vitalyo "wxuv-VI" system play

SRBI · 03-14-11, 11:03 AM

"Aleksandr Kharitonov scores an unfortunate own goal. This makes it 1 - 0 at Lokomotiv Stadium, Nizhny Novgorod"...

Russian soccer at its best..."unfortunate" own goal.

Good luck brother, lookin like a good day to start out for you.

vitalyo · 03-14-11, 11:03 AM

Nice to see you SRBI

14:30 - 2:0 Volga

GL.

SRBI · 03-14-11, 11:24 AM

You too man, glad to see you still grinding. I think I'll get on Mlada Boleslav DNB with you, looks safe. Leggo!

vitalyo · 03-15-11, 06:53 AM

Yesterday 3W-4L .
I am gonna fix it today

England Blue Square Premier (England – Conference league)
Mar 15 15:45
Altrincham v Forest Green OVER 2.5 @ 2.020 pinny (same odds with betfair)

Previous incounters
England ENG.CONF 09-10 27/03/2010 Forest Green Altrincham 4-3
England ENG.CONF 09-10 14/11/2009 Altrincham Forest Green 2-2
England ENG.CONF 08-09 21/03/2009 Altrincham Forest Green 2-5
England ENG.CONF 08-09 15/11/2008 Forest Green Altrincham 1-3
England ENG.CONF 07-08 08/03/2008 Altrincham Forest Green 1-0
England ENG.CONF 07-08 18/08/2007 Forest Green Altrincham 3-1

O/U Match Evaluation

Form 42%U 58% O
Form In-Out 33%U 67% O
Total 42%U 58% O
Total In-Out 43%U 57% O

The odds on O/U are wrong . Over should be and will be favorite .
Odds on over will drop by at least 15 cents . Win or lose get on this game early
Great value game and history shows they play each other wide open with a lot of goals . % are there too .

I am taking another bet on this game Betfair

Altrincham v Forest Green - Total Goals - 4 goals or more (same as an over 3,5)
Back Your 4 goals or more
Odds Your 3.55
Stake Your $500.00
If 4 goals or more $1,275.00
If less than 4 goals -$500.00

I'll post couple of more games (in about an hour) . Just wanna share this wager before the line moves .

Cheers GL.

vitalyo · 03-15-11, 07:41 AM

The best bet is on top - post #354

2ed best bet

England – Championship
Mar 15 15:45
Scunthorpe v Preston - Scunthorpe @2.800 (+180) pinny
Scunthorpe v Preston - Scunthorpe -0 (PK) 2.000 (+100) pinny

England - League 2
Mar 15 15:45
Macclesfield v Lincoln - Over 2.5 goals @2.04(+104) betfair
Mar 15 15:45
Bury v Torquay - Over 2.5 goals @2.06(+106) betfair

Cheers GL.

phenomenon · 03-15-11, 11:13 AM

what is ur fav play in ur second post matches bro ?

vitalyo · 03-16-11, 03:08 AM

Best bet (2 wagers on this game)
Germany Regional liga North
Mar 16 11:00
H Berlin II v Chemnitzer - Over 2.5 goals @1.85 (-118)

1st Half Over / Under - Over 1 goal @ 1.94 188bet (1 is a push)

League Encounters
21st Aug 10 L Chemnitzer v Hertha-A 3 - 1
14th Mar 10 L Chemnitzer v Hertha-A 2 - 2
11th Sep 09 L Hertha-A v Chemnitzer 2 - 1
3rd May 09 L Chemnitzer v Hertha-A 3 - 3
1st Nov 08 L Hertha-A v Chemnitzer 1 - 2
10th Dec 05 L Hertha-A v Chemnitzer 4 - 0
3rd Aug 05 L Chemnitzer v Hertha-A 1 - 3
19th Mar 05 L Chemnitzer v Hertha-A 1 - 0
4th Sep 04 L Hertha-A v Chemnitzer 2 - 1

Under/Over 2.5 : 1UNDER -8 OVER

League Goal Analysis

Hertha-A have a recent goal tally of 5-14(6 games), season total of 30-38 from 22 games. Chemnitzer have a recent goal tally of 12-3(6 games), season total of 57-13 from 23 games.

The number of goals average for the most recent games involving both these teams is 2.83(34 goals in 12 games), the season average being 3.07 (138 goals in 45 games).

