Jsnep7 Euro2016 picks GTFO

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Jsnep7
    SBR High Roller
    • 06-08-16
    • 183

    #71
    Today was a good day, Kimg Jong Un approves.


    ytd 10-6 +4.4 units (€1101.25)
    Comment
    • Grivas_Digeni
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 05-08-15
      • 5307

      #72
      Good stuff. Hollywood type stuff.

      Do you bet Iceland again next game (because they are so awesome) or fade them (because if there is such thing as luck, theirs must be running awfully thin by now)?
      Comment
      • Jsnep7
        SBR High Roller
        • 06-08-16
        • 183

        #73
        Originally posted by Grivas_Digeni
        Good stuff. Hollywood type stuff.

        Do you bet Iceland again next game (because they are so awesome) or fade them (because if there is such thing as luck, theirs must be running awfully thin by now)?
        Depends on the line the bookies give them. This match for example, Portugal is not the kind of team that finishes a team off. Usually when they're 1 goal up they slow down. How much real chances did portugal get when they were 1 up? Sure when it was 0-0 and 1-1 they pressed and created chances. But that's normal due to the difference of quality. Also, portugal is sloppy in defence, they always give away chances against every opponent. Iceland should have opened the score this match, and that goal showed another mistake in defense. They have sigurdsson aswell who is always good for a setpiece goal. +1.25 was the wrong line, should have been +1 then i would not have played this.

        Comment
        • Jsnep7
          SBR High Roller
          • 06-08-16
          • 183

          #74
          Not sure about today's matches. Don't see anything i like yet.
          Comment
          • Jsnep7
            SBR High Roller
            • 06-08-16
            • 183

            #75
            Switzerland -vs- Romania
            Asian Handicap:-0.25
            Switzerland @ 2.06
            1 unit
            Comment
            • Jsnep7
              SBR High Roller
              • 06-08-16
              • 183

              #76
              France -vs- Albania
              Asian Handicap:-1.50
              France @ 1.84
              1 unit
              Comment
              • Grivas_Digeni
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 05-08-15
                • 5307

                #77
                Your post contributed to me taking in-play over. Good win.
                Comment
                • korki
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 09-23-12
                  • 171

                  #78
                  Originally posted by Jsnep7
                  France -vs- Albania
                  Asian Handicap:-1.50
                  France @ 1.84
                  1 unit
                  Comment
                  • chuckpicks298
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 01-20-16
                    • 130

                    #79
                    Good job
                    Comment
                    • firekillex
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 09-18-13
                      • 6420

                      #80
                      USA or Ecuador tomorrow ?
                      Comment
                      • Jsnep7
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 06-08-16
                        • 183

                        #81
                        Originally posted by Jsnep7
                        Switzerland -vs- Romania
                        Asian Handicap:-0.25
                        Switzerland @ 2.06
                        1 unit
                        Originally posted by Jsnep7
                        France -vs- Albania
                        Asian Handicap:-1.50
                        France @ 1.84
                        1 unit
                        ytd 11-7 +4.74 units (€1185)

                        To be honest, france was a bad call, was pondering between France -1.5 and Under 2.75. Should deffo have played the u 2.75 if i look back on it. But a win is a win. Lets keep up the momentum.

                        Originally posted by firekillex
                        USA or Ecuador tomorrow ?
                        No idea, don't follow the copa america intensely enough to bet on it.



                        As per today, i was impressed with England's performance last match they played against russia. Maybe if odds move some direction i might make a play but i doubt it. Will most likely be following the match live.
                        Comment
                        • Grivas_Digeni
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 05-08-15
                          • 5307

                          #82
                          Keep in mind Russia's midfield has been in shambles (personnel issues). England could dominate any team, sure, but Russia isn't much of an opponent in its current state.

                          Wales could just be a tougher test. Besides, both teams would probably be ok with a draw here - even though noone would admit to it. Sure, England has to win one of the two remaining games but does it really have to be this one?

                          I'm taking a look at unders and 0-0 first half.

