Live Betting
Borussia - ManCity
Over 1.5 @2.0 (1 unit) Min 49 0-0
Borussia - ManCity
Over 1.5 @2.0 (1 unit) Min 49 0-0
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Comment -
I know bro, looks like Joe is not having a field day =). 1-0 as now. City flopping again...why am I not surprise?, but sad as I love the EPL.Comment -
Glad to see City win!
Comunicaciones - Mictlan
Comunicaciones -1.25 @2.10 (1 unit)
Over 2.25 @2.10 (1 unit)
Antigua - UniversidadDeSanCarlos
Over 2.5 @1.85 (1 unit)
Monarcas - PUMAS
Over 3.0 @2.87 (1 unit)
Tigres - Puebla
Tigres TT over 1.5 @1.66 (1 unit)
CruzAzul - Atlas
BTTS yes @1.91 (1 unit)Comment -
Hey Rudy, I just bet the over 1.5 live. But for the sake of EPL I am glad both Manchester teams stepped up in Europe. still neither team will have a chance against the big clubs but at least should be good to see them in the next round hopefully. Good hit for you bro. GL!Comment -
Yes they are 1-2 now. Small markets =). BET365 had this schedule to start at 3:45 PM central time. the game started at 3:00 PM central time. I placed my bet @30/09/2015 14:40:19
Comment -
A very good hit late there by City, I do agree English teams seem off the boil in Europe, I think United have it in them to go up against the big boys however with that and challenging for the EPL it gets too hard, with LVG and his possession based play along with an improved midfield they definitely are the best equipped team out of the lot to do well.
City have many talented players so you can't rule them out as of yet, vital win tonight also.
Chelsea can turn it around with Jose they have a chance.
Arsenal have no chance.Comment -
As I stated, I love the EPL. I really don't give any chance to any of these teams to be in Semi-finals. Germans, Spanish and Italians are above English football quality. Chelsea will need a new manager soon for as much as I like Mou his cycle will come to an end soon. Wenger is the same every year (pure insanity). Pelegrini is good offensive Manager but something doesn't click there and won't click. LVG doesn't know how to deal without the ball possession, he has no chance against big clubs (Fergie had a big club). No Europe Glory for EPL this year that is for sure.
Live Betting
TampaBayRowdies - IndyEleven
Over 1.5 @2.05 (1 unit) 0-0 at half timeComment -
This Mexican league has absolutely raped me over the last two days...done with them for a long while.Comment -
Congrats on your thread Papa!!! Have been following you for a while, you killed last night with the central america plays!!!
Comment -
@Ace,Mexican league can be very unpredictable bro.
@Ifelipelucena, thanks you for your king words, let's hope for a good October.Comment -
9/1 - 9/30
78W-14P-80L
+8.49 units
Record
276W-54P-297L
+127.2161 units
Unit size: $100 = 1 unit
Starting Bankroll: $4,000.00
Current Profit = $12,721.61
Current Bankroll = $16,721.61
Time = 113 days (from 6/06/2015 to 9/30/2015)
wagers placed = 627
ROI = 318.025 %
Winning rate = 48.1675%
Reference pages of last records posted:
Last complete update of my record as seen above. page #10 post #349
Last partial update of my record. Page #14 post #456
September Lesson's learned:
-I try to see if I could increase my unit size, but after a few plays I decided to slow down on that initiative as my decision making to make plays was affected as I was worrying more about not losing than actually be more aggressive with my plays odds wise and multiple selection of plays. Therefore I will continue with my unit size of $100 until further notice.
-Few power plays (10+ units) were won and lost in this month, reviewing my selection, some of them were poor decision on my end and I will adjust the decision making process for power plays as I will try to make the filter for this selections tighter.
-My objective of reaching 200 units by September was not completed due to bad streaks in the August and September months. Also is good to take in consideration that with all major leagues open for business, I personally took a little while to get the feel for some of them and in the process poor selections were made.
-My new objective will be to gain 30 units in this month of October.
Cheers and GL in October!Comment -
Units and wager value info:
As my unit size will continue to be $100.00, here is the update about unit size play value
Below 1 unit:
Pure value bet. Usually higher odds or an event I think that has slight chance of wining therefore it is worth a shot.
I will use this unit size a lot in live play.
