Jaguars +10 (-106)

5mike5 · 10-24-11, 02:32 PM

baltimore has won by 14+ in EVERY win this year...thats enough for me...i hammered the ravens -9.5 at -118

no chance in hell jags O vs ravens D puts up enough points to stay within 10

neverstoppers23 · 10-24-11, 02:36 PM

Originally posted by big0mar

I don't see anyone saying Jacksonville will win this game.

I think all that people are saying is that this line should be 7.5, and is currently inflated.

In regards to the game unraveling, I think Alualu and Knighton are one of the best DT tandems in the league. I think that Matt Roth is one of the best edge-setting LBs in the NFL. I think Baltimore is going to have a tough time running the ball. When Baltimore can't run, they have a tough time passing the ball. Thus, I believe Jacksonville can stay within 10 points of Baltimore.

Flacco is still a good qb. I think hey can score 21 points. i have doubts if Jacksonville will even score 7 , but i will give them 10.

Ray Rice, very under-rated top tier RB. No one talks about him as one of the best, but his last two years have been top notch.

Jacksonville still gives up 115 yards per game, middle of the pack team. Just asking a lot.
Hell just last week, they gave up 146 yards to Mendenhall
GL. to everyone tonight. I can't see Jacksonville scoring enough, or stopping Baltimore enough to keep this game close. But crazier upsets have happened before

Glitch · 10-24-11, 02:36 PM

not just for today but every time you pick the way worse team can you please give a reason for why you like them for that game. thanks.

big0mar · 10-24-11, 02:37 PM

Originally posted by neverstoppers23

Don't get the argument of fading the public. Every game should be looked at in a vacuum first. Then spread out. Not the opposite.

Could you please point out where someone used "fading the public" as logic for this play? First, "fading the public" is the biggest misnomer in gambling. Secondly, there are many clear and valid reasons to play JAX tonight.

5mike5 · 10-24-11, 02:38 PM

many more and clear reasons to bet RAVENS -9.5

canepole · 10-24-11, 02:39 PM

hope jax cover

neverstoppers23 · 10-24-11, 02:40 PM

Originally posted by 5mike5

many more and clear reasons to bet RAVENS -9.5

100 percent agree with this. Mendenhall 146 yards last week vs. this good run defense. Not buying it sorry.

Anther stat to add. Baltimore opp. average is 14.6 per game. Jacksonville is very bad defense, so I doubt 14 points is in their reach. If Baltimore scores 21 they cover.

I am done adding stats, and reasons, jus gonna watch the game. As stated before good-luck with your Jacksonville bet don't understand your reasons at all. But good luck.

big0mar · 10-24-11, 02:42 PM

Originally posted by neverstoppers23

Flacco is still a good qb. I think hey can score 21 points. i have doubts if Jacksonville will even score 7 , but i will give them 10.

Ray Rice, very under-rated top tier RB. No one talks about him as one of the best, but his last two years have been top notch.

Jacksonville still gives up 115 yards per game, middle of the pack team. Just asking a lot.

GL. to everyone tonight.

Flacco has a QB rating of 79 for the season, which ranks 23rd in the NFL. He has a lower rating than Tavaris Jackson and Andy Dalton, among others.

big0mar · 10-24-11, 02:44 PM

Originally posted by neverstoppers23

100 percent agree with this. Mendenhall 146 yards last week vs. this good run defense. Not buying it sorry.

Anther stat to add. Baltimore opp. average is 14.6 per game. Jacksonville is very bad defense, so I doubt 14 points is in their reach. If Baltimore scores 21 they cover.

I am done adding stats, and reasons, jus gonna watch the game. As stated before good-luck with your Jacksonville bet don't understand your reasons at all. But good luck.

You realize that the entire market is aware of this, right?

Whats next, are you going to argue that Baltimore is the play because JAX is 1-5

neverstoppers23 · 10-24-11, 02:45 PM

Originally posted by big0mar

Flacco has a QB rating of 79 for the season, which ranks 23rd in the NFL. He has a lower rating than Tavaris Jackson and Andy Dalton, among others.

