Wilforth and Smogs World Cup Collaboration

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  • svenodds
    SBR MVP
    • 09-12-09
    • 1790

    #281
    Originally posted by hedgejob
    Don't give up Smogs, you guys are good cappers.
    Originally posted by simonsolent
    S, chin up mate. The whole WC has been impossible to call. Enjoy your hols and remember it all starts again second week of August!
    Comment
    • G3ck0l0c0
      SBR Sharp
      • 03-28-10
      • 407

      #282
      Don't stop now. With an England win coming up !
      Comment
      • TurkzZ
        SBR MVP
        • 01-07-09
        • 4095

        #283
        hey bro, sad to see how this turned out, its been a strange strange world cup, i mean even that nigeria game was going one way until a moment of stupidity which nobody can factor into bets.

        Like you around a month ago i couldn't pick a winner for everything and i think i went for around 2 weeks pretty much straight losing run lol, take a break, 1,2 weeks, in order to break the habit and restart with small stakes just to settle back in, the Prem etc aint too far away so it may be wise to hold off till then,

        or you never know, England should smoke Algeria, lol they are a bad bad team lol
        Forward points to Karayilan, i am unable to receive SBR points
        Comment
        • rumple
          SBR MVP
          • 06-19-07
          • 2499

          #284
          Seems like your taking too many favorites and traditionally square sides, time to think outside the box.
          Comment
          • Smogs
            SBR MVP
            • 12-31-08
            • 4173

            #285
            Originally posted by TurkzZ
            hey bro, sad to see how this turned out, its been a strange strange world cup, i mean even that nigeria game was going one way until a moment of stupidity which nobody can factor into bets.

            Like you around a month ago i couldn't pick a winner for everything and i think i went for around 2 weeks pretty much straight losing run lol, take a break, 1,2 weeks, in order to break the habit and restart with small stakes just to settle back in, the Prem etc aint too far away so it may be wise to hold off till then,

            or you never know, England should smoke Algeria, lol they are a bad bad team lol
            Originally posted by rumple
            Seems like your taking too many favorites and traditionally square sides, time to think outside the box.
            Originally posted by Goat Milk
            Smogs you will be fine. Respectfully I think you just need to stop betting such big units on these group stage games. You will make all of your money once the round of 16 starts. That's when picking winners is easy for someone with your knowledge.
            Originally posted by simonsolent
            S, chin up mate. The whole WC has been impossible to call. Enjoy your hols and remember it all starts again second week of August!
            Originally posted by Goat Milk
            Smogs you will be fine. Respectfully I think you just need to stop betting such big units on these group stage games. You will make all of your money once the round of 16 starts. That's when picking winners is easy for someone with your knowledge.
            Originally posted by hedgejob
            Don't give up Smogs, you guys are good cappers.

            All good points. We have definitely taken too many favourites, too many square plays.

            Betting too much on the wrong games and chasing on daft bets.

            I get the feeling this has turned into my thread with all wil's work is done behind the scenes. I thought it would be a thread where ideas are getting bounced off each other and it hasn't happened. If you scroll through the thread it just looks like mine. I have racked up quite a post count the last week as a result.
            If it's because of stuff that isn't anyone else's business that is completely understandable.

            I'm calling it quits, not from betting or anything but just from this thread.
            Me and Wil tried to do something and it failed. Both to blame for that and i will have bets for further matches.

            I am blogging for SBR and the research i put into the France bet tonight led to me placing a big wager, because i had done serious matchup handicapping. I just didn't account for Domenech.


            England for 12 units, personal play. -1.5 @ +100.
            Comment
            • EaglesPhan36
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 71662

              #286
              I think just slim down the units being wagered. Early in this competition, there are very few matches worthy of making huge bets on IMO. Like your England bet, it probably has a good shot, but man if it loses then you're going to want to jump off a cliff. If you start making big bets, you feel like you're constantly chasing any time you lose even just one pick. We've all been there. You also can't take it too hard when dumb luck comes into play like with red cards. Keep your chin up, it's a long way to the final. Just trust in your picks and live with the consequences.
              Comment
              • mihaita666
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 09-13-09
                • 8596

                #287
                Somgs, I know what you feel bro, you know I have had a shit World Cup so far, but we've got this last chances, each of us : you with england, me with germany/serbia over. let's stick to it and go on a great run after it.
                Soccer record (2010) : 244-160-24
                2010-2011 season (soccer) :
                144-95-11
                NBA Record (2010-2011 season) :
                17-12-1


                Comment
                • Smogs
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-31-08
                  • 4173

                  #288
                  Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                  I think just slim down the units being wagered. Early in this competition, there are very few matches worthy of making huge bets on IMO. Like your England bet, it probably has a good shot, but man if it loses then you're going to want to jump off a cliff. If you start making big bets, you feel like you're constantly chasing any time you lose even just one pick. We've all been there. You also can't take it too hard when dumb luck comes into play like with red cards. Keep your chin up, it's a long way to the final. Just trust in your picks and live with the consequences.
                  Yeah, i threw all the mm i'd picked up from this season out the window.

                  The thing is though, whereas in my regular season thread one unit was massive, i have scaled it right down with all my money tied up in my holiday on monday to california. So the actual loss itself isn't that big a deal, just the constant losing units and poor record
                  Comment
                  • Wilforth
                    Restricted User
                    • 05-10-08
                    • 16309

                    #289
                    Originally posted by Smogs
                    Yeah, i threw all the mm i'd picked up from this season out the window.

