Destroy the Books! *The Final Chapter*

[brico]

I too was on Stupid Orioles!

[dj_destroyer]

WWC
30 - Canada [+198] 2%

[brico]

gl on your plays today

[dj_destroyer]

Record: 91-105-11
Bankroll: $8231.57
Wagered: $34245.01
Returned: $32476.58
Net: -$1768.43
ROI: -5.16%
_____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

MLB
27 - Twins [-113] 3% -246.95 to win 218.54
27 - Royals [+131] 2% -164.63 to win 215.67
28 - Orioles [-134] 3% -246.95 to win 184.29
28 - Royals [+114] 2% -164.63 to win 187.68
28 - Twins [-107] 2% -164.63 to win 153.86
28 - Indians [+147] 1% -82.32 to win 121.01

WWC
28 - USA [-196] 4% -329.26 to win 167.99
30 - Canada [+198] 2% -164.63 to win 325.97

WNBA
28 - Phoenix Mercury +4 [-105] 1% -82.32 to win 78.40
28 - San Antonio Silver Stars +3.5 [-105] 1% -82.32 to win 78.40

Record: 94-112-11
Bankroll: $7479.39
Wagered: $35973.65
Returned: $33453.04
Net: -$2520.61
ROI: -7.01%
_____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

Pirates/Nationals U8 [-104] 4% -299.18 to win 287.67
Mets [+100] 4% -299.18 to win 299.18
Braves [-176] 4% -299.18 to win 169.99
Pirates [+134] 2% -149.59 to win 200.45
Astros [+122] 2% -149.59 to win 182.50
Yankees/Mets O8.5 [-101] 2% -149.59 to win 148.11

[stevenaive]

I've stopped tailing in the last few weeks as your plays seem to be getting more and more unpredictable. Knowing as we all do what a coin-toss MLB tends to be I find it amazing that you now have several plays of 4% and a few at 2% on this sport.

Are you just getting a bit bored of the grind of it all? Looks that way to me....

[dzzznutz]

it may be time to destroy the thread- the final chapter

[ktorp18]

Hopefully the idiots who only care about short term results leave this thread now.

[fitguy67]

ktorp, agree (and add...especially those that can't figure out that % means <*> or <x> or <unit> = "whatever we feel comfortable with, as long as it's consistently defined"= considerably less than an actual percentage point if you wish

i figured out long ago that dj's got a bigger stomach for relative bet-sizes than i do, and define what he calls <%> accordingly...

in a calendar year of playing almost every day...this is dj's first serious downturn...i see this as an opportunity to "buy in after a dip" cautiously

DJ, bro...steady...focus...plenty (unlimited actually) of rounds left in this fight...use your well-established "boxing" (ie. objective-thinking) skills (edge-recognition, "money management"=bet-size selection based on the magnitude of that edge) skills...don't get lured into a slugging match (ie. falling prey to the subjective temptation to get "revenge" or "save time")...

discipline and patience...you won't just survive this...you will prevail...

fitguy

[dioforce]

DJ usually has some good swings.

No amount of armchair rationalizing from the peanut gallery will help to be fair.

Best to start tailing when he's down -- if ever.

[dj_destroyer]

Tried to take some time off and re-work the formula. I decided in the end not to change the formula but to let it run instead... If it continues to falter, I will go back to the drawing board and try some new metrics. There are a few I've been looking at. We still have 2+ months of solid baseball left and that's plenty of time to still get back into the positives. Plays for tomorrow will be up in a bit.

[dj_destroyer]

Record: 94-112-11
Bankroll: $7479.39
Wagered: $35973.65
Returned: $33453.04
Net: -$2520.61
ROI: -7.01%
_____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

Pirates/Nationals U8 [-104] 4% -299.18 to win 287.67
Mets [+100] 4% -299.18 to win 299.18
Braves [-176] 4% -299.18 to win 169.99
Pirates [+134] 2% -149.59 to win 200.45
Astros [+122] 2% -149.59 to win 182.50
Yankees/Mets O8.5 [-101] 2% -149.59 to win 148.11

Record: 96-116-11
Bankroll: $7189.10
Wagered: $37319.96
Returned: $34509.06
Net: -$2810.90
ROI: -7.53%
_____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

Athletics [-103] 4% -287.56 to win 279.18
Pirates [-118] 2% -143.78 to win 121.85
Angels [+107] 2% -143.78 to win 153.84

Canada [-127] 2% -143.78 to win 113.21
France +1 [-102] 1% -71.89 to win 70.48

[brico]

Let's have some winners today

[BrickJames]

Let's have some winners today

Rays -110

[brico]

Better luck tonight. Don't worry

[Lank66]

You were money last year. I hope you turn things around.

