Nantes and Espanyol!! 🙌🙌🙌
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Anything for today?
Thoughts on Napoli?Comment -
85. Lazio/Torino to DRAW @ 3.51/+251 (ITA) 1u Pinnacle
86. Lazio/Torino UNDER 2.5 @ 2.20/+120 (ITA) 1u Pinnacle
Lazio on 7 points visit Torino who sit with 6 points. The last meeting between these sides ended 0-0. I see Torino parking the bus here and playing not to lose. 4 of the past 5 away games for Lazio have gone under and Lazio managed to only score 4 goals. Torino have had 3 of their past 5 home games go under the total and they only managed to score 6 goals.Comment -
87. Osasuna/Real Betis to DRAW @ 3.28/+228 (SPA) 1u Marathon
Real Betis have owned the head to head encounters over the past few meetings winning the past 3. However Osasuna is really hard to beat at home. They have an extra day of rest over Betis and they are coming off an impressive away win over Alaves. Betis also have injury concerns so I see a low scoring draw here.Comment -
88. Everton/Norwich OVER 2.5 @ 1.94/-106 (ENG) 1u Marathon
A pure numbers play for me in this match up. So far this season Everton's matches average 3.40 goals per game where as Norwich average 3.20 gpg. Form wise 4 of the past 5 games for both sides have gone over the total. Away from home for Norwich 2/3 end over & at home for Everton 2/3 go over 2.5. Norwich also has the leagues worse GA in 14.Comment -
89. Chelsea/Manchester City to DRAW @ 3.46/+246 (ENG) 1u Marathon
Anytime you have title favourites play each other early in the season you have to love the draw. In this case both teams are looking ahead to their mid week champions league games. So you have a perfect not to lose scenario for both sides. I also liked the under but there was no value there. I also like CS 1-1 @ 6.50/+550.Comment -
90. Lorient +1.5 @ 1.91/-110 (FRA) 1u Bet365
Lorient come into this game undefeated in the past four games and actually sit above Lyon in the standings in 5th Place. Lyon also have an European game coming up mid week. Head to head wise in the past 4 meetings Lorient wins 2 loses 1 and 1 draws. Here the books are spotting me a goal, that is value.Comment -
91. Atletico Madrid -1 @ 2.03/+103 (SPA) 1u Marathon
I do not know what am I missing here. Madrid are in second place in the table and have a chance to go top with a win, albeit until Real play later. Alaves are dead last with zero points and only 1 goal scored. Atletico has won the last 3, so for me its not if they win but by how many goals.Comment -
92. Valencia/Athletic Bilbao to DRAW @ 3.26/+226 (SPA) 1u Marathon
Both of these sides are only separated by a single point in the table with Valencia at 10 & Bilbao at 9. Both sides are coming off of loses and have no mid week commitments. The last 2 head to head meetings ended level with 1-1 and 2-2 scorelines. When you cant pick a winner pick the draw.Comment -
93. Hertha Berlin +1.5 @ 1.96/-104 (SPA) 1u Pinnacle
Leipzig is the better side on paper, however they are out of form going winless in their last 4 games. Having a champions league game on tap midweek also puts more pressure on the side. Hertha have won their past 2 games and i do not see them being blown out in this match as Leipzig continue to have injury problems at the back.Comment -
94. Eintracht Frankfurt/Cologne UNDER 3 @ 1.91/-110 (GER) 1u Bet365
OK here we go with the numbers, six of the past 7 games have gone under 2.5 for Frankfurt and 5 of the past 7 for Cologne. The past 3 head to head meetings have all gone under 2.5. I love the value on the total being set at 3 as at worse I expect a push.Comment -
95. Brest OVER 2.5 @ 2.03/+103 (FRA) 1u Pinnacle
I like the plus money value on the total here. Both sides are leaking goals against. Metz 8 games without a clean sheet. Brest 15 games without a clean sheet. Both teams matches also average 3.14 goals per game this season. Brest has 14GA & Metz 15 GA which is 3rd and 4th worse in the league.Comment -
96. Monaco ML @ 2.05/+105 (FRA) 1u Bet365
The newly promoted side Clermont are finally regressing towards the mean. The home side got smoked 6-0 in Rennes and are now winless in their past 5 games. Monaco are well rested their manager rotated the side mid week. Monaco are also undefeated in the past 3 games. Anything better than 1.80/-125 is an automatic play.Comment -
Updated after pick #96 heading into MON SEP 27
FRA 15-5-0 +1360
ENG 14-11-2 +711
SPA 12-10-1 +529
ITA 5-6-0 +089
GER 8-7-0 -014
54-39-3 +26.75 UnitsComment -
97. Crystal Palace/Brighton to DRAW @ 3.15/+215 (ENG) 1u Pinnacle
The A23 derby where the visitors Brighton have the form but Palace has home field. The last 2 times Brighton played at Selhurst Park they drew 1-1 on both occasions. I'm expecting a similar result. Brighton are yet to draw a game this season this is a perfect time to get their first.Comment -
98. Granada +1 @ 1.89/-112 (SPA) 1u Bet365
I waited for the line to move in this match. In the past 4 head to head meetings Granada wins 1 Celta Vigo wins one & there have been 2 draws. Celta Vigo have zero points at home this season so getting a goal here is value in my books. I might be dead wrong here but this game can go either way as both sides have had a terrible start to the season and home advantage is not worth this much.Comment -
I had really shitty news today. I do not know if I can post going forward, let alone post a write up but I did lock these in:
99. Rayo Vallecano +0.25 @ 2.04/+104 (SPA) 1u Bet365
100. Genoa PK @ 1.90/-111 (ITA) 1u Bet365
101. Genoa OVER 2.5 @ 2.02/+102 (ITA) 1u Pinnacle
102. Wolfsburg UNDER 2.5 @ 2.18/+118 (GER) 1u Marathon
103, Hertha Berlin OVER 2.5 @ 2.04/+104 (GER) 1u Bet Sens
104. Newcastle UNDER 2.5 @ 2.06/+106 (ENG) 1u MarathonComment -
Sending positive thoughts your way DJ.Comment -
Hey guys thanks for the support....long story short our family business is basically gone thanks to covid & the endless gov't rules.
