Fishhead: Need help on Brazil - N.Korea game

[pavyracer]

You have to know some push frequencies in order to calculate whether any of those polish middles (and permutations therein) have value, Pavy. However, I'm 99.9999% sure that none of those combinations would yield any long term positive expectation from what I've seen in the WC markets for the price of a goal. This topic would probably be better served in the Think Tank.

Thanks. I am pretty sure the people in the Think Tank would have come up with the best way to bet this game. I think we got some good food for thought.

[wrongturn]

If you like N.Korea scores 0, then the prop "Both teams score: NO" is better value.

[Chi_archie]

did we come up with an answer

[jayc88]

best play is north korea to win 3-0 +56138

[pavyracer]

did we come up with an answer

I would take the -2.5 off the table entirely.

Brazil 2-0 (+445) x1.07 & Brazil 3-0 (+484) x1 pay out at a combined (+377) if either hits, and then the Under 2.5 is sitting at (+150), which would also win if Brazil wins 2-0. That's my initial lean anyways.

Archie,

I think this makes the most sense. Bet the 2-0 & 3-0 scores for 1/2 a unit each and bet the under 2.5 +150 for 1 unit.

If the score is 0-0 or 1-0 you make a profit with the under.

If the score is 3-0 or 2-0 you make a profit (really good especially with a 2-0 score).

If is 4-0 break the other foot on the coffee table (like I did earlier today)

[Fishhead]

Why bother with all this when one can just scalp the game.

MATCHBOOK
5DIMES
BETJAM
REBATEWAGER
SPORTSINTERACTION
ETC
ETC
ETC
ETC

[durito]

Why bother with all this when one can just scalp the game.

MATCHBOOK
5DIMES
BETJAM
REBATEWAGER
SPORTSINTERACTION
ETC
ETC
ETC
ETC

Why are you so stupid?

[maersksealand]

NoKo's goalie and defense is very good. This is the game they clinched qualification. They needed at least a draw against Saudi Arabia and got it.

After watching this video I know Brazil -2.5 is the play

[Slim]

Everyone is on Brazil. Books always win.

[pavyracer]

Brazil: Julio Cesar, Maicon, Lucio, Juan, Felipe Melo, Michel Bastos, Elano, Gilberto Silva, Luis Fabiano, Kaka, Robinho
North Korea: Ri Myong-guk, Cha Jong-hyok, Ri Jun-il, Pak Nam-chol, Ri Kwang-chon, Pak Chol-jin, An Yong-hak, Ji Yun-nam, Mun In-guk, Hong Yong-jo, Jong Tae-se.

Brazil with 4-4-2 formation and North Korea with the rarely used 10-0-0.

[kato]

just scalp and middle pavy...

[Slim]

Fuk scalping. You bet to win.

[kato]

Fuk scalping. You bet to win.

sarcasm is tough to display over the internets

[SRBI]

Everyone is on Brazil. Books always win.

They didn't win with Germany and the Netherlands...so thats just nonsense guy.

[3PtShooter]

draw N korea will play keep away

[Slim]

Looks like Brazil is going to bury everyone.

[suicidekings]

Brazil 2-0 (+445) x1.07 & Brazil 3-0 (+484) x1 pay out at a combined (+377) if either hits, and then the Under 2.5 is sitting at (+150), which would also win if Brazil wins 2-0.

Archie,

I think this makes the most sense. Bet the 2-0 & 3-0 scores for 1/2 a unit each and bet the under 2.5 +150 for 1 unit.

If the score is 0-0 or 1-0 you make a profit with the under.

If the score is 3-0 or 2-0 you make a profit (really good especially with a 2-0 score).

If is 4-0 break the other foot on the coffee table (like I did earlier today)

So close...

[zigomanisinsider]

Brazil -2.5 +125
Brazil/N.Korea under 2.5 +150
Brazil/N Korea over 3 +100
N.Korea o1/2 +212

How do I calculate how much to wager on each bet to guarantee profit? Obviously you will either choose over 3 +100 or under 2.5 + 150?

Anyone have any ideas?

[obamaismyuncle]

You have not paid on your point loan since May 28th Keep tryin to make us think you bet real money,.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/sbr-points/476869-looking-200-point-loan.html?highlight=zigomanisinsider