do not bet on them .Keep a paper trail (however i do have profitable strategy) you will win few backs . You will thank me later.You will never make money off them .When it comes to British soccer I only bet props/corners .
Books will never limit you (even if you win)if you bet EPL . Odds are so grind up that they don't even care if you win.
I posted in one of the trends why books love players betting EPL . You are dew for a loss unless you are genius( i am not a genius) . One of the bookmakers accuse me been a scalper and we went back and forward with emails . His case was that i was betting lower leagues. I told him straight, that there is no value betting top 3 leagues . And if they can't set the odds right for lower leagues then they should not offer them .
The thing is if you drop $5000 on Barnsley under it doesn't do to them fvck all they will easily balance the money and come out as a winner . If you drop 5K on Khimki game under then their is a problem ,because book only have $300 on Over.
So right there will be a winner or a loser . They don't like this - .
In 2 weeks we will have all you can eat soccer . No need to fvck around.

I have 4 bets for tomorrow . I'll post them between 02:00 and 04:00

Cheers GL.

Nice post bro, i pretty much gave up on EPL and some of the bigger leagues last season and bet mostly smaller leagues. I like reading your plays b/c those are usually the games im looking at.

[Tommy_de1st]

You right Vitalyo. I bet only when e.g. Everton play Man City where odds are like 2.0 - 3.4 - 2.6

[vitalyo]

FTItaly0 - 1Ivory Coast - $360

FTKhimki0 - 0SKA-Energiya won $202

-$152

Cheers GL.

[vitalyo]

Aug 11 11:00 ET
Lithuania v Belarus: Under 2.5 @ 1.72(-139) betfair
Back (Bet for) Your Under 2.5 Goals
Odds Your 1.72
Stake Your $150.00
Profit $108.00



MY TOP BET
Aug 11 14:00
Sweden v Scotland: Sweden @ 1.82 (-122) betfair
Back (Bet for) Your Sweden
Odds Your 1.82
Stake Your $860.00
Profit $705.20


Sweden v Scotland:Over 2 @ 1.74 (-135) canbet
$500 to win $370


Sweden v Scotland:Over 2.5 @2.28 (+128)betfair
Back (Bet for) Your Sweden
Odds Your 2.28
Stake Your $200.00
Profit $256.00


When it comes to soccer Sweden absolutely own Brits .Scotland home and away are 2 different teams.Scotland away is just horrible .

Scotland team is depleated David Marshall and the midfielder Graham Dorrans will miss this game Lee McCulloch, Alan Hutton and Andy Webster are also all confirmed absences.Craig Gordon and the defender Gary Caldwell are both long term injured ,Scott Brown is doubtful and most likely will miss this game .
Sweden Johan Elmander ,Johan Wiland, Tobias Hysén , and Zlatan Ibrahimovic are back after missing the last game . Sweden is going with a full squad . I like them a lot .Even if Scotland wasn't depleted i would bet Sweden anyway.


The only encounter between this 2
2004.11.17 Scotland 1 : 4 Sweden 3.65 3.20 1.90


Friendlies this year

1 2010.01.20 Oman 0 : 1 Sweden - - -
2 2010.01.23 Syria 1 : 1 Sweden 4.03 3.35 1.79
3 2010.03.03 Wales 0 : 1 Sweden 3.38 3.19 2.05
4 2010.05.29 Sweden 4 : 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina 1.75 3.51 4.06
5 2010.06.02 Belarus 0 : 1 Sweden 3.30 3.25 2.05

1 2010.03.03 Scotland 1 : 0 Czech Republic 2.50 3.11 2.67

Cheers GL .

[Mr.Kitty]

SWEDEN!
Our coach Hamrén said this about the match: "The match is very important although it is untimely for some players who have been in hard training before the start of the season, or some who just started their season. But it is important that we can be together and get to know each other and the way we work".

Its not clear yet which players get to start and if Zlatan gets to play at all, it would be golden to see him and Toivonen play together. Im also on Sweden. GL!

[Tommy_de1st]

Agreed Vitalyo, look at shitty Celtic for instance.

Come on Sweden

[Tommy_de1st]

Vitalyo, tell me where do you take all those previews on friendlies?

[Sanka]

Don't like betting friendlies much, but Sweden looks good today

[vitalyo]

Vitalyo, tell me where do you take all those previews on friendlies?

