NEW Streak for the Cash

[yisman]

lordswing may as well field this one.

[revnecro1273]

betting on something would display confidence...it is a free contest...that edge and "even odds" for a small favourite doesn't make sense...again...it is a free contest...if you like something and are willing to bet on it, would think it would be a no brainer to take it in the contest

[lordswing]

lordswing may as well field this one.

I've given up as I'm busy Looking for the heavy favs to bet on and picking the biggest dogs on SftC I can find

[lordswing]

I keep flip flopping on that stupid over, moved .75 goals since I checked last night, is that the proper term for a 2/2.5 over?

[yisman]

betting on something would display confidence...it is a free contest...that edge and "even odds" for a small favourite doesn't make sense...again...it is a free contest...if you like something and are willing to bet on it, would think it would be a no brainer to take it in the contest

no it doesn't

I bet on dog MLs because I think they have a better chance than implied odds to win

I could think a +400 has a 28% chance to win and bet it, but why would I pick it on SftC? I only get one win if it's correct. Why would I pick a 28% chance over a 72% chance?

[yisman]

small streak to skip with, but I'll wait until 9 with my W2

[yisman]

I played fave ML this time.

[revnecro1273]

no it doesn't

I bet on dog MLs because I think they have a better chance than implied odds to win

I could think a +400 has a 28% chance to win and bet it, but why would I pick it on SftC? I only get one win if it's correct. Why would I pick a 28% chance over a 72% chance?

because it is a fricking free contest dude...obviously you think it has a chance to win so you bet on it...money is more important than a free contest...but if you go with a pick for money i don't really see the point not taking it with a free contest...and yes i understand implied odds....would make sense if it was for real money that you take the chalk at even odds...but again...FREE FUKING CONTEST...who cares about implied odds when it comes to a contest

[revnecro1273]

I played fave ML this time.

dog ats?

[yisman]

^ Yes, but more on fave ML.

because it is a fricking free contest dude...obviously you think it has a chance to win so you bet on it...money is more important than a free contest...but if you go with a pick for money i don't really see the point not taking it with a free contest...and yes i understand implied odds....would make sense if it was for real money that you take the chalk at even odds...but again...FREE FUKING CONTEST...who cares about implied odds when it comes to a contest

Dude, I'm trying to win the free contest.

[tltaylor89]

I gave up on this contest.

[revnecro1273]

^ Yes, but more on fave ML.



Dude, I'm trying to win the free contest.

so let's say you are in a nfl pick em contest where you have to pick every game...you take 100 percent chalk?

[yisman]

No, more like 92%.

I don't take 100% chalk on SftC either.

Probably about 95%, and I refuse to take underdogs of +180 (approximately) or greater.

[lordswing]

go gators

[losturmarbles]

so let's say you are in a nfl pick em contest where you have to pick every game...you take 100 percent chalk?

I'm a lot more liberal about picking underdogs than yisman or lordswing, and my record usually shows it. I'm usually around 50%. yis and lordswing are usually 60+%. Of course to win this thing you're going to have to get lucky regardless. Like yisman has said before, most of the winners make a lot of stupid picks. But just because you have to get lucky doesn't mean you should purposely pick underdogs.

[yisman]

I probably should've taken three pointers, but as I was deciding, my Internet crashed (at about 8:55) and stayed down for over 20 minutes.

[yisman]

I actually almost took Portland tonight, but after winning with the TD prop and getting to 2, I decided to skip it.

I'd pick Portland if I had a W1 or a losing streak though. Maybe 52% in my eyes.

[tltaylor89]

Orlando Magic win tonight Yisman 57% of the time against Portland

[yisman]

Your numbers are not good.

[lordswing]

Your numbers are not good.

we are using Pinny's closing lines right? I see -146/132 on sbrodds, so he's "only" off by 1%

[lordswing]

go AOR/Spartans/Men's Soccer if there's any heavy favs

[revnecro1273]

go AOR/Spartans/Men's Soccer if there's any heavy favs

if? i thought you would be all up on the big chalk...akron is -245

[lordswing]

if? i thought you would be all up on the big chalk...akron is -245

i was hoping pinny would put up odds today, but that doesn't look to be the case, 5dimes will have to do i suppose, thanks

i can't wait for the inevitable akron loss, in addition to AOR and SJSU winning (both I'm passing, yay!)

[Optional]

If you like a dog. A good judge I know reckons the Oilers will be too good for Tampa on home ice tonight.

[yisman]

damn, today was one of the only times I could root for my pick with a low streak (no one above me had Stuttgart), but it's likely going to lose.

[Chow]

I want a red star!! Any suggestions?

[Optional]

Send me 100 points and I'll give ya the secret.

[losturmarbles]

@ Providence Friars

[lordswing]

@ Providence Friars

we are all Friars today

[Chow]

ok right now i'm picking Providence.

[revnecro1273]

fricking sheep

[lordswing]

Bodog's got Luck@2nd -400, James@3rd -400, nothing for Moore, and Newton is pretty much guaranteed to win it. I'd like to double check with Pinny, but they're down

[lordswing]

fricking sheep

yes, darn those people who don't pick the side with -37.82 edge

[Cabo]

Nice run with your W9 lordswing - keep it up!

[revnecro1273]

on that heisman prop as well...sheep on a big dog in that one...hope the sheep win