-125 FEDERER vs NADAL +115 Discussion Thread

[mathdotcom]

This is a tough one, but I think I'm gonna go for Federer. Don't see the line getting any better before game time. I think Nadal is a bit overhyped, though of course he's definitely improved. Federer's record is just too outstanding, and his play so far seems to confirm he is a different man from the beginning of the year.

[Stacocakes]

Federer will win.Book it

[mathdotcom]

Not to mention that Nadal did not meet expectations today.

Unfortunately I haven't seen Federer-Safin yet.

[gordon gekko]

Taking Fedex to the bank.

[Stacocakes]

They are playing the fed match right now on tsn if you want to see it

[mathdotcom]

Yep, got it now
=D

[Stacocakes]

If you want to bet Fed I would wait till sunday because you will get better odds.Everyone will be jumping in on rafa probably which will move feds price to something better

[mathdotcom]

Maybe. Just can't see Fed being any cheaper than -125. People must be nuts!

[Shark79]

Congrats on ur picks Math!!!

Yes I will be taking FedEx to the bank ... no doubt.

[dwaechte]

Just put an unhealthy amount of my roll on Fed. Can't wait til Sunday!

[mathdotcom]

Geez
Catching the Fed game now

I am not impressed. Think I'm gonna stay away.

[WileOut]

I would think the public is gonna be all over Fed.

Also, remember its not always the public that moves the lines, sometimes its the big hitters.

Last year Federer beat Rafa by a miracle basically. Rafa is much better now and Federer is about the same or maybe even worse.

The highest ranked player Federer has faced at this tourney has been Leyton Hewitt the 20th seed. Nadal has swept 3 seeded players, 2 of them ranked higher than Hewitt. Neither player has lost a set.

To me its a coin flip this year. Nadal is much closer to winning wimbledon than Fed is to winning the French.

[woodg8]

Tight game, but at that value, I'm gonna be taking Nadal. Should have won last year, will win this year.

[mathdotcom]

WileOut

Bet chess

[hoopster42]

I would think the public is gonna be all over Fed.

Also, remember its not always the public that moves the lines, sometimes its the big hitters.

Last year Federer beat Rafa by a miracle basically. Rafa is much better now and Federer is about the same or maybe even worse.

The highest ranked player Federer has faced at this tourney has been Leyton Hewitt the 20th seed. Nadal has swept 3 seeded players, 2 of them ranked higher than Hewitt. Neither player has lost a set.

To me its a coin flip this year. Nadal is much closer to winning wimbledon than Fed is to winning the French.

great analysis right here. basically sums it all up

[WileOut]

WileOut

Bet chess

Love the sport!

[WileOut]

great analysis right here. basically sums it all up

Thanks. I'm likely to just sit back and watch though. If anything I will take the plus money in Rafa. Probably wont bet it though.

[HeeeHAWWWW]

Last year Federer beat Rafa by a miracle basically. Rafa is much better now and Federer is about the same or maybe even worse.

That was basically my logic before the tournament. When Nadal beat Karlovic, Roddick and Djokovic at Queens, it demonstrated what incredible form he's in (and Queens is way faster than Wimbledon, so even less suited to Nadal's game). Winning Hamburg before Roland Garros was also very impressive, because although it's a claycourt it's pretty quick (which is why Federer beat him there previously, and has won it 4 times).

Can't see past Nadal tbh. That backhand is now just as ridiculously good as his forehand, he can hit the flat forehand much better than last year, and his serve is a fair bit better.

[dwaechte]

Weird line movements at Pinny.

Federer dropped from -125 to -123 on the match, but the 1st set line went from Roger -116 to Roger -122.

[mathdotcom]

Bet Fed to win 1st set but lose the match

[EaglesPhan36]

Federer at Wimbledon still until he gets knocked off his perch. I think this match is his whole year. This is his tourny over the last 6 years and if he loses, then he's clearly not "the man" any more. Nadal will win this tourny eventually though. I'll wait on the line to move before deciding if I actually want to play.

[jjgold]

Nadal in 4 sets

Only reason is Fed is a choke player now against him, all the pressure is on him.

[pimike]

Fed does not lose this match.

He is the KING on Grass. Nadal is not it just is that simple.

[SBR Lou]

Neither player has lost a set.

Incorrect. Rafa lost the first set a couple rounds ago.

[pimike]

Incorrect. Rafa lost the first set a couple rounds ago.

You tell em buddy

[Wheell]

Gulbis took a set off Rafa. They are a combined 36-1 in sets. Neither has been in serious danger.

[pavyracer]

Federer 3-0.

[SBR Lou]

Gulbis took a set off Rafa. They are a combined 36-1 in sets. Neither has been in serious danger.

I don't recall Federer being broken as a -5500 favorite, do you?

[Wheell]

Soderling and Gicquel broke Federer. I don't recall their odds but they were fairly sizable dogs in the range of Schuettler.

[Tchocky]

I like Roger in 4 sets +362 or Nadal in 5 sets +520.

[flyingillini]

I just put a dime on Nadal.

[mathdotcom]

I just put a dime on Nadal.

Better spent donating to jjgold's church

[mathdotcom]

Just kidding. Good luck. I think the line is bang on.

[flyingillini]

Better spent donating to jjgold's church

I probably will lose but why not give it a shot. The whole world will be on the other side.

[SBR Lou]

I just put a dime on Nadal.

Darn, I'd wish you well but I'd be lying.

Big stones though fading Fed in his quest for a 6th consecutive Wimbledon title, and 66th or 67th win on grass in a row..