2021/22 LaLiga/EPL/SerieA/Bundesliga/Ligue1 Picks

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  • DiamondJack
    SBR MVP
    • 11-13-14
    • 4020

    #211
    235. Manchester United/Burnley UNDER 2.5 @ 2.25/+125 (ENG) 1u Marathon
    This is a form play for me as the past 4 games all under their new manager have ended under. In that stretch even though they are undefeated they have yet to score more than 1 goal in a game. Burnley on the other hand have had their last 3 games go under and they have not scored a goal since Nov 20. Head to head wise 3 of the past 4 ended under 2.5 goals and in 3 of those games Burnley have been shut out. Missing Pogba to injury and Bruno Fernandes also does not help for the home side.
    Comment
    • dawg58kahn
      Restricted User
      • 08-19-18
      • 2106

      #212
      Originally posted by DiamondJack
      234. Chelsea win to Nil @ 2.20/+120 (ENG) 1u Bet365
      The past 4 head to head games between these sides at Chelsea ended 2-0,2-0-2-0 & 0-0. Brighton got shutout in all 4 games. This season Brighton's matches average only 1.94 goals per game. Chelsea have the leagues 2nd best GA with only 13 allowed. Finally this prop is back at plus money which is a play in my books.
      that was a dirty beat mate u were almost there
      Comment
      • DiamondJack
        SBR MVP
        • 11-13-14
        • 4020

        #213
        236. Valencia ML @ 1.82/-120 (SPA) 1u Pinnacle
        I like the home side for 2 reasons. First; form wise Valencia have won 5 games in a row, where as the visitors Espanyol come into the match with a 5-4-1 record. Second the head to head record, where last year Valencia did the double over Espanyol with 2-1 & 1-0 scorelines. The last time Espanyol won a game in Valencia was in 2007. Since then they have 0 wins 2 draws & 11 losses in Valencia.
        Comment
        • DiamondJack
          SBR MVP
          • 11-13-14
          • 4020

          #214
          Originally posted by dawg58kahn
          that was a dirty beat mate u were almost there
          brutal beat
          Comment
          • DiamondJack
            SBR MVP
            • 11-13-14
            • 4020

            #215
            The site was down so my plays were posted across the street...for record keeping purposes

            237. Real Betis/Celta Vigo OVER 2.5 @ 1.82/-122 (SPA) 1u Marathon
            238. Barcelona ML @ 2.32/+132 (SPA) 1u Marathon

            239. Manchester United UNDER 2.5 @ 1.83/-120 (ENG) 2U Marathon

            240. Sevilla ML @ 1.87/-115 (SPA) 2u Marathon
            Comment
            • DiamondJack
              SBR MVP
              • 11-13-14
              • 4020

              #216
              Updated Record after pick #240
              SPA 32-24-2 +1638
              FRA 26-16-3 +1561
              ENG 31-28-2 +1305
              GER 19-21-0 -191
              ITA 15-21-0 -472

              OVERALL
              123-110-7 +3841
              Comment
              • DiamondJack
                SBR MVP
                • 11-13-14
                • 4020

                #217
                241. Sampdoria/Cagliari OVER 2.5 @ 1.85/-117 (ITA) 1u Pinnacle

                I like my numbers backing this total in the early game. Form wise both sides have had 3 of their past 5 games go over. Head to head 5 of the past 6 games have gone over the total including the last 2 from last season, ending with 3-1 & 2-2 scorelines. Both sides are also very poor at the back with Cagliari allowing 40 GA this season which is the leagues second worse. Sampdoria are not to far behind with 35GA that being the leagues 5th worse.
                Comment
                • DiamondJack
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-13-14
                  • 4020

