Obama's White Support Is Too Low to Win

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  • no gnu taxes
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 08-18-11
    • 805

    #1
    Obama's White Support Is Too Low to Win


    President Obama does not currently have enough white support to win re-election even if he retains his minority base from 2008.

    Today, fewer whites back Obama than any Democratic candidate since Walter Mondale. Romney does not need to emulate Ronald Reagan to win. Should he match Reagan’s share of the white vote in 1984 -- presuming all else remains constant since 2008 -- Romney would rout Obama.

    The white margin to watch: 61-39. That’s the rough break-even point. Obama likely needs more than 39 percent of whites to assure re-election. Romney likely needs at least 61 percent of whites to assure Obama’s defeat (or 60.5 in some scenerios). These are estimates based on an electorate that matches the diversity of 2008 or is slightly less white. It presumes the Electoral College outcome does not diverge from the winner of the popular vote (loose talk aside, it’s only happened four times in U.S. history).
  • Sam Odom
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-30-05
    • 58063

    #2
    whitey is a racist
    Comment
    • TC Woods
      SBR MVP
      • 12-17-11
      • 1780

      #3
      Originally posted by no gnu taxes
      http://www.realclearpolitics.com/art...hn_114579.html

      President Obama does not currently have enough white support to win re-election even if he retains his minority base from 2008.

      Today, fewer whites back Obama than any Democratic candidate since Walter Mondale. Romney does not need to emulate Ronald Reagan to win. Should he match Reagan’s share of the white vote in 1984 -- presuming all else remains constant since 2008 -- Romney would rout Obama.

      The white margin to watch: 61-39. That’s the rough break-even point. Obama likely needs more than 39 percent of whites to assure re-election. Romney likely needs at least 61 percent of whites to assure Obama’s defeat (or 60.5 in some scenerios). These are estimates based on an electorate that matches the diversity of 2008 or is slightly less white. It presumes the Electoral College outcome does not diverge from the winner of the popular vote (loose talk aside, it’s only happened four times in U.S. history).
      yer pathetic
      Comment
      • KingJD31
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 11-04-11
        • 8167

        #4
        Who will be the first to take the internet to serious? Golfrulz? Thor?
        Comment
        • King Mayan
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 09-22-10
          • 21326

          #5
          Welfare- homo-Greeks.
          Comment
          • InTheDrink
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-23-09
            • 23983

            #6
            Op is the worst poster on sbr hands down

            At least nitwits like baskets like and talk about sports. Shit I've even seen Brent crude, the second worst poster talk sports on here.
            Comment
            • KingJD31
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 11-04-11
              • 8167

              #7
              Originally posted by King Mayan
              Welfare- homo-Greeks.
              Mayan stop this internet bullying is going to far
              Comment
              • PickWinnerAllDay
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 08-31-11
                • 12722

                #8
                Black people and minorities just vote for Obama based on his skin color.

                Comment
                • King Mayan
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 09-22-10
                  • 21326

                  #9
                  White people have been voting 100% for white presidents, 200+ years...

                  now they cry about the blacks doing the same for their own race.....

                  dumbfukk hypocrites...
                  Comment
                  • Sam Odom
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-30-05
                    • 58063

                    #10
                    Originally posted by King Mayan

                    White people have been even voting 100% for white presidents, 200+ years...

                    Comment
                    • DwightShrute
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-17-09
                      • 103420

                      #11
                      Dumb isn't a color thing. They aren't gonna vote for him just because he is black. Many did last time because the were sucked into all the ******* lies with hope and change that never happened. They will not vote for failure this time. Those are the smart ones. Dumb ones will vote for another 4 years of failure.
                      Comment
                      • TC Woods
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-17-11
                        • 1780

                        #12
                        Dumb ones will vote for another 4 years of failure.
                        Agree with that, they'll vote for Romney
                        Comment
                        • DwightShrute
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-17-09
                          • 103420

                          #13
                          Originally posted by TC Woods
                          Agree with that, they'll vote for Romney

                          Romney is 1000X more successful that Obama can ever hope to be. Support failure all you want. That should be his new campaign slogan ..... SUPPORT FAILURE 2012
                          Comment
                          • d2bets
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 08-10-05
                            • 39995

                            #14
                            Originally posted by DwightShrute
                            Romney is 1000X more successful that Obama can ever hope to be. Support failure all you want. That should be his new campaign slogan ..... SUPPORT FAILURE 2012
                            Depends how you define success.
                            Comment
                            • frizzelli
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 08-06-10
                              • 8916

                              #15
                              Saloon this thread noone gives a fuk.
                              Comment
                              • PAULYPOKER
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 12-06-08
                                • 36581

                                #16
                                Originally posted by DwightShrute


                                Romney is 1000X more successful that Obama can ever hope to be. Support failure all you want. That should be his new campaign slogan ..... SUPPORT FAILURE 2012
                                What does this have to do with anything on how he will lead?

                                Do you think somehow he will spread his secrets of wealth to the people?

