The Karayilan thread

[FreeMason]

I like both of those parlays. good luck to you both. Also might want to take a look at Uruguay at Chile this evening. I think theres good value in taking
Uruguay 0, +0.5
a good win on the weekend, and the recent head-to-head results with chile show alot of draws.

[Karayilan9]

WCQ - Brazil vs Peru - Brazil Win -2 / Over 2.5 goals

Brazil need a win here, they are under pressure for a good result infront of their home crowd and have the perfect chance against a Peru side in bad form especially in away games.

WCQ - USA vs Trinidad - U.S.A -1

[SoonerGreg]

Karaylilan,
My bookie has Brazil -2.5 / Over 3.5 and USA -2 / Over 3
I'm thinking both are to steep. I'm actually going to play USA -430 on ML and was thinking about Mexico +130. What are your thought on these two.

[Karayilan9]

SoonerGreg
Karaylilan,
My bookie has Brazil -2.5 / Over 3.5 and USA -2 / Over 3
I'm thinking both are to steep. I'm actually going to play USA -430 on ML and was thinking about Mexico +130. What are your thought on these two.

If Brazil play anything close to their potential today then there should be goals galore tonight, however, Brazil have not scored a goal in their last 3 home Qualifier games. However, those matches were months ago and in their past 2 friendlies Brazil found their attacking flair against Portugal (scoring 6) and Italy (scoring 2, should have been alot more).

Your bookie seems to have inflated the lines, personally I would look for better value.

I think U.S.A will beat Trinidad today, America have a great home record, winning their last 5 home games! including wins against Sweeden and Mexico.

Mexico in my opinion is the pick with the most risk, they are an unpredictable team with a bad away record, only winning 1 of their last 5 and that was a friendly. However, Mexico are the better team on paper but then again they were against Jamaica but lost to them. Its risky, Mexico should get the job done but I don't think it will be too easy.

[bostonbruins]

Where did you get US -1 ?

[Karayilan9]

You can get it on Bet365 but the odds are dropping, -2 is +100, -1.5 is -140, leaning towards -1.5.

[FreeMason]

Impressed and annoyed with Spain, aha. Scoring in injury time, ruined my Turkey +.5 and under 2.5. Absolute shocker in Bolivia. Argentina got destroyed from the get go.

I wouldn't take Brazil -2.5, that's alot to give up. Though I agree that they should win the game comfortably. Also gotta agree with Kara on the Mexico game. I took Mexico because I see value in taking them in this spot, they are just inconsistent. It's a lil risky, but I'll take a shot at it.

Chile's down to 10 men, so I'm gonna put a few more dollars on Uruguay, through the magical power of in-play betting.

good luck everyone

[Vreston]

I can't believe Italy let threw that win out the window! Ruined my bet.
Anyway I'm waiting for USA and Mexico to see if I can at least get my money back.

[Karayilan9]

WCQ - South Korea vs North Korea - Under 2.5 goals - WIN

WCQ - Liechtenstein vs Russia - Russia -2 - LOSS

WCQ - Saudi Arabia vs U.A.E - Saudi -1 - PUSH

WCQ - Greece vs Israel - Under 2.5 - LOSS

WCQ - Brazil vs Peru - Brazil Win -2 / Over 2.5 goals - WIN / WIN

WCQ - USA vs Trinidad - U.S.A -1 -WIN

[kevinc66]

Brazil at 90' 3-0 and Mexico are losing 2-0 to Honduras. I put in at Argentine and got hammer 6-1. Unbelievable!! Fixed??

Ecuador dram at 10 men Paraguay. What a bummer.!!

Not doing well tonight.

Lost on Argentine. Chile and Ecuador.

[kevinc66]

Anyone have any idea on Costa Rica vs El Salvodor.?? Just don't which team to bet on.

