Saints @ 49ers

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  • warriorfan707
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-29-08
    • 13698

    #106
    Saturdays weather forecast for the city by the bay

    0% chance of rain
    66 degrees
    sunny
    Comment
    • MidgetTossers
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-06-09
      • 13376

      #107
      there will be some candlestick wind and wet grass too
      Comment
      • paco
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 05-07-09
        • 62873

        #108
        10 point dip with SF, balti, pats Over?
        Comment
        • k13
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 07-16-10
          • 18130

          #109
          5dimes is down to -175
          Comment
          • Sportsbetting123
            SBR MVP
            • 03-01-08
            • 1400

            #110
            If I had to go with a side, I would go with NO, but I am staying away from this game.
            Comment
            • nyplayer33
              Restricted User
              • 09-27-06
              • 8314

              #111
              san fran can def win this
              Comment
              • Starion
                SBR High Roller
                • 01-12-07
                • 149

                #112
                I tend to like home teams having extra time to rest. However.....

                The one thing that worries me about this game is that it seems very similar to GB heading to ATL in the divisional round last year. ATL was only a marginal favorite and got torched. The fact that SF is more than a field goal dog has my attention. Something just doesn't look right.
                Comment
                • konck
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-17-06
                  • 12554

                  #113
                  60 of the public is on the Stains I like the SF def here I think its a fg game I'll take the 3.5
                  hopefully roxxyfish and Brock mortal the Stains
                  Comment
                  • Chi_archie
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 07-22-08
                    • 63182

                    #114
                    It's just not a defense first league
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #115
                      Pinny opened Saints -155 at 8:00am ET Sunday morning. Anyone saying otherwise is looking at a source that did not capture the opener. It did jump to -165,. -175 and then -180 at 8:07am ET, but the sharp quick early birds caught the worm. Now sitting at -190 and the spread is t -3.5 -102 (was at +odds). In fact, I am now seeing solid -3.5 -110 across the board where there were a bunch of +100 and -105 yesterday.
                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #116
                        Originally posted by k13
                        There's no way it was -155.

                        The ML came after the spread.

                        I'm assuming you like the Saints, hopefully it's as good as your LSU prediction.
                        Originally posted by MidgetTossers
                        yea i have no idea where he got that -155..its total BS
                        Guys, you've both been here long enough to know that I never BS about anything when it comes to gambling. k13, that's OK I had a nice CFB season. As for this game, I have just a lean on Saints, I am far more likely to play some props and/or derivatives than the straight line.
                        Comment
                        • MidgetTossers
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-06-09
                          • 13376

                          #117
                          please show me where u got this -155 ml opener LT
                          Comment
                          • mngambler
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-01-11
                            • 2948

                            #118
                            what the hell is going on with this line..all over the board and its tuesday...my book opened at -3.5 -130, then -3 -125, then -3 -135 now it just moved again
                            Comment
                            • LT Profits
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-27-06
                              • 90963

                              #119
                              Originally posted by MidgetTossers
                              please show me where u got this -155 ml opener LT
                              Sports Insights
                              Comment
                              • LT Profits
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-27-06
                                • 90963

                                #120
                                Originally posted by mngambler
                                what the hell is going on with this line..all over the board and its tuesday...my book opened at -3.5 -130, then -3 -125, then -3 -135 now it just moved again
                                -3 -135 and -3.5 -110 are basically equal and Bookmaker has been going back and forth between the two.
                                Comment
                                • MidgetTossers
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-06-09
                                  • 13376

                                  #121
                                  can u post a screenshot of it?
                                  Comment
                                  • LT Profits
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 10-27-06
                                    • 90963

                                    #122
                                    Originally posted by MidgetTossers
                                    can u post a screenshot of it?
                                    Well I pay for it so I don't know if I could paste it without getting in trouble unless the history is available for free before game day. If it is, then you can try accessing it yourself. If you cannot, then I will paste from the archive day after the game.
                                    Comment
                                    • MidgetTossers
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-06-09
                                      • 13376

                                      #123
                                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                                      Well I pay for it so I don't know if I could paste it without getting in trouble unless the history is available for free before game day. If it is, then you can try accessing it yourself. If you cannot, then I will paste from the archive day after the game.
                                      no worries..thanks
                                      Comment
                                      • MidgetTossers
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-06-09
                                        • 13376

                                        #124
                                        dont understand why sbr cant have accurate openers..guess cause its free...
                                        Comment
                                        • LT Profits
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 10-27-06
                                          • 90963

                                          #125
                                          Well SBR is accurate from the time that it posted, it just missed the first hour.
                                          Comment
                                          • LT Profits
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-27-06
                                            • 90963

                                            #126
                                            It could be worse, Vegasinsider is showing the opener at 12:30am on 1/9, a full 16 hours after real opening
                                            Comment
                                            • MidgetTossers
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-06-09
                                              • 13376

