List the factors you consider when capping a baseball game

[SBR Lou]

Did you jump on the Over, crazy?

Yes, nothing big though.

Just busting your balls, I'm a New Yorker myself so I like to bet on the Yankees whenever I can justify it. Not a blind homer but I do think they should be able to cash that win total over.

[WE EAT FISH]

You might be right. There are several teams that wouldn't necessarily surprise me if they reached the 100-W plateau. Most of what go into my win totals are predicated on a very simple sim program, and there are a lot of intangibles that the software doesn't consider. It's also designed to bring teams more towards the mean instead of to the extreme.

Did you jump on the Over, crazy?

You run sim programs because you don't know what will happen in your mind and you need a computer to do it for you I'm a real HANDICAPPER I pick things myself and will NEVER blame a sim.

[Willie Bee]

You run sim programs because you don't know what will happen in your mind and you need a computer to do it for you I'm a real HANDICAPPER I pick things myself and will NEVER blame a sim.

Easy, Fish. I've never blamed a thing on the sim engine; it's only as smart as I tell it to be. Simply another tool to use, and in the end it's just extra data to consider before making my projections. Look forward to reading all of your valuable handicapping this season

[ryanXL977]

bullpen more than anything
lefty righty matchups

[Arnold]

You run sim programs because you don't know what will happen in your mind and you need a computer to do it for you I'm a real HANDICAPPER I pick things myself and will NEVER blame a sim.

Your ego is REAL too.

[guitarjosh]

Wind depending on what the pitcher throws. If a starting pitcher is a knuckleballer swirling winds would give him more of an advantage then if the winds were calm.

[twtb19]

Mostly pitchers vs. the team they are playing.
Road/Home splits for pitchers.
Wind only when betting totals at Wrigley.

Otherwise I think weather can sometimes be an over-rated factor unless we're talking snow flurries and temps in the 30s or below. Otherwise, 40s or 50s isn't really going to impact a game that much as who is pitching.

I bet if you knew which way the wind was blowing at wrigley each game you could hit a huge percentage. Some days balls are deep enough to hit the buildings out of the park and end up easily in the outfielders glove. Other days a fly ball to short is out of the park pretty easy.

[BigOrangeTitans]

only one thing i consider... and that is the year of the coin i flip.

[regularguy]

See LT's article on the front page: "Bullpens the key to winning MLB handicapping."

That article pretty much nails it, IMO.

[INVEGA MAN]

PITCHERS. The real value is the best starting pitcher on a losing team. Even the worse teams in the league win 50 games.

[TPowell]

1. How many hours prior to gametime, hitters were injected with roids.

2. How much pine tar, other stupid shit pitchers put on the ball

3. How many times Leo rocks back and forth in 1 inning (LR per I) thats my formula