1. #1
    stevenash
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    World Series Game 4 - Dodgers (Hill) at Astros (Morton)

    So many angles to look at this game I made myself dizzy.

    Crash Davis said "respect the streak"


    Astros have won seven consecutive home playoff games.
    No team has ever won eight.
    Do you fade that streak, or stay with the hot home team?

    Pitching match up is a mismatch.
    Hill is the superior starter.

    From May 1 to September 1 Hill went on that insanely ridiculous streak where in 17 starts he went 13 and 1 with three no decision team wins.
    Then in September he became normal, went 2 and 2, and in his only post season start gave up 3 solo home runs to the Cubs in a 3-2 loss.
    He finished the year 16 and 3, 2.72 ERA, WH/IP ratio of 1.06, and a strike out rate of exactly 1 per inning.
    All stellar numbers.

    Hill's also a road warrior, he was much better on the road then at home.
    His road splits are 7 and 1 record, with a 2.24 ERA and a batting average against of .203
    Those road numbers are filthy.

    Astro's start Charlie Morton.
    The pride of Redding Ct. He used to pitch HS ball in Redding up the ways a bit here in Ct.
    He and Matt Harvey were Connecticut High School pitching legends, big turnouts for a HS game when those two pitched.

    Braves drafted Morton right out of HS, pitched six minor league seasons, made his pro debut in 2008 and was brutal. Braves dumped him to the Pirates after that dismal rookie year (for Nate McClouth) and pretty much sucked ass for Pittsburgh for four more years then turned it around.

    The last three season in Pitt were good, not great. Got traded to Philly 2 years ago, didn't do much.
    Astro's signed him as a free agent and had a solid year, nothing close to Hill's year though.

    So, we've established the Dodgers have the big edge in starting pitching, they also have the edge in the bullpen.

    This is what the Astros have going for them tonight.
    Houston creams left handed pitching, and they are home seeking a home consecutive all time post season winning streak.

    Houston has a slight edge in team defense.

    But if you look at the entire picture, on paper the Dodgers can hit mediocre pitching just fine, and being down 2 games to 1 I can't see them losing this game.

    Books are offering anywhere between +120 and +126 right now on the visiting Dodgers, and I just can't pass up a + number on this match up.
    I have no rooting interest in either team, don't really care who wins, I thought going in Dodgers would win in six at the most, and I'm surprised they're down in the series.

    Sorry Crash Davis, I'm fading the streak,

    I'm on LA Dodgers +123 200 to win 246

  2. #2
    SEAHAWKHARRY
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    But Woods is starting for the Dodgers

  3. #3
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by SEAHAWKHARRY View Post
    But Woods is starting for the Dodgers
    And that's not the first time I've done that.

    I keep making the same brain fart with those two

    TO ALL THAT'S READING THIS
    ALL THE DATA I POSTED IS FOR ALEX WOOD-I JUST KEPT REFERRING TO HIM AS HILL
    EVERYTHING APPLIES

    SORRY

    DATA IS THE SAME
    http://www.espn.com/mlb/player/_/id/32620/alex-wood

  4. #4
    SEAHAWKHARRY
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    Yeah I'm gonna hit Dodgers but closer to game time

  5. #5
    shocka1212
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    I really want LA to win this series... so Houston will probably win.

  6. #6
    MickeyMan
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    Tiger tiger woods y’all

  7. #7
    Louisvillekid1
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    Dodgers making a mistake not pitching Koufax

    FF O is the play here

    but as I stated a week ago , let dodgers win g1 and unload on stros +220

    koufax should be pitching tonight

    what you gonna throw him down 3-1 or 2-2 on the road then bull pen game 7?

    so dumb

    Hill has been witnessed already

    springer heating up


    terrible decision

  8. #8
    SharpAngles
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    And that's not the first time I've done that.

    I keep making the same brain fart with those two
    So all white guys look the same just like Japanese huh



  9. #9
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    And that's not the first time I've done that.

    I keep making the same brain fart with those two

    TO ALL THAT'S READING THIS
    ALL THE DATA I POSTED IS FOR ALEX WOOD-I JUST KEPT REFERRING TO HIM AS HILL
    EVERYTHING APPLIES

    SORRY

    DATA IS THE SAME
    http://www.espn.com/mlb/player/_/id/32620/alex-wood
    I was curious cause I know there no way hills numbers were that good!! I was actually ready to go bet Houston if hill was pitching, lol..

  10. #10
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1 View Post
    Dodgers making a mistake not pitching Koufax

    FF O is the play here

    but as I stated a week ago , let dodgers win g1 and unload on stros +220

    koufax should be pitching tonight

    what you gonna throw him down 3-1 or 2-2 on the road then bull pen game 7?

    so dumb

    Hill has been witnessed already

    springer heating up


    terrible decision
    I dunno, I'd be looking at it like just gotta take 1 in Houston to get series back home. I'd rather have my guy on normal rest to get that 1. If they can steal this one then kershaw with chance to lay the hammer, I like Stros to win it but don't think they gonna go take both in la no matter who pitches 6-7.. I don't think this bad move

  11. #11
    Auto Donk
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    I've got wood.....

  12. #12
    krk1030
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    Hill is not pitching

    Either is woods

    Alex Wood is.

    Get it together guys.

  13. #13
    MickeyMan
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    Quote Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1 View Post
    Dodgers making a mistake not pitching Koufax

    FF O is the play here

    but as I stated a week ago , let dodgers win g1 and unload on stros +220

    koufax should be pitching tonight

    what you gonna throw him down 3-1 or 2-2 on the road then bull pen game 7?

    so dumb

    Hill has been witnessed already

    springer heating up


    terrible decision
    Why panic? That’s what has made this Dodger team different from years past when they’ve had to put all the pressure on Kershaw bringing him back on short rest and failed.

  14. #14
    Chi_archie
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    Good write up

  15. #15
    Louisvillekid1
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    Quote Originally Posted by MickeyMan View Post
    Why panic? That’s what has made this Dodger team different from years past when they’ve had to put all the pressure on Kershaw bringing him back on short rest and failed.
    Totally agree

    thats the negative

    but Koufax the best in the game

    give him the ball tonight

    just one kids thiughts

  16. #16
    Auto Donk
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    pretty sure the brain trust ran these options through, and decided to take a chance tonight for a win with Wood, counting on a win for sure on a four days rest kotex tomorrow..... vs. the option of a 3 days rest loss with kotex and then keuchel running em over vs hill or wood in game five....

    goal is to get back to la for two

  17. #17
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by Auto Donk View Post
    pretty sure the brain trust ran these options through, and decided to take a chance tonight for a win with Wood, counting on a win for sure on a four days rest kotex tomorrow..... vs. the option of a 3 days rest loss with kotex and then keuchel running em over vs hill or wood in game five....

    goal is to get back to la for two
    Exactly, even if Kershaw pitched tonight and won so what? Basically wasted him vs Morton who you should be able to beat anyways, then Stros win game 5 and 6 and series over before he even gets ball game 7!!
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  18. #18
    SEAHAWKHARRY
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    Banker which side you on

  19. #19
    2daBank
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    I'm not betting it.. if you made me maybe the over. Value prob w doyers at plus money vs Morton but I rather just root for houston.

  20. #20
    importmoon
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    LaLa land and the series.... Santa come early....

  21. #21
    importmoon
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    Quote Originally Posted by importmoon View Post
    LaLa land and the series.... Santa come early....
    LaLa land and the series.... Santa come early....

  22. #22
    lakerboy
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    Good call Steve. I lost tonight. I hate the dodgers

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