Teaching Squares Lessons!!

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  • dimon
    SBR MVP
    • 08-14-09
    • 1159

    #36
    Guys just 20% of bets on POR-ATL, and 25% in DAL-MIL created a reverse line movement...if it looks too easy you are going to loose...ask the people who thought that Den was a lock yesterday against redskins...11% of the bettors actually bet more money than 89%...don't you think they know more than you and me?
    Comment
    • dimon
      SBR MVP
      • 08-14-09
      • 1159

      #37
      20% and 25% in POR, MIL games created reverse line movement...should be an easy bet on POR and MIL
      Comment
      • Regul8er
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-06-07
        • 10666

        #38
        I know for a fact these teams have not met 6 times in the last 2 years in Atlanta! I don't need to read through to get to that conclusion.
        Comment
        • lyon804
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 11-02-09
          • 6526

          #39
          Originally posted by KiDBaZkiT
          I booked Atl last night, come this morning I regret it, I can totally see ATL winning by 1 0r 2 or losing on a game winner, but hope you are wrong lyon but I don't think you are. One fun stat I havent seen posted in here was Atlantas record at home vs the werstern conference last year, I believe it was 12-3 or 12-4. ATL is a complete square bet bottomline and anyone who is arguing with this guy is wasting their time. I really wish I laid off this game and didnt bet on ATL way before I saw this post.
          Thanks!I been getting blasted by some, but these kinda debates makes the games that much funner. We shall see how this works tonite. As Regulater said "nothing is for certain" I agree with that.
          Comment
          • lyon804
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 11-02-09
            • 6526

            #40
            Originally posted by Regul8er
            I know for a fact these teams have not met 6 times in the last 2 years in Atlanta! I don't need to read through to get to that conclusion.
            ARE YOU A FUKKING IDIOT NOW!!! O.K. my grammar sucks, but you are a FUKKING IDIOT! Are you trying to tell me your memory is better than the FUKKING STATS THAT I AM LOOKING AT RIGHT NOW!! YOU ARE DUMD ENOUGH AND ARGUMENTATIVE ENOUGH TO BE A FEMALE.
            Comment
            • Razz_Donkey
              SBR MVP
              • 12-27-08
              • 1756

              #41
              Originally posted by lyon804
              No I am not a bookmaker. I respect vegas. Maybe my opinions are flawed, but nothing is perfect anyways. Yes, I think Atlanta should be favored by more here and that's why I think they lose or at least not cover. My opinion's that some of you people are bashing have been developed over time and are starting to show some real promise over the last couple of years. If you want to bash them fine! It's your opinion or right to do so. I didn't not mean to cause such a stir or commotion over this.

              Bottomline. I have never met a wealthy handicapper. I believe you must think outside the box. If you don't agree fine. If I liked ATL here I would just not play it for many reaosns.
              I'm not bashing you at all, I don't even know where you would get that from. I'm of the belief that you must use stats and instinct together with your methods. I'm not invalidating your opinions. I had the same instinct here, and the stats and numbers I've used helped me generate a line closer to -5 for Atlanta. I bought them intending to scalp, but I feel pretty sick now watching the line. I'm well aware of the psychology of Vegas and their trappings. This has that feel to me which is why I'm going on instinct now to sell off Atlanta and take the loss in Vig.
              Comment
              • lyon804
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 11-02-09
                • 6526

                #42
                Excuse me! Wait i didn't mean all the meetings were in Atlanta
                Comment
                • lyon804
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 11-02-09
                  • 6526

                  #43
                  Originally posted by Razz_Donkey
                  I'm not bashing you at all, I don't even know where you would get that from. I'm of the belief that you must use stats and instinct together with your methods. I'm not invalidating your opinions. I had the same instinct here, and the stats and numbers I've used helped me generate a line closer to -5 for Atlanta. I bought them intending to scalp, but I feel pretty sick now watching the line. I'm well aware of the psychology of Vegas and their trappings. This has that feel to me which is why I'm going on instinct now to sell off Atlanta and take the loss in Vig.
                  Sounds good
                  Comment
                  • Regul8er
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-06-07
                    • 10666

                    #44
                    lyon....for real, good luck tonight. I don't care where the public's money is, if I see value in my humble opinion, I am going to lay my hard earned money. If this makes me Sammy Square, then call me Sammy! Win or lose, I'll be back to congratulate you, or rag on you!
                    Comment
                    • lyon804
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 11-02-09
                      • 6526