Probability
U/O 2.5 : 35%UNDER 65% OVER

Germany Regional liga North
Mar 16 14:00 VFC Plauen v ZFC MeuselwitzOver 2,5 goals @ 1.88 188bet

League Goal Analysis

VFC Plauen have a recent goal tally of 11-9(6 games), season total of 34-32 from 22 games. Meuselwitz have a recent goal tally of 10-11(6 games), season total of 25-32 from 21 games.

The number of goals average for the most recent games involving both these teams is 3.42(41 goals in 12 games), the season average being 2.86 (123 goals in 43 games).

U/O 2.5 : 24% UNDER 76% OVER

Belgium Cup
Should be high scoring games ,at least one of them will go over(for break even ) the odds are there too . Can't pick the best OVER ,so i am gonna take both of them and hope to double the investment .

Mar 16 15:30 Gent v Standard Liege Over 2,5 goals @1.89 (-111) betfair

Mar 16 15:30 Westerlo v Cercle Brugge - Over 2.5 goals @2.16 (+116) betfair

Cheers GL.

nyplayer33 · 03-16-11, 05:12 AM

great insight, thanks

Blue_Chips · 03-16-11, 08:48 AM

Good luck!

vitalyo · 03-16-11, 06:07 PM

I hit the bad streak 4L - 1P

For tomorrow March 17
2 games 2 best bets

UEFA Europa League
17 Mar 14:00 Man City v Dinamo Kiev - Over 2.5 goals @ 1.91 betfair

I am gonna back this bet with correct score market (just enough money to break even if game fells under 2,5)
Man City v Dinamo Kiev - Correct Score
1:1 @ 9.6 (+860) betfair
2:0 @7.6 (+660) betfair

Why i am backing this game with 1:1 and 2:0 . It has to do with the 1st leg
2011.03.10 Dinamo Kiev 2 : 0 Manchester City 2.51 3.10 2.75

Anyway I believe this game will be decided in reg time with 3 or more goals .
Both teams got enough fire power . Plus at this point ManCity has nothing to lose!!!

But just in case :
If Man City goes up 1:0 and decide to sit on it, till the very end of the game (10 min before the whistle blows).
Then they will have to open up ,so either they score another goal to make it 2:0 and take the game to an extra time or Dinamo levels the score 1:1 on the counter strike.

If you wanna take the OVER 2,5 do it now don't wait. Brits will pound the shit of the Over 2,5 and drive the odds down , case they wanna see home team to advance.Happens every time .

PS . For US punters SIA has the correct score market
Manchester City v Dinamo Kiev (Correct Score)Draw 1-1 @ 7.50 (+650)
Manchester City v Dinamo Kiev (Correct Score)Manchester City 2-0 @6.00(+500)

Game day 5dimes will have correct score market ,probably with the better odds then SIA (odds can't be lower

).
Greek should have the prop too .

For US punters
5dimes has Over 2½ @ -112 - best odds
Greek Over 2½ @ -120
bodog Over 2½ @ -120 - they should have correct score market too (game day)
SIA Over 2½ @ -133

17 Mar 16:05 Porto v CSKA Moscow - Under 2.5 goals @ 1.91 betfair
First leg
2004.09.14 FC Porto 0 : 0 CSKA Moskva 1.60 3.55 5.45

So even if Porto goes up early 1:0 ,CSKA Moskva will not open up knowing 1:1 will get them to the next stage .
Porto is one of the best clubs to protect the lead .League games - 23 games played scored 53 and allowed ONLY 7 goals (amazing).
While CSKA Moskva in 2010 in 30 games scored 51 and allowed 22 (less then a goal per game) .
2011 Russian Premier League just started (only one round played)
Sun, 2011 March 13. @ 09:15
CSKA Moskva 2 : 0 Amkar Perm 1.30 4.55 9.50

Again i expect significant odds drop (this time )on the UNDER 2,5.
I can't see either club to open up, too much is at stake.I expect very tight game.
This will be a chess match . Both clubs are "good" as long as they don't allow any goals .

