2018-19 EPL, Ligue 1, Serie A , Bundesliga & La Liga Picks

[DiamondJack]

SAT SEP 15 EPL

50. Newcastle +0.5 @ 2.01/+101 (Bet365) 1 Unit

Newcastle have had a scary schedule to start the season having played Spurs, City & Chelsea. All those games they lost 2-1. I do not fancy Arsenal this season and believe they will finish outside the top 6. The jury is still out on Emery and his tactics, the defense is in shambles. Arsenal are bad away from home 5W 12L 4D going back to last season. They also lost 2-1 in Newcastle in the last head to head encounter. I was really tempted to take them to win outright at 4.10/+310.

[DiamondJack]

SAT SEP 15 Bundesliga

51. Borussia M'Gladbach ML @ 2.53/+153 (Marathon) 1 Unit

On paper both of these sides are pretty much equal out once home advantage is factored into the odds. I think Borussia have an edge because of Shalkes missing players. Oczipka the left midfielder is injured and Konoplyanka the left midfielder is suspended add to that Stambouli the CB is injured and Nastasisic the CB is also suspended. These key missing players in 2 key positions should swing the odds towards the home side. Interestingly the last 4 head to head matches were all Draws, and the probability of 2 teams drawing 5 consecutive times is way out there

[DiamondJack]

SAT SEP 15 Serie A

52. Frosinone +0.25 @ 2.07/+107 (BET365) 1 Unit

The newly promoted home side seek their first home win versus Sampdoria who have an awful away record 2W 11L 1 D in league action dating back to last November. In the same time span at home Frosinone have a home record 12W 5D 2L. Form wise both teams are coming off of friendlies, a loss for Sampdoria & a win for Frosinone. Hoping the home side gets something out of this match.

[DiamondJack]

SAT SEP 15 EPL

53. Bournemouth/Leicester to DRAW @ 3.54/+254 (Marathon) 1 Unit
54. Huddersfield/Palace to DRAW@ 3.54/+254 (Marathon) 1 Unit

Another round of Draw hunting this time in the EPL where so far we have had only 20% of matches ending level. I was capping both match ups as low scoring affairs thus more likelihood of a draw. Hoping we hit one of the two for a good profit.

[DiamondJack]

SAT SEP 15 Bundesliga

55. Wolfsburg/Hertha OVER 2.5 @ 2.42/+142 (Marathon) 2 Units

Ridiculous value for the total in this game. The Bundesliga averaged 2.79 goals per game which is the highest of all the 5 top European leagues. Last year in the reverse fixture the result was a 3-3 draw. In all league games both teams averaged a combined 2.54 goals per match. Form wise 7 of the past 10 for Wolfsberg go over & 8 of the past 10 for Hertha go over. Any plus money price is value.

[DiamondJack]

SAT SEP 15 Ligue 1

56. Toulouse/Monaco to DRAW @ 3.59/+259 (Pinnacle)

Ligue 1 is also below average in the number of level games this season with 17.5%. Toulouse have had a great run to start the season but now must face a stiff test from the big boys of Monaco. The only result priced great that I see is a draw. Last season in Toulouse the match ended level at 3-3.

[DiamondJack]

SAT SEP 15 Bundesliga

57. Mainz ML @ 2.77/+177 (Marathon) 1 Unit

Form wise both sides have 3W 1L 1D coming into this match. Numbers wise Elo rank of 1605 for Mainz & 1622 for Augsburg. Transfer value 101.9 for Mainz and 100.8 for Augsbuurg, S&Y Internationals 15-16.Last 4 head to head 2 wins a piece. It would seem this game has a draw written all over it, however I like the home side for 2 reasons. The Awful away record of Augsburg 5W 10L 9D going back to last season in league play. and the fact they are without their star Finnbogason meaning all the goal scoring duties will fall on Gregoritsch.

[DiamondJack]

SAT SEP 15 LaLiga

58. Valencia -1 @ 2.34/+134 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit

Valencia won the last 2 meetings 2-0 & 6-3 both home and away last season. Great home record of 17W 5D 3L the draws and losses coming to Barca & ATM twice and Real Madrid . All my usual numbers point to Valencia and I think the trend of favourites not covering this early in La Liga will end this weekend.

