2018-19 EPL, Ligue 1, Serie A , Bundesliga & La Liga Picks

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  • DiamondJack
    SBR MVP
    • 11-13-14
    • 3941

    #36
    SAT Serie A

    27. Lazio +1 @ 2.56/+156 (5Dimes) 1 Unit

    Juventus are juiced up to high heaven as expected especially with the arrival of Ronaldo. Juventus barely won versus Chievo in the last minute 3-2. Lazio won the last 2 times they played in Turin 2-1 & 3-2. The +1 Asian Hadicap is worth a punt at these odds.
    Comment
    • franz555
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-13-14
      • 10519

      #37
      Originally posted by DiamondJack
      SAT Serie A

      27. Lazio +1 @ 2.56/+156 (5Dimes) 1 Unit

      Juventus are juiced up to high heaven as expected especially with the arrival of Ronaldo. Juventus barely won versus Chievo in the last minute 3-2. Lazio won the last 2 times they played in Turin 2-1 & 3-2. The +1 Asian Hadicap is worth a punt at these odds.
      Crazy..... But i like your reasoning

      BOL DJ



      Have a great weekend

      YOU'LL NEVER WALK ALONE AGAIN.....


      GO POOL
      Comment
      • DiamondJack
        SBR MVP
        • 11-13-14
        • 3941

        #38
        SUN EPL

        28. Fulham ML @ 2.01/+101 (Marathon) 1 Unit

        I'm backing the newly promoted Fulham to pick up their first win this season over Burnley who just had to play in Greece on Thursday (& Lost) in the Europa League. Burnley aside who being tired are missing midfielders Brady & Defour to injury. Unlike the big clubs Burnley just don't have the depth to compete in mid week European competition. Aside from their opening home loss Fulham had a record of 13W and 2 Draws the last 15 home games in the Championship.
        Last edited by DiamondJack; 08-24-18, 12:29 PM.
        Comment
        • DiamondJack
          SBR MVP
          • 11-13-14
          • 3941

          #39
          Franz---
          Comment
          • DiamondJack
            SBR MVP
            • 11-13-14
            • 3941

            #40
            SUN Ligue 1

            29. Lille ML @ 2.05/+105 (BetVic) 1 Unit

            This is a form play for me as the visitors Guingamp have lost both their games to start the season and are currently on a 8 game winless streak away from home.They are also riddled with injuries. Lille on the other hand are undefeated to start the season with a win vs Rennes and a draw away to Monaco. All my l my usual numbers look good as well 1554 -1551 in ELO Rank. 86.5-48.9 in transfer market value and 13-6 in senior and youth internationals on the team.
            Comment
            • DiamondJack
              SBR MVP
              • 11-13-14
              • 3941

              #41
              SUN Ligue 1

              30. Bordeaux OVER 2.5 @ 2.04/+104 (Marathon) 1 Unit

              Last season Ligue 1 averaged 2.72 goals per game, so far this season its at 2.75. Monaco averaged 3.42 & Bordeaux 2.66 gpg. Head to head 6 of the past 7 meetings have ended over 2.5 Form wise 5/6 for Monaco end over & 4/6 for Bordeaux go over. Getting even money equals value.
              Comment
              • Giroux
                SBR MVP
                • 12-16-10
                • 1438

                #42
                DJ!
                Comment
                • DiamondJack
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-13-14
                  • 3941

                  #43
                  Updated Record heading into Saturday Aug 25

                  Serie A 3-1-0 +280 Units
                  LaLiga 4-3-0 +182 Units
                  Ligue 1 3-2-0 +148 Units
                  EPL 1-0-0 +100 Units
                  Bundesliga 0-0-0 EVEN

                  Comment
                  • DiamondJack
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-13-14
                    • 3941

                    #44
                    giroux---
                    Comment
                    • DiamondJack
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-13-14
                      • 3941

