The NeverEnding Thread...

probettor1 · 03-09-12, 08:17 PM

Last year when chandler and dirk were playing Dallas was probably the best bet of the season, as they lost 1 out of every 4 only when playing both of them, and covering most ATS, once dirk or chadler were out they were not a good bet. The rebound power and FG % of chandler were amazing supporting Dirk.

probettor1 · 03-09-12, 11:44 PM

jmathes your picks suck, and the thread is so deorganized that suck even more, I school you a little bit in handicapping. You have a 22-0 chase but the chances of losing 7 in a row in 22 picks are about 0.21 %. Even NHL pro capper could do it. So again I suggest you to keep a clean record other wise get the hell out of here with your lousy picks and your unreadable thread. Just trying to make some friends here.

Taro Punk · 03-10-12, 02:15 AM

haha first of all , increment betting doesn't need a high % of tips accuracy~
Even if his tips stand at 40%, he will still make a profit as long as he doesn't lose 7 straight.

His tips are now above 50%, which means that if he bet 1*/the same stake for all his picks, he will still make a profit.

Instead, he used increment betting which actually maximized the profits. Do the calculation yourself.
Don't need a Pro to use this betting system and he alr stated before.

Once again, his record is clean and he did declare that he was only trying out the system on the thread~

So no hard feelings! his tips ain't meant to be accurate, it's the betting system he applied

How i know? Been there, done that

Cheers!

Taro Punk · 03-10-12, 02:20 AM

Originally posted by probettor1

jmathes your picks suck, and the thread is so deorganized that suck even more, I school you a little bit in handicapping. You have a 22-0 chase but the chances of losing 7 in a row in 22 picks are about 0.21 %. Even NHL pro capper could do it. So again I suggest you to keep a clean record other wise get the hell out of here with your lousy picks and your unreadable thread. Just trying to make some friends here.

i think you are trying to make some enemies here

no one forced u to read the thread ><

He does not get paid so why does he have to make the thread nice for you to see ~

Don't be a spoiler! Go and follow other ppls thread then. I meant honestly there are better tipsters in the forum, like duh!

No need to criticize

probettor1 · 03-10-12, 09:35 AM

Now i know why you are called Punk

jmathes · 03-10-12, 12:11 PM

Originally posted by jmathes

this is my last bet of the day which doesnt start until 8:30 pm eastern. as much as i hate the knicks my numbers show they are the right play tonight. this game concludes a 4 game road trip for the knicks which they have lost the last 3 against the spread and straight up. although milwaukee beat the bulls their last game dont be fooled because they arent a good team at all. this line says everything as i see the knicks turning things around tonight and finishing off their road trip with an easy win

1. nba: ny knicks -1.5

loss

loser last night with the game coming down to the wire and on the wrong side of the game. looking over my numbers and will release todays play within the next half an hour.

Overall Record 22-17-1

Chase Record 22-0

jmathes · 03-10-12, 12:46 PM

on to bet #2 of the progression. this game starts in 1 hour and i will have a game another play at the conclusion of this game. it will most likely be chicago -11 in the nba. good luck today...

2. ncaa: michigan state -4

probettor1 · 03-10-12, 12:55 PM

Originally posted by jmathes

loss

loser last night with the game coming down to the wire and on the wrong side of the game. looking over my numbers and will release todays play within the next half an hour.

Overall Record 22-17-1

Chase Record 22-0

22-0 ? Do you have to mention that? Oh, we are so impressed. I told you, the chances of getting 7 wrong in 22 are about 0.21%, meaning that 98.8 % of all the retards here would be able to do it. If you dont want to show clean record, at least keep that shitty 22-0 for yourself.

probettor1 · 03-10-12, 01:06 PM

Originally posted by probettor1

22-0 ? Do you have to mention that? Oh, we are so impressed. I told you, the chances of getting 7 wrong in 22 are about 0.21%, meaning that 98.8 % of all the retards here would be able to do it. If you dont want to show clean record, at least keep that shitty 22-0 for yourself.

22-17 is pretty good, I give that.

milwaukee mike · 03-10-12, 01:07 PM

probettor quit ruining the guy's thread

you made your point, continuing to do so is just making you look bad

jmathes · 03-10-12, 01:11 PM

Originally posted by probettor1

jmathes your picks suck, and the thread is so deorganized that suck even more, I school you a little bit in handicapping. You have a 22-0 chase but the chances of losing 7 in a row in 22 picks are about 0.21 %. Even NHL pro capper could do it. So again I suggest you to keep a clean record other wise get the hell out of here with your lousy picks and your unreadable thread. Just trying to make some friends here.