                  #218
                  242. Juventus/Napoli UNDER 2.5 @ 1.92/-108 (ITA) 1u Marathon
                  I was hoping this line would move towards even money but it still looks like a solid play. I have been on Juve unders for a while now and its been the only thing making any money for me in Italy. Juventus come into this match with 7 straight unders, while Napoli have had their past 3 games go under 2.5 goals. 3 of the past 5 head to head meetings have also gone under the total. Both these sides do not concede many goals. Napoli only 14 GA which is the leagues best and Juventus 17GA which is second best. In League play, Juventus matches average 2.32 goals per game & Napoli's 2.52 which is 2nd & 3rd lowest in the league.
                  Comment
                  • DiamondJack
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-13-14
                    • 4020

                    #219
                    243. Bayern Munich Total Cards UNDER 3 @ 1.88/-114 (GER) 1u Bet365

                    Once again any time you have a game played in front of no fans the card number leans to the Under. Also this match is not a derby and the last 2 times these sides met there were 2 cards issued. Another trend for under cards is a clear favourite any team laying -400 or better.
                    Comment
                    • DiamondJack
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-13-14
                      • 4020

                      #220
                      244. Levante/Mallorca OVER 2.5 @ 2.17/+117 (SPA) 1U Marathon
                      The home side Levante have the leagues worse defense with 41 goals against. Mallorca are not to far behind having the 4th worse GA in the league conceding 28GA so far this season. Form wise Lavante have had their past 4 games go over the total and Mallorca have had 3 of their past 4 also go over. Head to head 3 of the past 5 meetings also go over. Getting this total at plus money is value.
                      Comment
                      • DiamondJack
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-13-14
                        • 4020

                        #221
                        245. Freiburg/Arminia Bielefeld UNDER 2.5 @ 1.92/-108 (GER) 1u Marathon
                        Freiburg have the best defense in the league allowing only 16 goals against this season. Bielefeld are 5th best allowing only 22 GA, however their problem is scoring goals as they have only managed to score 14 GF which is bottom of the Bundesliga. Form wise Bielefeld have had their past 5 games go under. Head to head wise the last 3 meetings have also gone under the total.
                        Comment
                        • DiamondJack
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-13-14
                          • 4020

                          #222
                          246. Lens/Rennes to DRAW @ 3.58/+258 (FRA) 1u Marathon
                          Both these teams are coming off of mid week cup matches that went the distance to penalties. Only 4 points separate them in the table. The past 2 head to head meetings ended level. I expect a share of the spoils especially with rain forecast for a cold night in Lens.
                          Comment
                          • DiamondJack
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-13-14
                            • 4020

                            #223
                            247. Valencia +1.5 @ 1.92/-108 (SPA) 1u Marathon
                            Real Madrid at home is always overpriced. I think Valencia give them a game. The last meeting Real Madrid won 2-1. Th past 7 head to head Masdrid wins 4 loses 2 and draws one. The home side will be without Bale, Carvajal & Jovic. I had this game pegged at around -150 as Madrid are rightfully favoured but -286. I'm getting spotted a goal and a half I'll take it.
                            Comment
                            • DiamondJack
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-13-14
                              • 4020

                              #224
                              SUN JAN 9th
                              248. Brest OVER 2.5 @ 1.95/-105 (FRA) 1u Bet365
                              249. Roma UNDER 2.5 @ 1.95/-105 (ITA) 1u Marathon
                              250. Rayo Vallecano to DRAW @ 3.54/+254 (SPA) 1u Marathon
                              251. Sevilla Win to Nil @ 2.20/+120 (SPA) 1u Bet365
                              252. Sevilla -1 @ 2.22/+122 (SPA) 1u Pinnacle
                              253. Villareal to DRAW @ 3.34/+234 (SPA) 1u Marathon
                              Comment
                              • DiamondJack
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-13-14
                                • 4020

                                #225
                                254. Brentford +0.5 @ 1.80/-125 (ENG) 1u Marathon
                                Both teams are in decent form as Brentford is coming in to this match off of back to back victories ans Southampton is unbeaten in the past 4. With only 2 points separating these sides in the table I expect a close game. The reason I'm backing Brentford is their great away record. Brentford only lost 3 away games this season and the Saints are awful at home where they won only 2 games this season. Thinking a Draw here, but I would not be surprised at an away victory.
                                Comment
                                • DiamondJack
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-13-14
                                  • 4020