Cheers GL.

nyplayer33 · 03-17-11, 04:00 AM

Let's hope this gets turned around....you still feel confident in using these stats for your total plays?

nyplayer33 · 03-17-11, 06:10 AM

as of 7Am est 5 dimes -122 Bet Online -124 greek -132

vitalyo · 03-17-11, 06:41 AM

Originally posted by nyplayer33

Let's hope this gets turned around....you still feel confident in using these stats for your total plays?

Let's say Jets play Ravens and each team average 34 points per game but the book offer you 44,5 O/U @-110 ,you will pound the UNDER , there is no guarantee you gonna win . Same with soccer except you can wager 365 days a year .

Cheers GL.

nyplayer33 · 03-17-11, 12:48 PM

great point, ty

decado · 03-17-11, 01:01 PM

Originally posted by vitalyo

[/color]Porto v CSKA Moscow - Under 2.5 goals @ 1.91 betfair First leg 2004.09.14 FC Porto 0 : 0 CSKA Moskva 1.60 3.55 5.45 So even if Porto goes up early 1:0 ,CSKA Moskva will not open up knowing 1:1 will get them to the next stage . Porto is one of the best clubs to protect the lead .League games - 23 games played scored 53 and allowed ONLY 7 goals (amazing). While CSKA Moskva in 2010 in 30 games scored 51 and allowed 22 (less then a goal per game) . 2011 Russian Premier League just started (only one round played) Sun, 2011 March 13. @ 09:15 CSKA Moskva 2 : 0 Amkar Perm 1.30 4.55 9.50 Again i expect significant odds drop (this time )on the UNDER 2,5. I can't see either club to open up, too much is at stake.I expect very tight game. This will be a chess match . Both clubs are "good" as long as they don't allow any goals . Cheers GL.

you can't really compare cska with lower portuguese teams.. whole different level

i still think it goes over here..

vitalyo · 03-18-11, 02:38 AM

Friday picks

Germany Bundesliga II

Mar 18 13:00
MSV Duisburg v Fortuna Dusseldorf-MSV Duisburg @ 1.926 (-108) pinny
Mar 18 13:00
FC Ingolstadt v Hertha Berlin - Over 2.5 @ 1.962 (-104) pinny

Austria Erste Klasse
Mar 18 13:30
Austria Lustenau v Trenkwalder Admira - Over 2.5 @ 1.75 (-133) bet365

Turkey Super Lig
Mar 18 15:00
Galatasaray v Fenerbahce- Fenerbahce @ 2.28 betfair (+128) betfair

Germany Bundesliga I
Mar 18 15:30
Mgladbach v Kaiserslautern - Over 2.5 goals @ 1.80 (-125) betfair

France Ligue 2
Mar 18 15:00
Ajaccio v Reims - Ajaccio @ 2.10 (+110) betfair

Mar 18 15:00
Dijon v Metz - Metz @ 4.00 +300 bet365
Dijon v Metz - Metz - 0 (PK) @ 2.50 +150 bet365

Mutual matches

Dijon:0 win - 1 draw - Metz: 6 wins

FRA2 10-11 Metz Dijon 3-1
FRA2 09-10 Dijon Metz 0-1
FRA2 09-10 Metz Dijon 0-0
FRA2 08-09 MetzDijon 2-0
FRA2 08-09 Dijon Metz 0-1
FRA2 06-07 Metz Dijon 5-0
FRA2 06-07 Dijon Metz 0-3

Bet365 is a sleep and didn't catch up with odds yet. Pinny @ 3.630 (+263) , bet188 @ 3.30 (+230)

Cheers GL.

vitalyo · 03-19-11, 12:10 AM

Saturday all you can eat soccer

Germany Bundesliga 2
Mar 19 08:00
VfL Osnabruck v Alemania Aachen - Over 2.5 Goals @1.75(-133) betfair

Turkey Super Lig
Mar 19 08:00
Kasimpasa SK v Manisaspor .Manisaspor@2.54 (+154) betfair
Kasimpasa SK v Manisaspor-Manisaspor Draw No Bet @ 1.75 (-133) betfair
Kasimpasa SK v Manisaspor -Over 2.5 goals@ 1.86 (-116) betfair
Mar 19 09:00
Gaziantepspor v Istanbul Buyuksehir BSK . Gaziantepspor @1.85 (-118) betfair

Germany Bundesliga I
Mar 19 10:30
Nurnberg v W Bremen . Nurnberg @2.36 (+136) betfair

