2021/22 LaLiga/EPL/SerieA/Bundesliga/Ligue1 Picks

[DiamondJack]

64. Newcastle/Leeds to DRAW @ 3.72/+272 (ENG) 1u Pinnacle
Both of these sides are looking for their first win of the season. Both of these sides cant afford to lose. I like that reasoning for a draw especially at these odds. Everyone is expecting goals in this game and I always check BTTS odds when backing a draw that is expected and there is zero value in that bet. I'm thinking 1-1

[DiamondJack]

65. Wolverhampton ML @ 1.93/-107 (ENG) 1u Marathon
Wolves are coming off an away victory at Watford and host Brentford who lost last week at home to Brighton. Wolves have lost both their home games but that was to quality opposition both 1-0 losses to Manchester United & Tottenham. I expect the newly promoted Brentford to regress after their early season success.

[DiamondJack]

66. Arsenal ML @ 2.05/+105 (ENG) 1u Pinnacle
I think Arsenal have turned the corner after a bad start to the season. Last week they won over Norwich 1-0 but its the stats that tell the story. 30 shots for Arsenal and 17 of them on target. Burnley have also had a bad start to the season with only a single point in four games. Burnley have not beat Arsenal since the 70's. Give me the Gunners at plus money.

[DiamondJack]

67. Manchester City OVER 3.5 @ 2.13/+113 (ENG) 1u Marathon
City are just goal machines especially at home. They scored 24 goals in their past 5 home games with 4GA. 6-3 over Leipzig, 5-0 over Arsenal, 5-0 over Norwich 4-1 over Blackpool and 4-0 over Barnsley. The last time Southampton played at the Etihad, Manchester won 5-2.

[DiamondJack]

68. Lille/Lens to DRAW @ 3.50/+250 (FRA) 1u Marathon
Lille are the better side on paper and are the defending champions. However they just played mid week a champions league game versus Wolfsburg that they tied 0-0. Lens are in great form and are undefeated to start the season. 3 of the past 5 games have ended level for Lens & 3 of the past 5 for Lille ended level. I see a 1-1. 2-2 type of scoreline.

[DiamondJack]

69. Genoa/Fiorentina to DRAW @ 3.43/+243 (ITA) 1u Pinnacle
Both sides are coming off of victories last weekend. Fiorentina tend to draw their away games 4 of the past 8. Its the head to head record here that's crazy. 5 of the past 6 encounters have ended level. Hoping that trend continues on Saturday.

[DiamondJack]

70. Rayo Vallecano/Getafe to DRAW @ 3.08/+208 (SPA) 1u Pinnacle
I'm backing Getafe to get their first point of the season in this game. Even though Getafe have only scored a single goal they did to the double over Rayo Vallecano last season winning 2-1 both home and away. Rayo are also struggling to find goal scoring form having only scored 5 times in 4 games this season. This game screams 0-0.

[DiamondJack]

71. Augsburg +0.5 @ 2.07/+107 (GER) 1u Pinnacle
Both sides in this match up have had hard starts to their respective campaigns. I do think the books are overvaluing 'gladbach. They have only won once in their past 10 trips to Augsburg. In their last meeting Augsburg won 3-1. I like the value on the home side double chance.

[dawg58kahn]

64. Newcastle/Leeds to DRAW @ 3.72/+272 (ENG) 1u Pinnacle
Both of these sides are looking for their first win of the season. Both of these sides cant afford to lose. I like that reasoning for a draw especially at these odds. Everyone is expecting goals in this game and I always check BTTS odds when backing a draw that is expected and there is zero value in that bet. I'm thinking 1-1

what a shout mate i took the 1-1 lmao

[DiamondJack]

Updated after FRI SEP 17th/ Pick #64
ENG 11-7-2 +808
SPA 9-5-1 +554
FRA 8-4 +394
ITA 3-3 +018
GER 5-6 -217

[DiamondJack]

what a shout mate i took the 1-1 lmao

Congrats

[-FlawlessKid]

Updated after FRI SEP 17th/ Pick #64
ENG 11-7-2 +808
SPA 9-5-1 +554
FRA 8-4 +394
ITA 3-3 +018
GER 5-6 -217

Great analysis, great record. GL this weekend DJ!

