World Series Game 4 - Dodgers (Hill) at Astros (Morton)

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65394

    #1
    World Series Game 4 - Dodgers (Hill) at Astros (Morton)
    So many angles to look at this game I made myself dizzy.

    Crash Davis said "respect the streak"


    Astros have won seven consecutive home playoff games.
    No team has ever won eight.
    Do you fade that streak, or stay with the hot home team?

    Pitching match up is a mismatch.
    Hill is the superior starter.

    From May 1 to September 1 Hill went on that insanely ridiculous streak where in 17 starts he went 13 and 1 with three no decision team wins.
    Then in September he became normal, went 2 and 2, and in his only post season start gave up 3 solo home runs to the Cubs in a 3-2 loss.
    He finished the year 16 and 3, 2.72 ERA, WH/IP ratio of 1.06, and a strike out rate of exactly 1 per inning.
    All stellar numbers.

    Hill's also a road warrior, he was much better on the road then at home.
    His road splits are 7 and 1 record, with a 2.24 ERA and a batting average against of .203
    Those road numbers are filthy.

    Astro's start Charlie Morton.
    The pride of Redding Ct. He used to pitch HS ball in Redding up the ways a bit here in Ct.
    He and Matt Harvey were Connecticut High School pitching legends, big turnouts for a HS game when those two pitched.

    Braves drafted Morton right out of HS, pitched six minor league seasons, made his pro debut in 2008 and was brutal. Braves dumped him to the Pirates after that dismal rookie year (for Nate McClouth) and pretty much sucked ass for Pittsburgh for four more years then turned it around.

    The last three season in Pitt were good, not great. Got traded to Philly 2 years ago, didn't do much.
    Astro's signed him as a free agent and had a solid year, nothing close to Hill's year though.

    So, we've established the Dodgers have the big edge in starting pitching, they also have the edge in the bullpen.

    This is what the Astros have going for them tonight.
    Houston creams left handed pitching, and they are home seeking a home consecutive all time post season winning streak.

    Houston has a slight edge in team defense.

    But if you look at the entire picture, on paper the Dodgers can hit mediocre pitching just fine, and being down 2 games to 1 I can't see them losing this game.

    Books are offering anywhere between +120 and +126 right now on the visiting Dodgers, and I just can't pass up a + number on this match up.
    I have no rooting interest in either team, don't really care who wins, I thought going in Dodgers would win in six at the most, and I'm surprised they're down in the series.

    Sorry Crash Davis, I'm fading the streak,

    I'm on LA Dodgers +123 200 to win 246
  • SEAHAWKHARRY
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 11-29-07
    • 26068

    #2
    But Woods is starting for the Dodgers
    Comment
    • stevenash
      Moderator
      • 01-17-11
      • 65394

      #3
      Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY
      But Woods is starting for the Dodgers
      And that's not the first time I've done that.

      I keep making the same brain fart with those two

      TO ALL THAT'S READING THIS
      ALL THE DATA I POSTED IS FOR ALEX WOOD-I JUST KEPT REFERRING TO HIM AS HILL
      EVERYTHING APPLIES

      SORRY

      DATA IS THE SAME
      http://www.espn.com/mlb/player/_/id/32620/alex-wood
      Comment
      • SEAHAWKHARRY
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 11-29-07
        • 26068

        #4
        Yeah I'm gonna hit Dodgers but closer to game time
        Comment
        • shocka1212
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-06-12
          • 16788

          #5
          I really want LA to win this series... so Houston will probably win.
          Comment
          • MickeyMan
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 10-20-09
            • 5091

            #6
            Tiger tiger woods y’all
            Comment
            • Louisvillekid1
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-17-07
              • 52143

              #7
              Dodgers making a mistake not pitching Koufax

              FF O is the play here

              but as I stated a week ago , let dodgers win g1 and unload on stros +220

              koufax should be pitching tonight

              what you gonna throw him down 3-1 or 2-2 on the road then bull pen game 7?

              so dumb

              Hill has been witnessed already

              springer heating up


              terrible decision
              Comment
              • SharpAngles
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 04-15-14
                • 9467

                #8
                Originally posted by stevenash
                And that's not the first time I've done that.

                I keep making the same brain fart with those two
                So all white guys look the same just like Japanese huh


                Comment
                • 2daBank
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-26-09
                  • 88966

                  #9
                  Originally posted by stevenash
                  And that's not the first time I've done that.

