NE -13.5 - Does this number go up or down?

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  • ritehook
    SBR MVP
    • 08-12-06
    • 2244

    #1
    NE -13.5 - Does this number go up or down?
    I think down, tho one may reason that it will rise to a more "key" 14.

    Sharps are, i think, going to push it to 13.

    Anyone else have an idea on this?
  • Wrigley
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-28-07
    • 7268

    #2
    Whats the Pats record in covering DD not very good I belive
    Comment
    • ritehook
      SBR MVP
      • 08-12-06
      • 2244

      #3
      Originally posted by Wrigley
      Whats the Pats record in covering DD not very good I belive
      Failed to cover last five games as DD faves. But this is a game that draws a huge amount of square money. Tho probably not until later this week or next week.

      It wouldn't surprise me it it hits 13 and stays there.
      Comment
      • purecarnagge
        SBR MVP
        • 10-05-07
        • 4843

        #4
        Take Pats ML, it won't matter what the spread is at. We've seen the giants lose to them already. The giants played a great game too. I don't see why anything would change?
        Comment
        • JoshW
          SBR MVP
          • 08-10-05
          • 3431

          #5
          **** Farve. IT, after IT. Would take Giants and points personally, but can watch the line and you should see difference between books in the coming weeks so can find the best price either way.
          Comment
          • goldengoat
            SBR MVP
            • 11-25-05
            • 3239

            #6
            i think it goes down
            Comment
            • jjgold
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 07-20-05
              • 388179

              #7
              way down

              Pats don't like physical teams like the Giants
              Comment
              • imgv94
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-16-05
                • 17192

                #8
                I'd love to know where this line is going myself.
                Comment
                • frostno98
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-11-07
                  • 9769

                  #9
                  Pats will have all the pressure and hype now, not the giants. Was thinking that line should be 9.5. Giants probably going to do what Denver did when the broncos were 11 to 13 points dogs against greenbay in the superbowl.
                  Comment
                  • ritehook
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-12-06
                    • 2244

                    #10
                    Originally posted by frostno98
                    Pats will have all the pressure and hype now, not the giants. Was thinking that line should be 9.5. Giants probably going to do what Denver did when the broncos were 11 to 13 points dogs against greenbay in the superbowl.

                    I tend to agree. Giants can play with Pats.
                    Comment
                    • SBR Lou
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 08-02-07
                      • 37863

                      #11
                      I already have NE in a future from weeks ago, but personally I don't think it'll get to 14.5, the Giants will draw a lot of action and plus NE has burned most everyone the past several weeks.
                      Comment
                      • SBR_John
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 07-12-05
                        • 16471

                        #12
                        14 to 14.5 by kickoff
                        Comment
                        • TexansFan
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-06-06
                          • 3365

                          #13
                          Originally posted by SBR_John
                          14 to 14.5 by kickoff
                          I agree, it should go up.
                          Comment
                          • ritehook
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-12-06
                            • 2244

                            #14
                            Originally posted by crazyl
                            I already have NE in a future from weeks ago, but personally I don't think it'll get to 14.5, the Giants will draw a lot of action and plus NE has burned most everyone the past several weeks.
                            I think you may be right, Crazy. The Giants are in a major market, their fans are fanatical, and I know that when I'm in North Jersey there is no lack of bookies (some of whom will likely lay off offshore).

                            At the same time, the huge volume of sqaure money that will come in worldwide is going to favor the Pats - undefeated, a glamor QB, recent SB champions - the whole nine (or one hundred) yards.
                            Comment
                            • SBR Lou
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 08-02-07
                              • 37863

                              #15
                              Also, weather figures to be nice barring a really crappy day, remember it's in Arizona. Wind should not have a part in it to alter any game plans.
                              Comment
                              • ritehook
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-12-06
                                • 2244

                                #16
                                Bookmaker (of the CRIS group) opened at 13.5, the line I quoted originally.

                                They are now at -13 at Bookmaker. As I'd thought. The sharps are pushing the number down. Tho I don't think the books are wanting to go into territory like 12.5, 12, 11.5, 11.

                                Look maybe for the juice to rise at the +13. Just waitin' for the squares . . .
                                Comment
                                • ritehook
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-12-06
                                  • 2244

                                  #17
                                  I was wrong, the Bookmaker number is now at 12.5.

                                  Cripes, will this go down to 10, where it actually should be?

                                  These early SB lines do often move, but not that dramatically.
                                  Comment
                                  • bigboydan
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 08-10-05
                                    • 55420

                                    #18
                                    TheGreek still is hanging it at Giants +13 -115
                                    Comment
                                    • donjuan
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-29-07
                                      • 3993

                                      #19
                                      Take Pats ML, it won't matter what the spread is at. We've seen the giants lose to them already. The giants played a great game too. I don't see why anything would change?
                                      I'll take all the action you want on the Pats at -2000000000.
                                      Comment
                                      • Aces
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-22-05
                                        • 1278

                                        #20
                                        I'm thinking down as well I'm thinking 10 10 1/2
                                        Comment
                                        • pokernut9999
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 07-25-07
                                          • 12757

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by crazyl
                                          Also, weather figures to be nice barring a really crappy day, remember it's in Arizona. Wind should not have a part in it to alter any game plans.
                                          Dome stadium
                                          Comment
                                          • SBR Lou
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 08-02-07
                                            • 37863

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by pokernut9999
                                            Dome stadium
                                            I thought it was a retractable roof, no?
                                            Comment
                                            • louisvillekid
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 08-14-07
                                              • 9262

                                              #23
                                              sportsbookspy already has 4095 bets being placed and 74% are on Giants.

                                              I should also note that I'm not sure how many books they monitor
                                              Comment
                                              • thezbar
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 08-29-06
                                                • 6422

                                                #24
                                                As I see it the early money will be on the Giants and the line will drop.There could be some 12's out there later this week. As game time arrives the flow of money will be on the Pats and drive some lines to 14. I can't see it going any higher than that.
                                                Comment
                                                • Dark Horse
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-14-05
                                                  • 13764

                                                  #25
                                                  Line has come down to 13, so early money was on Giants, but could well go back up in last couple of days before the game. People who never bet put money on this game. Not hard to imagine who they'll bet on, with all the hype in the media about the unbeaten team. Because of the Pats story this could be some interesting line movement. Books could get middled big time.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ritehook
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-12-06
                                                    • 2244

                                                    #26
                                                    Lines are at -13 and light juice for fave at some places, still right now 12.5.

                                                    Books could get middled for sure if there is more line movement. Or even between the 13.5 and 12.5.

                                                    But history as in indicator tells us that the line isn't going to move,right up to kickoff. It will hang at 13.

                                                    Of course, if the public is overwhelmed by the story of the Patriots and unleashes their collective bankrolls . . .
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Dark Horse
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 12-14-05
                                                      • 13764

                                                      #27
                                                      Not that it matters. Pats don't blow out teams anymore, and win by a late FG in their Super Bowls.

                                                      If I was a bookmaker I'd want people betting on the Patriots. They covered only twice since the start of November, yet keep getting the action on inflated lines.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Illusion
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 08-09-05
                                                        • 25166

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by crazyl
                                                        I thought it was a retractable roof, no?
                                                        It is and I bet they have the roof open for airial shots.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Dark Horse
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 12-14-05
                                                          • 13764

                                                          #29
                                                          Roof is there to keep out the desert heat and keep in the A/C. Not hot in February so roof will be open.
                                                          Comment
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