The Karayilan thread

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  • Wilforth
    Restricted User
    • 05-10-08
    • 16309

    #211
    I think Valladolid will again beat this spineless Villareal this weekend.
    Comment
    • Karayilan9
      Restricted User
      • 01-10-09
      • 3742

      #212
      Spot on Wilforth!! Villareal are the team to fade, I left them to see what they could do in La Liga on the weekend and they lost again, thats the team including Senna. They are looking very slow at the back and their strikers are have forgotten how to score.

      Tomorrow I'm leaning towards Dynamo Kiev vs PSG, Under 2.5 goals, PSG are without Guily and Kezman, they don't score many goals as it is but without these front men I don't see them going to Ukraine to attack. PSG are 1-0 specialists, they will play a solid defense and kill the game flooding the midfield and try to knick a goal on the counter. If PSG get a goal they will shut down and make thiings very hard for Kiev. Kiev will be the favourites tomorrow but this won't be easy, in the first game they barely had a shot on target and posed little threat. Dynamo also have a solid defense and dont concede many at home. They also will know in the back of their minds that they can't play very attacking tomorrow and leave their defense vulnerable because if they let in a goal it will be even harder to try and get one back.
      Comment
      • Karayilan9
        Restricted User
        • 01-10-09
        • 3742

        #213
        Uefa Cup - Dynamo Kiev vs PSG - Under 2.5 goals
        Comment
        • tachi
          SBR Sharp
          • 03-25-09
          • 309

          #214
          ...
          Comment
          • Karayilan9
            Restricted User
            • 01-10-09
            • 3742

            #215
            Bundesliga - Wolfsburg vs Leverkusen - Wolfsburg Win / Over 2.5 goals
            Comment
            • Karayilan9
              Restricted User
              • 01-10-09
              • 3742

              #216
              Bundesliga - Wolfsburg vs Leverkusen - Wolfsburg Win / Over 2.5 goals WIN WIN

              There should have been > 5 goals in that game, the 2-1 score doesn't give this match justice and Leverkusen deserved something from the game they were impressive but lacked a finisher. Wolfsburg broke the Bundesliga Win streak record today, that was their 10th win on the run.
              Comment
              • Karayilan9
                Restricted User
                • 01-10-09
                • 3742

                #217
                Tachi
                Nice one
                Comment
                • Karayilan9
                  Restricted User
                  • 01-10-09
                  • 3742

                  #218
                  Turkish League - Antalyaspor vs Kayseri - Under 2.5 / Kayseri +0 , +0.5

                  Kayseri have the second best defense in the league, Antalya have a pretty solid D aswell. However, both teams have problems scoring and Antalya are in big trouble this game as their top striker Zitouni is suspended. Both teams have been playing quite well recently and are in mid-table, Kayseri have an outsiders chance of pushing for a european place so have motivation, Antalya are above the relagation zone but just above it, they shouldn't get relegated and a few points will be enough to ensure safety. Both teams have their motivations however, I don't think Antalya have the strenght to crack the Kayseri defense tomorrow, Kayseri may sneak this or hold out for the draw.
                  Comment
                  • Karayilan9
                    Restricted User
                    • 01-10-09
                    • 3742

                    #219
                    EPL - Man City vs West Brom - Man City Win WIN
                    Comment
                    • Karayilan9
                      Restricted User
                      • 01-10-09
                      • 3742

                      #220
                      Turkish League - Besiktas vs Bursapor - Besiktas -1


                      Comment
                      • Karayilan9
                        Restricted User
                        • 01-10-09
                        • 3742

                        #221
                        Its half time, we were pressuring them hard, then this stupid Besiktas defender gets himself sent off this is gonna be tough but it aint over till its over, they need this match if they're gonna win the league, the fans need to make up for the missing man and shake this stadium to its foundations.
                        Comment
                        • SoonerGreg
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 10-16-08
                          • 825

                          #222
                          K,
                          Where you at? I'm leaning Man U -140 tomorrow. Who are you on?
                          -SG
                          Comment
                          • Karayilan9
                            Restricted User
                            • 01-10-09
                            • 3742

                            #223
                            I been on a short vacation SoonerGreg, haven't been able to research and post many plays, I just got back, hope you took Man U! Arsenal didn't stand a chance, I been making serious money off Copa Libertadorees, the books are getting their odds all wrong in these games.

                            Tomorrow there are some nice looking Uefa and Copa games, lets get in some early leans.

                            I'm leaning towards, Under 2.5 in the Dynamo Kiev vs Shakhtar game, also Shakhtar +0.5 or the ML looks tempting, they should not be given odds of +300 / 400. I liked Shakhtar from the beginning of the competition, they have the potential to take this cup and have a great manager Luchescu. However, Kiev have been very impressive aswell and both teams know each other inside out.

                            Over 2.5 in Bremen vs Hamburg game, both teams been scoring goals like they were playing basketball in this competition. However, they played only a week ago and that game ended in a 1-1 draw. Need to look into this game more.


