Soderling +400 looks like a GREAT shot

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  • Brock Landers
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 06-30-08
    • 45360

    #1
    Soderling +400 looks like a GREAT shot
    Anyone remember what he did last year in Paris..

    Matchup: While Federer has won all 12 career matches against Soderling (Soderling beat Federer in an exhibition match earlier this year in Abu Dhabi), the Swede has battled Federer deep into many of the 12 contests. The matches have been growing closer in competitiveness as well.

    Soderling is no stranger to knocking off heavy favorites on the big stage in Paris -- he defeated last year's No. 1 seed, Rafael Nadal, in the fourth round of the 2009 tournament. Before collecting four straight wins at Roland Garros this year, Soderling struggled on clay during the tour season. He came into the French Open losing three in a row to subpar opponents.

    Federer came into Roland Garros 6-3 on clay this year, including a disappointing loss to Albert Montanes (who Soderling beat in Paris). But Federer has not dropped a set so far this year at Roland Garros.

    Including last year's French Open final, Federer and Soderling faced off in three Grand Slam events last year. Out of the 10 sets in the three matches, five went to a tiebreak.

    Because Soderling has the potential to take Federer deep into sets, he has the ability to challenge him in the match as long as he holds his strong serve.

    Head-to-Head: Federer leads 12-0.

    Quote: After Federer's exhibition loss to Soderling earlier this year in Abu Dhabi, he said: "I don't want to downplay exhibition matches, but they're there to try out a few things."

    Prediction: Although the head-to-head record is lopsided, Soderling has been battling Federer in recent contests. Soderling will do the same on Tuesday, but will fall a bit short. Federer will take the match in a tough five-set contest.
  • Brock Landers
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 06-30-08
    • 45360

    #2
    Thoughts, Opinions?
    Comment
    • pat venditto
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 05-07-07
      • 14347

      #3
      I agree that +400 is worth a shot.
      Comment
      • Carnage
        SBR Hustler
        • 05-24-10
        • 63

        #4
        Streak for Cash even has a prop where Federer winning all 3 sets is an option. It seems almost trivial that Soderling will at least pick up a set. But, +400 with a low amount is what I would do, but some people are go big or go home. I just wouldn't bet the house against Federer is all.
        Comment
        • xxxvince
          SBR MVP
          • 12-17-07
          • 2567

          #5
          fed all the way
          Comment
          • shari91
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 02-23-10
            • 32661

            #6
            Originally posted by Carnage
            Streak for Cash even has a prop where Federer winning all 3 sets is an option. It seems almost trivial that Soderling will at least pick up a set. But, +400 with a low amount is what I would do, but some people are go big or go home. I just wouldn't bet the house against Federer is all.
            Several books have props like that - I play them all the time as the odds are better than betting on a big favourite. In fact I'm considering taking Federer 3-1 in this one.

            Sod's worth a shot at that price Brockalicious although I've said all along that Federer's on a mission in this tournament. I think he'll give it everything he's got to get another shot at the championship so he can retire soon with hopefully another notch on his belt. Best of luck if you make the play!!
            Comment
            • Ace_of_Spades
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-14-09
              • 13518

              #7
              maybe a 4 setter, but Federer will prevail.
              Comment
              • j0hnnyv
                SBR MVP
                • 01-06-09
                • 3620

                #8
                Federer wins this. We are going to get the fed-nadal final we all deserve. Nadal wins it this year, his game is unreal right now!
                Comment
                • tealish
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-02-10
                  • 3386

                  #9
                  Fed looks too good. I'm laying the chalk. Sometimes he's just winning and advancing by, but so far in the French, he's looking GOOD.
                  Comment
                  • Masu485
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-14-08
                    • 7700

                    #10
                    take soderling on the spread maybe, this is a no play for me
                    Comment
                    • yisman
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 09-01-08
                      • 75682

                      #11
                      I picked Soderling last year against Nadal, but that's because the value was there due to the huge price.

                      Sorry, +400 is not good enough for me here. Pass.

                      Prediction: Federer in four sets.