[DiamondJack]

SUN SEP 16 EPL

59. Everton ML @ 2.08/+108 (Pinnacle) 2 Units

West Ham sit dead last in the table with Zero points and a -8 goal differential. They travel to undefeated so far this season Everton where they lost 4-0 last season. West Ham have big problems in midfield where Wilshere,Noble & Sanchez are just horrible. Pellegrini is my pick to be sacked much sooner than later. All my usual numbers back Everton big time, so I'm a bit surprised to get plus money here.

[DiamondJack]

SUN SEP 16 Ligue 1

60. Bordeaux ML @ 1.89/-112 (5Dimes) 1 Unit

Loving Bordeaux at home where they recently beat Monaco and Gent, teams of way better quality than Nimes. The visitors are missing their captain Harek to injury as well as forward Alioui. Numbers wise Elo rank 1632-1559, S&Y Int. 15-7 Transfer Value 108-44 Mil. all in favour of Bordeaux. Liking any price above 1.50/-200 on the ML for the home side.

[DiamondJack]

SUN SEP 16 La Liga

61. Espanyol ML @ 1.86/-116 (Marathon) 2 Units

It is still early in the season but you can compare teams strength versus the teams they already faced.Espanyol beat Valencia at home 2-0. Levante tied Valencia at home. Espanoyl tied Celta de Vigo away and Levante lost to Celta de Vigo at home. The visitors will also be missing Coke who is suspended and Sadku & Simon are injured.

[DiamondJack]

Updated Record heading into Sun Sep 16th

EPL 6-5-0 +372 Units
Serie A 4-3-1 +180 Units
Ligue 1 6-5-1 +311 Units
Bundesliga6-6-0 +607 Units
LaLiga 6-9-0 -376 Units

OVERALL 28-28-2 +1094 Units

[DiamondJack]

SUN SEP 16 Ligue 1

62. Nantes ML @ 2.14/+114 (5Dimes) 1 Unit

There were no home winners in France on Saturday so I'm hoping that changes as I'm also backing Bordeaux. Reims are the poorest squad in Ligue 1 according to the transfer market and have lost 2 straight heading into this game. They are also without their injured captain Martin. The home side Nantes are undefeated in their last 2 games and should get the job done at home.

[DiamondJack]

SUN SEP 16 Bundesliga

63. Freiburg ML @ 2.62/+162 (Marathon) 1 Unit

Both sides are still at zero points to start the season. Going out on a limb here as Stuttgart have owned Freiburg over the last few years. The home side have only lost 5 games in the past 21 home league games where as Stuttgart have only won 5 of the past 25 away games and are missing Didavi and Kempf to injury. I had the odds set here at 2.20/+120.

[DiamondJack]

MON SEP 17 EPL

64. Southampton ML @ 2.11/+111 (Marathon) 2 Units

Southampton beat Brighton just a few weeks ago away in Brighton 1-0 in the league cup. Brighton will be without captain Bruno who is injured as is winger Izquirerdo. The numbers look good as well 1648-1627 in Elo Rank 263-177 in Transfer value. 17-11 in S&Y internationals. Form wise the Saints are coming into the match winners of 2 in a row away from home. Brighton are winless in their last 3. Backing the home side at any plus money price.

[boss_of_um]

MON SEP 17 EPL

64. Southampton ML @ 2.11/+111 (Marathon) 2 Units

Southampton beat Brighton just a few weeks ago away in Brighton 1-0 in the league cup. Brighton will be without captain Bruno who is injured as is winger Izquirerdo. The numbers look good as well 1648-1627 in Elo Rank 263-177 in Transfer value. 17-11 in S&Y internationals. Form wise the Saints are coming into the match winners of 2 in a row away from home. Brighton are winless in their last 3. Backing the home side at any plus money price.

Let's get it!