                                The only people he will help are the ones who are backing him........
                                Comment
                                • DwightShrute
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-17-09
                                  • 103420

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by d2bets
                                  Depends how you define success.
                                  ... the economy isn't getting better, trillions more debt with no end in sight, healthcare about to be overturned by the supreme court, lies after lies and the level of hatred and uncoperation between the 2 parties is unprecedented.

                                  Every thing King Obama ran for in 2008 is worse today. Success and Obama therefor cannot be synonymous.
                                  Comment
                                  • MC PICKS
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 01-10-10
                                    • 6644

                                    #18
                                    Only people who wil be voting for obama this time around are minorities and people who are on some kind of government assistance, unemployment, welfare etc.. Anyone who owns a home (that they paid for or are able to pay for), has a job that pays a fair wage or runs a business would be a fool to vote for this clown cause he is basically stealing from you. In 2008 obama was a novelty, many dumbfukks said "hey lets vote for the black guy cause it will be the cool thing to do", we all see how well that worked out for you idiots, it'll be the last time we make that mistake again hopefully. Id rather have a guy in office who can do the job versus a guy with a good jumpshot. Lets look at some previous presidents resumes and qualifications.

                                    Reagan
                                    Military 37-45
                                    Governor 67-75

                                    Bush Sr
                                    Congressman 67-71
                                    Ambassador 71-73
                                    RNC chair 73-74
                                    CIA director 76-77
                                    Vice president 81-89

                                    Clinton
                                    Attorney general 77-79
                                    Governor 79-81, 83-92

                                    Bush Jr
                                    Air national guard 68-74
                                    Owner texas rangers 89-98 (invested 800k and was bought out for 15 million)
                                    Governor 95-00

                                    Obama
                                    Community organizer 85-88
                                    Senator 05-08 (didnt finish his freshman term)

                                    So you see that everyone of his predecesors for the last 30 years had experience either running a busniess, a state or served in the military. Hes never ran anything before so why do people expect him to be able to run the worlds biggest economy, hes completely unqualified, he was basically an affirmative action hire when you get right down to it.
                                    Comment
                                    • frogsrangers
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 04-25-12
                                      • 5792

                                      #19
                                      My boss is a black conservative, and he grew up in the projects of Detroit. Saw first hand what liberalism is and how democrat policies are intended to keep black people poor and dependent on government.

                                      Said he feared Obama getting elected because even though he wanted a black president to be elected one day, that if an incompetent black president was elected and did a bad job it would set back the prospects of good black president for decades. He said if there is going to be a black president, it better be a good one, dont just elect a black president to elect a black president. Otherwise blacks will look bad.

                                      Said he knows other black conservatives/Republicans who voted for Obama because he was black, suckered in by the whole race aspect thinking Obama would be some kind of do-it-all centrist who could fix everything and put their principles and convictions to the side.

                                      Hopefully these black conservatives learned their lesson.
                                      Comment
                                      • Chimneyfish
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-30-10
                                        • 1217

                                        #20
                                        What would it take for black voters to not vote for Obama?
                                        Comment
                                        • frogsrangers
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 04-25-12
                                          • 5792

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by ** PICKS
                                          Only people who wil be voting for obama this time around are minorities and people who are on some kind of government assistance, unemployment, welfare etc.. Anyone who owns a home (that they paid for or are able to pay for), has a job that pays a fair wage or runs a business would be a fool to vote for this clown cause he is basically stealing from you. In 2008 obama was a novelty, many dumbfukks said "hey lets vote for the black guy cause it will be the cool thing to do", we all see how well that worked out for you idiots, it'll be the last time we make that mistake again hopefully. Id rather have a guy in office who can do the job versus a guy with a good jumpshot. Lets look at some previous presidents resumes and qualifications.
                                          Careful with this line of thinking. A lot of Obama's support is coming from young single women who vote strictly on social issues such as abortion, contraception, etc.

                                          Obama could single handedly run the economy to the ground and kill a live baby on TV but young single liberal women would still vote for him because he supports abortion and gay rights.

                                          Look at the polls and look at the gender gap. Obama is winning women by 20 points but Romney is winning men by 20 points. Men vote with their pocketbooks, women vote with their feelings.
                                          Comment
                                          • MC PICKS
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 01-10-10
                                            • 6644

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by frogsrangers
                                            Careful with this line of thinking. A lot of Obama's support is coming from young single women who vote strictly on social issues such as abortion, contraception, etc.

                                            Obama could single handedly run the economy to the ground and kill a live baby on TV but young single liberal women would still vote for him because he supports abortion and gay rights.

                                            Look at the polls and look at the gender gap. Obama is winning women by 20 points but Romney is winning men by 20 points. Men vote with their pocketbooks, women vote with their feelings.
                                            Its ridiculous how hes brainwashed women into thinking birth control is a right and that it should be paid for by someone else.
                                            Comment
                                            • frogsrangers
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 04-25-12
                                              • 5792

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by ** PICKS
                                              Its ridiculous how hes brainwashed women into thinking birth control is a right and that it should be paid for by someone else.
                                              Exactly, Rush was 100% right about that girl being a slut

                                              If you want to be paid for having sex, you are a prostitute.