[DiamondJack]

72. Cologne +0.5 @ 1.92/-108 (GER) 1u Unibet
The last time Leipzig went to Cologne they lost back in April 2-1. Leipzig are out of form having lost 3 straight games. Leipzig also had to play midweek in the Champions league where they were trashed 6-3 my Manchester City. Cologne only lost in the past 12 games was away at Bayern Munich. I think they can get something from this game.

[DiamondJack]

73. Aston Villa/Everton OVER 2.5 @ 2.11/+111 (ENG) 1u Pinnacle
I really like the value this line has reached for the total. Form wise Villa 3 of the past 5 go over & for Everton 4 of the past 5 have gone over 2.5. Everton have been scoring goals this season with 10 GF only 1 behind the leaders Man U & Man City. I see a 2-1 win for the Toffees.

[DiamondJack]

Flawless kid---

[DiamondJack]

74. Empoli/Sampdoria to DRAW @ 3.65/+265 (ITA) 1u Unibet
These are very generous odds for this game to end level with both sides struggling to start the season. Sampdoria have 2 points and Empoli 3 from 3 games played. Sampdoria are the better side on paper but they are the away side where they have struggled. These sides split the series last year with Empoli winning away 2-1 and Sampdoria winning away 4-2. I'm thinking 1-1.

[DiamondJack]

75. Nice/Monaco to DRAW @ 3.50/+250 (FRA) 1u Bet365
The Cote d"Azure derby has been won by Monaco the last 4 times. Nice have the advantage of not only home field but also not having played midweek like Monaco did in the Europa league. Form wise Nice have not only not lost this season they are yet to allow a goal against. In any derby you start but playing not to lose and I think that will happen here, neither team loses.

[DiamondJack]

76. Mallorca +0.25 @ 2.08/+108 (SPA) 1u Pinnacle
I don't know why the books are showing so much love for Villareal who come into this game winless in their past 12 games. Los Piratas are really good at home being undefeated in the past 12 games. The last two times Villareal played in Mallorca they lost 3-1 & 4-0. What am I missing here?. Too good to be true, perhaps that is why I'm covering my ass in case of a draw.

[DiamondJack]

77. Venezia/Spezia to DRAW @ 3.50/+250 (ITA) 1u Marathon
There is little to separate these two sides. Spezia are still looking for their first victory of the season and the newly promoted Venezia are tough to crack especially at home. This will be the home opener for Venezia where they went 12-4-6 in Seria B last season. Head to head Venezia win 2 and 4 games end level. I see another tight contest between these two sides.

[DiamondJack]

78. Troyes/Montpellier to DRAW @ 3.70/+270 (FRA) 1u Marathon
Really good value on the odds here for the draw. Montpellier are the better side in the table with 7 points and travel to Troyes who sit with 4 points to start the season. Troyes have never begun a top flight season with 3 losses. Head to head 4 of the past 6 meetings have ended level and I think that another draw is on the menu.

[DiamondJack]

79. Brest +0.5 @ 2.10/+110 (FRA) 1u Pinnacle
After a strong start to their season the newly promoted Clermont are winless in their past 3 games. Brest are still looking for their first victory of the season. I really like the fact that Clermont are winless in the past 5 head to head encounters versus Brest. Give me plus money on the double chance I'll pull the trigger every time.

[DiamondJack]

80. Brighton PK @ 1.91/-110 (ENG) 1u Marathon
I always like backing a side that is rested, at home and playing a team that was involved in a mid week European match. That is Leicester, that tied Napoli in the Europa league on Thursday and now must travel to Brighton who have won 4 of their past 5 games. Backing the home side here on a draw no bet.

[DiamondJack]

81. Valencia +0.5 @ 2.08/+108 (SPA) 1u Bet365
I waited for this line movement that seems to always occur backing a public team like Real Madrid and I'm glad that I did. This is another play fading the team that played mid week, in this case Real who played Inter. versus an in form team at home with more rest. Valencia are tied with Madrid in the table both on 10 points. The last time Real played in Valencia they lost 4-1. Home advantage should be key and I think Valencia can get something from this game.

