Anyone else thinking of playing exclusively at Rebatewager in 2010?

[Chi_archie]

onto tomorrow

[1st and Ten]

Focker...PM me your NBA stuff tomorrow.Thanks Pal.

[CarpeDime]

wtf???

They're letting MF use hockey totals and counting all of them as -110/-110??

[andrew5]

idunno what they are doing

[Ace_of_Spades]

Whats so great about Rebatewager?

[jjgold]

Not as easy as it looks

GL though and should be interesting

[paco]

IF played by nickys rules about units and not only hitting 50%, The 1st day would be a bad start with high vigs huh?

[RebateWager]

Remember this challenge isn't about Monkey hitting 50%. It's about the value of a cash rebate vs an exchange and free play.

We should keep the following assumptions in mind.
1. Starting bankroll $1,000.
2. Average wager $100.
3. Cost of an exchange vs full juice book
4. Cash Rebate 25%.
5. Free Play Bonus 30%.

If MF continues at a 50/50 pace the exchange will hold value but in the event that he has a couple bad days we will be able to see the true value of a cah rebate.

[20Four7]

for those who are interested betting is now open at matchbook. Under x bets Monkey hits 50% or monkey doesn't hit 50%..... bet away boys.....

[20Four7]

Remember this challenge isn't about Monkey hitting 50%. It's about the value of a cash rebate vs an exchange and free play.

We should keep the following assumptions in mind.
1. Starting bankroll $1,000.
2. Average wager $100.
3. Cost of an exchange vs full juice book
4. Cash Rebate 25%.
5. Free Play Bonus 30%.

If MF continues at a 50/50 pace the exchange will hold value but in the event that he has a couple bad days we will be able to see the true value of a cah rebate.

Rebate: with a starting roll of 1K you should NOT be making 100 bets...... 10% of your roll consistently on a play is asking to go broke. Those assumptions might be good for a losing playing but certainly winners would not find those assumptions to be accurate.

[Nicky Santoro]

for those who are interested betting is now open at matchbook. Under x bets Monkey hits 50% or monkey doesn't hit 50%..... bet away boys.....

i just saw that.. only 100 was available to bet on EVEN money that he don't do it. well, i just put up 1500 as an offer at +150 he don't do it..

anyone and everyone, go match that offer now.. i am waiting..

[betplom]

Rebate: with a starting roll of 1K you should NOT be making 100 bets...... 10% of your roll consistently on a play is asking to go broke. Those assumptions might be good for a losing playing but certainly winners would not find those assumptions to be accurate.

A 1K bankroll is fine for a "Winning" player.

A winning player will turn that 1K into 10K in no time.

[Bread]

Holy crap Nicky where did you get $1000????

[Nicky Santoro]

You can get +160 now.. go for it..

[jellobiafra]

i just saw that.. only 100 was available to bet on EVEN money that he don't do it. well, i just put up 1500 as an offer at +150 he don't do it..

anyone and everyone, go match that offer now.. i am waiting..

I think FlyingIllini has already said he would take that bet at up to -200, if I'm not mistaken.

[Mudcat]

for those who are interested betting is now open at matchbook. Under x bets Monkey hits 50% or monkey doesn't hit 50%..... bet away boys.....

I just went and saw the -200 odds on the over 50%. I was going to grab the 200 bucks sitting there but it was gone before I could confirm my wager.

[Nicky Santoro]

I think FlyingIllini has already said he would take that bet at up to -200, if I'm not mistaken.

i just accepted the offer at -200 at matchy.. but then i put up 4800$ more dollars on +160, then i thought about it and got nervous that a guy like monkeyfocker can easily bet 3k to win 4800 and lose on purpose and bet every off # against him and not take RW's money and take 4800 from me. our hatred for each other is that bad, so i took it down asap..

but i will bet Flyer up to 500$ on the YES at -200 (i'll lay 1k).. tell him to put it up at matchy and i will accept it.. but i don't want any cheating on MF's part.

[Mudcat]

Nothing there on either side right now.

[20Four7]

If nothing else the rest of us degenerates are getting action too.........

Nicky when I made the x bet I never thought Monkey would intentionally lose to make more money.......

Anyways enjoy my 100 I posted that up to see what would happen, I knew I should have made the line bigger.......

[Mudcat]

Okay I put up a grand on the Yes. So anyone who wants the NO at plus odds, have at it.

[20Four7]

550 at +180 that he doesn't do it Mudder......

[Nicky Santoro]

If nothing else the rest of us degenerates are getting action too.........

Nicky when I made the x bet I never thought Monkey would intentionally lose to make more money.......

Anyways enjoy my 100 I posted that up to see what would happen, I knew I should have made the line bigger.......

I don't trust anyone. if he saw that i stand to lose 5k on him, he can bet himself to lose on purpose by taking every nhl total that is +135 and bet 1 pt against the number and take 5k from me and save RW 1k.. that's why i keep it small. i am hoping to put a bit more here on -200 with flyer and that's it, and i am hoping this guy MF does the honorable thing and tries to win..

[jellobiafra]

Wow.

Thread of the Year 2010. Close the voting already.

[jellobiafra]

RebateWager should go try to lay off some of their action on Matchy.

[Mudcat]

550 at +180 that he doesn't do it Mudder......

I don't get what you're saying. The offer is still there. Improved odds to +202 on the NO.

[RebateWager]

A 1K bankroll is fine for a "Winning" player.

A winning player will turn that 1K into 10K in no time.

You are 100% correct, however he can also losse that 1k in no time. A lot of sides don't hold up and it will be intersesting to see how a sharp player with a strong edge does over the course of 200 bets.

An exchange is great for someone that's grinding it out but a rec player can do very well with the value he recieves from a rebate.

[durito]

+220 available for 1k on NO if any of you have any balls (milf driller?)

[onthewhat]

Looks like no one wants to take 50% or less for Monkey

[Mudcat]

Haha. Someone has undercut my Matchbook offer again.

Funny thing is, I don't even really know the rules of this challenge. I mean, maybe I do. I have picked up what seem like the key points.

Based on what I know, I could go quite a bit better with my offer but I don't think I'm going to spend the day fighting over it.

[onthewhat]

Do we know if Monkey is going to keep playing the -140 hockey totals? That could shift the value to no at +200 if he doesn't...

[onthewhat]

Monkey will probably just bet the no at +220 and be guaranteed money

[Mudcat]

+220 available for 1k on NO if any of you have any balls (milf driller?)

Ah, so you're the rascal. We have now entered the realm where a crafty player in MF's position could make more money by losing - which he should be able to do just as easily as winning.

Not saying I think he would do that. Just saying.

[Nicky Santoro]

+220 available for 1k on NO if any of you have any balls (milf driller?)

don't waste your time, no one is dumb enough to take even +280.. i got me some -200. i only made 100, but it's still 100..

[durito]

I'll give +350 to milfdriller

[The Seer]

Looks like no one wants to take 50% or less for Monkey

even after a bad night, there's still an advantage with the hockey totals over the long run