Another draw coming this Sunday in Italy - get on

[bluefish]

looks good

[yisman]

Bodog must be catching on. They didn't even post a line to begin with (they have lines for the other games).

[RoagBettor]

I can't believe with all of the international exposure the last Chievo match received that another fix is in the works. Why would some books still offer the match? Think about it. The books are not in business to give away free money, and they won't let Chievo burn them twice. This is like a makeup call in basketball after the ref misses an obvious foul.

[onlooker]

It is moving around at 5dimes. -106, -108, -109, and now I just checked it. Down to -107.

Looks like it opened up at +170 at 5dimes.

[onlooker]

Here is 5dimes line moving on this game. From SBRodds.

MONEYLINES
03/24 22:19 +149 / +287 / +170
03/25 01:00 +151 / +298 / +163
03/25 01:08 +148 / +291 / +169
03/25 01:08 +148 / +289 / +171
03/25 01:40 +151 / +298 / +163
03/25 01:58 +153 / +291 / +164
03/25 02:21 +152 / +289 / +166
03/25 03:01 +153 / +298 / +160
03/25 03:10 +170 / +346 / +129
03/25 03:20 +169 / +343 / +131
03/25 03:27 +150 / +343 / +131
03/25 03:30 +172 / +351 / +127
03/25 03:40 +160 / +300 / +127
03/25 10:24 +214 / +420 / -109
03/25 10:31 +213 / +418 / -108
03/25 10:41 +212 / +415 / -108
03/25 10:59 +211 / +413 / -107
03/25 11:10 +212 / +415 / -108
03/25 11:19 +216 / +413 / -109
03/25 11:39 +215 / +411 / -108
03/25 12:09 +218 / +415 / -110
03/25 12:19 +216 / +410 / -109
03/25 12:19 +216 / +413 / -109
03/25 12:33 +215 / +410 / -109
03/25 12:40 +214 / +408 / -109
03/25 13:32 +215 / +410 / -109
03/25 13:41 +214 / +408 / -109
03/25 13:48 +202 / +421 / -105
03/25 14:01 +203 / +426 / -107
03/25 14:01 +203 / +424 / -106
03/25 14:21 +202 / +421 / -105
03/25 14:25 +200 / +426 / -105
03/25 14:31 +198 / +419 / -103
03/25 14:51 +200 / +426 / -105
03/25 15:02 +201 / +428 / -106
03/25 15:09 +204 / +422 / -107
03/25 15:21 +201 / +428 / -106
03/25 15:21 +201 / +430 / -106
03/25 15:21 +201 / +428 / -106
03/25 15:21 +201 / +430 / -106
03/25 16:48 +208 / +420 / -108
03/25 17:03 +201 / +430 / -106
03/25 17:03 +201 / +428 / -106
03/25 17:40 +208 / +417 / -107
03/25 17:40 +208 / +420 / -108
03/25 17:40 +208 / +417 / -107
03/25 18:21 +207 / +420 / -108
03/25 18:34 +208 / +422 / -108
03/25 18:51 +211 / +418 / -109
03/25 18:51 +211 / +400 / -109
03/25 20:00 +210 / +416 / -108
03/25 20:00 +210 / +417 / -108
03/25 21:22 +209 / +415 / -108
03/25 21:55 +208 / +412 / -107

[RoagBettor]

Going to double up on Parma ML; Chievo will be paying the books back on Saturday for their sins.

[Ace_of_Spades]

Just under 100,000 $ has been matched on the Draw at betfair. That's peanuts. Until i see a lot more, and i mean a lot, then I'll back the draw.

[Ace_of_Spades]

Unless i notice something dodgy and i take the draw In-Play.

[yisman]

Just under 100,000 $ has been matched on the Draw at betfair. That's peanuts. Until i see a lot more, and i mean a lot, then I'll back the draw.

you mean you won't back the draw unless a lot more is matched?