I just google them . For the leagues http://www.goal.com/en/ .

[vitalyo]

One of the members ask me on how i get the probability rate for O/U .
Well it's not a secret . I am sure in the future i'll get this question again .

example tonight's game
Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake
Philadelphia Union all games
UNDER 2.5 29.41% (5/17)
Over 2.5 70.59% (12/17)

Real Salt Lake all games
UNDER 2.5 42.11% (8/19)
Over 2.5 57.89% (11/19)

Take the over% from both teams 70.59 + 57.89 =128.48 / 2 = 64.24% this game is gonna go over .
100 - 64.24 = 35.76% this game is gonna go under .

You can calculate the other way around .
Take the under % from both teams 29.41 + 42.11 = 71.52 / 2 = 35.76 % this game is gonna go under . 100-35.76=64.24% over


Then i round up the #'s which ever is closest
64.24 =64% over
35.76=36% under

So 64% over 36% under

You can go more deep
Philadelphia Union Home games O/U%
under 28.57% (2/7) over 71.43% (5/7)
VS
Real Salt Lake Away games O/U%
under 55.56% (5/9) over 44.44% (4/9)

71.43 + 44.44 =115.87 /2 = 57.935 Over
100 - 57.935 = 42.065 under

round up the #'s 58% over 42 %under

Then do this
64+58 =122 /2 = 61% over
36+42 =78 /2 = 39 % under

61% over 39% under true probability for this game .
over2.5 @ 2.10 has a good value (edge over the books).
The odds should be the other way around .In the long run you will make money .
Odds just dropped to 2.06 over / 1.89 under betfair .

Cheers GL.

[vitalyo]

It's been confirmed
Sweden
1 Andreas Isaksson
2 Mikael Lustig,
3 Olof Mellberg,
4 Daniel Majstorovic,
5 Behrang Safari
8 Anders Svensson,
16 Pontus Wernbloom
11 Johan Elmander,
15 Ola Toivonen,
19 Emir Bajrami
10 Zlatan Ibrahimovic [K].

Scotland will have reserves and bunch of youngsters .

Odds are taking huge dive . The best you can get 1.72 stanjames .
betfair now 1.69 . 24hours ago i could of take them @ 1.90 .
I waited way too long . I am glad i did @1.82 .
Most of the books have them between 1.61 - 1.66 .Canbet 1.57.
Over 2 and over 2.5 goals is taking huge dive as well .

I hope we win .

Cheers GL.

[Barroco]

thanks vitalyo tailing sweden v scotland over 2.5

[birdmanweezy]

nice job

[Phillth]

nice thread

[donsirlisir]

[vitalyo]

Aug 11 11:00 ET
Lithuania v Belarus: Under 2.5 @ 1.72(-139) betfair
Back (Bet for) Your Under 2.5 Goals
Odds Your 1.72
Stake Your $150.00
Profit $108.00



MY TOP BET
Aug 11 14:00
Sweden v Scotland: Sweden @ 1.82 (-122) betfair
Back (Bet for) Your Sweden
Odds Your 1.82
Stake Your $860.00
Profit $705.20
Sweden v Scotland:Over 2 @ 1.74 (-135) canbet
$500 to win $370
Sweden v Scotland:Over 2.5 @2.28 (+128)betfair
Back (Bet for) Your Sweden
Odds Your 2.28
Stake Your $200.00
Profit $256.00

FTSweden3 - 0Scotland
FTLithuania0 - 2Belarus

TNX guys !
+$1440

Tommy_de1st Agreed Vitalyo, look at shitty Celtic for instance.
Come on Sweden

Celtic away in European competition = dog food against any decent side
I believe they won 1 or non in the last 20something games (away) I had Braga to win . This bets are automatic .


Anyway i gotta go .
Cheers GL.

Risked: $81,335.53 Won: $47,091.68 Lost: -$26,005.00 Net: $21,086.68 Win Percentage 56.73% | 118-90-18

226 Total Picks 1st bet was settled 2moths ago

[vitalyo]

thanks vitalyo tailing sweden v scotland over 2.5

Tnx for the points . A bit too many i gave you some back .

Cheers GL.

[phenomenon]

woow vitalyo
really nice
congrats mate ..

[danller]

Thanks for your plays Vitalyo! Your obv one of the best here!

