Will FuzzyD be eliminated on WSOP Day 3?

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  • playersonly69
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-04-08
    • 12827

    #36
    Originally posted by Lou
    The expert has a background in mathematics, statistics and is one of the world's most foremost experts on backgammon.

    GL with your wager.. the professional opinion of the expert is that you're going to need it.

    Is that expert aware that this year more people than last year have made it to day 3 (% wise anyway)? Is he also aware that this year they ONLY play 4 levels instead of the usual 5 levels?


    Also this year ESPN will be webcasting during day 3. That has NEVER happened before. That force some tight play out of some of the players.


    You statistics expert cant factor in the above information.



    I mean seriously Lou. Someone who would have around 40,000 chips should have your +220 odds.
    Comment
    • xyzky
      SBR MVP
      • 08-23-07
      • 1577

      #37
      Didnt load for some reason, will try again...
      Comment
      • tblues2005
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 07-30-06
        • 9235

        #38
        put 5 on no +220 for me Lou.
        Comment
        • pouroupoupou
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 03-13-10
          • 971

          #39
          184 on NO @ +220

          Come on Fuzzy
          Comment
          • Bo$$ Bet$
            Restricted User
            • 07-08-10
            • 3062

            #40
            250 big ones on NO Fuzzster will NOT be eliminated on day 3 @ +220

            Come on fuzzzzzzzy #TeamFuzz
            Comment
            • JerseyLove
              SBR MVP
              • 02-15-10
              • 2183

              #41
              No, Fuzzy will not be eliminated on Day 3: +220 for 10 points
              Comment
              • yisman
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 09-01-08
                • 75682

                #42
                This is setting up like when SBR John used to have those big specials way back when.
                [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                [/quote]

                [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                Comment
                • McCarthyFam
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-06-11
                  • 1700

                  #43
                  160 on no at +220
                  Comment
                  • Pete0
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-09-10
                    • 3849

                    #44
                    Very interesting .... Just ask yourselves this...


                    In the history of SBR, what happens when 100 % of the posters are on a particular side ??


                    That being said.... I am going to make a homer pick , and risk 10 points on NO .

                    GO FUZZYY !!
                    Comment
                    • Augustus
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-05-06
                      • 2787

                      #45
                      250 on NO at +220
                      Comment
                      • FuzzyDunlop
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-15-11
                        • 2422

                        #46
                        I hope anyone that bets yes get buried.
                        Comment
                        • Cuse0323
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 12-09-09
                          • 30169

                          #47
                          100 on yes.
                          Comment
                          • CanuckG
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-23-10
                            • 21978

                            #48
                            Entire Public on NO you know what that means
                            Comment
                            • playersonly69
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-04-08
                              • 12827

                              #49
                              Well betting the -250 isnt really appealing.


                              I am not saying that you will make it to day 4 for sure or not, but the line is Wayyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy off. I mean it is not even close to being correct judging from the amount of chips that you have. By the way, are we SURE that you actually have the amount of chips that Lou said that you had?
                              Comment
                              • pavyracer
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 04-12-07
                                • 82812

                                #50
                                Originally posted by playersonly69
                                Well betting the -250 isnt really appealing.


                                I am not saying that you will make it to day 4 for sure or not, but the line is Wayyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy off. I mean it is not even close to being correct judging from the amount of chips that you have. By the way, are we SURE that you actually have the amount of chips that Lou said that you had?
                                He has 93,000 chips confirmed.
                                Comment
                                • SBR Lou
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 08-02-07
                                  • 37863

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by pavyracer
                                  He has 93,000 chips confirmed.
                                  I'm offended by PlayersOnly line of questioning.
                                  Comment
                                  • BeatTheJerk
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 08-19-07
                                    • 31794

                                    #52
                                    Mr. Zoeller is doing quite well.
                                    Comment
                                    • yisman
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 09-01-08
                                      • 75682