                                              #127
                                              yea i hear you but an opener should be an opener not what time a site finally puts it up
                                              Comment
                                              • millflavor
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 07-25-10
                                                • 566

                                                #128
                                                saints will expose niners secondary
                                                Comment
                                                • MidgetTossers
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-06-09
                                                  • 13376

                                                  #129
                                                  Originally posted by millflavor
                                                  saints will expose niners secondary
                                                  vick, eli, big ben all exposed their secondary and they still lost...yards in the air are over exaggerated...points against are what matters and they gave up 14.8 on the season
                                                  Comment
                                                  • sportfan
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-22-09
                                                    • 10111

                                                    #130
                                                    SF ML +170 at betislands right now
                                                    Comment
                                                    • SteveRyan
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-15-11
                                                      • 1654

                                                      #131
                                                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                      It could be worse, Vegasinsider is showing the opener at 12:30am on 1/9, a full 16 hours after real opening
                                                      Vegasinsider bases their opening lines on the first book that posts the line.

                                                      The first book to post a line on this game was Cal Neva in Reno. They posted it on Jan 8th at 10:20am
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 81_84
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 12-26-11
                                                        • 117

                                                        #132
                                                        One thing the saints are great at and I mean great. Is exposing their opponents linebackers. A few years back they absolutely manipulated and killed backers. The saints love to control the middle of the field and have the weapons to do so. Colston and Graham are two of Brees' favorite targets and do most of the damage in the middle.
                                                        The 49ers have the leagues best linebacking squad imho. Their defensive line has also played great this year. That entire front seven is a problem. I believe they will control the middle of field. As for the secondary , well their are far worse than 49ers. Is it their " weak point " , sure. Let's not get carried away though. It's a very solid unit.
                                                        I'm leaning taking the points and the 49ers here.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • LT Profits
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 10-27-06
                                                          • 90963

                                                          #133
                                                          Originally posted by SteveRyan
                                                          Vegasinsider bases their opening lines on the first book that posts the line.

                                                          The first book to post a line on this game was Cal Neva in Reno. They posted it on Jan 8th at 10:20am
                                                          I am talking strictly about Pinny ML. They show Pinny ML opener at Jan 9th at 12:30am
                                                          Comment
                                                          • LT Profits
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 10-27-06
                                                            • 90963

                                                            #134
                                                            Originally posted by SteveRyan
                                                            Vegasinsider bases their opening lines on the first book that posts the line.

                                                            The first book to post a line on this game was Cal Neva in Reno. They posted it on Jan 8th at 10:20am
                                                            In fact, VI is showing all Pinny openers across the board (ATS, Total, ML) as 1/9 at 12:30am when Pinny actually opened ATS and Total on SATURDAY 1/7 (ATS at 10:53pm, Total at 11:07pm).
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jotoha
                                                              SBR Hustler
                                                              • 12-18-08
                                                              • 85

                                                              #135
                                                              Originally posted by MidgetTossers
                                                              can u post a screenshot of it?
                                                              screenshot - if u can see it
                                                              Attached Files
                                                              Comment
                                                              • millflavor
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 07-25-10
                                                                • 566

                                                                #136
                                                                Originally posted by MidgetTossers
                                                                vick, eli, big ben all exposed their secondary and they still lost...yards in the air are over exaggerated...points against are what matters and they gave up 14.8 on the season
                                                                vick eli ben are not brees
                                                                niners haven't gone against an offense this high-powered
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Chimneyfish
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-30-10
                                                                  • 1217

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Originally posted by millflavor
                                                                  niners haven't gone against an offense this high-powered
                                                                  Saints haven't gone against a defense this high-powered.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • millflavor
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 07-25-10
                                                                    • 566

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Originally posted by Chimneyfish
                                                                    Saints haven't gone against a defense this high-powered.
                                                                    they threw 40 up on a good houston d
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Chimneyfish
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-30-10
                                                                      • 1217

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Originally posted by millflavor
                                                                      they threw 40 up on a good houston d
                                                                      Then you're contradicting your own point. If Vick, Eli, and Ben are not Brees, then Houston is not San Francisco. If we're going to consider what Brees did to a good defense like Houston then we should be able to consider what the Niners' D did to other good quarterbacks as well.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • LT Profits
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 10-27-06
                                                                        • 90963

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Originally posted by Chimneyfish
                                                                        Then you're contradicting your own point. If Vick, Eli, and Ben are not Brees, then Houston is not San Francisco. If we're going to consider what Brees did to a good defense like Houston then we should be able to consider what the Niners' D did to other good quarterbacks as well.
                                                                        Houston's pass defense is better than 49ers pass defense, San Fran's strength is stopping the run, which isn't as important vs. Saints.
                                                                        Comment
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