40 Points: The first to answer this probability question correctly.

[MonkeyF0cker]

Since Milfdriller ran away like a bitch because he couldn't answer this question, I'll give 40 points to the first person who solves it correctly:

Team Milfdriller plays Team MonkeyF0cker a total of 6 times throughout the season. 3 games are played at home and 3 are played away. Team Milfdriller has a 42% chance of winning at home and a 16% chance of winning away. What is the probability (in %) that Team Milfdriller wins 4 games out of 6?

[SamsNCharge99]

12%

[CarpeDime]

exactly 4 or 4 or more?

[ABEHONEST]

6% chance !

[B1GER1C828]

...

[cappinthepigs]

7% is my guess.

[smitch124]

6.7 % for 4
9.9% 4 or more

[MonkeyF0cker]

Sorry. Exactly 4. Round two places.

[B1GER1C828]

8.13%

[durito]

1.11%

0% since there is no chance teammilfdriller actually wins anything

[B1GER1C828]

ITS 8.13% ship it

[pavyracer]

101%

[MonkeyF0cker]

Nobody has gotten it yet.

Hint: This is a combinatorial problem.

[MonkeyF0cker]

1.11%

0% since there is no chance teammilfdriller actually wins anything

LOL.

[BadBeatBodog]

Hmm how rusty am I with this...

1.80%?

[rm18]

10.26% just eyeballing it do not know the math

[Deuce]

29%

[MrX]

4.66%

[Matt Rain]

6.72%?

[B1GER1C828]

ok is it 8.14% didnt round right lol

[Capybara]

Monkey, great post.

I did take a statistics class in college in which I learned this, BUT... I've forgotten it.

SO.... I hope when this thread is done you will show us the equation??? I'd love to see it!

[90 Proof]

Nobody has gotten it yet.

Hint: This is a combinatorial problem.

I know I worked it right. Don't know if I made a computational error: Exactly 4: 7.6% 4 or more: 8.2%

[MonkeyF0cker]

MrX got it.

[B1GER1C828]

Explain it, because i did it 3 times and i had 2 of my smartest friends do it..lol and none of us for 4.66

[lyon804]

A think taker came up here and took yall's bread boys!!!!!!

[smitch124]

6.72%?

I think you figgered it the same way as me........


the wrong way

[MrX]

Thanks Monkey!

[B1GER1C828]

Thanks Monkey!

Mrx tell us how u did it please. Very curious.

[Matt Rain]

I think you figgered it the same way as me........


the wrong way

Literature and language theory degree... what's YOUR excuse?

[smitch124]

Literature and language theory degree... what's YOUR excuse?

Too old to remember dat shit

[illmatick]

thats twice now I have seen milfdriller run like a bitch

[MonkeyF0cker]

Gimme a few minutes and I'll post the solution...

[lyon804]

Waiting....

[MrX]

Mrx tell us how u did it please. Very curious.

I knew that would happen. I'm clumsy with this stuff, but here goes:

P(winning 3 at home, 1 on the road)=(.42*.42*.42) * (.16*.84*.84*3)

P(2home, 2away) = (.58*.42*.42*3) * (.84*.16*.16*3)

P(1home,3away) = (.42*.58*.58*3) * (.16*.16*.16)

Add those up and you get .0466.

I think Monkey's writeup will probably be better explained.

[B1GER1C828]

AHHH didnt do the losing probability on losing the other 2..FML