[DiamondJack]

WED SEP 19 Serie A

65.Sampdoria/Fiorentina to DRAW @ 3.42/+242 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit

Here we have both teams who sit on 6 points, 5th and 6th in the table. Identical recent form of 3W 2L in their past 5 games. Head to head 3 of the past 6 matches ended level. The Draw is priced very nicely as I would have had it at 3.00/+200.

[DiamondJack]

FRI SEP 21 Ligue 1

66. Monaco -1 @ 2.22/+122 (Pinnacle) 3 Units

Despite Monacos poor start to the season I still could not understand this line. Both teams recently met 3 weeks ago with Monaco winning 4-1. In league play Monaco at home 28W 3L 4D since 2017 the losses coming to PSG Lyon & Marseille. Nimes have been punching above their weight to start the season but the gap in quality and home advantage will be too much to the newcomers.

[DiamondJack]

FRI SEP 21 Serie A

67. Sassuolo ML @ 1.97/-103 (Marathon) 1 Unit

The home side have had a great start to the season and sit in 4th spot in the table having only lost away to Juventus. The visitors Empoli are in 16th place winless in the past 4 games and managing to only score 2 goals. Head to head the last 3 meeting Sassuolo wins 3-1, 3-2 & 3-0. I also like the numbers 1612-1582 in Elo rank, 120 -37 mil in transfer value. 12-11 in S&Y internationals

[DiamondJack]

SAT SEP 22 La Liga

68. Celta de Vigo -1 @ 2.38/+138 (Marathon) 1 Unit

The visitors are second last in the table and winless to start the season with 2 points and zero goals scored. Celta de Vigo are 3rd in the table behind only Barca and Real Madrid. The last home game for Celta they won versus Atletico Madrid 2-0. Valladolid are also without Verde, Fernadez, Sanchez, Cotan and Luismi who are all injured. The last head to head league meeting was a 4-1 win for Celta.

[DiamondJack]

SAT SEP 22 EPL

69. Fulham to DRAW @ 3.52/+252 (Marathon) 1 Unit
70. Burnley to DRAW @ 3.40/+240 (Bet365) 1 Unit

We have not been seeing to many Draws to start the season in the EPL. Only 18% this season and only 1 out of the last 13 matches ended level. I think these 2 match ups are the best bet for this round to end up tied so hoping at least one does.

[DiamondJack]

SAT SEP 22 Bundesliga

71. Nurnberg ML @ 2.51/+151 (Marathon) 1 Unit

Both sides here have 2 draws and 1 loss to start their seasons. I really like the value here of the newly promoted Nurnberg playing their second home game versus Hannover who have not won an away league fixture since October 2017 (5D 9L). The last time Hannover came to Nurnberg they lost 2-0. Hoping for a similar result.

[Cubs2016]

FRI SEP 21 Serie A

67. Sassuolo ML @ 1.97/-103 (Marathon) 1 Unit

The home side have had a great start to the season and sit in 4th spot in the table having only lost away to Juventus. The visitors Empoli are in 16th place winless in the past 4 games and managing to only score 2 goals. Head to head the last 3 meeting Sassuolo wins 3-1, 3-2 & 3-0. I also like the numbers 1612-1582 in Elo rank, 120 -37 mil in transfer value. 12-11 in S&Y internationals

Soccer is so EASY!!! I take all your ML suggestions and just play the Over. These teams have scored at least 3 goals in 5 of the last 6 meetings. Total was 2.5 (-115) LMAO!!!!

[DiamondJack]

SAT SEP 22 Ligue 1

72. Reims ML @ 2.20/+120 (Marathon) 2 Units
73. St Etienne -1 @ 2.15/+115 (Marathon) 3 Units

A busy morning for me today have to run wont be back until much later for Sundays plays. Hoping France is nice to me today.

[DiamondJack]

SUN SEP 23rd EPL

74. West Ham +1 @ 1.90/-111 (Bet365) 1 Unit

This is a derby, the last eight games these teams played versus each other are split with a record of 3W 3D 3L. Not one of those 3 losses were by more than a goal for the home side hammers. Chelsea are coming off a short week having played in Greece in the Europa league on Thursday while West Ham are coming off an impressive away victory away to Everton last weekend. It could be a trap game for the Blues.

