Whats the play for Opening night of Bases?

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  • Brock Landers
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 06-30-08
    • 45367

    #1
    Whats the play for Opening night of Bases?
    Stl (Lohse) +159
    Mia (Johnson) -169

    Miami has all kinds of new players, but i don't think that warrents such a high line.

    I am going with the world champs and the nice + money

    Thoughts...opinions?
  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388208

    #2
    Pass

    No maybe UNDER
    Comment
    • ebbearsfb1
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-07-08
      • 18815

      #3
      Anyone have record of world series champs on opening day?
      Comment
      • Smoke
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-09-09
        • 48111

        #4
        I like the OVER
        Comment
        • Living The Dream
          SBR MVP
          • 12-23-09
          • 4521

          #5
          I am leaning Cards, but have to look a little better at it
          Comment
          • DudleyDawson
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 02-10-12
            • 5658

            #6
            stud pitcher at home on opening night, new manager, new teammates, new stadium new attitude. Johnson may no hit the Cards here. I don't like laying anything over 130/140 ish in MLB but I might here..
            Comment
            • Brock Landers
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 06-30-08
              • 45367

              #7
              Need some cardinals feedback men
              Comment
              • MUHerd37
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 10-23-09
                • 12816

                #8
                Johnson is a straight up stud. Cards have a new manager and no Pujols. I'll take the Marlins.
                Comment
                • becketmcginn
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 03-24-12
                  • 176

                  #9
                  If Carpenter was pitching I think Cardinals will win but since he isn't you have to go with Johnson and the Marlins
                  Comment
                  • Brock Landers
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 06-30-08
                    • 45367

                    #10
                    i don't see myself laying such a big number on opening day, Marlins are a changed team, but who knows what they are capable of right now. Cardinals and the juicy +number seems like the better play, they did add Beltran
                    Comment
                    • zoo youk
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-23-11
                      • 10701

                      #11
                      i agree brock i like miami this year but way over priced here on the road
                      Comment
                      • zoo youk
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-23-11
                        • 10701

                        #12
                        shit didnt realize miami was at home. still a very high price for opening day game where guys are still getting their timing hitting wise and a run could decide the game. Lohse has been terrific under Duncan when healthy
                        Comment
                        • Smoke
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-09-09
                          • 48111

                          #13
                          if anything take marlins on the runline

                          Lohse will get pounded
                          Comment
                          • jjgold
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 07-20-05
                            • 388208

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Smoke
                            if anything take marlins on the runline

                            Lohse will get pounded
                            Smokey RL's are square bets
                            Comment
                            • Smoke
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-09-09
                              • 48111

                              #15
                              Originally posted by jjgold

                              Smokey RL's are square bets
                              not square when it's plus money corbin
                              Comment
                              • DudleyDawson
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-10-12
                                • 5658

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Smoke
                                if anything take marlins on the runline

                                Lohse will get pounded

                                You don't make serious money betting MLB messing with RL's...RL bets only matter if you're betting $10 or $20 a game.
                                Comment
                                • DudleyDawson
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 02-10-12
                                  • 5658

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Smoke
                                  not square when it's plus money corbin
                                  you are a dolt...is every bet a +$ the non square side? if I'm betting 1 or 2 dimes a game I'm not messing with any RL.
                                  Comment
                                  • ebbearsfb1
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 12-07-08
                                    • 18815

                                    #18
                                    All in game 1... under 20.5 runs.. lay the juice
                                    Comment
                                    • Smoke
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 10-09-09
                                      • 48111

                                      #19
                                      Dudley quit with the gay shit son

                                      No $10 bovada freeplay for you
                                      Comment
                                      • Brock Landers
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 06-30-08
                                        • 45367

                                        #20
                                        winners people!
                                        Comment
                                        • Salmon Steak
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-05-10
                                          • 2110

                                          #21
                                          I am showing a little value for StL here on the ML. I don't have them winning though. The total looks like a very slight under. I'm not laying anything on the total. GL
                                          Comment
                                          • dogthebountyman
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 03-14-12
                                            • 189

                                            #22
                                            Miami wins 7-4 - 82%
                                            Comment
                                            • neverstoppers23
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 11-26-09
                                              • 6302

                                              #23
                                              not a huge fan of stl either this year, or lohse.

                                              am i huge fan of johnson, when healthy he is a cy young candiate, i think he dominates in this game, and miami wins small 2-1.
                                              Comment
                                              • MC PICKS
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 01-10-10
                                                • 6644

                                                #24
                                                Bet the over landers and thank me on thursday.
                                                Comment
                                                • neverstoppers23
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 11-26-09
                                                  • 6302

                                                  #25
                                                  pitchers usaully have the advantage early. playing in miami they will have no trouble warming up.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • hawley
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 05-10-10
                                                    • 14270

                                                    #26
                                                    Brock do you really need action on the first game here pal
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Brock Landers
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 06-30-08
                                                      • 45367

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by hawley
                                                      Brock do you really need action on the first game here pal
                                                      I live for the action guy
                                                      Comment
                                                      • blackeyeshamus
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 02-19-11
                                                        • 6632

                                                        #28
                                                        leaning miami -1 @ -120 1x on the 5dimes alt RL.
                                                        maybe the best 5dimes feature is that -1 RL imho.
                                                        good luck, gentlemen! let's stack 'em and cash 'em.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ThaTopMoron
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 04-30-10
                                                          • 27023

                                                          #29
                                                          if Marlins take care of biz with all this hype new stadium, players... coach, stud pitcher etc then they should win by 2 or more so RL for me. not trusting Lohse

                                                          Marlins will be pumped right?

                                                          who knows

                                                          up big again, why not play it?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • TPowell
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 02-21-08
                                                            • 18842

                                                            #30
                                                            Johnson coming off injury issues. Not much of a starting pitcher advantage on opening day. I think marlins are slightly better maybe 3%. add 5% for homefield and they win 58% of the time. I came up with -150/+150 earlier, on phone now though. Would make a wager on cards ml at 160 or better. Total is 7 so dog is a good bet if its just slightly mispriced
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ericthegangster
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-10-09
                                                              • 1764

                                                              #31
                                                              The play is Miami ML.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Illusivecone
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 11-08-08
                                                                • 771

                                                                #32
                                                                Over 7
                                                                Comment
                                                                • LordVodka
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 08-17-09
                                                                  • 5206

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Why is evryone so confident in Johnson? How well did he pitch in spring training?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • warriorfan707
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 03-29-08
                                                                    • 13698

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Just do the opposite of whatever dipshit "smoke" says and you should be goldenbiggest fukkin idiot on sbr with the exception of henry hill and a couple others
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • warriorfan707
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 03-29-08
                                                                      • 13698

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Theres no doubt that STL at that price is the +EV play and one hell of a tasty vagina. The only problem is that does not mean they win tomorrow night necessarily.

                                                                      Johnson is a beast and this is a new and improved Marlins squad Christening their new ballpark against a guy who is not a #1 starter. (Lohse).

                                                                      Marlins have been a helluva franchise since they joined MLB (winning 2 WS already) and they may be a good team this year again now that they have a new park. The cardinals may start slow... No Pujols and Matheny the new manager.

                                                                      Thats some rancid juice at -172 so I think Im gonna roll with Marlin -1 at -120. I'll post my play in my MLB thread tmrw but thats what Im leaning despite my gut screaming at me to take STL at the plus number. Gonna more than likely ignore the gut here.
                                                                      Comment
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