The Seer's 2012 NCAAF & NFL thread

**The Seer** · 09-13-12, 06:57 PM

Originally posted by Lazyboy311

Seer- what are the thoughts on tonight's NFL? All the "smart" money seems to be coming in on CHI (and rightfully so, given wk 1 stats) but my gut keeps telling me GB at -5 is a gift. Where do you stand on this?

I liked Chicago at 6. I hate the number 5.

**opie1988** · 09-13-12, 07:02 PM

Originally posted by The Seer

I liked Chicago at 6. I hate the number 5.

Good luck, Seer. Looking forward to your thoughts this weekend, pal.

**Lazyboy311** · 09-13-12, 07:16 PM

Originally posted by The Seer

I liked Chicago at 6. I hate the number 5.

Agreed. 6-6.5 would be play on CHI but I gotta take GB for a small taste at -5. Off two key numbers, home opener vs rival they have dominated, and facing a weaker D than the one they faced last week. Big Aaron Rogers "F you haters" game.

Either way, BOL all

**The Seer** · 09-13-12, 07:30 PM

I'm gonna try and catch a live line at 6 or better. GB is having trouble with more physical teams. Their last 2 games vs NYG and SF, they were beat up in the trenches.

**The Seer** · 09-13-12, 08:16 PM

live bet Chicago +6 -115 1 unit

**Lazyboy311** · 09-13-12, 09:08 PM

Anyone think a 2nd half partial hedge is smart at CHI +1/2 for half my wager at GB -5 is worth it? Generally never ever bet against a good looking ticket but a cushion this big for the middle looks hard to resist...thoughts?

**The Seer** · 09-13-12, 09:13 PM

Originally posted by Lazyboy311

Anyone think a 2nd half partial hedge is smart at CHI +1/2 for half my wager at GB -5 is worth it? Generally never ever bet against a good looking ticket but a cushion this big for the middle looks hard to resist...thoughts?

I probably would

**Lazyboy311** · 09-13-12, 09:23 PM

Originally posted by The Seer

I probably would

Done. Thanks for the input

**jihadvillager** · 09-13-12, 09:40 PM

cutler is such a douche

**Lazyboy311** · 09-13-12, 09:54 PM

Originally posted by jihadvillager

cutler is such a douche

Correction: douche w/a hot ass gf/baby mama

**Lazyboy311** · 09-13-12, 10:04 PM

Self-Correction:
OK, he's just a douche. Douchey douchey douche douche douche

**jjgold** · 09-14-12, 05:14 AM

Never ever bet Cutler

A big time loser

**The Seer** · 09-14-12, 05:40 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

Never ever bet Cutler

A big time loser

No doubt goldie. I'm gonna pass on tonight's game. I don't see any reason to blow a unit on a game just for action like I did last night. I should have a good card tomorrow. I'll finish up on a couple of write ups and total up what's been played this season so far before the morning games. Good luck guys

**chaseman** · 09-14-12, 06:51 PM

Cutler stops playing when his offensive line lets him get sacked 11 times. Tough game to watch

**19th Hole** · 09-14-12, 06:59 PM

Originally posted by chaseman

Cutler stops playing when his offensive line lets him get sacked 11 times. Tough game to watch

Da Bears

**jjgold** · 09-14-12, 07:02 PM

Originally posted by The Seer

No doubt goldie. I'm gonna pass on tonight's game. I don't see any reason to blow a unit on a game just for action like I did last night. I should have a good card tomorrow. I'll finish up on a couple of write ups and total up what's been played this season so far before the morning games. Good luck guys

**jihadvillager** · 09-14-12, 07:08 PM

nothing wrong with a pass! have a good night Seer- i'm looking forward to your card for tomorrow!

**The Seer** · 09-15-12, 10:43 AM

still working on the rest of the games

early games:
Oklahoma St -23 1/2 -110 2 units
LA Monroe +16 -110 1 unit

**Chi_archie** · 09-15-12, 10:46 AM

let's get it Seer!

**The Seer** · 09-15-12, 10:53 AM

Originally posted by Chi_archie

let's get it Seer!

**Coolcanuck79** · 09-15-12, 10:55 AM

GL Seer. Tailing the OK ST pick.

**The Seer** · 09-15-12, 11:03 AM

Originally posted by Coolcanuck79

GL Seer. Tailing the OK ST pick.

GL to us.

**The Seer** · 09-15-12, 12:43 PM

some 2nd half bets on early games:

I originally had a lean on Kansas but decided not to play it. After the first half, I feel they have a shot at the upset.
2nd half Kansas +7 1/2 -115 1 unit

2nd half Ark St/Neb over 28.5 -110 2 units
Ark St can't tackle today and Nebraska has the 115th ranked defense in the country. ASU has put up the majority of their points on the season in the 2nd half.

**The Seer** · 09-15-12, 12:50 PM

also adding:

2nd half Cal +7 -110 1 unit
They looked to have settled in after the 1st quarter plus you are getting a TD.

**Cuse4tw** · 09-15-12, 12:57 PM

took under in that nebraska game and maybe regretting it now...just think theyll call off the dogs

**Cuse4tw** · 09-15-12, 02:04 PM

damn dude you shouldve hit that over....cant believe arkansas st head coach basically gave up that last drive. Run after run after run while down 30

**sneakerhead** · 09-15-12, 02:05 PM

Originally posted by Cuse4tw

damn dude you shouldve hit that over....cant believe arkansas st head coach basically gave up that last drive. Run after run after run while down 30

Yea pretty much, the chopblock didnt help either

**sneakerhead** · 09-15-12, 02:08 PM

That run kinda gave hope

**Cuse4tw** · 09-15-12, 02:12 PM

cant believe arkansas didnt score that fumble return either...he kind of just tumbled to the ground. very embarrassing to just quit like that

**The Seer** · 09-15-12, 02:14 PM

that whole last 6 or 7 min was a fukkin joke.

**Cuse4tw** · 09-15-12, 02:18 PM

how do you look your team the eye as a coach when your down that much and keep calling runs basically telling them its over.

lets get them for the 330 seer

**jihadvillager** · 09-15-12, 02:21 PM

cannot believe that over didnt hit. lot of games left today ! lets get it

**The Seer** · 09-15-12, 02:23 PM

2:30 central games:

Arkansas +20 -110 1 unit
Ark/Bama under 51 -110 1 unit
SMU +10 -110 1 unit
Northwestern -4 -110 1 unit
Navy +6 1/2 2 units
I actually did a video with Loshak on this but I guess SBR decided not to put it up.
East Carolina +7 -110 2 units
Fla International +14 1/2 -110 2 units

good luck

**The Seer** · 09-15-12, 02:39 PM

Ark/ Bama
Ark will not take alot of risks in the passing game today. Saban just wants to get out with a win. They will primarily use the ground game to keep his QB out of harms way. I look for it to go under and +20 is alot of points in a lower scoring game.

SMU- A&M is coming off an emotional game where they gave max effort and this is basically a letdown situation on the road.

Northwestern- I basically think they will outscore BC & by more than a TD

Navy- I gave a few reasons in a vid I did with SBR, not enough time to prepare for option for PSU and 2 weeks for Navy.

East Carolina- I actually think they win straight up but love the TD cushion.

Florida International- this was a game that I got a tip on.

**jihadvillager** · 09-15-12, 02:45 PM

Thanks for the picks seer!- rough start on some afternoon games. we need some backdoor love. at least there are a lot of games left today/tm