Drama's picks

[Calisthenics_85]

[QUOTE=Johndrama;18691828]I am not Mightye, I am however a huge fan of the man's work and I always check his plays and would never dare go against him, after all, norway is his playground.

Yes couldn´t agree w/ you more, he definitely knows his stuff!!

[Johndrama]

adding in play : molde -0.5 (1-2) @ 1.8, 0.75u
bryne -0.5 (0-0) @2.1, 0.75u

[Johndrama]

Doing very poorly in live choices lately...wanted to go 1u each, lucky I didnt.

Damn Sandness getting my hopes up, I was done with the bet when we were down 2-0 but then they started playing very well, unfortunately not well enough. I'm pissed that I took Halstad to score anytime when actually I wanted Hoiland, I don't know what the hell I thought, I even wrote here Halstad but didnt realize. Oh well...

I'm inclined to take volendam dnb live, or perhaps GA eagles who are looking very good so far. I have an eye on grasshoppers, Sion with huge internal conflicts, changes of managers, players being banned from the stadium, U21 players in the lineup, just total chaos. I'll have to watch the game then maybe take a shot at the -0.25 line.

[Johndrama]

bravo, what should've been a penalty for brugge was one for waregem and a red card ...GTFO

3u +0.75 club brugge (1-0)

[Gamblan]

Anyone know why Molde are doing so bad this season?

[Akatana]

Boy wtf is waregem doing, can we tell them to slow down and let Brugge get a couple in the net please? LLol really need a miracle from Brugge in the 2nd half.....gosh

[Akatana]

Ok that's better Brugge waking up

[Johndrama]

yeah, wanted to throw another 2u on both to score, but decided not to spew. Sad ending to an otherwise good day

[Akatana]

yeah, wanted to throw another 2u on both to score, but decided not to spew. Sad ending to an otherwise good day

Yeah man, they just can't stop conceding oh well....another day in the office, no biggie

[Johndrama]

Summary 5/16/2013

Sandness -0.5 @3.4; 1.5u Own goal -> yes @11, 0.15u // Helstad anytime goal scorer, 0.8u @ 2.75 // Thorsteinsson anytime goalscorer 0.5u @ 4.5 -> Loss -2.95
Mjondalen -> away win @1.9, 2u -> win +1.8
Brondby -0.5; 2.5u -> win +2.75
Randers +0.25; 1.25u -> win +1.25
Lokeren +1.25; 1u -> loss -1
Club brugge +0; 2.5u -> loss -2.5
molde -0.5 (1-2) @ 1.8, 0.75u -> -0.75
bryne -0.5 (0-0) @2.1, 0.75u -> -0.75
3u +0.75 club brugge (1-0) -> -3

shame I had to ruin the danish picks. My only regret is I didnt take the both to score @ club brugge, very attractive odds. Lokeren missed a penalty but I had that coming, I knew anderlecht would burry them, I tried being a smartass with a team that has never won at home vs anderlecht.

Overall : -5,15

[andyrocha90]

Feel u on brugge, really thought they would win. Oh wells

[stemellor]

Shame. That Brondby pick in particular was excellent.

[Johndrama]

Man, baseball has to be the funniest and dumbest sport I've ever seen, I've been betting on it for 2 years and I still don't know half the rules. Got so bored last night, wanted to bet on something, was between NBA and MLB, but the nba forums are like a religion debate, people yelling at eachother and virtually stabbing one another, so I went to the mlb like what up I have money to throw. Did some reading then chose red sox, cincinnati and san francisco. Ofc all my teams were down since the 1st inning so I said fukc it, lets watch some NBA. Got back to check some scores, san francisco led by 6, red sox by 2 and cincinnati was shockingly leading. Now the funny part is, cincinnati had 13+ odds to win, red sox 8+; both won. I'd say I'm lucky but from 20 bets I made on the mlb, 5 of those were at some point a 11+ dog to win, and all of those rivered it. This never happens in football, actually never, two teams set at even odds, if one leads 2-0 the other turns to a 15 dog, and that dog doesnt win that game 1 in 15. Funny night.

Enough monkey business. 5/17/2013 plays :

Real Madrid - Alt. Madrid
I'll go McHammer on real, I don't care about the internal problems real has, the odds are too good. I'll take the -0.75 for 3u and wait live for the over 2.5 for another 3u. Taking specials on this one: Falcao anytime scorer @ 2.2; 0.2u // Real madrid to win from behind @ 7; 0.2 // Real to score in both halves @ 2.1; 0.3u.

CFR Cluj -Concordia Chiajna -> 1u + 0.5 @1.95. CFR is feeling generous in these last games, they're done for this season, they don't care anymore, what is done is done, they'll regroup next season and try to win the league and qualify for the CL. They are mixing things again, adding a lot of youngsters to the squad. Concordia did very well against petrolul, petrolul had some missings but they were not the better side that day. I'm adding 0.5u on the over 2.5 @ 2.1. Should be a game similar to the cfr- iasi game.