[DiamondJack]

SUN SEP 23rd Ligue 1

75. Lyon ML @ 2.04/+104 (Bet365) 2 Units

The home Lyon have an extra day of rest on the back of an away victory versus Manchester City. The visitors Marseille are coming of a home defeat in the Europa League to Eintracht Frankfurt. Head to head Lyon have won the last 2 meetings home and away 2-0 & 3-2. I have to back in the inform side at plus money.

[DiamondJack]

SUN SEP 23rd La Liga

76. Villareal ML @ 2.41/+141 (Marathon) 1 Unit

Valencia have plenty of problems first they are winless to start the season and they have plenty of injury problems with Wass, Garay, Kondogbia & Coquelin out injured. Villareal are coming off a draw with Rangers and an away victory versus Leganes. Head to head the last 3 meetings Villareal won all of them so decent value getting way into plus money for the home side.

[DiamondJack]

Updated Record heading into TUE Sep 25th

Bundesliga 7-7-0 +658 Units
Serie A 6-3-1 +522 Units
EPL 8-8-0 +224 Units
Ligue 1 7-9-2 -293 Units
LaLiga 7-11-0 -376 Units

OVERALL 35-28-3 +735 Units

[DiamondJack]

TUE SEP 25th La Liga

77. Real Sociedad -1 @ 2.06/+106 (Marathon) 1 Unit

Second last in the table the newly promoted Rayo Vallecano travel to Real Sociedad on the back of being destroyed at home 5-1 by Alaves. Sociedad won their last game away to Huesca. All the numbers are in the right place (1738-1593 ELO/ 201-51 TM/ 9-4 S&YInt.) for a big win for the home side who are playing only their second home game this season.

[DiamondJack]

TUE SEP 25th Bundesliga

78. Schalke ML @ 2.32/+132 (Marathon) 1 Unit

Schalke have had a poor start to the season but the gap in quality here cant be ignored. Schalke are in the Champions League and have a side worth three times over the likes of Freiburg. Last season Schalke won both head to head matches 1-0 & 2-0 both home and away. Frieburg are my pick to be relegated so I fancy Schalke to get their first win of the new season.

[DiamondJack]

TUE SEP 25th Ligue 1

79. Monaco ML @ 1.80/-125 (Pinnacle) 2 Units

I rarely jump upon line movements but I believe these odds are unwarranted. Monaco line opened at 1.37/-270. They are playing at home to Angers a team they beat the last 4 times they met 4-0, 1-0 , 1-0 and 2-1 both home and away. Angers just like Monaco have injuries I just don't fancy them on the road.

[DiamondJack]

WED SEP 26th Ligue 1

80. Lyon -1 @ 2.01/+101 (Bet365) 3 Units

Lyon are undefeated in their past 3 beating the likes of Manchester City away and Marseille at home. Dijon are winless in their past 3 losing 2 straight home games to Caen and Angers. The last head to head meeting in Dijon Lyon won 5-2 back in April.

[DiamondJack]

WED SEP 26th Bundesliga

81. Mainz ML @ 2.64/+164 (Pinnacle) 2 Units

The last 5 games head to head between these 2 sides have ended in draws. The probability of a sixth is rare. Both sides sit on 7 points in the table with a +1 goal differential. Home advantage wins it for me as Mainz won both of their home games this season and Wolsburg come into the match winless in the past 2 games at home.

[DiamondJack]

WED SEP 26th LaLiga

82. Valencia @ 1.74/-135 (5Dimes) 2 Units

In the last 13 away games Celta manages to win only once. The last 2 trips to Valencia they lost 2-1 & 3-1. Celtas captain Mallo is injured. The numbers are good 424-170 in transfer value and 1776-1728 in Elo Rank for the home side. I also considered -1 but just a bit over plus money it was not worth it.

[DiamondJack]

THU SEP 27th LaLiga

83. Alaves ML @ 2.89/+189 (Pinnacle) 2 Units
84. Girona ML @ 2.55/+155 (5Dimes) 2 Units

Running late this morning hoping one of the pair hits.