[RoagBettor]

The books taking bets on this draw have a big sign hanging outside that says "FREE MONEY, BET THE DRAW!"

I'm not buying into it. If this were another team, another league.....maybe. But the SAME team that was just in the news all over the world for match-fixing? C'mon!

It's payback time.

[Masu485]

while i do feel this draw has less chance of happening than last week's, many books didnt have the line up last time, so there's no real motive for payback.

also, i dont think the books who have the draw line at -110 would want to give so much value to the chievo and parma ML, both are extremely inflated now.

i'm kind of hoping the fix isn't in though, but that they'll just play to a draw themselves.

[Ace_of_Spades]

you mean you won't back the draw unless a lot more is matched?

Yeah

[RoagBettor]

Masu, you do raise a good point, but the ML odds are so attractive that I'll take my chances with 2 out of 3 possible chances of winning.

[Ace_of_Spades]

I wonder if these suspected draws are likely to end under 2.5.

[thecomebacker]

under might be a good play, but we all know Juve had a 3-3 (fixed) draw recently

[rumple]

But my account on it

[yisman]

Yeah

just clarifying because your wording was a little awkward in the last sentence.

[Jimmy0607]

Crazy stuff

[Arsenal]

I don't buy this game is fixed. I am betting there is no draw.

1.5 units Parma +412
3 units Chievo +208

This is basically -111 odds that the game does not end in a draw.

[JOHON8]

LOL check this out for chievo-parma: http://uk.site.sports.betfair.com/be...r&currency=USD

Reggina - Torino same level of market on draw: http://uk.site.sports.betfair.com/be...r&currency=USD

Im not on these yet though, no real reason why I should.

[diamond]

Its interesting, people have for years been backing 1 and 2 in italian soccer, when the X is really low. But every year the same thing happen, draw hits. There are a few exceptions though, but normally the draw hit. Its important to understand that the italians dont see this a fix, thus they dont have to win to make the public happy.

[Slainte]

It's just the beginning boy lol, they are plenty more to come from the good old Italy

[GiveMeaBJ]

The books taking bets on this draw have a big sign hanging outside that says "FREE MONEY, BET THE DRAW!"

I'm not buying into it. If this were another team, another league.....maybe. But the SAME team that was just in the news all over the world for match-fixing? C'mon!

It's payback time.

Source to this?

[diamond]

You see what Roagbetter dont understand is that Chievo are not at all influenced by "arranging the draw" last weekend. For them, and for many teams in italy, its acceptable sharing the draw. They dont see it as a fix. Thus, a draw can and will happen again.

[protein]

It´s not always as it looks. Remember the last "fixed" game?

[diamond]

Which game Protein?

[brko]

Probably Crotone @ Vicenza

[uva3021]

will this be OTB at pinnacle by Sunday?

[RoagBettor]

You see what Roagbetter dont understand is that Chievo are not at all influenced by "arranging the draw" last weekend. For them, and for many teams in italy, its acceptable sharing the draw. They dont see it as a fix. Thus, a draw can and will happen again.

I understand it perfectly well, I'm just not buying into it for this particular match. I'm willing to put $100 up to find out, that's all. If I lose, so be it. But it's worth the $100 just for the entertainment.

[RoagBettor]

Source to this?

Myself!

[diamond]

Ah ok, thats fair RoagBettor. But I know people that risked alot on Chievo when they were up 1-0 and got like 2.50, being in a denial that the draw was arranged.

[RoagBettor]

Ah ok, thats fair RoagBettor. But I know people that risked alot on Chievo when they were up 1-0 and got like 2.50, being in a denial that the draw was arranged.

Yep, that's why it's always best to be on the inside looking out when you're a sports bettor, instead of on the outside looking in.

[samitarian]

italian football is ridiculously shit to bet on

[Domestic]

Will be fascinated to see how this game ends up.

[Kemalettin]

this a market manipulation! stay away from Seria A and B