Kentucky vs. Long Beach State Pick

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  • smitch124
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-19-08
    • 12566

    #71
    I see -13 2H

    gotta pound that
    Comment
    • zerodegre
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 10-31-09
      • 620

      #72
      -13.5 as stated above lol scared to take
      Comment
      • mmike032
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 09-11-08
        • 8905

        #73
        OTW has buried the forum
        Comment
        • Deuce
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 01-12-08
          • 29843

          #74
          Comment
          • jellobiafra
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 03-08-09
            • 6291

            #75
            So much for that 10:00am west coast team angle.
            Comment
            • Fastwrx9
              SBR Sharp
              • 11-21-09
              • 297

              #76
              wow kentucky blows today!
              Comment
              • Snowball
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 11-15-09
                • 30067

                #77
                Point Total Over 79.5 (-110)
                2nd Half-LONG BEACH ST vs 2nd Half-KENTUCKY

                over.
                Comment
                • Snowball
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 11-15-09
                  • 30067

                  #78
                  CHING over.
                  Comment
                  • landers781
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-27-09
                    • 4774

                    #79
                    Wow lost the game bet but PUSHED on the 2nd half bet to avoid TOTAL disaster
                    Comment
                    • raydog
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 11-07-07
                      • 6984

                      #80
                      Originally posted by onthewhat
                      Who cares what the line does, -21 is a winner

                      I had -19 the other day, it drops to -17

                      Kentucky wins by 44

                      I have a clue on Kentucky, bookmakers do not

                      im sorry you lost your game imatwit, but you keep thinking this shit and you will go broke 4 or 5 times this year instead of the normal 2 or 3 that you usually do.
                      Comment
                      • Money_ballz
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 10-26-09
                        • 196

                        #81
                        Write up ain't worth shit unless the game wins sorry there was alot of KY backer ,the whole world was on KY that ain't good
                        Comment
                        • Deuce
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 01-12-08
                          • 29843

                          #82
                          Comment
                          • jellobiafra
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 03-08-09
                            • 6291

                            #83
                            Originally posted by jellobiafra
                            I've got a model that says 84-70.
                            Final score: 86-73
                            Comment
                            • SaffaCappa
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-18-09
                              • 1149

                              #84
                              Originally posted by jellobiafra
                              Final score: 86-73
                              Nice call Jello

                              Unlucky OTW
                              Comment
                              • jellobiafra
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 03-08-09
                                • 6291

                                #85
                                Originally posted by SaffaCappa
                                Nice call Jello

                                Unlucky OTW

                                It's in the public domain, so here's a Xmas present to my SBR brethren. He updates it every morning between about 10:00 and 10:30 EST:





                                I wouldn't use it for anything other than a guide, but it's pretty sharp. The confidence % is confidence in that team winning SU.
                                Comment
                                • Chi_archie
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 07-22-08
                                  • 63172

                                  #86
                                  Originally posted by Chi_archie
                                  Kenpom has this as 82-68 kentucky win


                                  wow Jello is even better than Kenpom.... daily rpi also had it at like 86-70 I think
                                  Comment
                                  • jellobiafra
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 03-08-09
                                    • 6291

                                    #87
                                    Originally posted by Chi_archie
                                    wow Jello is even better than Kenpom.... daily rpi also had it at like 86-70 I think

                                    It's not me. I never got beyond college calculus. But the model I linked is nice. Use it as a guide if you don't have anything else like it as a reference.

                                    I hope it really pisses off the math guys that I posted that.
                                    Comment
                                    • Dunder
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 10-26-09
                                      • 3345

                                      #88
                                      Originally posted by jellobiafra
                                      It's not me. I never got beyond college calculus. But the model I linked is nice. Use it as a guide if you don't have anything else like it as a reference.

                                      I hope it really pisses off the math guys that I posted that.
                                      Don“t see why it should. Different Model = Different variables = Different Outcomes.
                                      If this guy is as sharp as you say, its good that you posted it.

                                      Unfortunately squares will ignore and still go on gut instinct or with picks from someone who claims to hit at 60%.
                                      Comment
                                      • onthewhat
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 05-14-08
                                        • 15411

                                        #89
                                        Sorry guys but I'm not gonna go 100%

                                        I can promise a winning season, but thats about it. I'm hitting over 60% on the year.

                                        First half was a disaster as Wall, Cousins, and Patterson all picked up 2 fouls. Tied at halftime.

                                        2nd half they picked it up and got lead to 18 before scrubs came in, and won by 13. Bad break there.

                                        We'll get 'em the rest of the year. I said I'll have a winning year, sorry I can't hit 100%.
                                        Comment
                                        • Fed_42420
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 11-12-09
                                          • 976

                                          #90
                                          We know you cant go 100%, its ok. But saying things like this "I have a clue on Kentucky, bookmakers do not" is just plain stupid.
                                          Comment
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