                          GL
                          Comment
                          • Wonderbox
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 08-31-15
                            • 33

                            #83
                            Originally posted by Grivas_Digeni
                            Keep in mind Russia's midfield has been in shambles (personnel issues). England could dominate any team, sure, but Russia isn't much of an opponent in its current state.

                            Wales could just be a tougher test. Besides, both teams would probably be ok with a draw here - even though noone would admit to it. Sure, England has to win one of the two remaining games but does it really have to be this one?

                            I'm taking a look at unders and 0-0 first half.

                            GL
                            0-0 1H seems good
                            Comment
                            • Jsnep7
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 06-08-16
                              • 183

                              #84
                              Yeah im in a pickle here. Wales is in a luxury position, one point would be absolute gold for them. They will as always play heavy counter football. Not sure wether england can take a point tough. Slovakia showed yesterday in the 1st half that they can play football. Hamsik is underrated because he is loyal to napoli but he can really turn a match around. Not sure they want to end up in a deciding match against that team.

                              Normally you would think that england wants to finish in 1st position so they get a easy draw in the knockout stage, but in this euro that might not be the case.

                              The #1st out of group B plays against one of the best #3´s out of ACD. (Romania/Albania,Ukraine,Czech/Turkey most likely)
                              The #2nd out of group B plays against the 2nd of group F (Iceland,Portugal,Austria,Hungary)

                              Assuming portugal will finish 1st and hungary having a great start it's very likely they'll face iceland hungary if they finish 2nd.

                              So if you take a look at this probable case than england don't need a win persé, in this euro there are many roads that lead to the knockout stage.

                              Even if England lost to Wales today there would still be no harm done. Win against Slovakia and you would qualify as best 3th or even a small chance of 2nd. What both teams can't afford however is a trashing (0-3+)

                              I think it's due to these rules that so much matches end in under 2.25. If we think about it belgium was the only team that went all out offensive in the last minutes against italy and conceded a goal because of it. Most teams try to attack when they're behind but still they don't want to get another goal against because it can penetrate up the 3th position GD for qualification.

                              Playing Under 2.25 this match

                              England - Wales
                              Under 2.25
                              1.925
                              1 unit
                              Comment
                              • Jsnep7
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 06-08-16
                                • 183

                                #85
                                England vs Wales.
                                Total Goals - 1st Half
                                : Under 0.5.
                                Odds:2.60
                                0.5 unit
                                Comment
                                • Jsnep7
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 06-08-16
                                  • 183

                                  #86
                                  Originally posted by Jsnep7
                                  England vs Wales.
                                  Total Goals - 1st Half
                                  : Under 0.5.
                                  Odds:2.60
                                  0.5 unit
                                  Ffs, another ridiculous error by a goalie with a free kick. Can't believe these jokers in goal. Why would you even set a wall when the distance is 30+ meter? Try shooting from that distance without a wall and the keeper will keep out 99/100 shots. Also this shot wasn't even close to the post, terrible blunder by Joe Hart. Now ofcourse england will play very offensive and our u2.25 is also in danger.
                                  Comment
                                  • Jsnep7
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 06-08-16
                                    • 183

                                    #87
                                    Germany -vs- Poland
                                    Over Under:+2.50
                                    Under @ 2.08
                                    1 unit
                                    Comment
                                    • Stackzilla
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 05-26-15
                                      • 3372

                                      #88
                                      Would you still take the under with Fabianski in goal? He gave up 3 to Germany last time they played and Szczensy shut them out when he faced Germany


                                      I'm hedging BOL
                                      Comment
                                      • Stackzilla
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 05-26-15
                                        • 3372

                                        #89
                                        crazy movement on o/u prior to ko i managed to slide in a unit..i did hedge but couldn't deny the movement nice call if it comes thru
                                        Comment
                                        • Jsnep7
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 06-08-16
                                          • 183

                                          #90
                                          Very frustrating day, Under 0.5 at HT blown awy by a mistake by Hart in minute 43. Under 2.25 blown to bits by a goal in the 90th minute.