                                  #226
                                  255. Cagliari/Bologna to DRAW @ 3.34/+234 (ITA) 1u Marathon
                                  The home side Cagliari have drawn 4 of their past 9 games and I'm hoping that trend continues today when Bologna come to town. Bologna have not played since before Christmas and I expect them to be rusty in this fixture. I think both sides would be happy with a point.
                                  Comment
                                  • DiamondJack
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-13-14
                                    • 4020

                                    #227
                                    256. Borussia Dortmund Total Cards Under 3.5 @ 1.91/-110 (GER) 1u
                                    Once again I'm playing my lower card total on a big favourite when there are no spectators in the stands. If you go back to last season when most of the leagues had no fans 2 things happened; home advantage disappeared and there were fewer cards issued. Keep that in mind this weekend in the Bundesliga.
                                    Comment
                                    • DiamondJack
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-13-14
                                      • 4020

                                      #228



                                      257. Sampdoria +0.25 @ 1.81/-123 (ITA) 1u Marathon
                                      Comment
                                      • DiamondJack
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-13-14
                                        • 4020

                                        #229
                                        258. Manchester United -0.25 @ 2.14/+114 (ENG) 1u Pinnacle
                                        259. Bayer Leverkusen to DRAW @ 3.98/+298 (GER) 1u Marathon
                                        Comment
                                        • DiamondJack
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-13-14
                                          • 4020

                                          #230
                                          260. Sassuolo ML @ 2.28/+128 (ITA) 1u Marathon
                                          261. Atalanta to DRAW @ 3.86/+286 (ITA) 1u Marathon
                                          262. Marseille to DRAW @ 3.54/+254 (FRA) 1u Marathon
                                          Comment
                                          • DiamondJack
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-13-14
                                            • 4020

                                            #231
                                            Housekeeping
                                            Updated Record after pick #262
                                            SPA 35-26-3 +2038
                                            FRA 28-17-3 +1815
                                            ENG 31-30-2 +1130
                                            GER 21-23-0 -199
                                            ITA 18-25-0 -414

                                            OVERALL
                                            133-121-8 +4370
                                            Comment
                                            • DiamondJack
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-13-14
                                              • 4020

                                              #232
                                              263. Lille/Lorient Under 2.5 @ 1.94/-106 (FRA) 1u Marathon
                                              264. Clermont/Strasbourg Under 2.5 @ 1.90/-111 (FRA) 1u Pinnacle
                                              265. Osasuna +0.75 @ 1.97/-103 (SPA) 1u Pinnacle
                                              Comment
                                              • DiamondJack
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-13-14
                                                • 4020

                                                #233
                                                266. Sevilla PK @ 1.87-115 (SPA) 1u Marathon
                                                Sevilla are second in the table and are away at 10th place Valencia who they have defeated the last 5 times they played. Valencia only managed to score one goal against Valencia in those past 5 head to head. Sevilla have only allowed 5 goals against in their past 1o away meetings. Form wise Valencia have lost their last 2 league games where as Sevilla are undefeated in their past 6. Going with a narrow away win here for a side still very much alive in the title race.
                                                Comment
                                                • DiamondJack
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-13-14
                                                  • 4020

                                                  #234
                                                  267. Watford/Norwich OVER 2.5 @ 1.94/-106 (ENG) 1u Bet365
                                                  An early relegation battle with both sides seeking the full 3 points so I expect both teams to open it up and go for the win. The last meeting ended 3-1 in favour of Watford. Numbers wise this season Norwich's matches average 2.62 goals per game & Watford's the leagues 4th highest at 3.16 gpg. Form wise Norwich come into the match having 3 of the past 5 go over & Watford have had 7 of their past 9 go over the total. What iIlike the most is the poor Norwich defense that had allowed a league high 45 goals against.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • DiamondJack
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-13-14
                                                    • 4020