If you want to base your full understanding of value of QB's of the qb rating go ahead. ? Not even going to touch that argument, not worth it.

face · 10-24-11, 02:46 PM

all of ravens wins are by 2 tds.

No coincidences · 10-24-11, 02:48 PM

If you cats want to lay double digits on the road in MNF game, be my guest. Not saying it won't cash, but it's a bad bet.

It's always a bad bet to lay that many points on the road in the NFL. Always.

big0mar · 10-24-11, 02:48 PM

Originally posted by neverstoppers23

If you want to base your full understanding of value of QB's of the qb rating go ahead. ? Not even going to touch that argument, not worth it.

What exactly makes Joe Flacco so good then? You are the one who made the statement, would be nice if you supported it.

BigDan · 10-24-11, 02:48 PM

Originally posted by face

all of ravens wins are by 2 tds.

meaning they will obviously continue this for the rest of the season????

neverstoppers23 · 10-24-11, 02:49 PM

Originally posted by big0mar

You realize that the entire market is aware of this, right?

Whats next, are you going to argue that Baltimore is the play because JAX is 1-5

Okay, congrats. what is your points? I am trying to prove my statement of, Jacksonville offense has almost no chance of keeping them in this game. I have yet to see one factual based argument as to why Jacksonville will cover.

BigDan · 10-24-11, 02:49 PM

Originally posted by neverstoppers23

If you want to base your full understanding of value of QB's of the qb rating go ahead. ? Not even going to touch that argument, not worth it.

doesnt take a qb rating to know that Flacco isnt anything special...

neverstoppers23 · 10-24-11, 02:52 PM

Originally posted by big0mar

What exactly makes Joe Flacco so good then? You are the one who made the statement, would be nice if you supported it.

The guy has had a tough year vs. defenses like the jets where is qb rating was 33. I am going to knock the guy for having trouble vs. the best secondary in the league. Hell even brady had trouble vs. the jets defense in the the playoffs last year.

So just using the QB rating system 6 games into the season doesn't make any sense to me at all. Esp. looking at his over-all track record which has progressed each year.

face · 10-24-11, 02:52 PM

Originally posted by BigDan

meaning they will obviously continue this for the rest of the season????

just saying. it's an info site. i'm playing jacksonville tt under.

5mike5 · 10-24-11, 02:52 PM

FLACCO A hell of alot better THAN FUCKKIN GABBERT...PLEASE....ravens roll AND cover easily

neverstoppers23 · 10-24-11, 02:52 PM

Originally posted by BigDan

doesnt take a qb rating to know that Flacco isnt anything special...

Never said he was a top tier QB. but he is definitely good enough to win you games.

big0mar · 10-24-11, 02:54 PM

Originally posted by neverstoppers23

Okay, congrats. what is your points? I am trying to prove my statement of, Jacksonville offense has almost no chance of keeping them in this game. I have yet to see one factual based argument as to why Jacksonville will cover.

My point is that you've yet to argue as to why Baltimore should be favored by 11 as opposed to 8. You've argued which team is better (which nobody has even disputed), but you've yet to quantify such an argument.

All the logic you've used so far would be just as valid playing PIT -13 against JAX, correct?????

5mike5 · 10-24-11, 02:55 PM

heres my argument...ravens have won by 14+ every win this year and the jags are god awful...thats common sense and it wins tonight ravens-9.5 EASY jags simply have not enough on offense to keep up and ravens can score..period.......when a team is better on BOTH sides of the ball and i get them at -9.5....RAVENS 10+

**not to even mention...gabbert is horrible

neverstoppers23 · 10-24-11, 02:57 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

If you cats want to lay double digits on the road in MNF game, be my guest. Not saying it won't cash, but it's a bad bet.

It's always a bad bet to lay that many points on the road in the NFL. Always.

Not really buying that argument. You have to look at each game individually. I take the points a lot too, but this game is so one sided, you have to take em -10.

I will go back to my original point, Jacksonville will have a very difficult time scoring points, i believe 21 points by the Baltimore offense gets it done.