Niort - Nimes. Niort is in the danger zone, could use the points, while nimes are done, failed to secure a better position. Niort is a much better home side than the stats currently suggest, they like to draw a lot but today they should be motivated to do more than that.
Niort -0.5 @1.85; 1u

Le havre - Laval. I'm leaning on Laval to win here, they were unlucky these past games, having to face to top of the league being away and then losing to relegated ajaccio. It will be an extremely hard game as they are missing some attackers and I wish the odds would be better but I'll try my luck here.
Laval -0.5 @3.25 0.5u

Monaco - Le mans. There is no value on monaco, they are obviously the better team, higher quality of players, a lot more budget and all that but now that they're promoted, the club is bringing big guns and most of the remaining players will not stay, so I consider them less motivated. I'd say they have a 48% chance to win and 48% chance to draw, so the value is on the draw. Their last results were more lucky than deserved, a last minute win against nimes who were red carded for half the game, a lost to caen and overall weak performance.
Monaco - Le Mans , draw @ 3.9, 0.5u

Chateauroux - Caen, draw @ 3.2, 0.5u -> throwing a dart, I consider chateauroux to be very solid at home and caen also a very solid away team. Expecting a draw.

Adding a 1u parlay, chateauroux +0.5 + Niort +0 @ 1.92

[stemellor]

Man, baseball has to be the funniest and dumbest sport I've ever seen, I've been betting on it for 2 years and I still don't know half the rules. Got so bored last night, wanted to bet on something, was between NBA and MLB, but the nba forums are like a religion debate, people yelling at eachother and virtually stabbing one another, so I went to the mlb like what up I have money to throw. Did some reading then chose red sox, cincinnati and san francisco. Ofc all my teams were down since the 1st inning so I said fukc it, lets watch some NBA. Got back to check some scores, san francisco led by 6, red sox by 2 and cincinnati was shockingly leading. Now the funny part is, cincinnati had 13+ odds to win, red sox 8+; both won. I'd say I'm lucky but from 20 bets I made on the mlb, 5 of those were at some point a 11+ dog to win, and all of those rivered it. This never happens in football, actually never, two teams set at even odds, if one leads 2-0 the other turns to a 15 dog, and that dog doesnt win that game 1 in 15. Funny night.

You're absolutely right. High scoring games the odds fluctuate wildly in play. Don't know if you remember the NBA Sunday Showcase with the Heat Vs Knicks and Clippers Vs OKC? Both Heat and Clippers were down +10 at half time. ML odds went to around 18-19/1 in-play. Heat went on to win and Clippers came back to take the lead (but ultimately lose). Both were still well in with a shout of winning and the odds went crazy. Easy money to play a large stake in this situation, wait for the comeback and then either be brave and hang on for the result, or just cash-out when the scores are close for a guaranteed profit.

BOL with your picks today

[Johndrama]

I don't remember the games, I rarely watch NBA.
THanks, good luck to you too

[Johndrama]

I've been tricked, CFR is at full strength, adding 0.75u cfr -0.5 @ 1.9. Rarely I do this idiotic move of going against my own bet, but I don't see concordia holding

[Johndrama]

Adding malmo -0.5 @2.1; 0.5u 34' (0-0). I liked this pick before but wanted to see how the teams play. Taking it small because I've been unlucky when backing malmo

Adding viborg to win @ 12; 0.2u (2-0) 34'. I'm curious if the match will resemble that with vetsjaelland where they were behind 2-0 and came back to win

[Johndrama]

I'm starting to believe the FF from Malmo stands for Filthy Fukcers.
adding mersin +0 @1.8 (0-2) 0.25u, over 3.5 ; 0.25u @ 1.85

[Vaughany]

wanted to play the over live in Mersin game as well but Pinnacle dont have it up Theyve had loads of chances by looks of it

[Akatana]

Is Gent good to win tomorrow you think? I want to add them to my parlay. They seem good...............

[Smoove]

I'm starting to believe the FF from Malmo stands for Filthy Fukcers.
adding mersin +0 @1.8 (0-2) 0.25u, over 3.5 ; 0.25u @ 1.85

Well, they do have a paedophile in their team (Miiko Albornoz).

[Johndrama]

Well, they do have a paedophile in their team (Miiko Albornoz).

Ha, didn't know that.

@Akatana : don't know what to say, as you've seen belgians tend to be inconsistent, but I'm just saying, haven't checked lineups, missings, nothing

[Johndrama]

adding 1u -0.75 dinamo zagreb (1-0) @2.05 59'

[Johndrama]

over 2.5 real madrid - alt madrid, 2u @ 1.9 (0-0) 10'

[Akatana]

Ha, didn't know that.

@Akatana : don't know what to say, as you've seen belgians tend to be inconsistent, but I'm just saying, haven't checked lineups, missings, nothing

Thanks man, All the best with the plays today and tomorrow.
I think the belgians are fairly consistent imo, but thats just my opinion, i dont know belgian football as good as you do.