[vitalyo]

France Ligue 2
Best bet
14:00 ET
Istres v Tours - Asian Handicap Istres 0 @1.86 (PK -116) Pinnacle
$650 to win $559

Le Mans v Reims. Le Mans @ 1.74 (-135) betfair
14:00 ET
Back (Bet for) Your Le Mans
Odds Your 1.74
Stake Your $300.00
Profit $222.00

Evian TG v Vannes.Evian TG @2.02 (+102)betfair
14:00 ET
Back (Bet for) Your Evian TG
Odds Your 2.02
Stake Your $300.00
Profit $306.00


Holland - Jupiler League
14:00 ET
Telstar v Veendam . under 3 @1.76 (-131) Pinnacle
$400 to win $304


Portugal SuperLiga
15:15
Braga v Portimonense - Asian Handicap Braga -1 @ 1.63 (-1.59) Betdaq
$300 to win $189

Braga v Portimonense - Asian Handicap Braga -1.5 @ 2.25 (+125) Betdaq
$200 to win $250




Cheers GL.

[SRBI]

Bump! This belongs at the TOP of the soccer forum no doubt about it. I'm shippin you a few points for your efforts vitalyo! Good luck on the card.

[danller]

Bump! This belongs at the TOP of the soccer forum no doubt about it. I'm shippin you a few points for your efforts vitalyo! Good luck on the card.

agreed!

[Tommy_de1st]

VItalyo - you re really good. I don't personally bet on French league but Braga is my top bet today.

BOL

[vitalyo]

VItalyo - you re really good. I don't personally bet on French league but Braga is my top bet today.

BOL

TNX guys .I appreciate your support
Some of you might wonder how someone / me can do this good (for now) at 55% win rate . Some of my bets are win with a draw saver . Even if i win i go 1W-1L 50%-50%(not good for win %)and for newbies my record is a bit confusing.So i decide to drop SAVERS and go with DRAW NO BET .Same for Asian Handicap -0.5-1 , -1-1.5 . O/U 3 3.5 . 2-2,5 . I only post (for O/U) Lines -2 ! 2,5 and 3 - the bets that i can grade .
I couldn't grade my TOP SCORER for WC (i had David Villa ) . It was a 4 way split "dead heat rule " so i rated Villa as PUSH (instead of 25% profit on my stake )

Again TNX for you support much appreciated .

Cheers GL.

[vitalyo]

Yesterday SBR book posted wrong odds on Argentinian soccer . They fvcked the line on O/U paying -110 on O/U 2 goals . OVER should be a favorite but they offer -110 on whatever you pick . That's a human mistake . Not a playable error. I pound them on over 2(2 is a push) . Now they fixed the odds . I am not gonna kill them but i am looking for some profit . I can even lay off SBR points at the book but there is no need . Worst come worst (according to historical data o/u 2.5 and 2 ) i'll push .



Ticket#:XXXXX
Aug 13 08:15 PM
Internet / -1Aug 12 07:19 AM
SOC
STRAIGHT BET
[8801] TOTAL o2-110
(BANFIELD vrs COLON)
500.00 / 454.55




Ticket#:XXXXXXX
Aug 14 01:15 PM
Internet / -1Aug 12 09:34 AM
SOC
STRAIGHT BET
[8805] TOTAL o2-110
(RACING vrs BOCA JUNIORS)
220.00 / 200.00


Ticket#:XXXXXXX
Aug 14 03:15 PM
Internet / -1Aug 12 09:34 AM
SOC
STRAIGHT BET
[8809] TOTAL o2-110
(NEWELLS vrs LANUS)
220.00 / 200.00


Ticket#:XXXXXX
Aug 14 05:15 PM
Internet / -1Aug 12 09:34 AM
SOC
STRAIGHT BET
[8813] TOTAL o2-110
(ARSENAL SARANDI vrs TIGRE)
220.00 / 200.00


Ticket#:XXXXXX
Aug 14 07:15 PM
Internet / -1Aug 12 09:34 AM
SOC
STRAIGHT BET
[8817] TOTAL o2-110
(GODOY CRUZ vrs SAN LORENZO)
220.00 / 200.00


Ticket#:XXXXX
Aug 15 01:15 PM
Internet / -1Aug 12 09:34 AM
SOC
STRAIGHT BET
[8821] TOTAL o2-110
(RIVER PLATE vrs HURACAN)
220.00 / 200.00