Originally posted by probettor1

22-0 ? Do you have to mention that? Oh, we are so impressed. I told you, the chances of getting 7 wrong in 22 are about 0.21%, meaning that 98.8 % of all the retards here would be able to do it. If you dont want to show clean record, at least keep that shitty 22-0 for yourself.

im not sure what your problem is but if you dont like what im posting simply keep out. nobody is holding a gun to your head telling you to chime in. im as honest as it gets with my record which get updated after every play. my overall record is 22-17 and the chase is obviously 22-0 so how is that not a clean record?

by the way if i suck so bad just stay away. i am in 2nd place in the bracket contest out of 256 players right now so i would say that i must not suck too bad .http://contests.sbrforum.com/betisla...-3558/leaders/ sorry you are so bitter but i truly hope you have a better day. i dont like drama in my thread so this will be my last time to respond to your negativity. good luck buddy!

probettor1 · 03-10-12, 01:11 PM

What most people dont get is that sports betting is about team work. There are too many games to handicap and too little mistakes from the odds makers, it takes hours to handicap a game, and there are hundreds a day that need to be checked. besides what you dont see might be seen by the rest of your pals. People here are just too smart to get it. I need some stupid guys as Billy Walter who learned he was too stupid to go by himself.

WILLIE · 03-10-12, 01:11 PM

Originally posted by probettor1

22-0 ? Do you have to mention that? Oh, we are so impressed. I told you, the chances of getting 7 wrong in 22 are about 0.21%, meaning that 98.8 % of all the retards here would be able to do it. If you dont want to show clean record, at least keep that shitty 22-0 for yourself.

Since you are SO GOOD, #1 why the hell are you looking in here and #2 go start a thread so we can see the prowess of your mighty prognosticating ability!!

probettor1 · 03-10-12, 01:13 PM

I like your thread, and unless I get ban(high chances) I'll keep coming here to laugh at your lousy picks.

probettor1 · 03-10-12, 01:16 PM

I will start a thread after Billy walter starts his thread.

probettor1 · 03-10-12, 01:18 PM

Sorry guys, I'm just having some fun, nothing to be taken too seriously. Dont let my fun to ruin your day.

Taro Punk · 03-10-12, 01:29 PM

no worries ! have fun! it's cool to have sour grapes here and there just to make things more interesting and balanced

likewise, i'm here because i love the system not the picks

and hope to see the streak last!

probettor1 · 03-10-12, 01:38 PM

Originally posted by Taro Punk

no worries ! have fun! it's cool to have sour grapes here and there just to make things more interesting and balanced

likewise, i'm here because i love the system not the picks

and hope to see the streak last!

I also hope to see the thread last, specially if he keeps hitting a 56% winning record. I might start paying him for his picks

if he decides to sell.

jmathes · 03-10-12, 03:18 PM

Originally posted by jmathes

on to bet #2 of the progression. this game starts in 1 hour and i will have a game another play at the conclusion of this game. it will most likely be chicago -11 in the nba. good luck today...

2. ncaa: michigan state -4

win

nice easy double digit winner and rolling with one more pick today. this game starts at 6 pm eastern so there is plenty of time to get your bet down. the public is all over the over but the under is the play today. good luck...

1. baylor & missouri under 149.5

Overall Record 23-17-1

Chase Record 23-0

probettor1 · 03-10-12, 03:45 PM

23-17? 57.5%. Awesome. I'd love to see you keeping it up. It could bring me back to the battle. There are a few I could have told you to avoid as the one with Milwakee to get that percent even higher. I'll be around. As my hopes are still too low to join.

WILLIE · 03-10-12, 03:52 PM

Originally posted by probettor1

23-17? 57.5%. Awesome. I'd love to see you keeping it up. It could bring me back to the battle. There are a few I could have told you to avoid as the one with Milwakee to get that percent even higher. I'll be around. As my hopes are still too low to join.

Jump in, the water's fine.

probettor1 · 03-10-12, 04:12 PM

Originally posted by WILLIE

Jump in, the water's fine.

join date 3/8/12, you haven't try the water yet.

WILLIE · 03-10-12, 06:23 PM

Originally posted by probettor1

join date 3/8/12, you haven't try the water yet.