GL tonight, not worth going back and fourth with guys. We obviously see this game differently, lets just watch the game tonight to see who was right.

BernardMadoff · 10-24-11, 02:58 PM

Originally posted by face

all of ravens wins are by 2 tds.

And there 1 loss, on the road was by 13. They stacked the box that day trying to stop Johnson and Hasselback lit them up, surely they will try and stack the box tonight thinking thats the only way Jacksonville can get quality yards by running.

5mike5 · 10-24-11, 02:59 PM

Originally posted by neverstoppers23

Not really buying that argument. You have to look at each game individually. I take the points a lot too, but this game is so one sided, you have to take em -10.

I will go back to my original point, Jacksonville will have a very difficult time scoring points, i believe 21 points by the Baltimore offense gets it done.

GL tonight, not worth going back and fourth with guys. We obviously see this game differently, lets just watch the game tonight to see who was right.

exactly...its a mis-match....baltimore handily

5mike5 · 10-24-11, 03:00 PM

Originally posted by 5mike5

heres my argument...ravens have won by 14+ every win this year and the jags are god awful...thats common sense and it wins tonight ravens-9.5 EASY jags simply have not enough on offense to keep up and ravens can score..period.......when a team is better on BOTH sides of the ball and i get them at -9.5....RAVENS 10+

**not to even mention...gabbert is horrible

BernardMadoff · 10-24-11, 03:03 PM

Turnovers will decide the spread IMO, still Gabbert has to somehow play decently, somehow Jags need to be even in turnovers or win the battle in that department, somehow.

loopydude11 · 10-24-11, 03:06 PM

Originally posted by face

all of ravens wins are by 2 tds.

Patriots wins were all 9+ so they must've been a good play vs the Cowboys?

Jags beat the Titans who wooped the Ravens, i don't think they'll win but i like them to cover tonight

k13 · 10-24-11, 03:07 PM

Gabbert is not that awful, it`s his receivers are dreadful.

5mike5 · 10-24-11, 03:08 PM

Originally posted by k13

Gabbert is not that awful, it`s his receivers are dreadful.

either way...gabbert and recievers wont put up near enough to hang with the ravens...hammer the ravens and sleep tight tonight...I WILL

face · 10-24-11, 03:09 PM

Originally posted by face

all of ravens wins are by 2 tds.

lol people hate this little sentence. i don't know if it continues or not, how the hell would i know?

BernardMadoff · 10-24-11, 03:11 PM

K Ive looked at enough of what I think I need to, gonna go Ravens -9.5. I think they cover first half also.

jstblaze · 10-24-11, 03:12 PM

Couldnt say stupider things...

Originally posted by No coincidences

If you cats want to lay double digits on the road in MNF game, be my guest. Not saying it won't cash, but it's a bad bet.

It's always a bad bet to lay that many points on the road in the NFL. Always.

Are you really this stupid?

I am not making a play on tonights game, but still cant help being blown away by the ridiculous statements being made.

Show me the stat over the history of the NFL monday night... Even if all the occurences so far backup your statement, it still isnt always.

Sometimes when i read these posts i feel like Im in Southpark.

5mike5 · 10-24-11, 03:16 PM

Originally posted by jstblaze

Are you really this stupid?

I am not making a play on tonights game, but still cant help being blown away by the ridiculous statements being made.

Show me the stat over the history of the NFL monday night... Even if all the occurences so far backup your statement, it still isnt always.

Sometimes when i read these posts i feel like Im in Southpark.

lmao

pattymayo · 10-24-11, 03:16 PM

Originally posted by jstblaze

Are you really this stupid?

I am not making a play on tonights game, but still cant help being blown away by the ridiculous statements being made.

Show me the stat over the history of the NFL monday night... Even if all the occurences so far backup your statement, it still isnt always.

Sometimes when i read these posts i feel like Im in Southpark.

he didn't say it ALWAYS is the case. He said it is ALWAYS a bad play to bet double digit road faves on MNF.

Bet 10 point + road faves in every primetime game all year, i bet you'll be down units