Whats the play for Opening night of Bases?

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #36
    Originally posted by LordVodka
    Why is evryone so confident in Johnson? How well did he pitch in spring training?
    He was fine, six runs in 22.1 innings but the most important thing is he showed no ill effects from the shoulder surgery. He has also always been a fast starter in April. http://www.sbrforum.com/mlb-baseball...april-a-24074/ All of that said though, I agree that he is overpriced here.
    Comment
    • Sawyer
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 06-01-09
      • 7874

      #37
      Don't trust too much on starting pitchers in early season. They won't go deep. Bullpen will decide if you win or lose in late innings.

      Miami is likely to win here but no value on ML imo. So passing..No need to rush, more games ahead..
      Comment
      • Smutbucket
        SBR MVP
        • 03-14-08
        • 4036

        #38
        Originally posted by LordVodka
        Why is evryone so confident in Johnson? How well did he pitch in spring training?
        Confident in johnson because ******* DUDE CAN PITCH. JJ = CY YOUNG
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #39
          Originally posted by Smutbucket
          Confident in johnson because ******* DUDE CAN PITCH. JJ = CY YOUNG
          I don't think Vodka was disputing that Johnson is a stud, I think he was more concerned about the after effects of Johnson's injury at this early stage of the year.
          Comment
          • crackerjack
            SBR MVP
            • 08-01-06
            • 3366

            #40
            You can't be afraid to lay big numbers in baseball or you will pass up a lot of winners. That being said this is not a game you should bet IMO. It's just too early to really know for sure. Marlins look real attractive at -140 but not at -170 and I wouldn't touch st Louis just because of the plus number until I see lohse pitch a few games.
            Comment
            • Cougar Bait
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-04-07
              • 18282

              #41
              Brock is foaming at the mouth
              Comment
              • abe74
                SBR High Roller
                • 02-26-12
                • 220

                #42
                Yes Johnson is a stud when healthy, but the Cardinals middle of the order guys Holiday, Berkman and Molina are all hitting at least .300 against him, and all three hit well in the spring. I'm expecting a little higher scoring 6-4 type game. I'm on the over and the Cardinals TTO3.
                Comment
                • Living The Dream
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-23-09
                  • 4521

                  #43
                  Originally posted by crackerjack
                  You can't be afraid to lay big numbers in baseball or you will pass up a lot of winners. That being said this is not a game you should bet IMO. It's just too early to really know for sure. Marlins look real uattractive at -140 but not at -170 and I wouldn't touch st Louis just because of the plus number until I see lohse pitch a few games.
                  I personally have 3 "checks" I go through in order of importance in my opinion when it comes to picking a baseball game and the line is the last and lowest check in picking a winner for me.
                  Comment
                  • KnowingNothing
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 04-11-11
                    • 402

                    #44
                    St Louis is too much value. Lohse is a quality pitcher.
                    Comment
                    • Living The Dream
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-23-09
                      • 4521

                      #45
                      Marlins and over both small, half unit. (Yes I have changed my mind after looking at lopsided numbers)
                      Comment
                      • Living The Dream
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-23-09
                        • 4521

                        #46
                        Originally posted by KnowingNothing
                        St Louis is too much value. Lohse is a quality pitcher.
                        Not against Marlins batters. He gets lit up in every scenario
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #47
                          Will JJ be on a limited pitch count?
                          Comment
                          • warriorfan707
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 03-29-08
                            • 13698

                            #48
                            Starting to really like the over
                            Comment
                            • DemoralizdDreamr
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-04-11
                              • 4319

                              #49
                              Il take the cards, too good of a price to pass up
                              Comment
                              • HuskerExpat
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 02-23-12
                                • 189

                                #50
                                Over.

                                Lohse is going to regress this year. Last year was an anomaly.
                                Comment
                                • Brock Landers
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 06-30-08
                                  • 45367

                                  #51
                                  Loshe led the fukkin team in wins last year and ERA

                                  I am taking the juicy + money and going with the cards tonight

                                  Fuk it
                                  Comment
                                  • MarkTX
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-04-09
                                    • 1244

                                    #52
                                    I went with the Cards ...small. Just to have something on it.

                                    Truth is: nobody knows how these teams will look tonight or how the pitchers will perform. All speculation.