[dawg58kahn]

78. Troyes/Montpellier to DRAW @ 3.70/+270 (FRA) 1u Marathon
Really good value on the odds here for the draw. Montpellier are the better side in the table with 7 points and travel to Troyes who sit with 4 points to start the season. Troyes have never begun a top flight season with 3 losses. Head to head 4 of the past 6 meetings have ended level and I think that another draw is on the menu.

what a hit mate

[dawg58kahn]

79. Brest +0.5 @ 2.10/+110 (FRA) 1u Pinnacle
After a strong start to their season the newly promoted Clermont are winless in their past 3 games. Brest are still looking for their first victory of the season. I really like the fact that Clermont are winless in the past 5 head to head encounters versus Brest. Give me plus money on the double chance I'll pull the trigger every time.

what a shout again mate

[dawg58kahn]

80. Brighton PK @ 1.91/-110 (ENG) 1u Marathon
I always like backing a side that is rested, at home and playing a team that was involved in a mid week European match. That is Leicester, that tied Napoli in the Europa league on Thursday and now must travel to Brighton who have won 4 of their past 5 games. Backing the home side here on a draw no bet.

what a run u r on mate

[dawg58kahn]

81. Valencia +0.5 @ 2.08/+108 (SPA) 1u Bet365
I waited for this line movement that seems to always occur backing a public team like Real Madrid and I'm glad that I did. This is another play fading the team that played mid week, in this case Real who played Inter. versus an in form team at home with more rest. Valencia are tied with Madrid in the table both on 10 points. The last time Real played in Valencia they lost 4-1. Home advantage should be key and I think Valencia can get something from this game.

unbelievable that u didnt win that mate but right choice yet again

[dawg58kahn]

76. Mallorca +0.25 @ 2.08/+108 (SPA) 1u Pinnacle
I don't know why the books are showing so much love for Villareal who come into this game winless in their past 12 games. Los Piratas are really good at home being undefeated in the past 12 games. The last two times Villareal played in Mallorca they lost 3-1 & 4-0. What am I missing here?. Too good to be true, perhaps that is why I'm covering my ass in case of a draw.

nice call smart analysis again with small value win

[dawg58kahn]

73. Aston Villa/Everton OVER 2.5 @ 2.11/+111 (ENG) 1u Pinnacle
I really like the value this line has reached for the total. Form wise Villa 3 of the past 5 go over & for Everton 4 of the past 5 have gone over 2.5. Everton have been scoring goals this season with 10 GF only 1 behind the leaders Man U & Man City. I see a 2-1 win for the Toffees.

what a shout with the overs at plus money

[DiamondJack]

82. Athletic Bilbao ML @ 1.95/-105 (SPA) 1u Pinnacle
Newly promoted side Rayo Vallecano who sit 9th in the table visit Bilbao who are undefeated in the past 7 games. The home side is not only undefeated they have only allowed 1 goal against. The last time Rayo played in Bilbao they lost 3-2. I had this game pegged at 1.50/-200 for the home side.

[od120731]

Always a pleasure to read your write-ups

[DiamondJack]

83. Nantes ML @ 2.28/+128 (FRA) 1u Pinnacle
Really good plus money value on the home side in this matchup versus a side that is riddled with injuries. Mounie, Cibois, Herelle, Lasne and Uronen are all out for Brest. Nantes have also won the last 3 head to head games 3-1, 3-1 & 4-1. Form wise Nantes are coming off a 4-1 away victory at Angers where as Brest are still searching for their first win of the season.

[DiamondJack]

Always a pleasure to read your write-ups

[DiamondJack]

Updated after TUE SEP 21th/ Pick #82
FRA 11-5-0 +924
ENG 14-9-2 +917
SPA 10-8-1 +303
GER 7-6-0 -010
ITA 3-6-0 -282

[DiamondJack]

84. Espanyol ML @ 1.85/-117 (SPA) 2u Unibet
Alaves are dead last in the table with zero points to start the season, and having only scored one goal. Espanyol have also struggled to start the season but their problem has been drawing too many games. The last 2 times Alaves played at Espanyol they lost both 2-0 & 2-1. I see a home victory on Wednesday.