                      #45
                      SAT Bundesliga

                      31. B. Monchengladbach to DRAW @ 3.72/+272 (Marathon) 1 Unit

                      Once again chasing some draws this time in Germany where last season in the Bundesliga 27% of matches ended level. Leverkusen and Borussia here seem the best bet on Saturday to end level and the odds are too good to pass up.
                      Comment
                      • DiamondJack
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-13-14
                        • 3941

                        #46
                        SAT Serie A

                        32. AC Milan +1 @ 1.85/-117 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit

                        I'm expecting a close game here as Ancelloti faces his Family club. The lack of ambition in Napoli could start to show cracks as the team failed to sign any big names as of yet to mount any title challenge this season.
                        Comment
                        • DiamondJack
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-13-14
                          • 3941

                          #47
                          SAT La Liga

                          33. Real Valladolid +2 @ 2.22/+122 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit

                          Backing another promoted underdog in their home opener vs the mighty Barca. Valladolid actually won their last head to head meeting 1-0, I'm just hoping they don't get blown out at home where they are on a 7 game undefeated streak and in the past 15 have a record of 10W 4D 1L. Barcelona away from home last season in La Liga won 4 games by 3 or more. Won 7 games by 2 and won or tied/lost the rest 8 games. So odds wise I see a .22 value above even money of the likely 2 goal
                          Comment
                          • DiamondJack
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-13-14
                            • 3941

                            #48
                            SUN Bundesliga

                            34. Mainz to DRAW @ 3.26/+226 (Marathon) 1 Unit

                            It was a bad day for me in the Bundesliga on Saturday trying my luck in this one that looks way too close to call. So far we have only seen 1 draw in the opening round in a league that averages 27% where I backed the home side to win.
                            Comment
                            • DiamondJack
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-13-14
                              • 3941

                              #49
                              SUN La Liga

                              35. Sevilla ML @ 1.85/-117 (Marathon) 1 Unit

                              I love the numbers here where comparing the 2 sides. ELO Rank 1774-1748, Transfer Value 209-193. S7Y Internationals 11-7. Form wise Sevilla 4 wins out of the past 5 compared to the visitors Villareal 1 win out of their last 5. Head to head wise Villareal are winless in their last 2 vs Sevilla both home and away.
                              Comment
                              • boss_of_um
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-18-11
                                • 1092

                                #50
                                $40.00 $127.20 Open 3 Team Parlay
                                Win 8/26/18 11:00am France Soccer 304 Monaco (FRA-1)/Bordeaux (FRA-1) Over 2½ +100*
                                8/26/18 9:44am Win 8/26/18 11:00am England Soccer 105 Fulham (ENG-P) +109* vs Burnley (ENG-P)
                                I need some recovery after last nights UFC debacle. Thanks DJ!
                                Comment
                                • Andreyu187
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 10-01-15
                                  • 5

                                  #51
                                  Ended up a little on the positive side, thank you again good sir !! @DJ!!!
                                  Comment
                                  • DiamondJack
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-13-14
                                    • 3941

                                    #52
                                    MON La Liga

                                    36. Levante OVER 2.5 @ 2.00/+100 (WillHill) 1 Unit

                                    Last season Levante averaged 2.68 goals per game & Celta averaged 3.13. The last meeting was a 4-2 result for Celta. 3 of the past 4 head to head meeting ended over 2.5. So far very early in the new season La Liga only averages 2.27 gpg where as l;ast season the average was 2.695. Hoping for some goals.
                                    Comment
                                    • DiamondJack
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-13-14
                                      • 3941

                                      #53
                                      boss---
                                      Andreyu---
                                      Comment
                                      • DiamondJack
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-13-14
                                        • 3941

                                        #54
                                        MON EPL

                                        37. Man U OVER 2.5 @ 2.08/+108 (Marathon) 1 Unit
                                        38. Man U PK @ 1.84/-119 (Marathon) 1 Unit