                            Current Record W 73. P 8. L 43
                            Comment
                            • Karayilan9
                              Restricted User
                              • 01-10-09
                              • 3742

                              #224
                              Uefa - Dynamo Kiev vs Shakhtar - Under 2.5 goals / Shakhtar + 0.5 WIN / WIN
                              Comment
                              • OvertimePlease
                                Restricted User
                                • 01-20-09
                                • 409

                                #225
                                what do u think of the werder bremen vs hamburg game? any thoughts?
                                Comment
                                • Karayilan9
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 01-10-09
                                  • 3742

                                  #226
                                  Uefa - Werder Bremen vs Hamburg - Over 2.5 goals

                                  Neither of these two teams posses a defense with which they can park the bus as we have seen in recent Champions League games or todays early Uefa cup game. If Bremen tries to play defensive it would be suicide, same for Hamburg. I see there being a few games in this game and it not being as tight as would be expected in a first leg game. Also I'll sprinkly a little on Hamburg ML @ +400, its worth a small stake.
                                  Comment
                                  • OvertimePlease
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 01-20-09
                                    • 409

                                    #227
                                    damn i wish i had a 2.5 line, i had 2 for dynamo kiev game. but thanks to the keeper for the save
                                    Comment
                                    • Karayilan9
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 01-10-09
                                      • 3742

                                      #228
                                      Did you get a push OvertimePlease? Shakhtar did the business, they could have won it aswell but that would have blown the under so I'm happy either way.

                                      The next Uefa game could be an exciting one, its a shame Petric is injured for Hamburg he's their top scorer. Hamburg were knocked out the cup by Bremen last week so there is a revenge factor aswell on top of the fact they are already rivals.
                                      Comment
                                      • Basten4
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 04-17-09
                                        • 21

                                        #229
                                        I put U 2.5 for Werder-Hamburg at 2.1.
                                        Its a semi-final leg one game, so I think there is value in it. I know both teams are attacking teams, but again, its leg one and i expect the game to be failry closed.
                                        I also bet on Werder Draw No Bet at 1.4
                                        I just don't thing there is value on O 2.5 at 1.65 that I had at my sports book.

                                        On Dynamo vs Shakhtar I am push and a win with Dynamo DNB bet and U 2.5
                                        Comment
                                        • Basten4
                                          SBR Rookie
                                          • 04-17-09
                                          • 21

                                          #230
                                          Karayilan9,
                                          I see that you bet a lot on Turkish league. How well do you know it and what is your record on just the Turkish league?
                                          Comment
                                          • Karayilan9
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 01-10-09
                                            • 3742

                                            #231
                                            Basten4
                                            I put U 2.5 for Werder-Hamburg at 2.1.
                                            Its a semi-final leg one game, so I think there is value in it. I know both teams are attacking teams, but again, its leg one and i expect the game to be failry closed.
                                            I also bet on Werder Draw No Bet at 1.4
                                            I just don't thing there is value on O 2.5 at 1.65 that I had at my sports book.

                                            On Dynamo vs Shakhtar I am push and a win with Dynamo DNB bet and U 2.5
                                            First of all, well done on the under, in the Bremen game

                                            I had the Over 2.5 goals @ 1.8, there was value in the play, the game was open like I thought it would be but when a team can't score they can't score, both Bremen and Hamburg had many chances but couldn't convert them.

                                            The Hamburg ML paid off nicely tho, $200 @ 5, a nice 1000, so I'm not going to complain too much.

                                            Basten4
                                            Karayilan9,
                                            I see that you bet a lot on Turkish league. How well do you know it and what is your record on just the Turkish league?
                                            The Turkish league is one of my specialties, I know it very well and people involved in it. Just from taking advantage of books outside Turkey who still havn't realised Sivasspor is a strong force I have made >$5000.

                                            Weekend is here, lets get some strong plays on the board
                                            Comment
                                            • Basten4
                                              SBR Rookie
                                              • 04-17-09
                                              • 21

                                              #232
                                              Karayilan,

                                              I post all my picks in my spreadsheet. Just chose soccer and don't look at baseball. I know nothing about that game and just goofing around with it.

                                              I have 6 for tomorrow so far. But I have been a bit cold lately.
                                              One pick I want to make but didn't is on Spartak Moscow DNB against Dynamo Moscow. Just can't pull the trigger I guess.

                                              If you know of good matchups on Turkey, let me know. I only know there are 3 power houses there. Galatasaray, Besiktas and Fenerbahce.
                                              I placed a bet on Galatasaray a couple of days ago and was really surprised when they lost to a last place team. Fixed game?

                                              First of all, well done on the under, in the Bremen game
                                              If you watched the game... I got lucky there. It could have easily been a 4:3 game.

                                              Good Luck for tomorrow!
                                              Comment
                                              • Karayilan9
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 01-10-09
                                                • 3742

                                                #233
                                                Basten4
                                                If you know of good matchups on Turkey, let me know. I only know there are 3 power houses there. Galatasaray, Besiktas and Fenerbahce.
                                                I placed a bet on Galatasaray a couple of days ago and was really surprised when they lost to a last place team. Fixed game?
                                                After the big Galatasary vs Fenerbahce derby turned into WW3 they have both been awfull, the bigger they are the harder they fall. Fenerbahce have been terrible all season and I've made alot fading them, Galatasaray had consistant Over 2.5 goals for a long period but ever since the big fight with rivals Fenerbahce they have had serious problems scoring.

