Phila Has No Shot Against Green Bay

[Gilly86]

but if green bay loses you lose 2x

lol, no you dont, if you were going to bet 1 unit on green bay money line, then you just bet .5 unit on each of those parlays which equates to a 1 unit bet but with a much greater payout than playing just the green bay moneyline.

[jmilacek]

the packer defense is awesome....they held mike vick to just 17 points the last time they played... was just for one half but they still held him to below 20 points

17 points in a half is terrible defense.

[lucky888gunz]

If youre going to bet the GB moneyline, make two bets, one parlayed with the jets ML and one with the colts ML.

GB +120 pays 1.2 to 1

GB +120 & Jets +115 pays 3.73 to 1
GB +120 & Colts -135 pays 2.8 to 1

You'll make at minimum 1.8 to 1, with a possibility of making 2.73 to 1



You're welcome.

Edit: Odds from sportsbook.com

With your odds, if you risk 1 unit on Greenbay moneyline
you win 1.2

lets pretend you risk .5 unit on GB +120 & Jets +115 pays 3.73 to 1
you win 1.865
lets pretend you risk .5 unit on GB +120 & Colts -135 pays 2.8 to 1
you win 1.4
therefore, if Greenbay and the Jets win you win 1.865 -.5(other parlay) = 1.365
if Greenbay and the colts win, you win 1.4 -.5(other parlay) = .9

if you average the result from the 2 possible outcomes of your parlay method, your average return is 1.1325, worse than the original moneyline odds.

[Gilly86]

With your odds, if you risk 1 unit on Greenbay moneyline
you win 1.2

lets pretend you risk .5 unit on GB +120 & Jets +115 pays 3.73 to 1
you win 1.865
lets pretend you risk .5 unit on GB +120 & Colts -135 pays 2.8 to 1
you win 1.4
therefore, if Greenbay and the Jets win you win 1.865 -.5(other parlay) = 1.365
if Greenbay and the colts win, you win 1.4 -.5(other parlay) = .9

if you average the result from the 2 possible outcomes of your parlay method, your average return is 1.1325, worse than the original moneyline odds.

No, the line with the colts pays 2.8 to 1 so essentially 2.8 to 2, or +140. The line with the jets pays 3.73 to 1 or essentially 3.73 to 2, or +186. The minimum payout would be +140?

Unless I'm really missing something an am a stupidass

[lucky888gunz]

yeah you are missing the fact that you're risking .5 unit on each parlay , so you're not winning 2.8 or 3.73 units, but half of that.

I think you're forgetting to subtract the half a unit you're losing on the parlay which loses.

so +1.4 units or +1.86 units , then you got to subtract the .5 unit you lost on the parlay which didnt cover. so that equals .9 or 1.36 net profit as the two possible outcomes - average the two and you have 1.13, worse odds than playing a straight moneyline at 1.2

[Art Vandelay]

Clay Mathews will be all over Vick like white on rice! The hits on Vick accumulate and GB wins by 4!

[jjgold]

Phila is the biggest square play of the week

They have no shot

[sweethook]

50/50

[No coincidences]

I agree with this play in theory, but I'm worried about GB's lack of ground game.

[Sunde91]

JFC, STRONG lean by jj on his isolated plays = 75% winners...

[Sunde91]

How big time is this play? Confidence on a scale of 1 to 10?

[jjgold]

Well it was a strong play like 8

WINNER

[Sunde91]

Coach Unreal

Wanted this for huge, got scared of the hype. Every fukin nitwit on ESPN was touting them.

Do not question coach. 75% winners.

[jjgold]

know the game Sunder even though I am down $44,000 lifetime at SBR

[sweethook]

nice jj , youl get it back

[jjgold]

Lets get the champagne out

Congrats

[The Seer]

Lets get the champagne out Congrats

[jjgold]

Congrats Seer