                      Also, none of the books are showing even +400. I don't see anything better than +385 at the moment.
                      [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                      [/quote]

                      [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                      Comment
                      • Shortstop
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 01-02-09
                        • 27281

                        #12
                        Originally posted by j0hnnyv
                        Federer wins this. We are going to get the fed-nadal final we all deserve. Nadal wins it this year, his game is unreal right now!
                        I like your thinking, Johnny V! This is my championship result for the contest!
                        Comment
                        • Goat Milk
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 03-24-10
                          • 25850

                          #13
                          Federer 3-1 or even 3-0. Brock, you even like Fed in 5 sets so basically you're throwing your money away if you don't believe Sod can win. Don't just play something because its +400
                          Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                          Comment
                          • VOJVODINA
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 05-02-10
                            • 76

                            #14
                            l think that natch will be fantastic
                            Comment
                            • Lincoln73
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 02-12-10
                              • 454

                              #15
                              Federer hasn't lost prior to the semi's in any major since 2004. Throwing your money on Soderling doesn't seem like anywhere near the best value on the board.
                              Comment
                              • Chi_archie
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 07-22-08
                                • 63165

                                #16
                                staying away.... good luck
                                Comment
                                • tankman777
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 04-03-10
                                  • 330

                                  #17
                                  taking federer in five
                                  Comment
                                  • LT Profits
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 10-27-06
                                    • 90963

                                    #18
                                    Not this time Brock. +400 implies that Soderling would win this match 20% of the time, and that is simply not the case.

                                    I am passing in tennis Tuesday, although I do think that Petrova seems rather safe. I just don't want to lay the odds.
                                    Comment
                                    • jayc88
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 12-30-07
                                      • 6785

                                      #19
                                      under seems to be the better play
                                      i highly doubt that soderling can give fed a run for his money today
                                      Comment
                                      • Holtgetsback
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-04-10
                                        • 4655

                                        #20
                                        Best of luck Brock
                                        Comment
                                        • Doc JS
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 09-15-06
                                          • 6885

                                          #21
                                          Hard to see Fed losing....

                                          Doc
                                          Comment
                                          • Brock Landers
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 06-30-08
                                            • 45360

                                            #22
                                            Tennis DOGS are the only way to go
                                            Comment
                                            • Irish Jet
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 12-02-08
                                              • 320

                                              #23
                                              Small amount on Soderling on +1000 in play, can't see him winning though. Can't compete in a rally.
                                              Comment
                                              • Irish Jet
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 12-02-08
                                                • 320

                                                #24
                                                Soderling breaks him in the second. Oh yes.
                                                Comment
                                                • TomaCro
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 04-22-10
                                                  • 255

                                                  #25
                                                  he plays realy good
                                                  Comment
                                                  • michalis
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 01-02-10
                                                    • 1439

                                                    #26
                                                    soderling takes the second and is threatening for the upset

                                                    only a year ago he was losing to the same man in the same tournament in humiliating fashion
                                                    Comment
                                                    • fightingwarrior
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 05-06-10
                                                      • 7818

                                                      #27
                                                      will this dude win if so i had a great mourning
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Irish Jet
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 12-02-08
                                                        • 320

                                                        #28
                                                        Soderling is playing as well as he can, he'd be killing anyone else right now.

                                                        He's being inceredibly aggressive.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • fightingwarrior
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 05-06-10
                                                          • 7818

                                                          #29
                                                          has the 3rd set started.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • fightingwarrior
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 05-06-10
                                                            • 7818

                                                            #30
                                                            1-1 in the 3rd is this wrong

                                                            up to 6 for match
                                                            Comment
                                                            • fightingwarrior
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 05-06-10
                                                              • 7818

                                                              #31
                                                              3-1 roger ohh well
                                                              Comment
                                                              • fightingwarrior
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 05-06-10
                                                                • 7818

                                                                #32
                                                                coulda woulda shoulda
                                                                Comment
                                                                • fightingwarrior
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 05-06-10
                                                                  • 7818

                                                                  #33
                                                                  wtf 2-2222222222 holy cow it just changed
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Brock Landers
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 06-30-08
                                                                    • 45360

                                                                    #34
                                                                    1 set each...HUGE points coming up right now for Soderling...if he takes this set,
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Irish Jet
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 12-02-08
                                                                      • 320

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Another close call, he's playing out of his mind.

                                                                      I hope he can take this set, at least give me a chance to hedge.
                                                                      Comment
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