Hungary Division One
Mar 19 11:00
Paksi Se v Haladas-Over 2.5@ 1.75 (-133) Victor Chandler
Paksi Se vHaladas - Paksi Se @ 2.0 (+100) williamhil

Barclays Premier League
Mar 19 11:00
West Brom v Arsenal - Over 2.5 goals @1.82 (-122) betfair

England League Two
Mar 19 11:00
Accrington Stanley v Port Vale - Over 2.5 Goals @2.06 (+106) betfair
Mar 19 11:00
Oxford Utd v Crewe - Over 2.5 Goals @1.87 (-115) betfair

England Blue Square Premier (England – Conference)
Mar 19 11:00
Hayes & Yeading v Kettering - Over 2.5 Goals @1.85 (-118) betfair
Mar 19 11:00
Eastbourne Borough v Barrow - Over 2.5 Goals @1.76 (-132) betfair

Austria Bundesliga
Mar 19 13:30
FC Magna Wr. Neustadt v SV Mattersburg - FC Magna Wr. Neustad @1.66 (-152) betfair

France Le Championnat
Mar 19 14:00
Valenciennes v Bordeaux - Over 2 @1.82 (-122) betdaq
Valenciennes v Bordeaux - Over 2.5 Goals @2.38 (+138) betfair

Belgium Division 2
Mar 19 15:00
FCV Dender EH v Lommel United - Over 2.5 Goals @1.60 (-167) bet365
FCV Dender EH v Lommel United - Over 3 Goals @2.04 (+104) pinny

Cheers GL.

Blue_Chips · 03-19-11, 12:50 AM

Good luck tomorrow!

vitalyo · 03-19-11, 04:03 PM

Originally posted by vitalyo

Saturday all you can eat soccer

Germany Bundesliga 2
Mar 19 08:00
VfL Osnabruck v Alemania Aachen - Over 2.5 Goals @1.75(-133) betfair

TOsnabruck1 - 3Alemannia Aachen

Turkey Super Lig
Mar 19 08:00
Kasimpasa SK v Manisaspor .Manisaspor@2.54 (+154) betfair

Kasimpasa SK v Manisaspor-Manisaspor Draw No Bet @ 1.75 (-133) betfair

Kasimpasa SK v Manisaspor -Over 2.5 goals@ 1.86 (-116) betfair

FTKasimpasa1 - 0Manisaspor
Mar 19 09:00
Gaziantepspor v Istanbul Buyuksehir BSK.Gaziantepspor @1.85(-118)betfair FTGaziantepspor4 - 1Istanbul Buyuksehir

Germany Bundesliga I
Mar 19 10:30
Nurnberg v W Bremen . Nurnberg @2.36 (+136) betfair

FTNurnberg1 - 3Werder Bremen

Hungary Division One
Mar 19 11:00
Paksi Se v Haladas-Over 2.5@ 1.75 (-133) Victor Chandler

Paksi Se vHaladas - Paksi Se @ 2.0 (+100) williamhil

FTPaks2 - 1Haladas

Barclays Premier League
Mar 19 11:00
West Brom v Arsenal - Over 2.5 goals @1.82 (-122) betfair

FTWest Bromwich A.2 - 2Arsenal

England League Two
Mar 19 11:00
Accrington Stanley v Port Vale - Over 2.5 Goals @2.06 (+106) betfair

FTAccrington3 - 0Port Vale
Mar 19 11:00
Oxford Utd v Crewe - Over 2.5 Goals @1.87 (-115) betfair

FTOxford U.2 - 1Crewe Alexandra

England Blue Square Premier (England – Conference)
Mar 19 11:00
Hayes & Yeading v Kettering - Over 2.5 Goals @1.85 (-118) betfair

FTHayes3 - 2Kettering
Mar 19 11:00
Eastbourne Borough v Barrow - Over 2.5 Goals @1.76 (-132) betfair

FTEastbourne Borough0 - 2Barrow

Austria Bundesliga
Mar 19 13:30
FC Magna Wr. Neustadt v SV Mattersburg - FC Magna Wr. Neustad @1.66 (-152) betfair
FTWiener Neustadt2 - 1Mattersburg

France Le Championnat
Mar 19 14:00
Valenciennes v Bordeaux - Over 2 @1.82 (-122) betdaq

Valenciennes v Bordeaux - Over 2.5 Goals @2.38 (+138) betfair

FTValenciennes2 - 2Bordeaux

Belgium Division 2
Mar 19 15:00
FCV Dender EH v Lommel United - Over 2.5 Goals @1.60 (-167) bet365
FCV Dender EH v Lommel United - Over 3 Goals @2.04 (+104) pinny

FTFCV Dender EH2 - 0Lommel

Cheers GL.