                  I keep making the same brain fart with those two

                  TO ALL THAT'S READING THIS
                  ALL THE DATA I POSTED IS FOR ALEX WOOD-I JUST KEPT REFERRING TO HIM AS HILL
                  EVERYTHING APPLIES

                  SORRY

                  DATA IS THE SAME
                  http://www.espn.com/mlb/player/_/id/32620/alex-wood
                  I was curious cause I know there no way hills numbers were that good!! I was actually ready to go bet Houston if hill was pitching, lol..
                  Comment
                  • 2daBank
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-26-09
                    • 88966

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                    Dodgers making a mistake not pitching Koufax

                    FF O is the play here

                    but as I stated a week ago , let dodgers win g1 and unload on stros +220

                    koufax should be pitching tonight

                    what you gonna throw him down 3-1 or 2-2 on the road then bull pen game 7?

                    so dumb

                    Hill has been witnessed already

                    springer heating up


                    terrible decision
                    I dunno, I'd be looking at it like just gotta take 1 in Houston to get series back home. I'd rather have my guy on normal rest to get that 1. If they can steal this one then kershaw with chance to lay the hammer, I like Stros to win it but don't think they gonna go take both in la no matter who pitches 6-7.. I don't think this bad move
                    Comment
                    • Auto Donk
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 09-03-13
                      • 43558

                      #11
                      I've got wood.....
                      Comment
                      • krk1030
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 08-13-08
                        • 17610

                        #12
                        Hill is not pitching

                        Either is woods

                        Alex Wood is.

                        Get it together guys.
                        Comment
                        • MickeyMan
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 10-20-09
                          • 5091

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                          Dodgers making a mistake not pitching Koufax

                          FF O is the play here

                          but as I stated a week ago , let dodgers win g1 and unload on stros +220

                          koufax should be pitching tonight

                          what you gonna throw him down 3-1 or 2-2 on the road then bull pen game 7?

                          so dumb

                          Hill has been witnessed already

                          springer heating up


                          terrible decision
                          Why panic? That’s what has made this Dodger team different from years past when they’ve had to put all the pressure on Kershaw bringing him back on short rest and failed.
                          Comment
                          • Chi_archie
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 07-22-08
                            • 63165

                            #14
                            Good write up
                            Comment
                            • Louisvillekid1
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-17-07
                              • 52143

                              #15
                              Originally posted by MickeyMan
                              Why panic? That’s what has made this Dodger team different from years past when they’ve had to put all the pressure on Kershaw bringing him back on short rest and failed.
                              Totally agree

                              thats the negative

                              but Koufax the best in the game

                              give him the ball tonight

                              just one kids thiughts
                              Comment
                              • Auto Donk
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 09-03-13
                                • 43558

                                #16
                                pretty sure the brain trust ran these options through, and decided to take a chance tonight for a win with Wood, counting on a win for sure on a four days rest kotex tomorrow..... vs. the option of a 3 days rest loss with kotex and then keuchel running em over vs hill or wood in game five....

                                goal is to get back to la for two
                                Comment
                                • 2daBank
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-26-09
                                  • 88966

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Auto Donk
                                  pretty sure the brain trust ran these options through, and decided to take a chance tonight for a win with Wood, counting on a win for sure on a four days rest kotex tomorrow..... vs. the option of a 3 days rest loss with kotex and then keuchel running em over vs hill or wood in game five....

                                  goal is to get back to la for two
                                  Exactly, even if Kershaw pitched tonight and won so what? Basically wasted him vs Morton who you should be able to beat anyways, then Stros win game 5 and 6 and series over before he even gets ball game 7!!
                                  Comment
                                  • SEAHAWKHARRY
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 11-29-07
                                    • 26068

                                    #18
                                    Banker which side you on
                                    Comment
                                    • 2daBank
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-26-09
                                      • 88966

                                      #19
                                      I'm not betting it.. if you made me maybe the over. Value prob w doyers at plus money vs Morton but I rather just root for houston.
                                      Comment
                                      • importmoon
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-22-11
                                        • 1140

                                        #20
                                        LaLa land and the series.... Santa come early....
                                        Comment
                                        • importmoon
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-22-11
                                          • 1140

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by importmoon
                                          LaLa land and the series.... Santa come early....
                                          LaLa land and the series.... Santa come early....
                                          Comment
                                          • lakerboy
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 04-02-09
                                            • 94379

                                            #22
                                            Good call Steve. I lost tonight. I hate the dodgers
                                            Comment
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