                                                Don't be suprised with Galatasary or Fener loosing, drawing or having low scoring games with the most unlikey of teams. If anything take the dogs against them, their seasons are finished, they can't win the league and there are alot of internal problems in the squads.

                                                Besiktas have been on fire the second half of the season, other teams to check are Kayserispor Under 2.5 goal games, Sivasspor Under 2.5 goals and Win/Draws, for example Kayserispor have had in the region of >70% Under 2.5 goal games usually @ odds averaging 1.7/1.8.
                                                Comment
                                                • Karayilan9
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 01-10-09
                                                  • 3742

                                                  #234
                                                  EPL - Chelsea vs Fulham - Under 2.5 goals @ 1.9 / Fulham +1 @ 2.3

                                                  The West London derby, sounds more exciting than it will probably be, Chelsea's League campaign is all but over and Fulham have exceeded expectations. 71% of Fulham away games have been Under 2.5 goals and I think Gus Hiddink will use this game as defensive practice for their game against Barcelona. They can't afford to have a shaky defense today ahead of the big Champions League game but they will rest first team attacking players ahead of the clash.

                                                  EPL - Stoke vs West Ham - Under 2.5 goals @ 1.72

                                                  Both teams have exceeded expectations this season, West Ham is safe, Stoke is almost comfortable and have a great home record. They don't let in many at home or score many, 70% of their home games have ended Under 2.5 goals, West Ham have had trouble finding the net lately especially away. I see Stoke keeping to their game plan and maybe sneaking a win by scoring from a set-piece or one of Delaps super throw ons.

                                                  EPL - Tottenham vs West Brom - Over 2.5 goals @ 1.7


                                                  EPL - Portsmouth vs Arsenal - Under 2.5 goals @ 1.8


                                                  Comment
                                                  • theplagy
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 04-21-09
                                                    • 1915

                                                    #235
                                                    public is pouring on chelsea.

                                                    line moved from -1 to -1/1.5 in like 10 mins
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Karayilan9
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 01-10-09
                                                      • 3742

                                                      #236
                                                      I think Fulham may get a draw here ThePlagy, theres value in the play aswell.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • theplagy
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 04-21-09
                                                        • 1915

                                                        #237
                                                        yes indeed a draw is possible
                                                        I like all the unders except my heavy play is on Tottenham under tho, hate to go against you but GL on the other plays!!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • theplagy
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 04-21-09
                                                          • 1915

                                                          #238
                                                          wow, right after i said that chelsea scored.

                                                          maybe i should just shut up
                                                          Comment
                                                          • theplagy
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-21-09
                                                            • 1915

                                                            #239
                                                            omg fulham tied it up....
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Karayilan9
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 01-10-09
                                                              • 3742

                                                              #240
                                                              Well that didn't go to plan, serves me right for playing too many games.

                                                              Turkish League - Trabzonspor vs Kayserispor - Under 2.5 goals

                                                              Seria A - Bologna vs Reggina- Under 2.5 goals


                                                              Sorry bout the Seria A pick, I thought it started at 7 so I posted it late, game already began


                                                              Comment
                                                              • Karayilan9
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 01-10-09
                                                                • 3742

                                                                #241
                                                                Shakhtar to win UEFA cup +150

                                                                They are the false underdogs here in my opinion, Werder Bremens defense is a real worry so they have had to rely on their attacking force this year aswell as fantastic comebacks. However, the main man involved in all this success has been Diego. If there offense can't pull it off they are in big trouble. Shakhtar are a tight unit with a solid defense and fast counter attack. They are a blend of old school European defense and modern South American attack with a great manager Luchescu.

                                                                Bremen should not be favourites in my opinion, there defense cannot be relied upon and while they still have Pizarro and Ozil in attack not having Diego and Almeida is a huge miss.

                                                                I've been riding Shakhtar throughout this competition and had a futures bet on them to make the final and will stick with my guns again here and take the so-called underdog again (they've been underdogs in every game so far)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Phillth
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 04-09-09
                                                                  • 1785

                                                                  #242
                                                                  im with you on this one. although i see shakhtar getting it done in regulation +170. need shakhtar to finish out a 6 teamer for 5 figures.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Karayilan9
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 01-10-09
                                                                    • 3742

                                                                    #243
                                                                    Phillth, by Shakhtar to win Uefa cup I mean they can win it at any time, normal time, extra time or penalties. Their odds are +200 to win in normal time and I may sprinkle some on that aswell.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Phillth
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 04-09-09
                                                                      • 1785

                                                                      #244
                                                                      I understood that. I guess i got a shit line at my book.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Phillth
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 04-09-09
                                                                        • 1785

                                                                        #245
                                                                        The line just moved to +145 for shakhtar at my book. This makes them the favorite. am i missing some news here?
                                                                        Comment
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