If Mexico beats France I have a LOCK for you

[pavyracer]

Unload on the Draw in Mexico - Uruguay. The draw will drop like a hammer. It may end up being -200!!

[brooks85]

good call, i presume this is because of the points? both teams playing safe so they can advance.

[pavyracer]

good call, i presume this is because of the points? both teams playing safe so they can advance.

With the draw both teams advance. Uruguay will not risk because of the better goal differential they will advance first, hence avoiding Argentina next round. Mexico will not risk to lose because if they do they can get bounced off by France if they trash South Africa.

[brooks85]

that sounds even better, definitely makes sense to try too avoid argentina

[rm18]

so it is going to be 0-0? If it gets 1-0 for anyone it is not like they will let the other team score

[brooks85]

post up in here when you see the line released

[pavyracer]

so it is going to be 0-0? If it gets 1-0 for anyone it is not like they will let the other team score

If Mexico scores first Uruguay will try to equalize. If Uruguay scores first Mexico will try not to concede another one.

[Thomas_Garber]

the odds on the draw will be shit.

[michalis]

its a sound reasoning

but you underestimate the will to avoid argentina in the next round

they may play for ranking

maybe a livebet here

[rm18]

Realistically they both have already advanced France would have to mop South Africa by a lot of goals to catch the loser of that game, which game is first?

[Thomas_Garber]

Realistically they both have already advanced France would have to mop South Africa by a lot of goals to catch the loser of that game, which game is first?

It is possible since south africa's starting goalie is suspended due to red card. one of the other starter is also suspended because of two yellow cards.

but if france continue to play in the same level as today, south africa can mop them even with their back up goalie in the net.

[pavyracer]

Sure they will both try to score. But don't forget Carlos Vela of Mexico got injured today so Mexico is limited up front. They will not start 37.5 year old C. Blanco. So they will probably play with one forward. And Uruguay is safe with a 0-0 or 1-1 draw to grab first place.

[Karayilan9]

Depends on how much they fear playing Argentina, Uruguay can sit back and defend well, the same can't be said about Mexico. If you can trade buy early sell it game time when the draw hits rock bottom.

[Irish Lumberjack]

Not a bad idea

[DwightShrute]

tie and the under should be winners!

[wal66]

tie and the under should be winners!

[urge2kill]

SIA has the draw +140 and it's -120 at Betfair.

[Robber]

it won't be -200

draw will be much lower than usual tho

[Soxsfan9]

Draw is now -133 at SIA

[forsberg21]

Draw down to 1.75 at SIA.

[acarmelo1]

Latin American Victory by the way, if they end in draw

[diamond]

Unload on the Draw in Mexico - Uruguay. The draw will drop like a hammer. It may end up being -200!!

Agree. Alot of people already talking about it.

[Emily_Haines]

Under 2 is -148

[pavyracer]

bookmaker has draw -150 & u2 -170

[diamond]

http://www.fanhouse.com/news/main/fifa-steps-up-fight-against-match-fixing/1123824

JOHANNESBURG -FIFA will monitor the World Cup's most vulnerable games for match-fixing threats.
FIFA legal director Marco Villiger said Friday the final group-stage games present the highest risk of being fixed, especially those that involve teams that already qualified for the second round or have been knocked out.
The 32 World Cup teams play their third matches from Tuesday through next Friday.
"We use our means to keep our focus on these matches. Anything else would be naive," Villiger said.
FIFA's monitoring of legal and illegal betting markets suggests the World Cup has been "clean and clear" so far, with no suspicious wagering patterns identified.
"What we see is clean, but this does not mean we see everything," Villiger said.
No player, referee or team official has yet called a special hotline FIFA created for this tournament to report being approached by fixers, he said.
Villiger said any alert could prompt a FIFA match official to visit the locker room before kickoff to warn teams their match was under suspicion.
FIFA regards match-fixing by illegal betting syndicates as the biggest threat to soccer's integrity — a danger that has grown since the last World Cup in Germany. Police currently are working with UEFA to probe suspected fixing of more than 200 matches involving teams from at least 12 countries.
"If you had asked me in 2006, I would not have believed that the World Cup could be the goal of the betting mafia," Villiger said.
FIFA has since created a company called Early Warning System, which monitors global betting patterns with more than 400 licensed bookmakers.
In recent months, FIFA has built closer ties with global police agency Interpol and is building a network of informers. The biggest challenge is to penetrate the illegal betting markets run by southeast Asian organized crime gangs.
"We realized that only the monitoring is not enough," Villiger said. "In the investigation side, there is definitely room for improvement.
"If we have indications that something happened in the qualifiers, then we would definitely go into this," said Villiger, adding that a disciplinary case could be opened for any FIFA competition match from the previous 10 years.
"We could sanction this team and expel them, possibly from further tournaments."