                                          Under 2,5 was won by a dreadfull 0-0. Unlucky but i was right on the money, interesting fixtures tomorrow! Already spotted some value.
                                          Comment
                                          • boss_of_um
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-18-11
                                            • 1092

                                            #91
                                            Well Italy is playing Friday so there's one under right there.
                                            Comment
                                            • Grivas_Digeni
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 05-08-15
                                              • 5307

                                              #92
                                              Originally posted by Jsnep7
                                              Germany -vs- Poland
                                              Over Under:+2.50
                                              Under @ 2.08
                                              1 unit
                                              Good stuff
                                              Comment
                                              • Jsnep7
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 06-08-16
                                                • 183

                                                #93
                                                Was going for Sweden +0.5 @ 1.95 but odds are down to 1.88 now. Going to wait a bit hoping the public jumps Italy after their last display against belgium.

                                                Going to play my other bets earlier from now on, wanted to play Czech +0.5 aswell @ 1.95 but it's also down to 1.88. Same story here, hope for public to jump the Croatia train.


                                                Spain -vs- Turkey
                                                Over Under:+2.25
                                                Under @ 1.91
                                                1 unit

                                                Comment
                                                • Jsnep7
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 06-08-16
                                                  • 183

                                                  #94
                                                  Italy - Sweden
                                                  Sweden +0.5
                                                  1.91
                                                  1 unit
                                                  Comment
                                                  • adila1401
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-16-11
                                                    • 2014

                                                    #95
                                                    Unreal, had the draw for Italy game..another last minute goal..
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Jsnep7
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 06-08-16
                                                      • 183

                                                      #96
                                                      Yeah unlucky indeed. Sweden did exactly what i expected from them and they deserved the point. Another last minute loser. But no worries, the tournament is still long and we are still up. We will continue to punish the bookies this cup.

                                                      Croatia -vs- Czech Republic
                                                      Asian Handicap:+0.25
                                                      Czech Republic @ 2.14
                                                      1 unit
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Jsnep7
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 06-08-16
                                                        • 183

                                                        #97
                                                        Im also thinking about playing the over 2.5 line now, the odds are insane. The trend this tournament is heavy unders ofcourse but a over 2.5 goes now for 2.93!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Grivas_Digeni
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 05-08-15
                                                          • 5307

                                                          #98
                                                          Croatia 1-0 for me here. If you can't beat them, join them.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • DA_MOSS
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-22-11
                                                            • 1830

                                                            #99
                                                            Originally posted by Jsnep7
                                                            Im also thinking about playing the over 2.5 line now, the odds are insane. The trend this tournament is heavy unders ofcourse but a over 2.5 goes now for 2.93!
                                                            took the Over 2 at +100

                                                            Think we may see some goals here
                                                            Comment
                                                            • adila1401
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-16-11
                                                              • 2014

                                                              #100
                                                              On Croatia ML for 3 units myself.. glgl
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Grivas_Digeni
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 05-08-15
                                                                • 5307

                                                                #101
                                                                Originally posted by DA_MOSS
                                                                took the Over 2 at +100

                                                                Think we may see some goals here
                                                                I wonder if the Czechs are able to produce anything. Changes needed?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • DA_MOSS
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-22-11
                                                                  • 1830

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Originally posted by Grivas_Digeni
                                                                  I wonder if the Czechs are able to produce anything. Changes needed?
                                                                  not looking good for them.. I think Croatia can net at least 1 more, but we shall see

                                                                  Czech looking a little better early on in the 2nd
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SlickRick1382
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-15-11
                                                                    • 3838

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Penalty !!!!!

                                                                    Those hooligans are nuts btw, karma is a bitch .....
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • HockeyRocks
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 07-10-13
                                                                      • 6069

                                                                      #104
                                                                      F uk
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • firekillex
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 09-18-13
                                                                        • 6420

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Literally never been screwed over this many bets in a row.....
                                                                        england, Brazil draw, Italy draw today , Croatia today

                                                                        just wow I hate soccer
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...