Your opinion about Turks I agree
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Germany - Ukraine
Germany -1.00 @ -105
1 unitComment -
Poland - Norhtern Ireland
Poland - 0.75 @2.08
1 unitComment -
tailing GermanyComment -
How long do you think this under 2.5 trend continues?Comment -
I'm dying to have another good run in my MLB thread just so you will pop in with an awesome GIF.
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You always see this at tournaments and bookies adjusted the lines to most games for u2 at evs. This year its even worse due to 4/6 number 3's qualifying for the next round aswell. So even if you lose just make sure its by a small amount so the goal difference is still alright and you'll be in a good spot to be among the be among those 4/6 number 3's that also go trough. After the group stage its usually more offensive. (also more quality vs quality, these underdogs only defend) And golden rule as always is under 2 for the final.
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ytd 6-3
+ €997,50Comment -
I'm not sure about today, got very mixed feelings with all these matches. Tempted to go on Czech +1.Comment -
Tough match ups looks like a good dat to enjoy the money. Cant see any plays at all.Comment -
Spain - Czech republic
Czech +1.25 @ 1.90
1 unitComment -
Can't ignore this bet. Public going so heavy on spain. Odd was 1.60 start of this week and now it's at 1.90
Czech is a solid team that defends well with a lot of experience. They were excellent in the qualification aswell vs my country (netherlands)
Spain usually starts slow on grand tournaments. 2 years ago 1-5 against the netherlands and 4 years ago 1-1 against italy 6 years ago 0-1 againt switzerland.
Also there's a lot of tension within the spanish team. There always is, barça, real and atleti really divide this team. CL final was very heated, i remember sergio ramos having a conflict with Juanfruan. Pique always speaks out how much he hates real madrid and he's the CD with sergio ramos. The real side has won the CL and barça won the liga, who will be boss in the dressing room? Also now there's a sexual confict with david de gea being accused of rape. You can rest assured that this will stir trouble and mess with the preperation of a tournament.
Spain lost the last friendly against georgia at home. They play alright football with good pressure and possession, but they don't converse. Sometimes they want to dribble the ball in the goal. They always play with a false nine and sometimes it seems like possesion is more important for them than scoring a goal.
TLDR version, to much going on with the spanish squad, czech seems decent, not a lot of goals in opening matches, odds to high to ignore.Comment -
Thinking of insuring this. Pressure is so heavy on czech side...Comment -
Spain -1.25 0.5 unit @ 2.7Comment -
pressure is high...but spain lacks ability to pull the trigger and Cech is awesome goalie.
I believe it will end with 1-0 spain or draw.Comment -
YTD 7-4
+€1047,50
Due to the insurance i made a 0.2 unit profit. Would have been 0.45 if i did not insure my bet, but im happy with my choice. the pressure was absurd on the czech goal esp in the first half.Comment -
Sweden - Ireland
Zlatan to score? Yes @ 2.40
0.5 unit
Zlatan always delivers, the over odd on Sweden team goals is at asian 1.00 for 1.80
Bookies expect Sweden to score atleast 1 goal and the chance is higher that they'll score 2 than just 1.
I also expect the Swedes to crack the Irish defence. And i believe that there is a 50%+ probablility of Zlatan scoring that goal. He takes free kicks, pens, and teammates won't think twice about passing the ball to him.
Ireland is a team that zlatan can destroy. I see nice value in these odds. See some bookies offering this for 1.68 - 1.80Comment -
Sweden - Ireland
Zlatan to score & Sweden to win? Yes @ 4.50
0.5 unitComment -
Zlatan did not deliver.
Good performance by Ireland, they deserved more. Sweden only looked good when they were behind. Zlatan had 1 alright chance but he couldn't convert. Still think there was value there, maybe well play this again later in the stage but other matches are against belgium and italy so i doubt it.
No idea about belgium - italy yet. Slight value on italy i think.Comment -
Italy - Belgium
1st half Under 0.5
1 unit @ 2.35
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Italy - Belgium
Under 2.0
1 unit @ 1.95
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So far a lot of matches have ended in 0-0 at halftime. Sure every match is a match on itself but this is a stat that you can't neglect in the group phase of this tournament.
Italy is a team that excells in defending. Barzagli, bonucci and chiellinge are the CB's for Juventus. parolo and de rossi on are defensive midfielders. Darmian is a defensive minded player. So they have got 6 defensive minded players and 4 offensive minded players. Clear intentions here.
Belgium has a lot of quality, especially in the defence imo. With alderweireld and vertonghen they have the best CB duo of the premier league. They have a lot of offensive quality, but for some reason it doesn't really show. There isn't good synergy between their most important players, de bruyne and hazard. Also lukaku is exactly the type of striker that chiellini and bonucci can devour whole.
I think this will be a strategic match. For both teams its more important to not lose than to win. They are in the most difficult group with sweden and ireland. Italy and Belgium are the favourite. A draw today would allow them to still have all chances open for qualification. A lose however would place them in a most win spot and i don't think either teams want that.
Italy will let belgium have posesssion and play counter football. Belgium will not take to much risks. Their head coach is a real coward strategic wise. I except a very dissapointing match with scarce chances for both teams.Comment -
Pretty much went according to gameplan, jack shit happened untill minute 31 when the belgium defense miscalculated the long ball and italy scored 1-0. That changed everything. 2nd half belgium took more and more risk and in the last minute they went full retard and in stopage time pelle blew our under 2 to a void wich means this game is a 1 unit loss now.
Very dissapointed with belgium here, if they were focussed and intercepted that long ball it was a 0-0 all the way.
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Portugal - Iceland
Going to fade portugal, not sure what line and handicap. Expecting public to jump heavy on portugal so going to wait till just before kick off for playing this bet.
Main reason is that iceland is a tactical strong team that impressed me during the qualifiers and ronaldo is the thriving force at portugal. But i dont expect him to be fit, saw him in the CL final, was very bad because he just couldn't give 100% After that he went straight on holiday to recover. 2 years ago same scenario happened and portugal was out in the group stage.Comment -
Take Portugal ML.
-220 isn't much but you're better off winning half a unit than using a full unitComment -
Austria -vs- Hungary
Over Under:+2.25
Under @ 1.93
1 unitComment -
Austria has an alright team, but they did not impress me during the last friendly's, still those matches aren't that much to judge on. Bulgaria heavy counter team that leans heavily on defence.
Trend this tournament is heavy unders, don't expect this match to be any difference.
During Q bulgaria scored a average of 0.9 per match. Hungary score 1.2.
And these matches included teams like malta azerbaijan and faroë islands.Comment -
Austria -vs- Hungary
Asian Handicap:0.00 @ 0 - 1
Hungary @ 1.94
1 unitComment -
Portugal -vs- Iceland
Asian Handicap:+1.25
Iceland @ 1.93
1 unitComment