                                      #53
                                      I do tend to agree with what PO is saying. I haven't watched Fuzzy play, but I tend to think he has a better chance of making it through the day than +220 suggests.
                                      [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                      [/quote]

                                      [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                      Comment
                                      • rm18
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 09-20-05
                                        • 22291

                                        #54
                                        250 on NO
                                        Comment
                                        • doublej95
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-26-10
                                          • 14094

                                          #55
                                          keep making us proud Fuzzy.
                                          Comment
                                          • Robber
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 10-21-09
                                            • 6432

                                            #56
                                            No for 250
                                            Comment
                                            • ryanspeer2001
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-30-08
                                              • 3149

                                              #57
                                              Some good value in No here. I may lay some points.
                                              Comment
                                              • shari91
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 02-23-10
                                                • 32661

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by CanuckG
                                                Entire Public on NO you know what that means
                                                Yeah normally these things don't tend to turn out well when we're piled on one side. This time I prefer to think that all of the No bettors realise the line is too high and we're following proper gambling strategy here. Plus, usually when we're betting on something it involves overpaid athletes, many of whom have peabrains. Fuzzy's in this to win it. May be his one chance to dance so I know he'll bust his ass to make it through.
                                                Comment
                                                • Streakster777
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 01-29-11
                                                  • 262

                                                  #59
                                                  Playersonly69,

                                                  Are you still in Vegas? How did you get knocked out of the tourney?

                                                  It would of been great if you were still in it.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BookiesBernanke
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 12-09-10
                                                    • 849

                                                    #60
                                                    No, Fuzzy will not be eliminated on Day 3: +220
                                                    86 points
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Streakster777
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 01-29-11
                                                      • 262

                                                      #61
                                                      Would be funny, if on the very last hand of day 3, Fuzzy has an allin hand, but just to be on the safe side in case he loses, he keeps 1 chip back to stay alive to ensure he comes back for day 4,
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Iwinyourmoney
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 04-18-07
                                                        • 18368

                                                        #62
                                                        How crappy would that be like the guy said above, even for any player.
                                                        The last hand of the day and you end the day with like 100 chips or less.

                                                        Imagine it was at the end of a day where you don't come back and play for 2 days.

                                                        I'd just head home
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Roadtrip635
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 12-07-10
                                                          • 6129

                                                          #63
                                                          25 points Fuzzy will NOT be eliminated!

                                                          Go, Go Fuzzy!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • noober
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-23-09
                                                            • 2012

                                                            #64
                                                            100 points on NO
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Streakster777
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 01-29-11
                                                              • 262

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by Iwinyourmoney
                                                              How crappy would that be like the guy said above, even for any player.
                                                              The last hand of the day and you end the day with like 100 chips or less.

                                                              Imagine it was at the end of a day where you don't come back and play for 2 days.

                                                              I'd just head home
                                                              Good point, but I know in playing online poker a lot of us have had those miracle comebacks from like 100 chips to getting back into the game. Maybe not at these blinds though, would need like 10 double ups.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Bo$$ Bet$
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 07-08-10
                                                                • 3062

                                                                #66
                                                                What day/time exactly is day 3??
                                                                Comment
                                                                • yisman
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 09-01-08
                                                                  • 75682

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Tomorrow.

                                                                  3 PM EDT
                                                                  [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                                  [/quote]

                                                                  [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Bo$$ Bet$
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 07-08-10
                                                                    • 3062

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by yisman
                                                                    Tomorrow.

                                                                    3 PM EDT
                                                                    Ty and this is gonna be on espn? Have we identified our suspects actual name yet?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JMUplayer
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-27-09
                                                                      • 2765

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Anyone got a picture of Fuzzy?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • yisman
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 09-01-08
                                                                        • 75682

                                                                        #70
                                                                        ESPN3.com will have coverage early on. No way of knowing what tables will be shown.

                                                                        ESPN2 I think picks it up in primetime (7 PM EDT).
                                                                        [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                                        [/quote]

                                                                        [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                                        Comment
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