                                        Usually you never get a decent price on Man U at home but it looks like the fair weather birds have left the building and everyone sees doom and gloom for Mourinho. I'm expecting a bounce back performance. Spurs have lost the last 4 times they were in Manchester. The last head to head meeting was a 2-1 Victory for United in a FA Cup match.. Form wise both sides have had 4 of the past 5 games go over 2.5. Last season Spurs averaged 2.89 & United 2.53 goals per match. Both sides have plenty of talent that can find the back of the net.
                                        Comment
                                        • DiamondJack
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-13-14
                                          • 3941

                                          #55
                                          MON La Liga

                                          39. Athletic Club -1 @ 2.21/+121 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit

                                          Love the numbers here 220-30 in Transfer market value, 1703-1616 in ElO Rank, 6-2 in Senior & Youth Internationals on the squad. Form wise 6W 1L past 7 vs 4W 3L for the visitors. Huesca won their last game even though being outplayed they finished with 36% possession and zero corners. Athletic Club also won their opening fixture with 63% possession. I really feel we might see a blow out here.
                                          Comment
                                          • DiamondJack
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-13-14
                                            • 3941

                                            #56
                                            Updated Record heading into Monday Aug 27

                                            EPL 5-1-0 +683 Units
                                            LaLiga 5-4-0 +187 Units
                                            Serie A
                                            3-2-1 +180 Units
                                            Ligue 1 5-4-0 +157 Units

                                            Bundesliga 0-5-0 -500 Units
                                            Comment
                                            • DiamondJack
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-13-14
                                              • 3941

                                              #57
                                              FRI Bundesliga

                                              40. Hannover +1 @ 1.97/-103 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit

                                              I'm backing the home underdog here that come into the match with an extra day of rest and good form 13 points out of their past 5 games. Dortmund have not won a league away game since February. The last time they met in Hannover, Dortmund lost 4-2 last season. Getting a goal on the Asian Handicap is great value.
                                              Comment
                                              • DiamondJack
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-13-14
                                                • 3941

                                                #58
                                                FRI LaLiga

                                                41. Getafe ML @ 1.81/-123 (Marathon) 1 Unit

                                                Getafe have had 6 clean sheets in the past 7 games with only Real Madrid scoring 2 in Madrid. The visitors Valladolid are winless to start the season and have failed to score in their past 3 games. I was tempted to take the win to nil option at 2.60/+160 but decided to drink a tad of juice on the ML.
                                                Comment
                                                • fudy213
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 08-12-11
                                                  • 158

                                                  #59
                                                  OOOHHH! I LIKEE! not a real strike against you having Real beat you. Gonna look closely at that, hope u dont mind if I tail. 6 clean sheets in 7..wow.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • DiamondJack
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-13-14
                                                    • 3941

                                                    #60
                                                    SAT Ligue 1

                                                    42. Dijon ML @ 1.95/-105 (WillHill) 1 Unit

                                                    This game is a home vs away play. The last 17 league games Caen manages only 1 win compared over the same time span 15 home games for Dijon only 2 loses. The last 2 games in Dijon ended up with 2-0 scorelines in favour of the home side. I had the game set at 1.80/-125 so any odds better than that equal value.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • DiamondJack
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-13-14
                                                      • 3941

                                                      #61
                                                      SAT Ligue 1

                                                      43. Nimes +2 @ 1.91/-110 (Bet365) 1 Unit

                                                      Once again backing the promoted home side playing the very public PSG side that offer negative value. In the past 40 games both home and away Nimes have not lost by more than 2 goals. They beat Marseille 3-1 in their opener and are undefeated in the past 5. PSG have not won by more than 2 goals versus anyone in the past 13 away games.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • DiamondJack
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-13-14
                                                        • 3941

                                                        #62
                                                        SAT Bundesliga

                                                        44. Augsburg to DRAW @ 3.48/+248 (Marathon) 1 Unit
                                                        45. Nurnburg to DRAW @ 3.45/+245 (Marathon) 1 Unit

                                                        Draw hunting in Germany where in the 1st round only 1 game ended level. Out of the 9 games this weekend these 2 look like most likely to end tied. Hoping for at least one for a good return.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • DiamondJack
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-13-14
                                                          • 3941