                                              Birth control is not a right, if you can't exercise self control and keep your legs together than you should have to pay for it yourself
                                              Comment
                                              • ChalkyDog
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 10-02-11
                                                • 9598

                                                #24
                                                White people are on the track to be the minority in this country.
                                                Comment
                                                • ChalkyDog
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 10-02-11
                                                  • 9598

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by frogsrangers
                                                  Exactly, Rush was 100% right about that girl being a slut

                                                  If you want to be paid for having sex, you are a prostitute.

                                                  Birth control is not a right, if you can't exercise self control and keep your legs together than you should have to pay for it yourself
                                                  Sorry, disagree. I will pay for the prescription myself to keep dumb people from breeding. Population control is a must, especially among the welfare group.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • PickWinnerAllDay
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 08-31-11
                                                    • 12722

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Sam Odom
                                                    The guy either can't think or is trolling. I can't tell which it is.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • PickWinnerAllDay
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 08-31-11
                                                      • 12722

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by ChalkyDog
                                                      White people are on the track to be the minority in this country.
                                                      This country is becoming dumber and dumber by the second. The reason is, the dumbest people in the country have 8-14 kids. The smart ones go to college, secure jobs so that they can afford kids, and then have 2-3 kids. Do the math... In 100 years, the IQ in this country will be lower, crime rate will be higher, poverty will be higher, etc.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ChalkyDog
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 10-02-11
                                                        • 9598

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay
                                                        This country is becoming dumber and dumber by the second. The reason is, the dumbest people in the country have 8-14 kids. The smart ones go to college, secure jobs so that they can afford kids, and then have 2-3 kids. Do the math... In 100 years, the IQ in this country will be lower, crime rate will be higher, poverty will be higher, etc.
                                                        Which is the number 1 reason the state should pay for birth control.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • manny24
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 10-22-07
                                                          • 20046

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by KingJD31
                                                          Whats wrong with that? People only elected him cause he's black, if you ask me he's nothing but big lipped chicken eating watermelon sucking nagger.
                                                          also refuses to use aspirin because they are white, they work, and you have to pick cotton to get at them.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Chimneyfish
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-30-10
                                                            • 1217

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by frogsrangers
                                                            Obama could single handedly run the economy to the ground and kill a live baby on TV but young single liberal women would still vote for him because he supports abortion and gay rights.
                                                            Yeah, it's crazy. Liberals tend to not really understand how the economy works ("Rich people are just too greedy"), so they focus entirely on issues that are easy for them to defend, such as gay marriage. With the economy as bad as it is, its amazing that the candidates' stances on gay people and weed are going to end up being central factors in the next election. Presidential elections are now just some kind of American Idol contest where voters make their choices based on image and personality with no regard to policy.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ChalkyDog
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 10-02-11
                                                              • 9598

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Chimneyfish
                                                              Yeah, it's crazy. Liberals tend to not really understand how the economy works ("Rich people are just too greedy"), so they focus entirely on issues that are easy for them to defend, such as gay marriage. With the economy as bad as it is, its amazing that the candidates' stances on gay people and weed are going to end up being central factors in the next election. Presidential elections are now just some kind of American Idol contest where voters make their choices based on image and personality with no regard to policy.
                                                              Are you new here? Been this way for my whole life.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Chimneyfish
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-30-10
                                                                • 1217

                                                                #32
                                                                I'm in my twenties you old fukks
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ChalkyDog
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 10-02-11
                                                                  • 9598

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Chimneyfish
                                                                  I'm in my twenties you old fukks
                                                                  Me too. Hell, even JFK election was a damn American Idol contest.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • PAULYPOKER
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 12-06-08
                                                                    • 36581

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by ChalkyDog

                                                                    Me too. Hell, even JFK election was a damn American Idol contest.
                                                                    If this is true,the judges surely forgot to show up...........
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Shaudius
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-21-10
                                                                      • 1112

                                                                      #35
                                                                      This whole thing may or may not be about race, but it is certainly about trust.

                                                                      A recent Gallup poll found that 11% of those surveyed believe that Obama is a Muslim(18% of people who identify themselves as Republican and 3% of Democrats say he's a Muslim). I can't imagine anyone who believes that Obama is a Muslim voting for him, they can't even trust that he's the religion he says he is. Why would they trust anything that he says at all?

                                                                      But it goes beyond that, 44% said when asked if they could name his faith said, "No" or "Don't know". Some percentage of this group is obviously just not informed enough to know the answer, but there is a certain segment who knows that Obama identifies himself as Christian, and doesn't believe him. As above about the Muslims, its pretty much a certainty if you don't believe Obama when he says he's a Christian, you're not going to vote for him, or believe anything he has to say.

                                                                      This is partially confirmed by the fact that while 37% of people who identify themselves as Democrats can't tell or can't name, 47% of Republicans say the same thing.

                                                                      But I think the most disturbing recent Gallup poll also has to do with religion which found that 46% of Americans believe that human beings were created in their present form some time in the last 10,000 years(the number is 58% among Republicans).

                                                                      P.S. If you're wondering about the rest, 8% say he has no religion and 2% think he's Catholic. And if you're wondering about Romney 57% correctly identified him as a Mormon.
                                                                      Comment
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