[Karayilan9]

Kevin, Bolivia play at one of the highest altitudes in world soccer much like Ecuador. Team need at least a week or two to acclimatise, this is why Bolivia and Ecuador are so hard to defeat at home. I thought Argentina would have a tough game but 6-1...that's ridiculous, it has to be one of Argentinas worst losses in recent years, plain embarrasing for them.

And if I was playing Costa Rica or El Salvado, it would be Costa Rica but I haven't really looked into the game.

[kevinc66]

Yeah, i was shock. I bet on live betting when the score was 2-1 at 0-0.25

[kevinc66]

Mexico is pathetic. 3-1 to Honduras and red carded. There goes my bet. I bet when the score is 1-0 on 1st half at 0-0.25.

[kevinc66]

My god, something just happened to my bookie website. It's not loading and i wanted to bet on Costa Rica at 0.5 and guess what. Costa just scored 1-0 now. Just my luck.

[Vreston]

Mexico and Italy ruined my bet.
I knew Mexico was an unsteady team and not dependable but they had good odds and I took them bcs I didn't have the chance to play some of the earlier games I was more sure of. I played just to play in other words. Not smart but I did it.
Anyway, better luck next time. This weekend we will have the national championships again.
See you!

[akerber]

brazil is one of the worst team in LA. Please everybody, never bet to brazil win with a lot of margin of goals. yesterday was a joke. second goal luis fabiano was offside. First goal was a penalty kick ridiculous, and third goal was pathetic. Brazil is horrible, and next round against Uruguay, ez bet or uruguay +0.5 or pk +0.5 because brazil will loose.

[Karayilan9]

Akerber
brazil is one of the worst team in LA. Please everybody, never bet to brazil win with a lot of margin of goals. yesterday was a joke. second goal luis fabiano was offside. First goal was a penalty kick ridiculous, and third goal was pathetic. Brazil is horrible, and next round against Uruguay, ez bet or uruguay +0.5 or pk +0.5 because brazil will loose.

The third goal was funny I goto say, I have no idea how one guy through tackles and mishitting the ball manages to run straight past the whole team and score

I wouldn't say Brazil were terrible though, Peru hardly strung an attack together they didn't even take one shot on goal.

[Karayilan9]

EPL - Arsenal vs Man City - Arsenal Win - WIN

There are a few different angles I like for this game.

- Arsenal are on fire at the moment, have Adebayor and Cesc back, now Cesc may not be fully in shape yet but his presence is enough to lift an Arsenal team who already has high morale. Arshavin, Walcott, possibly Nasri, Cesc and Adebayor poses a real attacking threat, add to that Arsenal has one of the best defensive records this half of the year. Only problem is Bentnar and his bent shots, the guy is a liability in my opinion, lets hope he proves me wrong!

- Man City have a bad away record, not won one of their last 5 games and not beaten Arsenal at the Emirates in the past 7 occasions, only managing one draw. They also have some key injuries such as Bellamy and Hughes has decided Robinho and Elano arn't good enough to make the starting line-up tomorrow.

- Arsenal have the motivation factor, they have to keep winning to keep their Champions League spot, however, Man City are relatively safe now and their real chance of silverware is in the UEFA.

- Also Arsenal have a revenge factor, they were humiliated 3-0 by Man City away at the start of the season, now with an in-form team, new additions to the squad and an added motivation drive they will be looking to pay back the favour.

[Pajda]

I like that pick.

Plus Villa is playing ManU ( most likely is going to loose ), which means it gives the Gunners a chance to move further clear in the race for fourth spot.
And you know the difference between CL and UEFA Cup

[Karayilan9]

Bundesliga - Hamburg vs Hoffenheim - Over 2.5 goals - LOSS

Hoffenheim have Salihovic and Obasi back, the squad is returning to the one that was a goal machine earlier in the season. Hamburg have defender Demel possibly injured. Neither team has a solid defense and Hoffenheim only knows how to attack. Hamburg want revenge for getting humiliated earlier in the season, both teams need a win if they are going to be serious title contenders.