                    The thing is though, whereas in my regular season thread one unit was massive, i have scaled it right down with all my money tied up in my holiday on monday to california. So the actual loss itself isn't that big a deal, just the constant losing units and poor record
                    It's a learning process. These games have been quite unpredictable. But it's a tournament and first round of games can be quite unpredictable.

                    I did Slovenia +300 and Serbia +560 for 0.5u each. At least one of them will come through. That's the law.
                    Comment
                    • Smogs
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-31-08
                      • 4173

                      #290
                      Originally posted by Wilforth

                      It's a learning process. These games have been quite unpredictable. But it's a tournament and first round of games can be quite unpredictable.

                      I did Slovenia +300 and Serbia +560 for 0.5u each. At least one of them will come through. That's the law.
                      Wilforth, we can rectify the thread, pull it back on track, we just need more ongoing discussion on here.
                      Comment
                      • Smogs
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-31-08
                        • 4173

                        #291
                        Ok, here's a play i think has a chance to hit.

                        1st Half (Ger/Ser) Under 1 @ 1.9 for 2 units

                        We would be needing 2 goals for the loss and with Serbia looking very solid at the back, and very weak up front given game one as an example, we could easily see a 0-0 first half

                        I think i will try to hit less obvious plays and see how that goes
                        Comment
                        • Netprofit
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-25-08
                          • 3538

                          #292
                          Originally posted by Smogs
                          Ok, here's a play i think has a chance to hit.

                          1st Half (Ger/Ser) Under 1 @ 1.9 for 2 units

                          We would be needing 2 goals for the loss and with Serbia looking very solid at the back, and very weak up front given game one as an example, we could easily see a 0-0 first half

                          I think i will try to hit less obvious plays and see how that goes
                          This is a good play, whole match will go UNDER and less risky is the first half UNDER, no guarantee it will hit but definitely a smart play - way to go and good luck Smogs!
                          Comment
                          • Smogs
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-31-08
                            • 4173

                            #293
                            Thanks net, i hope you are doing well at this WC
                            Comment
                            • shari91
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 02-23-10
                              • 32661

                              #294
                              Best of luck Smogs! I'm sending every good vibe I have that you hit this play to get you back on track, and even more importantly, your England one.

                              Slow and steady wins the race.
                              Comment
                              • Smogs
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-31-08
                                • 4173

                                #295
                                Originally posted by shari91
                                Best of luck Smogs! I'm sending every good vibe I have that you hit this play to get you back on track, and even more importantly, your England one.

                                Slow and steady wins the race.
                                Comment
                                • aunty jack
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 01-17-10
                                  • 252

                                  #296
                                  good luck with your england wager.

                                  i hope it cashes, although i can't back them out of principle. i'm still pissed at losing the ashes last year.

                                  yeah i know... i need to move on.
                                  Comment
                                  • Smogs
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-31-08
                                    • 4173

                                    #297
                                    Originally posted by aunty jack
                                    good luck with your england wager.

                                    i hope it cashes, although i can't back them out of principle. i'm still pissed at losing the ashes last year.

                                    yeah i know... i need to move on.
                                    Just wait till this winter/ Aussia summer, you'll get the ashes back
                                    Comment
                                    • Smogs
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-31-08
                                      • 4173

                                      #298
                                      Originally posted by Smogs

                                      1st Half (Ger/Ser) Under 1 @ 1.9 for 2 units
                                      Oh well, a push is not too bad. Just going to wait in anticipation for the England game, literally no opinion on the USA game so just going to watch and learn
                                      Comment
                                      • dlew2k
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 05-26-08
                                        • 1009

                                        #299
                                        Any leans for this second half??? Ger coming back and winning this is a good possibility.
                                        Comment
                                        • schenker88
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-13-10
                                          • 1877

                                          #300
                                          Originally posted by Smogs
                                          Just wait till this winter/ Aussia summer, you'll get the ashes back
                                          hi,

                                          what exactly do u mean 'Aussia summer'
                                          when does it come how long does it take and what a league is this?
                                          Comment
                                          • Smogs
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-31-08
                                            • 4173

                                            #301
                                            Originally posted by schenker88
                                            hi,

                                            what exactly do u mean 'Aussia summer'
                                            when does it come how long does it take and what a league is this?
                                            I'm talking cricket dude
                                            Comment
                                            • Tommy_de1st
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 02-23-10
                                              • 8397

                                              #302
                                              The press are gonna eat England team alive for this miserable performance.
                                              Comment
                                              • Smogs
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-31-08
                                                • 4173

                                                #303
                                                Originally posted by Tommy_de1st
                                                The press are gonna eat England team alive for this miserable performance.
                                                Yup. Ah well. I think i'm down something like 34 units this world cup

                                                Proper shocking form. Luckily, i am off to California on Monday and flying down south tomorrow morning. So i will not be on SBR as much over the next 3 months.

                                                If anyone is near Santa Cruz over the summer, pm me.

                                                And if anyone is going to the bash, i'll be there for sure

                                                Good luck to everyone on their WC picks and have a good summer!!
                                                Comment
                                                • svenodds
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 09-12-09
                                                  • 1790

                                                  #304
                                                  have a nice trip
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Tommy_de1st
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 02-23-10
                                                    • 8397

                                                    #305
                                                    Have a great holiday, Smogs
                                                    Enjoy the beaches or bitches (its you to choose )
                                                    Comment
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