Ticket#:XXXXX
Aug 15 03:15 PM
Internet / -1Aug 12 09:34 AM
SOC
STRAIGHT BET
[8825] TOTAL o2-110
(VELEZ SARSFIELD vrs ALL BOYS)
220.00 / 200.00

Ticket#:XXXXXXX
Aug 15 01:00 PM
Internet / -1Aug 12 09:34 AM
SOC
STRAIGHT BET
[8929] TOTAL o2½-110
(TIGRES UANL vrs TOLUCA)
220.00 / 200.00


Ticket#:XXXXXX
Aug 14 01:15 PM
Internet / -1Aug 12 10:27 AM
SOC
STRAIGHT BET
[8805] TOTAL o2-110
(RACING vrs BOCA JUNIORS)
110.00 / 100.00


Ticket#:XXXXXXXX
Aug 14 03:15 PM
Internet / -1Aug 12 10:27 AM
SOC
STRAIGHT BET
[8809] TOTAL o2-110
(NEWELLS vrs LANUS)
110.00 / 100.00

Ticket#:XXXXXXX
Aug 14 05:15 PM
Internet / -1Aug 12 10:27 AM
SOC
STRAIGHT BET
[8813] TOTAL o2-110
(ARSENAL SARANDI vrs TIGRE)
110.00 / 100.00

Ticket#:XXXXXX
Aug 14 07:15 PM
Internet / -1Aug 12 10:27 AM
SOC
STRAIGHT BET
[8817] TOTAL o2-110
(GODOY CRUZ vrs SAN LORENZO)
110.00 / 100.00


Ticket#:XXXXXX
Aug 15 01:15 PM
Internet / -1Aug 12 10:27 AM
SOC
STRAIGHT BET
[8821] TOTAL o2-110
(RIVER PLATE vrs HURACAN)
110.00 / 100.00


Ticket#:XXXXXXX
Aug 15 03:15 PM
Internet / -1Aug 12 10:27 AM
SOC
STRAIGHT BET
[8825] TOTAL o2-110
(VELEZ SARSFIELD vrs ALL BOYS)
110.00 / 100.00


Mexican league
Ticket#:XXXXXXX
Aug 14 08:00 PM
Internet / -1Aug 12 07:57 AM
SOC
STRAIGHT BET
[8917] TOTAL o2½-110
(CHIAPAS vrs SANTOS LAGUNA)
550.00 / 500.00

Odds now o2½-150


LOL all of the odds now for an OVER 2 between -140 to - 150 . Check sbr book .


I got 3250 points on this games .

Lets see how this one is gonna work out .



Cheers GL.

[donsirlisir]

big thanks man.. you made my day perfect

[vitalyo]

TNX guys !
SRBI thank you for the points

France Ligue 2
Best bet
14:00 ET
Istres v Tours - Asian Handicap Istres 0 @1.86 (PK -116) Pinnacle
$650 to win $559

Le Mans v Reims. Le Mans @ 1.74 (-135) betfair
14:00 ET
Back (Bet for) Your Le Mans
Odds Your 1.74
Stake Your $300.00
Profit $222.00

Evian TG v Vannes.Evian TG @2.02 (+102)betfair
14:00 ET
Back (Bet for) Your Evian TG
Odds Your 2.02
Stake Your $300.00
Profit $306.00


Holland - Jupiler League
14:00 ET
Telstar v Veendam . under 3 @1.76 (-131) Pinnacle
$400 to win $304


Portugal SuperLiga
15:15
Braga v Portimonense - Asian Handicap Braga -1 @ 1.63 (-1.59) Betdaq
$300 to win $189

Braga v Portimonense - Asian Handicap Braga -1.5 @ 2.25 (+125) Betdaq
$200 to win $250




Cheers GL.

FTIstres1 - 0Tours
FTLe Mans2 - 2Reims
FTEvian Thonon Gaillar4 - 0Vannes
FTTelstar Ijmuiden1 - 1Veendam
FTBraga3 - 1Portimonense


LOL got them
5W-1L +$1311
I have to leave now i'll be back between 04:00 and 10:00 ET .

Cheers GL.



Risked: $83,925.53 Won: $48,702.04 Lost: -$26,305.00 Net: $22,397.04 Win Percentage 57.48% | 123-91-18

232 Total Picks

[Tommy_de1st]

Just owesome man
Very good job

[Marginalis]

[PickApprentice]