                                    That's why it makes moer sense to just take the +165.
                                    Comment
                                    • Ralphie1412
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-29-08
                                      • 13963

                                      #53
                                      Taking the marlins sums up Brock's approach to gambling perfectly.
                                      "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
                                      Goat Milk
                                      Comment
                                      • mighty maron
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-20-09
                                        • 4215

                                        #54
                                        Boston ML and here is why.....

                                        With the exception of last year, Justin V is a slow starting pitcher at the beginning of the season. Coupled with the facts of a Boston team looking to get a decent start after the blowups of last year, I think its a decent price at +129. By no means a lock, but IMO a coin flip...
                                        Comment
                                        • Ralphie1412
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-29-08
                                          • 13963

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by Brock Landers
                                          Loshe led the fukkin team in wins last year and ERA

                                          I am taking the juicy + money and going with the cards tonight

                                          Fuk it
                                          Whoops I missed this coin flip

                                          Keep throwing those darts Brock.
                                          "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
                                          Goat Milk
                                          Comment
                                          • warriorfan707
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 03-29-08
                                            • 13698

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by mighty maron
                                            Boston ML and here is why.....

                                            With the exception of last year, Justin V is a slow starting pitcher at the beginning of the season. Coupled with the facts of a Boston team looking to get a decent start after the blowups of last year, I think its a decent price at +129. By no means a lock, but IMO a coin flip...
                                            Comment
                                            • Brock Landers
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 06-30-08
                                              • 45367

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by Ralphie1412
                                              Whoops I missed this coin flip

                                              Keep throwing those darts Brock.
                                              go fuk yourself jagoff
                                              Comment
                                              • Ralphie1412
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-29-08
                                                • 13963

                                                #58
                                                Cougar when are you going to give us Brock's final figure in march madness?
                                                +89 bucks?
                                                "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
                                                Goat Milk
                                                Comment
                                                • Monte
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-21-10
                                                  • 2056

                                                  #59
                                                  +170 or so now, gettin really hard to resist grr..
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ionicking
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 04-04-12
                                                    • 1

                                                    #60
                                                    I really like the over
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Brock Landers
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 06-30-08
                                                      • 45367

                                                      #61
                                                      waaay too much to lay on the Marlins here, its St Louis + money in this one
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Living The Dream
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-23-09
                                                        • 4521

                                                        #62
                                                        Take a look how Marlins batters fare against Lohse


                                                        Originally posted by MarkTX
                                                        I went with the Cards ...small. Just to have something on it.

                                                        Truth is: nobody knows how these teams will look tonight or how the pitchers will perform. All speculation.

                                                        That's why it makes moer sense to just take the +165.


                                                        Originally posted by Brock Landers
                                                        Loshe led the fukkin team in wins last year and ERA

                                                        I am taking the juicy + money and going with the cards tonight

                                                        Fuk it
                                                        Comment
                                                        • brigade125
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 07-03-11
                                                          • 685

                                                          #63
                                                          go cards.. waiting to hit +200 ml at game time... small play on -2.5 +345 for cards...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • face
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-31-11
                                                            • 14740

                                                            #64
                                                            score 1st inning yes, lohse will give it up
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Brock Landers
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 06-30-08
                                                              • 45367

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by face
                                                              score 1st inning yes, lohse will give it up
                                                              more like johnson....

                                                              -190 LOL

                                                              I love + money
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Brock Landers
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 06-30-08
                                                                • 45367

                                                                #66
                                                                3-0 cardinals!!!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Cougar Bait
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 10-04-07
                                                                  • 18282

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by Ralphie1412
                                                                  Cougar when are you going to give us Brock's final figure in march madness?
                                                                  +89 bucks?
                                                                  Classified information.

                                                                  However, he did pull a positive amount. It wasn't a ton of cash.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Brock Landers
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 06-30-08
                                                                    • 45367

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Lohse with the no hitter thru 6

                                                                    can't get more than that from your opening day starter
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • zoo youk
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-23-11
                                                                      • 10701

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by Brock Landers
                                                                      Lohse with the no hitter thru 6

                                                                      can't get more than that from your opening day starter
                                                                      you had to mush it didnt you? now cards will lose 4 to 3
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • zoo youk
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 10-23-11
                                                                        • 10701

                                                                        #70
                                                                        jerkoff
                                                                        Comment
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