1 units
Research + value + good confidence
This will be my top pics of the day.
2.50 to 5 units
Research + value + high confidence on the event
These plays could be seen often as I get the grip of the leagues I like to specialize on. When I place this bet is because there are major factors that influence my decision making such as Team performance difference, Line ups, financial issues with teams, environment, weather, altitude, traveling distance, tactics, desire result from each team, local news etc. I study very closely every aspect of the teams involved in the match. Usually you will see that this bets come from the Americas, some may come from Europe.
10 units or higher
Research + value + high confidence on the event
These are my power plays, they are sporadic. When I place this bet is because there are major factors that influence my decision making such as Team performance difference, Line ups, financial issues with teams, environment, weather, altitude, traveling distance, tactics, desire result from each team, local news etc. I study very closely every aspect of the teams involved in the match. Usually you will see that this bets come from the Americas, some may come from Europe. One thing that I would like to add is that power plays will come from teams I know and follow constantly example: it is more likely to see a power play from MLS than from Bundesliga.
From now on I will keep track of my power plays as I want this selections to be as prime as possible. I will add a line in the next record update with power plays record win/loss and units +/-.
Cheers and GL
Reference for original Unit value size post. Page #13 post #421Comment -
10/1
AZ - AthleticBilbao
Over 2.5 @1.952 (1 unit)
AZ ML @3.75 (0.50 units)
AZ TT over 1.5 @2.62 (0.5 units)
Belenesse - Fiorentina
Bookings over 3.5 @1.72 (1 unit)
Ausburg - Partizan
Over 2.75 @1.975 (1 unit)
Celtic - Fenerbahce
Bookings over 4.5 @1.975 (1 unit)
Schalke04 - AsterasTripolis
Schalke TT over 2.5 @2.09 (1 unit)
Monaco - Tottenham
Over 4.5 @1.75 (1 unit)
Tottenham TT over 1.5 @2.75 (0.50 units)Comment -
Villareal - VictoriaPlzen
Over 2.5 @1.79 (1 unit)
Marseille - SlovanLiberec
Over 2.5 @1.725 (1 unit)
PAOK - Dortmund
PAOK ML @6 (0.5 units)
PAOK TT over 1.5 @3.25 (0.5 units)Comment -
Live Betting
Molde - Ajax
Over 3.5 @2.85 (1 unit) 1-1 min 50Comment -
Chapecoense - Libertad
Over 2.0 @2.15 (1 unit)Comment -
Europa cleaned the punters out todayComment -
Hey Forum, if you would like to follow me on Facebook here is my page:
In here you will be able to find in dept details about most of my plays.
Thanks for liking my page since now!
I will be adding twitter soon.Comment -
Hope you don't get banned for this. You are one of the few good guys.Comment -
I didn't know I couldn't post that. Thanks!
9/2
CeltaDeVigo - Getafe
Over 2.5 @1.78 (1 unit)
Under 10.5 corners @1.84 (1 unit)Comment -
Papi I'm not the rules police and not 100% sure. I thought I had heard of it happening in the past but can't confirm. Isn't that what happened to Tak?
BOL today.Comment -
giddity i got ur back fella
giddity not sure bout the rules but just incase better to be safe
your an asset don't want to lose you here
takecare mush
Comment -
Thanks guys.
Aucas - MashucRuna
Over 2.5 @2.0 (1 unit)
RiverPlate - IndependienteDelValle
Over 2.5 @2.0 (1 unit)Comment -
@Asiantiger, everything points out that Celta should win this and cover the AH but I think the line could be made for the push only. Getafe needs to turn things around and I think they will score today. If Celta wins 2-1 they will be content. Personally I do not like the -1 line.Comment -
LiveBetting
DCUnited - NYC
DCUnited TT over 1.5 @1.90 (1 unit) min 11 0-1Comment -
Can they knock one more in for us Papa? Hope so, but with my luck recently, not likely
Comment -
Hard to tell bro, I am not watching the game. My sister is at the stadium and she won't reply =).
LDULoja - ElNacional
BTTS yes @2.75 (0.5 units) min 16 0-0Comment -
Woooooooow Papa! There we go. My book didn't take the original play I had on DC at +600 and then took it at +1100 and team total over 1.5 +300. Great call my friend. Your pick made me investigate further. Thank you!Comment
nice hit bro