                                                          #63
                                                          SAT Serie A

                                                          46. Parma +2 @ 1.98/-102 (Marathon) 1 Unit

                                                          This game is almost a mirror image of play #43 in France. A promoted side at home versus a heavily bet big public favourite. Parma have not lost a league game at home since mid October last year (12W 6D) Juventus have won by more than 2 goals only 2 times in the past 20 games. Oddly enough even the last head to head Parma actually won 1-0. Hoping the home dogs keep it close.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • DiamondJack
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-13-14
                                                            • 3941

                                                            #64
                                                            SAT LaLiga

                                                            47. Atletico Madrid ML @ 1.83/-120 (Marathon) 2 Units

                                                            I don't normally back away sides but the numbers here were too much to ignore in comparison to the odds. Atletico have owned Celta over the last 5 head to head encounters all wins by Atletico both home and away. ELO rank 1930-1725, Transfer value 807-156, S&Y Internationals 20-13 & 10 -5 in points over the past 5 games form wise. I had this game pegged at 1.50/-200 & thus I have to double up on the units wagered.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • boss_of_um
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-18-11
                                                              • 1092

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by DiamondJack
                                                              SAT Bundesliga

                                                              44. Augsburg to DRAW @ 3.48/+248 (Marathon) 1 Unit
                                                              45. Nurnburg to DRAW @ 3.45/+245 (Marathon) 1 Unit

                                                              Draw hunting in Germany where in the 1st round only 1 game ended level. Out of the 9 games this weekend these 2 look like most likely to end tied. Hoping for at least one for a good return.

                                                              Thanks for the parlay starters!

                                                              $40.00 $98.80 Open 3 Team Parlay
                                                              Win 9/1/18 9:30am Germany Soccer 160 Draw (Borussia Monchengladbach (GER-1) vs Augsburg (GER-1)) +247* vs Borussia Monchengladbach (GER-1)
                                                              $40.00 $94.80 Open 3 Team Parlay
                                                              Win 9/1/18 9:30am Germany Soccer 163 Draw (Mainz 05 (GER-1) vs Nurnberg (GER-1)) +237* vs Mainz 05 (GER-1)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • DiamondJack
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-13-14
                                                                • 3941

                                                                #66
                                                                boss---
                                                                Comment
                                                                • DiamondJack
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-13-14
                                                                  • 3941

                                                                  #67
                                                                  SUN Bundesliga

                                                                  48. Schalke OVER 2.5 @ 2.19/+119 (Marathon) 1 Unit

                                                                  In a league where last season teams averaged 2.79 goals per game we have 2 sides that averaged 2.62 for Berlin & 2.65 for Schalke in 2017-18. Hertha come into the game having 9 straight away games go over 2.5. At plus money its worth a shot.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • DA_MOSS
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-22-11
                                                                    • 1829

                                                                    #68
                                                                    On that Schalke play too. Good 1st half except the missed Pk
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DiamondJack
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-13-14
                                                                      • 3941

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Housekeeping time

                                                                      Updated Record heading into International Break


                                                                      EPL 6-2-0 +672 Units
                                                                      Serie A
                                                                      4-2-1 +280 Units
                                                                      Ligue 1 5-5-1 +052 Units

                                                                      Bundesliga 3-6-0 -007 Units
                                                                      LaLiga 6-7-0 -176 Units

                                                                      OVERALL 24-22-2 +821 Units
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • DiamondJack
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 11-13-14
                                                                        • 3941

                                                                        #70
                                                                        FRI SEP 14 La Liga

                                                                        49. Huesca ML @ 2.32/+132 (Marathon) 1 Unit

                                                                        Newly promoted Huesca will play their home opener after going 1-1-1 to start the season losing only in Barcelona. The visitors Rayo Vallecano sit bottom of the table with zero points and a -4 goal difference. They come into this match losers of 5 straight. The last 2 times Rayo played in Huesca they lost 2-1 & 2-0. I'm hoping the trend continues.
                                                                        Comment
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