and now in my mid 40's both me and the wife have to look for a job next week to support the family.
Kick in the nuts is an understatement as not only a decade ago my brokerage career was also killed off by the firms owner who now is in jail see American greed episode The Falcon and the con man for fraud.
So for the third time in my life starting over from nothing again.Comment -
I will post when I can, but job search has now become a priority.Comment -
105. Elche to DRAW @ 3.28/+228 (SPA) 1u Marathon
Only a single point separate these sides. Celta Vigo come into the match in better form on the back of 2 wins but home field for Elche evens out that advantage. Two of the past 3 head to head meetings ended level, so I see a 1-1 or 0-0 scoreline.
106. Lorient PK @ 1.81/-124 (FRA) 2u Marathon
I'm doubling up on the unit size here as I see great value on the home side. Newly promoted side Clermont are in 15th spot in the table are winless in the past 6 games and they play away at 5th place Lorient who are undefeated in the past 5. Clermont leak goals away from home 13GA in the past 3 games. Lorient have won all their home games and conceded only 1 GA.
107. Crystal Palace/Leicester OVER 2.5 @ 2.05/+105 (ENG) 1u Marathon
I like the plus money value on this total. The last meeting between these two went over, with Leicester winning 2-1. Form wise 3 of the past 5 games for both sides have gone over 2.5 goalsComment -
thats tough luck mate and i am sorry for what you are going through....if you are as disciplined as you are with sports betting and with a bit of luck, you should be back up and running in no time mate....never give up mate, our prayers are with you and i hope for your continued successComment -
Unbelieveable mate, must be hard times and I am very sorry to hear that. Try to stay positive and remember that you came back from tough periodes twice already, you can do it a third time. You are obviously a very smart and analytical person, hence your background story and your write-ups. There's always need for people with those skill sets.
Good luck going forward! Wish you and your family the strength to get back on track.Comment -
I will be busy and in and out this weekend if anyone wants my thoughts on any of my plays this weekend let me know.
SAT OCT 16th
108. Manchester United ML @ 2.16/+116 (ENG) 1u Marathon
109. Leeds UNDER 2.5 @ 2.17/+117 (ENG) 1u Pinnacle
110. Levante to DRAW @ 3.00/+200 (SPA) 1u Marathon
111. Lille ML @ 2.41/+141 (FRA) 1u Pinnacle
112. Spezia ML @ 2.26/+126 (ITA) 1u Pinnacle
113. Furth OVER 2.5 @ 1.82/-122 (GER) 1u Pinnacle
114. Freiburg +0.5 @ 2.00/+100 (GER) 1u PinnacleComment -
115. Union Berlin to DRAW @ 3.28/+228 (GER) 1u PinnacleComment -
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SUN OCT 17
116. Tottenham ML @ 2.28/+128 (ENG) 1u Unibet
117. Augsburg ML @ 2.38/+138 (GER) 1u Marathon
118. Troyes/Nice Under 2.5 @ 2.04/+104 (FRA) 1u Pinnacle
119. Strasbourg ML @ 2.26/+126 (FRA) 1u Pinnacle
120. Seville ML @ 2/38/+138 (SPA) 1u Marathon
121. Osasuna +1 @ 1.77/-130 (SPA) 1u MarathonComment -
Updated after pick #115 heading into SUN OCT 17
FRA 15-6-1 +1260
ENG 17-13-2 +948
SPA 13-12-2 +529
ITA 6-8-0 +002
GER 10-10-0 -132
61-49-5 +26.07 UnitsComment -
122. Arsenal OVER 2.5 @ 2.00/+100 (1u) Pinnacle
I waited for the line to get to evens and for the line ups to be announced, both look good. I expect a repeat of the last time these sides met when Arsenal won 3-1.Comment -
Updated after pick #122 after MON OCT 18
FRA 17-6-1 +1490
ENG 19-13-2 +1176
SPA 15-12-2 +767
ITA 6-8-0 +002
GER 10-11-0 -232
67-50-5 +32.03 UnitsComment -
123. Southampton/Burnley UNDER 2.5 @ 1.90/-111 (ENG) 1u Bet365
Both sides here have had 3 of their past 5 games go under the total. Southampton have only scored 6 goals this season & Burnley have only scored 5 which is 2nd and 3rd worse in the EPL. Southampton will also be without their top scorer James Ward Prowse who is suspended.Comment