[Johndrama]

god fukcing damnit, I hit everything in the damn ligue 2 just to have it all donated to these tomato pickers

[Johndrama]

Summary 17/5/2013

Real Madrid - Alt. Madrid -0.75 for 3u // over 2.5 for 2u -> Loss 5u

CFR Cluj -Concordia Chiajna -> 1u + 0.5 @1.95 -> Won +0.95
0.5u on the over 2.5 @ 2.1 -> Loss -0.5
Niort -0.5 @1.85; 1u -> Won +0.85
Laval -0.5 @3.25 0.5u -> Won + 1.125
Monaco - Le Mans , draw @ 3.9, 0.5u -> Loss -0.5

Chateauroux - Caen, draw @ 3.2, 0.5u -> Won + 1.1
1u parlay, chateauroux +0.5 + Niort +0 @ 1.92 -> Won +0.92
0.75u cfr -0.5 @ 1.9 -> Loss -0.75
malmo -0.5 @2.1; 0.5u 34' (0-0) -> Loss -0.5
viborg to win @ 12; 0.2u (2-0) 34' -> Loss -0.2
mersin +0 @1.8 (0-2) 0.25u, over 3.5 ; 0.25u @ 1.85 -> +0
1u -0.75 dinamo zagreb (1-0) @2.05 59' -> Won +1
Overall : -1.505

[stemellor]

Unlucky. You've played and won games that I couldn't get an angle on. Just 1 big loss.

[Johndrama]

Big day today, I have 3 leagues I want to conquer : bundesliga, turkish liga, romanian league.

I always like to get poetic before these big fights but there isnt much to say today. The CL finalists are all full squad, Klopp has some sympathy for augsburg and I'll think he'll send hoffenheim packing. Augsburg deserve their place in the bundesliga and I strongly believe they will fight hard today, I can't trust them to cover the ah though so I'll make a sucker parlay.

Augsburg, dortmund, bayern @ 2.67; 1u.

Dortmund -1.5; 2u // Dortmund -2.5 @ 3.25; 0.7u

Bayern -1.5; 2u.

I also like leverkusen to go over, but not at these odds, might come once its live. I do favor stuttgart to win, I fell in love with them after their 4-4 draw at dortmund last season, they went through some minor squad changes which honestly made them a little weaker but they still can get impressive results and I do hope they will end this season with a good display for the fans. Risky bet but I'll take them

Stuttgart -0.5 @ 1.9; 1u.

will do some live plays once the games start and I'll come back with my romanian plays

[Johndrama]

buahahah, I love these kind of days, whistle blown, freuther furth penalty, M'glad 2-0

[Johndrama]

Ok, onto the romanian league.

Pandurii - Brasov. There is no value in pandurii at those odds, I doubt there ever was even at 1.5, I think they will win but it might be harder for them to cover. Big pressure on them, while brasov can play stress free football. No play pre game but I'll try to play the over 2.5 at better odds live ( currently at 1.8 I think ) and the both to score if I get 2.5, now at 2.1.

Petrolul - Astra. Derby with a lot at stake. I regret not taking the odds that were available yesterday but there still is value. Astra without their captain and without their in-form striker Budescu. They played at home Rapid Bucuresti with a full squad versus a team mixed with youngsters and you could feel the pressure. They played the first half with barcelona-like possession, managed to be 2-0 at one point then throwing it all away to make it 2-2 then won in extra time with a huge offside goal. Petrolul retrieve today their strong dutch striker Bokila and important defender Geraldo.

My bets : Petrolul -0.5 @1.9 2u;
Petrolul -1.5 @ 3.35; 0.5u
Over 2.5 @ 1.95; 1u
Petrolul over 1.5 @1.9; 1u.

[Johndrama]

Adding in-play, Pandurii -1 @1.85 (0-1) 30'; 2u
Bayern -1 (3-2) HT @ 1.9; 1u

[Akatana]

Ok, onto the romanian league.

Pandurii - Brasov. There is no value in pandurii at those odds, I doubt there ever was even at 1.5, I think they will win but it might be harder for them to cover. Big pressure on them, while brasov can play stress free football. No play pre game but I'll try to play the over 2.5 at better odds live ( currently at 1.8 I think ) and the both to score if I get 2.5, now at 2.1.

Petrolul - Astra. Derby with a lot at stake. I regret not taking the odds that were available yesterday but there still is value. Astra without their captain and without their in-form striker Budescu. They played at home Rapid Bucuresti with a full squad versus a team mixed with youngsters and you could feel the pressure. They played the first half with barcelona-like possession, managed to be 2-0 at one point then throwing it all away to make it 2-2 then won in extra time with a huge offside goal. Petrolul retrieve today their strong dutch striker Bokila and important defender Geraldo.

My bets : Petrolul -0.5 @1.9 2u;
Petrolul -1.5 @ 3.35; 0.5u
Over 2.5 @ 1.95; 1u
Petrolul over 1.5 @1.9; 1u.

Hey man BOL today lots of action. Wolfsburg are putting a smile on my face for now lol @ those odds.
I'm tailing the romanian plays, for Petrolul i went for the ML.

[Johndrama]

yeah, gonna need a lot of luck. The curse of the parlay kicks in, again...dortmund just don't care

[Akatana]

Unlucky with Dortmund, i was inches close to taking them myself but i backed off.

BOL with our romanian's.....if Pandurii looses i might just go mental today