He's been posting this thread for a month with updated records, what do you need?

probettor1 · 03-11-12, 12:55 AM

Originally posted by WILLIE

He's been posting this thread for a month with updated records, what do you need?

larger sample

Taro Punk · 03-11-12, 04:34 AM

then you just keep quiet, stop whining and wait, the sample will grow ~ takes time ~ don't expect magic

WILLIE · 03-11-12, 09:09 AM

Originally posted by probettor1

larger sample

If you're wanting a perfect situation to play, maybe sports investing ain't your bag. Go try the stock market, that's a REAL winner the last few years.....NOT!!!

jmathes · 03-11-12, 09:53 AM

Originally posted by jmathes

win

nice easy double digit winner and rolling with one more pick today. this game starts at 6 pm eastern so there is plenty of time to get your bet down. the public is all over the over but the under is the play today. good luck...

1. baylor & missouri under 149.5

Overall Record 23-17-1

Chase Record 23-0

loss

on to bet #2 of the progression. xavier has st bonnies number so look for them to win and cover easily today in what will be a great game. i will have another pick at the conclusion of this so please check back.

2. ncaa: xavier -3

Overall Record 23-18-1

Chase Record 23-0

Taro Punk · 03-11-12, 10:57 AM

Originally posted by WILLIE

If you're wanting a perfect situation to play, maybe sports investing ain't your bag. Go try the stock market, that's a REAL winner the last few years.....NOT!!!

Taro Punk · 03-11-12, 10:58 AM

good luck!

probettor1 · 03-11-12, 11:28 AM

Not perfect. Scientific.

Teamprofit101 · 03-11-12, 11:38 AM

jmathes i sent you an email to the one you have listed in your sbr page

probettor1, can you please share a good pick for today?

Taro Punk · 03-11-12, 11:53 AM

Originally posted by Teamprofit101

jmathes i sent you an email to the one you have listed in your sbr page

probettor1, can you please share a good pick for today?

good pick? LOL he doesnt have!

he is looking for someone to depend on! and when can't find, he will criticize and blame otherS!

awesome personality!

jmathes · 03-11-12, 02:43 PM

Originally posted by jmathes

loss

on to bet #2 of the progression. xavier has st bonnies number so look for them to win and cover easily today in what will be a great game. i will have another pick at the conclusion of this so please check back.

2. ncaa: xavier -3

Overall Record 23-18-1

Chase Record 23-0

. Loss

I will update record later. On my iPhone and just lost an entire post I just made. This is the last play for the day and #3 in the progression.

3. Nba: Cleveland -2

probettor1 · 03-11-12, 11:46 PM

Houston 107
Cleveland 118
Cleveland -2 118-2=116 116-107=9

Bonaventure 67
Xavier 56
Xavier -3 56-3=53 53-67=-13

This is another way to check if we are in the right path or if we are just lucky, checking margin of winning and margin of losing. In this example, considering this 2 games only, he had 1 win and 1 loss but the margin of lossing was 4(-13+9). It is in fact a higher losing margin as the NCAA BB has lower scoring and each point has more stadistical value. Jmathes this is not to troll, just to give some tips to the people trying to learn how to evaluate their results. I think I could make money betting but not if I have to pick one game per day. So my respects to Jmathes.

Taro Punk · 03-12-12, 12:31 AM

Originally posted by probettor1

Houston 107
Cleveland 118
Cleveland -2 118-2=116 116-107=9

Bonaventure 67
Xavier 56
Xavier -3 56-3=53 53-67=-13

This is another way to check if we are in the right path or if we are just lucky, checking margin of winning and margin of losing. In this example, considering this 2 games only, he had 1 win and 1 loss but the margin of lossing was 4(-13+9). It is in fact a higher losing margin as the NCAA BB has lower scoring and each point has more stadistical value. Jmathes this is not to troll, just to give some tips to the people trying to learn how to evaluate their results. I think I could make money betting but not if I have to pick one game per day. So my respects to Jmathes.

You don't count margin like this..

Betting obviously need at least a little bit of luck..
and so once again you are using only 2 matches to determine "if we are in the right path or if we are just lucky"
.. contradicts when u said a larger sample needed..

Using Increment betting means he already win with a 50% accuracy

First bet 1* lost, Second bet 2* won, profit = 1*

Anyways he is trying to promote the system not the picks~ so yeah, stop criticizing and ranting about
him. If you don't agree, GTFO ! Peace b*tch !