[dioforce]

I don't know about you guys but I'll be making money in the interim

[brico]

Good luck next days .

[dj_destroyer]

You were money last year. I hope you turn things around.

I think this is what my downfall was; I basically used the same formula this year as I did last but clearly every season is different. I've been taking the last couple of days to overhaul the formula and add a few new metrics. I'll be testing it over the first week or so after the All-Star break and will then return to posting. Cheers and good luck.

[fitguy67]

DJ, chek out what "Bodio" has been posting over in covers the last few days with regard to MLB analysis. Probably nothing much new, but just might help you find the perfect tweak for your machine.

When you come back we got the 7k to 10k mini challenge as an on ramp to the main highway that takes us to 100,000.

[Call82]

So I guess the story ends here, doesnt it? Well, I guess the growing business is more profitable LOL

[King Mayan]

fukk me.. Never seen this thread.

[dj_destroyer]

Still tweaking... the formula has been doing good since the break but not great. I don't wanna come back without being fully behind it because the mess of a first half has me rattled. I did post the top play yesterday (NYM) and today (KCR) for anyone who wants to follow along. But ya, not ready to post in here yet. Soon I hope!

And oh ya, Mayan, the links are at the start of this thread to show how I turned 1600 into 10000. So before you bash me for dropping down to 7k, understand I'm still playing with bookie money; something you've never done.

[Call82]

JD, I really hope you will be back soon...good luck with the fine tuning...

[dj_destroyer]

After going 5-1 on my posted top plays the last six days... I will be returning to this thread today. Stay tuned.

[Ra77er]

I'm a super stiff but they only have me as a regular stiff... I win again.

[dj_destroyer]

Record: 96-116-11
Bankroll: $7189.10
Wagered: $37319.96
Returned: $34509.06
Net: -$2810.90
ROI: -7.53%
_____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

Athletics [-103] 4% -287.56 to win 279.18
Pirates [-118] 2% -143.78 to win 121.85
Angels [+107] 2% -143.78 to win 153.84

Canada [-127] 2% -143.78 to win 113.21
France +1 [-102] 1% -71.89 to win 70.48 PUSH

Record: 98-118-12
Bankroll: $7033.45
Wagered: $38110.75
Returned: $35144.20
Net: -$2966.55
ROI: -7.78%
_____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

Athletics [+108] 3% -211.00 to win 227.88
Indians [+115] 2% -140.67 to win 161.77

[dj_destroyer]

They're an illegal book based in the States... no way I would ever give them money but I'll take it all day. Hopefully that sham of a website goes under.

[ttrace35]

Stick to making picks. And leave the tough guy shit for the proffesionals. You fukkin dope.

[dj_destroyer]

tracy... enough talk. I know you're secretly tailing me along with all the other homers here who have been bashing me... My 5-1 run the past six days did not go unnoticed.

[ttrace35]

tracy... enough talk. I know you're secretly tailing me along with all the other homers here who have been bashing me... My 5-1 run the past six days did not go unnoticed.

Of course I will taill you if you keep winning. Tracer is no dummy.

[onetrickpony]

final chapter

guess i missed the intro and first few chapters

oh well

[SpreadSniper]

final chapter

guess i missed the intro and first few chapters

oh well

it's the final chapter before the next chapter, duh.

[dj_destroyer]

Check the first page you goobers... Has links to the first two "chapters" where every play is posted/documented from $1600 to now. This is the Final Chapter because it has the lofty goal of turning 10k into 100k. I'm guessing it takes about 4 years to do but I will get there. Most degens can't handle the ride but I know there are some out there that stay the course and make a pretty penny doing so.

[ZetaPsi808]

nice day today DJ

[dj_destroyer]

Record: 98-118-12
Bankroll: $7033.45
Wagered: $38110.75
Returned: $35144.20
Net: -$2966.55
ROI: -7.78%
_____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

Athletics [+108] 3% -211.00 to win 227.88
Indians [+115] 2% -140.67 to win 161.77

Record: 100-118-12
Bankroll: $7423.10
Wagered: $38462.42
Returned: $35885.52
Net: -$2576.90
ROI: -6.70%
_____________________________ ______ _____ ____ ___ __ _ _

Phillies [-115] 3% -222.69 to win 193.64
Padres [-110] 3% -222.69 to win 202.45
Orioles [+160] 1% -74.23 to win 118.77