                                                    #235
                                                    268. Lyon/St Etienne UNDER 3 @ 2.01/+101 (FRA) 1u
                                                    Decent value here at plus money for the total set at 3 goals. Lyon have had their past 5 games go under 2.5 goals and their matches average 2.75 goals per game in league play this season. The visitors St Etienne have had 3 of their past 5 go under 2.5. The last meeting between these two sides back in October ended level at 1-1. I see a narrow low scoring win for the home side.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • DiamondJack
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-13-14
                                                      • 4020

                                                      #236
                                                      269. Union Berlin +0.5 @ 1.90/-111 (GER) Bet365 1u
                                                      Comment
                                                      • DiamondJack
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-13-14
                                                        • 4020

                                                        #237
                                                        270. Wolves PK @ 2.28/+128 (ENG) Pinnacle 1u
                                                        Comment
                                                        • DiamondJack
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-13-14
                                                          • 4020

                                                          #238
                                                          271. Lille/Brest OVER 2.5 @ 2.00/+100 (FRA) WillHill 1u
                                                          Comment
                                                          • DiamondJack
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-13-14
                                                            • 4020

                                                            #239



                                                            272. Sevilla ML @ 1.90/-111 (SPA) 1u Unibet
                                                            Comment
                                                            • DiamondJack
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-13-14
                                                              • 4020

                                                              #240
                                                              273. Lens/Marseille to DRAW @ 3.70/+270 (FRA) 1u Bet365
                                                              Comment
                                                              • DiamondJack
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-13-14
                                                                • 4020

                                                                #241
                                                                274. Valencia +1.25 @ 1.87/-115 (SPA) 1u Unibet
                                                                Comment
                                                                • DiamondJack
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-13-14
                                                                  • 4020

                                                                  #242
                                                                  275. Leicester PK @ 1.92/-108 (ENG) 1u Marathon
                                                                  276. Nantes ML @ 2.22/+122 (FRA) 1u Marathon
                                                                  277. PSG UNDER 3 @ 2.05/+105 (FRA) 1u Bet365
                                                                  278. AC Milan to DRAW @ 3.40/+240 (ITA) 1u Bet365
                                                                  279. Spezia PK @ 1.93/-107 (ITA) 1u Marathon
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • DiamondJack
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-13-14
                                                                    • 4020

                                                                    #243
                                                                    Housekeeping
                                                                    Updated Record after pick #279

                                                                    SPA 36-28-4 +1874
                                                                    FRA 31-21-3 +1732
                                                                    ENG 33-30-3 +1358
                                                                    ITA 20-25-0 -074
                                                                    GER 22-23-0 -099

                                                                    OVERALL
                                                                    142-127-10 +4791
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DiamondJack
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-13-14
                                                                      • 4020

                                                                      #244
                                                                      280. Lyon/Marseille UNDER 2.5 @ 1.96/-104 (1u) Unibet
                                                                      Lyon come into this match on a streak of 6 consecutive unders. Marseille have had their past 4 games also go under the total. The game will be played in an empty stadium ans both sides are missing key players and you almost feel like both would gladly take a point. Marseille just played on Saturday and will play on Friday. The past 3 head to head meetings all went under 2.5.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • DiamondJack
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 11-13-14
                                                                        • 4020

                                                                        #245
                                                                        281. Hertha Berlin/Bochum OVER 2.5 @ 2.07/+107 (GER) 1u Pinnacle
                                                                        The average numbers of goals in the Bundesliga this season is at 3.13 goals per game. These two sides combined average 2.80 goals per game. Form wise the last 2 games for Hertha have gone over 4.5 & the last 2 for Bochum have gone over 3.5. The last head to head meeting ended with a 3-1 scoreline in favour of Hertha. Getting plus money here is value.
                                                                        Last edited by DiamondJack; 02-03-22, 02:43 PM.
                                                                        Comment
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