Point Total Over 79.5 (-110)
2nd Half-LONG BEACH ST vs 2nd Half-KENTUCKY
over.
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Snowball
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
11-15-09
30067
#78
CHING over.
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landers781
SBR MVP
02-27-09
4774
#79
Wow lost the game bet but PUSHED on the 2nd half bet to avoid TOTAL disaster
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raydog
SBR Hall of Famer
11-07-07
6984
#80
Originally posted by onthewhat
Who cares what the line does, -21 is a winner
I had -19 the other day, it drops to -17
Kentucky wins by 44
I have a clue on Kentucky, bookmakers do not
im sorry you lost your game imatwit, but you keep thinking this shit and you will go broke 4 or 5 times this year instead of the normal 2 or 3 that you usually do.
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Money_ballz
SBR High Roller
10-26-09
196
#81
Write up ain't worth shit unless the game wins sorry there was alot of KY backer ,the whole world was on KY that ain't good
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Deuce
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
01-12-08
29843
#82
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jellobiafra
SBR Hall of Famer
03-08-09
6291
#83
Originally posted by jellobiafra
I've got a model that says 84-70.
Final score: 86-73
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SaffaCappa
SBR MVP
11-18-09
1149
#84
Originally posted by jellobiafra
Final score: 86-73
Nice call Jello
Unlucky OTW
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jellobiafra
SBR Hall of Famer
03-08-09
6291
#85
Originally posted by SaffaCappa
Nice call Jello
Unlucky OTW
It's in the public domain, so here's a Xmas present to my SBR brethren. He updates it every morning between about 10:00 and 10:30 EST:
I wouldn't use it for anything other than a guide, but it's pretty sharp. The confidence % is confidence in that team winning SU.
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Chi_archie
SBR Aristocracy
07-22-08
63172
#86
Originally posted by Chi_archie
Kenpom has this as 82-68 kentucky win
wow Jello is even better than Kenpom.... daily rpi also had it at like 86-70 I think
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jellobiafra
SBR Hall of Famer
03-08-09
6291
#87
Originally posted by Chi_archie
wow Jello is even better than Kenpom.... daily rpi also had it at like 86-70 I think
It's not me. I never got beyond college calculus. But the model I linked is nice. Use it as a guide if you don't have anything else like it as a reference.
I hope it really pisses off the math guys that I posted that.
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Dunder
Restricted User
10-26-09
3345
#88
Originally posted by jellobiafra
It's not me. I never got beyond college calculus. But the model I linked is nice. Use it as a guide if you don't have anything else like it as a reference.
I hope it really pisses off the math guys that I posted that.
Don“t see why it should. Different Model = Different variables = Different Outcomes.
If this guy is as sharp as you say, its good that you posted it.
Unfortunately squares will ignore and still go on gut instinct or with picks from someone who claims to hit at 60%.
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onthewhat
Restricted User
05-14-08
15411
#89
Sorry guys but I'm not gonna go 100%
I can promise a winning season, but thats about it. I'm hitting over 60% on the year.
First half was a disaster as Wall, Cousins, and Patterson all picked up 2 fouls. Tied at halftime.
2nd half they picked it up and got lead to 18 before scrubs came in, and won by 13. Bad break there.
We'll get 'em the rest of the year. I said I'll have a winning year, sorry I can't hit 100%.
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Fed_42420
SBR Wise Guy
11-12-09
976
#90
We know you cant go 100%, its ok. But saying things like this "I have a clue on Kentucky, bookmakers do not" is just plain stupid.