Finally

11W-7L

GL.

vitalyo · 03-20-11, 10:49 AM

Mar 20

Spain Primera Liga

Mar 20 12:00 Sporting Gijon v Almeria - Sporting Gijon @1.96 betfair

Mar 20 12:00 Malaga v Espanyol over 2,5 goals @ 2.14 betfair

Mar 20 16:00 Valencia v Sevilla - Valencia @1.95 betfair

Greece Super League

Mar 20 13:00 Larissa v Ergotelis - Larissa @1.94 betfair

Mar 20 13:00 Olympiakos v AEK Athens - Olympiakos @1.66 betfair

Turkey Super Lig
Mar 20 13:00 Bucaspor v Sivasspor- Bucaspor @2.30 betfair

I'll post more games in about half an hour .

Cheers GL.

PickApprentice · 03-20-11, 11:12 AM

Mar 20 16:00 Valencia v Sevilla - Valencia @1.95 betfair

Mar 20 13:00 Larissa v Ergotelis - Larissa @1.94 betfair

Mar 20 13:00 Bucaspor v Sivasspor- Bucaspor @2.30 betfair

Really like these 3 picks!
Good luck

vitalyo · 03-20-11, 11:39 AM

Belgian Jupiler League
Mar 20 13:00 Lierse v Club Brugge - Club Brugge @2.04 betfair
Mar 20 13:00 Lierse v Club Brugge - Over 2.5 goals @1.80 betfair

Mar 20 13:00 Cercle Brugge v Genk- Over 2.5 goals @1.86 betfair

Mar 20 13:00 Anderlecht v Gent- Over 2.5 goals @1.90 betfair

Spain Primera Liga
Mar 20 14:00 Athletic Bilbao v Villarreal - Over 2,5 goals @1.98 betfair

Italy Serie A
Mar 20 15:45 Napoli v Cagliari -Napoli -1.0 @1.94 betfair
Mar 20 15:45 Napoli v Cagliari -Napoli @1.57 betfair betfair

France Le Championnat
Mar 20 16:00 Marseille v PSG Over 2.5 goals @2.20 betfair

GL.

PickApprentice · 03-20-11, 01:53 PM

Really unlucky with Larissa, equaliser in the 90 min. Relegation for them now!

PickApprentice · 03-20-11, 04:38 PM

Originally posted by PickApprentice

Mar 20 16:00 Valencia v Sevilla - Valencia @1.95 betfair

Mar 20 13:00 Larissa v Ergotelis - Larissa @1.94 betfair

Mar 20 13:00 Bucaspor v Sivasspor- Bucaspor @2.30 betfair

Really like these 3 picks!
Good luck

vitalyo · 03-21-11, 10:34 AM

Monday March 21 .

Bulgarian Premier
Mar 21 12:00
Lokomotiv Sofia v Minior Pernik - Lokomotiv Sofia -1.0 @1.95 (-105) bet365

France Ligue 2
Mar 21 15:30
Tours v Nantes - Under 2.5 goals @1.61 (-164) betfair

Portugal Superliga
Mar 21 14:45
Braga v Rio Ave - Braga @1.67 (-149) betfair

Germany Bundesliga II
Mar 21 15:15
Bochum v Cottbus - Over 2.5 goals @1.87 (-115) betfair

Holland Jupiler League
Mar 21 15:45
Veendam v Sparta Rotterdam - Veendam @2.26 (+126) betfair

Switzerland - Challenge League
Mar 21 15:10
Winterthur v Lausanne - Winterthur @2.94 (+194) betfair

Italy Serie B
Mar 21 15:45
Empoli v Reggina - Reggina -0 (PK) @2.44 (+144) betfair

GL.

nyplayer33 · 03-30-11, 09:47 PM

your games became fades...why

Blue_Chips · 03-31-11, 12:10 AM

Hopefully, you will bounce back. Good luck!