Will FuzzyD be eliminated on WSOP Day 3?

stikymess · 07-13-11, 03:31 PM

Wouldn't betting against Fuzzy be bad Karma? Just asking.

shari91 · 07-13-11, 03:31 PM

250 for no at +220 please

COME ON FUZZY!!!

4uk4life · 07-13-11, 03:34 PM

68 pts on NO +220

icemaster47 · 07-13-11, 03:34 PM

put me down for 80, no at +220

Come on Fuzzy, represent for SBR!

chemicalbrother · 07-13-11, 03:34 PM

Originally posted by stikymess

Wouldn't betting against Fuzzy be bad Karma? Just asking.

gosh, yeah. i mean, i feel like he probably will get eliminated tomorrow, but between having to lay -250 and not wanting to karma-**** him, i dunno..

Wrigley · 07-13-11, 03:37 PM

voting yes would be like voting against the home team

donkdown · 07-13-11, 03:40 PM

160 on no lou.. Im rooting for this guy now!! We need to get him on DonkDown Radio Fuzzy
U up for an interview tonight??

RealSlimShady · 07-13-11, 03:47 PM

Originally posted by shari91

250 for no at +220 please

COME ON FUZZY!!!

Ditto for me here.....come on Fuzzy!

I need an iPad.

timmyboy34243 · 07-13-11, 03:48 PM

gimme fitty on fuzzy.......@ +220=NO.

YorkHunt · 07-13-11, 03:50 PM

250 on NO +220

250 to win 550

RealSlimShady · 07-13-11, 03:52 PM

Lou, can you confirm my transfer of 250 points to you? Doesnt show up on post #1, but points have been deducted from my account.

vyomguy · 07-13-11, 04:03 PM

20 to win 44 on NO

yisman · 07-13-11, 04:10 PM

Anyone want to weigh in on the chances?

SBR Lou · 07-13-11, 04:18 PM

Originally posted by RealSlimShady

Lou, can you confirm my transfer of 250 points to you? Doesnt show up on post #1, but points have been deducted from my account.

I received it.

70kgman · 07-13-11, 04:18 PM

Why not? I will take NO for 100.

CarpeDime · 07-13-11, 04:19 PM

Lou get Dax to move this line! Every bet has been on the NO and the SBR public will pound the NO no matter what you hang!

Lou if we don't move the line and the NO hits we are gonna be forced to void all bets and claim a "bad line". That will not look good.

SBR Lou · 07-13-11, 04:20 PM

Originally posted by yisman

Anyone want to weigh in on the chances?

I actually received the opinion of an expert, former prop manager for a major sportsbook and it was confirmed that the price offered is reasonable.

SBR Lou · 07-13-11, 04:21 PM

Originally posted by CarpeDime

Lou get Dax to move this line! Every bet has been on the NO and the SBR public will pound the NO no matter what you hang! Lou if we don't move the line and the NO hits we are gonna be forced to void all bets and claim a "bad line". That will not look good.

I'm sorry to say, the belief among the lines mgt. team is that the house will clean up on this offer.

yisman · 07-13-11, 04:28 PM

OK, so how many players advance from Day 3?

pavyracer · 07-13-11, 04:33 PM

I would have to study the blind structure and Fuzzy's passive/aggressive play of hands ratio in first 2 days to find the +EV bet.

70kgman · 07-13-11, 04:37 PM

Originally posted by yisman

OK, so how many players advance from Day 3?

Usually you see the field cut in half on day 3. I looked up the last three years and it was pretty consistent on all of them. So, look for 900 or so to be eliminated on day 3 this year.

Iwinyourmoney · 07-13-11, 04:47 PM

5 on NO just for good luck for em

playersonly69 · 07-13-11, 04:48 PM

Lou, the expert is WRONG!! He is forgetting that this year Day 3 is only 4 levels instead of the usual 5 levels. Making the actual money wont occur until Day 4 or Friday. Probably around 1000 players will be left after day 3.

But once you get into the money on day 4, it will be fast and furious. Within 1 hour they will lose at least 100 players and by the end of the day should have around 300 players left

Give me 169 points on the NO!

playersonly69 · 07-13-11, 04:50 PM

Lou TRUST ME!! This is a real bad line on the NO.

It should be MUCH CLOSER to +125 or so on the NO. I mean he has a normal chip stack and 1/2 of the field will survive.

Having said all of this, he very well may crash and burn early by a bad beat. But his chances to make day 4 are not really that bad. But the line is bad either way.

yisman · 07-13-11, 05:01 PM

250 on no.

pavyracer · 07-13-11, 05:02 PM

120 on NO @ +220

Cap dat 4ss · 07-13-11, 05:05 PM

2 on no for +220.

SBR might have fuzzy throw this in their favor. I will be watching his style of play and if i notice a difference im filing a complaint.

Lets go fuzzy....

Dad · 07-13-11, 05:08 PM

92 points on No.

Thanks Lou.

Boscoe · 07-13-11, 05:12 PM

100 on no.

thanks!

CarpeDime · 07-13-11, 05:12 PM

Originally posted by Cap dat 4ss

SBR might have fuzzy throw this in their favor. I will be watching his style of play and if i notice a difference im filing a complaint.

fishy fukin line

if it looks too good to be true.....IT IS

is SBR really gonna expose themselves and take a bath on the side they know sharps AND hamburgers/otters/squares/whatever will pound?

I don't think so

Likemyodds · 07-13-11, 05:14 PM

35 points on NO

SBR Lou · 07-13-11, 05:16 PM

Originally posted by playersonly69

Lou, the expert is WRONG!! He is forgetting that this year Day 3 is only 4 levels instead of the usual 5 levels. Making the actual money wont occur until Day 4 or Friday. Probably around 1000 players will be left after day 3.

The expert has a background in mathematics, statistics and is one of the world's most foremost experts on backgammon.

GL with your wager.. the professional opinion of the expert is that you're going to need it.

stikymess · 07-13-11, 05:16 PM

8 on NO.

John Morrison · 07-13-11, 05:17 PM

72 @ +220 no