Uruguay - Mexico already been put under this alert system.

[noober]

http://www.fanhouse.com/news/main/fi...fixing/1123824

JOHANNESBURG -FIFA will monitor the World Cup's most vulnerable games for match-fixing threats.
FIFA legal director Marco Villiger said Friday the final group-stage games present the highest risk of being fixed, especially those that involve teams that already qualified for the second round or have been knocked out.
The 32 World Cup teams play their third matches from Tuesday through next Friday.
"We use our means to keep our focus on these matches. Anything else would be naive," Villiger said.
FIFA's monitoring of legal and illegal betting markets suggests the World Cup has been "clean and clear" so far, with no suspicious wagering patterns identified.
"What we see is clean, but this does not mean we see everything," Villiger said.
No player, referee or team official has yet called a special hotline FIFA created for this tournament to report being approached by fixers, he said.
Villiger said any alert could prompt a FIFA match official to visit the locker room before kickoff to warn teams their match was under suspicion.
FIFA regards match-fixing by illegal betting syndicates as the biggest threat to soccer's integrity — a danger that has grown since the last World Cup in Germany. Police currently are working with UEFA to probe suspected fixing of more than 200 matches involving teams from at least 12 countries.
"If you had asked me in 2006, I would not have believed that the World Cup could be the goal of the betting mafia," Villiger said.
FIFA has since created a company called Early Warning System, which monitors global betting patterns with more than 400 licensed bookmakers.
In recent months, FIFA has built closer ties with global police agency Interpol and is building a network of informers. The biggest challenge is to penetrate the illegal betting markets run by southeast Asian organized crime gangs.
"We realized that only the monitoring is not enough," Villiger said. "In the investigation side, there is definitely room for improvement.
"If we have indications that something happened in the qualifiers, then we would definitely go into this," said Villiger, adding that a disciplinary case could be opened for any FIFA competition match from the previous 10 years.
"We could sanction this team and expel them, possibly from further tournaments."


Uruguay - Mexico already been put under this alert system.

good info. i still think tha game is a draw

[pavyracer]

The game opened up at -133 and it is -150 now. That was hours after the Mexico/France game ended. This was not due to a betting syndicate hammering the match. The books are not stupid and know what result helps both teams.

[Foals]

I'm on this aswell

[acarmelo1]

if this games ends in draw

Uruguay will end as Number 1 and Mexico as Number 2 on Group A

Number 2 will go againts Argentina on the next round.

SO maybe mexico will try to win this game so they dont get eliminated with argentina on the next round.

[CashMoney27]

Thanks for the advice. How about USA showing a little offense late in the game today

[joe blow]

The under is now 1.5 +109 at pinny

[rake922]

ohhhh boy

[Robber]

it's like -140

[Cougar Bait]

Pavy what kind of dollar amount do you suggest I put on this game?

Already put a small wager in.

[pavyracer]

Pavy what kind of dollar amount do you suggest I put on this game?

Already put a small wager in.

Treat it as a regular game. Never bet over your head. Also if you bet it right on live bet you can win more or hedge. If Mexico takes the lead you can live bet the draw but if Uruguay takes the lead they will probably win. So bet the draw before the game starts and as long as no scoring is done let it stand. Then bet accordingly if a goal is scored. But do not bet the farm by any means.