URUGUAY v. MEXICO (VERY INTERESTING)(-145 DRAW)

[Guru de Futbol]

Current odds

URUGUAY (+340)
MEXICO(+275)
DRAW(-145)

What are everyones thoughts on this?

First place of the group, currently URUGUAY, will most likely face S. KOREA, second will play ARGENTINA; but with a tie, France is out and both teams qualify. Lots of variables to consider in this match.

[Cobra Kai]

Neither team will want to finish second in the group and play argentina in the next round, I dont think they'll be playing for the draw. My feeling is the over 2.5 in this one.

[Guru de Futbol]

Will they want to risk not playing in the round of 16 at all?

[Cobra Kai]

Will they want to risk not playing in the round of 16 at all?

Fair point, Mexico does have a +4 goal advantage over France as it stands now though, maybe the tempo for game will be decided at half time when both teams have a better idea of the overall situation in regards to Frances final position. If SA have a one goal lead at half time for example it could promote a more attacking second half.

[Guru de Futbol]

Very true. I expect France to win that match, but anything is possible

[beanbag]

pick mexico

[Guru de Futbol]

Why Mexico? If Mexico starts to play, I believe in Uruguay to come out on top of that match.

[Squirrel]

I'm really not sure what to do with this. I think regardless of the outcome it will prove irrelevent since with all the turmoil in the French camp its hard to see them beating Bafana Bafana, I think that game will end in a draw.

If I was picking a side from this at those odds i'd go with Uruguay - no way on earth do Uruguay want to finish 2nd and play their most hated rivals, Argentina.

Uruguay are also the better team out of these two so those odds look cracking.

[tatommack]

Mexico wins this easy

[Cobra Kai]

I'm really not sure what to do with this. I think regardless of the outcome it will prove irrelevent since with all the turmoil in the French camp its hard to see them beating Bafana Bafana, I think that game will end in a draw.

If I was picking a side from this at those odds i'd go with Uruguay - no way on earth do Uruguay want to finish 2nd and play their most hated rivals, Argentina.

Uruguay are also the better team out of these two so those odds look cracking.

If I was going to go with a team I'd pick Uruguay. They look extreamly good value over $4.00 especially if they both come out to play later in the game. They'll know whats going on in the other game to a certian extent, and avoiding Argentina is a big incentive indeed. Uruguay seem like a solid team to me with a good defence though Mexico are playing some very nice football right now. Pretty much a coin toss but if I had to pick I'd go Uruguay because of the better odds.

[Guru de Futbol]

Mexico wins this easy

If your going to make comments like this, you should back it up with something.

[statnerds]

is France even going to play? fukked up situation right there. i got Mexico at +295 to win Group, and really see no way to hedge. Uruguay has no reason to press in this one, unless Mexico gets an early goal. seeing as how they haven't given up a goal yet in WC, i gotta say 0-0 or 1-0 Uruguay on a counter-attack goal.

don't see why either one would worry about France and GD. fukkin frenchies haven't tinkled twine yet.

motivations: Mexico has to win to avoid Argentina. Uruguay need only Draw to avoid them.

[COOGI]

Regarless of result (s.africa vs france) these 2 team have to fight for win..because none of them wanna face Arg..so to me I think uruguay gonna win because they have more experiance player ...mexico still a young team... ( draw is hard because mexico defend is just ok )

[Squirrel]

I think people are over-playing the motivation card here. Sure both teams are through to the 2nd round if they get a draw here, but the motivation for these two is to do what they have to do to avoid facing Argentina. If Uruguay try and sit back knowing a draw is enough, they'll get picked off and lose, so they will IMO just play their natural game.

There is a MASSIVE difference between facing the Argies in Round 2, and facing Greece or South Korea.

[statnerds]

There is a MASSIVE difference between facing the Argies in Round 2, and facing Greece or South Korea.

agree with that, but haven't seen much of the Uruguay team. 2 clean sheets suggests, only to me, that they play defense first.

what does their possession time look like?

[Squirrel]

I dont really look at stats in footie mate, I watch it enough to just get a feel of how teams play - The Uruguayans have 2 TOP strikers in Suarez and Forlan, their 2 best players, and IMO if they were to try and sit back they'd effectively be taking their strengths and taking them out of the game.

Bear in mind its been a low scoring world cup so plenty of teams have kept clean sheets, it doesnt necessarily mean they are defense first.

[Cobra Kai]

what does their possession time look like?

About 50% in both their games so far, they've looked good in defence but they'll have a harder time coping with Mexico.

[Socrates]

Why Mexico? If Mexico starts to play, I believe in Uruguay to come out on top of that match.

If your going to make comments like this, you should back it up with something.

No seas hipocrita Paraguayo. You did the same thing with the post I just quoted you on. Up top.

[Guru de Futbol]

Tenes razon policia. Pero soy Argentino. Perdon! Sorry your rite mate.

I would comment, but its all been said now.

[Cobra Kai]

$3.20 is looking good for the over 2.5, thoughts?

[Socrates]

$3.20 is looking good for the over 2.5, thoughts?

I wouldn't. Uruguay needs only a draw, and they're decently organized in the back. If Mexico decides to come out and play for the win, it won't be by too many goals as Uruguay just need to hang on for the single point.

I'll probably take the under.

[TR88]

The best bet here is Uruguay ML. It wont be under and it wont be a draw. There is a no chance of Mexico to win this game.

[COOGI]

a must win for Uruguay. a must win for mexico....there will be a draw if they can sit down and have a barbecue on the field......i dont see it here.. mexico not gonna play defend..( they love attack )....so chance is 50/50 to me but i lean with Uruaguay more experiance

[Socrates]

Going with Mexico on this one. I have a feeling Uruguay is going on lock down mode, and will play for the draw, which only invites more and more attacks.

[suckerforparlays]

Mexico is going to be a handful for Uruguay I been watching the Mexican channel and there all over this game lol

[JOHON8]

^^ Mexico has been my underdog too, they got a little bit of an age problem with players who could be fathers and sons, but they should outplay Uruguay like they did France and pull a sneaky win here and destroy that 1.666666 draw that the books are telling everyone to jump on.

[Socrates]

Mexico is going to be a handful for Uruguay I been watching the Mexican channel and there all over this game lol

Sucker do you even speak spanish? haha

[Jimmy0607]

Is not a must win for Uruguay coogi this game has draw written all over it but Uruguay is gonna win hehe

[suckerforparlays]

Sucker do you even speak spanish? haha

I couldnt speak it fluently but I can pick up on words and all there pointing fingeres at whats going on lol . Its all I ever see on that mexican channel. The Highlights of Mexico and them showing the Uruguay flag every time lol

[nulldah]

just do trading (laying) on betfair on this kind of odds, and when one of the team score a goal, trade it back with some nice profit . unless neither teams want to score even one goal and just passing the ball, Uruguay keeper -> defender -> keeper -> long kick -> Mexico keeper -> defender -> keeper -> long kick -> Uruguay keeper

[BigOrangeTitans]

i like uruguay, hot team Imo

[wasabee]

if you think there's no draw in this game bet both MLs
100 to win 286
and
100 to win 346 currently..

either up 186 or 246...great odds if you like one team over the other to win!

[tatommack]

If your going to make comments like this, you should back it up with something.

Okay if Mexico doesn't win you can get head from my wife

[carbonero77]

I am Uruguaian, and know very good the team, when the other team go out to the victory, Uruguay never loose,,,better, always win, In that way we classified to wordcup

[SportsMan69]

I have to go with Mexico on this one