Kind of risky but love GS -3.5 for 1Qtr. Their fresh legs should be a factor in qtr 1.
The 3 games these teams played in the regular season are probably all throw outs for various reasons. Except possibly the last game where SA lost a 20 point lead and lost by 9. SA could not find any offense. You know Pop will limit minutes in this one no matter the score.
Hou ran a tired SA team off the floor in their GM 1, at SA, after a tough Memphis close out. So we will see but for the game i like GS -10. They are rested and catch a battle worn SA team with no Parker and possibly some minute limitations on Leonard. They will be lost trying to defend the middle with Gasol. The key for SA, as it was against Hou, is Aldridge. If he can't get 7-8 points a quarter SA can't stay within the number.