Bundesliga - Wolfsburg vs Bayern Munich - Over 2.5 goals - WIN

[akerber]

three great picks. gl to us.

[Karayilan9]

EPL - Fulham vs Liverpool - Liverpool Win - WIN

I like Liverpool for the following reasons.

- Liverpool right now is playing some of the best club football you will see in the world! they have a full squad, no major injuries, moral is high and they have the motivational factor in that they must win this game if they are to challenge for the title.

- Fulham beat Man U, they are safe in the league have a good home record and are tough to beat. However, they won't have the same drive as Liverpool for this game.

- I'm expecting Liverpools big players to step up to the occasion, Gerrard and Torres love the big stage and are big game players, they usually play their best in these situations.

I'm going to carry on riding the Liverpool train which I've been on since they beat Real Madrid Away and if they play anywere near the level they have been playing they will win this. Only problem is Liverpool have done great against big teams but struggled against weaker teams, that's the one thing that causes worry.

[Karayilan9]

Turkish League - Besiktas vs Kayserispor - Besiktas Win - WIN

[Karayilan9]

La Liga - Valladolid vs Barcelona - Barcelona Win / Over 2.5 - WIN / LOSS

[Karayilan9]

5-2 today, not bad, Liverpool made me sweat for the money tho

Overall record. W 56. P 6. L 31

[Karayilan9]

Scottish Premier League - Falkirk vs Rangers - Rangers -1 - PUSH

[Karayilan9]

EPL - Everton vs Wigan - Under 2.5 goals - LOSS

Wigan's key striker Zaki is out and attacker Valencia is injured, Wigan don't score many goals as it is so without these players and other South American players comming back from international duty they could find it harder than usual. Everton's Cahil is a match time decision but they do have Jo and Saha. Both teams have a good solid defense and Im expecting a tight game.

[Karayilan9]

EPL - Manchester United vs Aston Villa - Villa +1 - PUSH

This match could be closer than people are making out, neither team is in form, Man U have Berbatov, Rooney, Scholes, Vidic out, Tevez is comming back from getting a hiding in the mountains of Bolivia and team moral is low. Villa havn't won since they exited the Uefa cup but in my opinion Villa do better when less is expected from them. They play their best football away due to their set-up, they are a good counter-attacking team who have very fast players to hit teams on the break. This is why they do better in away games when teams come onto them.

United have huge pressure on them, now usually they respond well and infact havn't lost 3 games in a row since 2001, however, I don't think they have the players today to step up to the challenge apart from Giggs and Ferdinand alot of todays players arn't big match players in my opinion.

Both teams have alot of motivation to win this game but the hardcore pressure is on Man U and I think Villa may suprise them today and even sneak a win.

Its a risky one but I'm going with it.

[Karayilan9]

La Liga - Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna - Atletico Win / Over 2.5 - LOSS / WIN

[Karayilan9]

Champions League - Manchester United vs Porto - Porto +1.5 +110 !!! BIG WIN !!!

Porto are being really underestimated here, Man U have not been impressive while Porto have been on fire. If Man U play anything like they have recently there could be a shock tonight. Now Man U should win at home but their is alot of value in Porto +1.5 who have nothing to loose. I expect a tight game were mistakes could prove very costly.

[Karayilan9]

Porto deserved the Win in that game, they were totally underestimated, I have been watching them most of the season and they did not deserve odds of +1000 against an over-rated Man U side full of inflated ego's. I will keep on fading Man U were I see such value, they don't deserve the odds but will keep getting them thanks to the Squares.

Great night! had £1000 riding on it
Overall record. W 58. P 8. L 33

[Dfjay9]

What site do you bet with?

[FreeMason]

great call on Porto, congrats.

[Karayilan9]

Djfay9
What site do you bet with?

Betfair give the best odds in soccer, other than that I use Bet365 for their range of in-game betting.

Freemason
great call on Porto, congrats.

Thanks bro there's some tasty looking games tomorrow and in the UEFA aswell.