Texas is now the fave to win BCS at Carib

[seaborneq]

Even money. Educate me. No one on this board thinks Texas will win the National Championship. I have the hater posts to prove it.

BCS National ChampionshipOdds To Win The 2010 BCS Championship Game)(All Bets Action)Dec 5 at 12:00 pm ET
Texas even+
Florida +125+
Alabama +275+
TCU +1000+
Cincinnati U +4500
+Field (All Others Not Listed)+6000

[Richkas]

Give me Florida

[paco]

Time for the Real McCoy to win his. Colt will end his year with the Championship

[pokernut9999]

I like Texas , they felt they were screwed last year and have played the best so far this year.

Their defense is right behind both Alabama and Florida but their offense is better.

[pavyracer]

I would take the field now at +6000 and hedge with Florida or Alabama on the championship game just in case Texas loses to Nebraska.

[poker_dummy101]

because texas has the easiest chance to get there and win

[big joe 1212]

They wont be the favorite after this weekend!

[StraitShooter]

interesting..Thks for posting those lines

[daneblazer]

because texas has the easiest chance to get there and win

Bingo. Bama and UF will knock each other off. Compared to that, Texas has the equivalent of a lay up to get to the MNC.

[The Seer]

They wont be the favorite after this weekend!

correct, they will be lucky to reach the title game

[pokernut9999]

correct, they will be lucky to reach the title game

Not so fast my friend

[LT Profits]

Pick the winner of the Bama/Florida game and take that team at +odds.

I am personally on the fence, as I like Alabama +5.5 but the SU winner can go either way.

[seaborneq]

This is my point. Most of you have absolutely no betting faith in Texas. Yet they are the even money favorite. How can the books be so wrong?

[pokernut9999]

This is my point. Most of you have absolutely no betting faith in Texas. Yet they are the even money favorite. How can the books be so wrong?

They are not wrong , one of the 2 teams you think should be favored will lose this week

Game is a toss up

[Wheell]

Florida is a 5 point favorite over Texas. Alabama is a 2.5 point favorite over Texas. These aren't exact numbers because the implied odds are a bit weird.

[seaborneq]

Florida is a 5 point favorite over Texas. Alabama is a 2.5 point favorite over Texas. These aren't exact numbers because the implied odds are a bit weird.

If both teams are favored to beat Texas in the BCS championship why would Texas have the Lowest odds to win the whole thing. Based on your odds, there is no way they can be the favorite to win it all, yet not be the favorite to win the game.

[LLXC]

Doesn't make sense to take them as even money, as they should be an underdog in the championship game. They might be the "favorite" right now cause Florida/Alabama will bounce each other out.

[Wheell]

If both teams are favored to beat Texas in the BCS championship why would Texas have the Lowest odds to win the whole thing. Based on your odds, there is no way they can be the favorite to win it all, yet not be the favorite to win the game.

You are correct. I'd love to lay -100 against Texas.

[rm18]

Sat 12/5
9003 Texas wins BCS National Champ
+187 12:00PM
9004 Field wins BCS National Championship -247 that is a real line

[Wheell]

Sat 12/5
9003 Texas wins BCS National Champ
+187 12:00PM
9004 Field wins BCS National Championship -247 that is a real line

That is MUCH closer to the truth. Florida is the favorite, not Texas.

[Steeve]

I'm glad I got my bet in at the beginning of the season, when it was Texas +725.

[THEGREAT30]

They will not win

[donjuan]

Florida is a 5 point favorite over Texas. Alabama is a 2.5 point favorite over Texas. These aren't exact numbers because the implied odds are a bit weird.

Are these your numbers or are you deriving them from somewhere? If derived from the market, I'm wondering how this is possible with Florida as a 5.5 pt fav over Alabama unless you are factoring in HFA somewhere.

[yisman]

Texas isn't the best team, but the reasoning is simple.

They have the easiest path to the national championship game. Florida and Alabama each have to beat an elite opponent (each other) to get there.

[lyon804]

Texas I think matches up poorly against the SEC team. They might score 17-21 pts tops and with there suspect defense that won't be good enough.

Please don't give any stats on there defense. I know them, but I have personally viewed them and there defense is lacking.

[NDIrish9]

The SEC champ will destroy Texas, who has been very unimpressive, IMO

[LLXC]

I'm glad I got my bet in at the beginning of the season, when it was Texas +725.

Hopefully good hedge opportunity.

[StraitShooter]

I'm glad I got my bet in at the beginning of the season, when it was Texas +725.

[ClydeFontaine]

Texas, Alabama, and Florida all basically have a two-team parlay to win the nat'l championship. Figure the odds on their possible games and you will get the proper market odds. Since Texas has a huge ML edge on Nebraska that lowers their comparative odds over Fla. and 'Bama despite the fact they will likely be dogs to either SEC team.

Your odds on any other team are essentially a 3-team parlay with Nebraska ML, Pitt ML over Cincy (or vice-versa), as well as the dog vs. Fla/'Bama winner in championship game. Even this is assuming you have the correct team.

[KKoz9]

The SEC champ will destroy Texas, who has been very unimpressive, IMO

Seems to me that Florida and Alabama have been the unimpressive teams, squeeking by week after week, especially Alabama.

Oh yeah, they have been playing the mighty SEC powerhouses such as Ole Miss, Arkansas, Miss St, Vanderbilt, Tennessee, and Kentucky. Laughable, the SEC has two superior teams like several other conferences.

Texas will beat either, they are on a mission.

[Steeve]

I agree, Koz. I heard all of the same crap in '05, when we never had a chance against USC.

Lots of eating crow after THAT Rose Bowl.

[scratbandit]

I would take florida myself.

[yisman]

Seems to me that Florida and Alabama have been the unimpressive teams, squeeking by week after week, especially Alabama.

Oh yeah, they have been playing the mighty SEC powerhouses such as Ole Miss, Arkansas, Miss St, Vanderbilt, Tennessee, and Kentucky. Laughable, the SEC has two superior teams like several other conferences.

Texas will beat either, they are on a mission.

I disagree.

[HoulihansTX]

Seems to me that Florida and Alabama have been the unimpressive teams, squeeking by week after week, especially Alabama. Oh yeah, they have been playing the mighty SEC powerhouses such as Ole Miss, Arkansas, Miss St, Vanderbilt, Tennessee, and Kentucky. Laughable, the SEC has two superior teams like several other conferences. Texas will beat either, they are on a mission.

If you win consistently in the SEC you are a solid team. Especially Alabama who came back from being down 14pts, and won on the road.

[Sam Odom]

Especially Alabama who came back from being down 14pts, and won on the road.

Many ways to look at that. I prefer , after Aub shocked AL with a 14pt lead Al gathered themselves on the road against their biggest rival and went on to beat them 26-7