                      #45
                      Good luck with your plays folks! I hope you all the best, Like regulator said "there ain't nothing for certain" Have a nice nite. See you later.
                      Comment
                      • lyon804
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 11-02-09
                        • 6526

                        #46
                        Originally posted by Regul8er
                        lyon....for real, good luck tonight. I don't care where the public's money is, if I see value in my humble opinion, I am going to lay my hard earned money. If this makes me Sammy Square, then call me Sammy! Win or lose, I'll be back to congratulate you, or rag on you!
                        Good Luck! I haven't even placed action on the games yet!

                        You are right! There is no way to be certain! Anything is possible. You might be right
                        Comment
                        • lyon804
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 11-02-09
                          • 6526

                          #47
                          Originally posted by lyon804
                          Good Luck! I haven't even placed action on the games yet!

                          You are right! There is no way to be certain! Anything is possible. You might be right
                          Another thing man! I ddin't mean to hurt your feeling with that square talk bullshit. Look I have been the biggest square of anybody. I still think like a square. The best percentage play out there is to fade what I think. What pisses me off is when I am fading myself and still losing, but that isn' the case often

                          You really have to be warped to fade yourself and I am.
                          Comment
                          • BrownTown
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 10-06-09
                            • 624

                            #48
                            Originally posted by lyon804
                            ARE YOU A FUKKING IDIOT NOW!!! O.K. my grammar sucks, but you are a FUKKING IDIOT! Are you trying to tell me your memory is better than the FUKKING STATS THAT I AM LOOKING AT RIGHT NOW!! YOU ARE DUMD ENOUGH AND ARGUMENTATIVE ENOUGH TO BE A FEMALE.


                            I think Reg is actually my ex-wife.
                            Hey Reg ... I want my 52' plasma back!

                            Comment
                            • Regul8er
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-06-07
                              • 10666

                              #49
                              Originally posted by BrownTown


                              I think Reg is actually my ex-wife.
                              Hey Reg ... I want my 52' plasma back!

                              You ain't gettin it back boss.......already pawned it off, and sent the money offshore to bet on ATL tonight!
                              Comment
                              • lyon804
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 11-02-09
                                • 6526

                                #50
                                Originally posted by Regul8er
                                You ain't gettin it back boss.......already pawned it off, and sent the money offshore to bet on ATL tonight!

                                Dude, I love the Kurt Rambis Pick. So old school! Back when there were a couple of whites in the NBA.
                                Comment
                                • BrownTown
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 10-06-09
                                  • 624

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by Regul8er
                                  You ain't gettin it back boss.......already pawned it off, and sent the money offshore to bet on ATL tonight!
                                  Well played, Sir

                                  Comment
                                  • jmp
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 08-21-09
                                    • 325

                                    #52
                                    sometimes lines come out fishy like this but in sports you just never know. remember when suns were on that run and played against washington? the line was suns -1. of course right away everybody should jump on suns with -1 cause they were 6-1 but everybody on here were like, "lines fishy," "squares take suns," "my play is on washington, suns are due for a lost @ washington." Guess what, the better team won. Suns outplayed washington and won by like 10. square wins.
                                    Comment
                                    • williams22
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 09-19-08
                                      • 6134

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by lyon804
                                      ARE YOU A FUKKING IDIOT NOW!!! O.K. my grammar sucks, but you are a FUKKING IDIOT! Are you trying to tell me your memory is better than the FUKKING STATS THAT I AM LOOKING AT RIGHT NOW!! YOU ARE DUMD ENOUGH AND ARGUMENTATIVE ENOUGH TO BE A FEMALE.
                                      These teams have only played 4 times in the last two years and only twice in Atlanta...what stats are you looking at?
                                      Comment
                                      • diaboliquesaint
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 10-29-09
                                        • 126

                                        #54
                                        lol I can't wait to see this thread after the game! I took ATL -4.5 this morning and it's now -3.5 so no major difference. I still see them covering but wouldn't have taken if I'd seen all the indecision on here!
                                        Comment
                                        • marabdl86
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-06-09
                                          • 1067

                                          #55
                                          ^^^ yup. RLM in football speak volumes. RLM in basketball not so much. I think bookmakers favor the home dogs in basketball. Portlands a good team but I don't see them beating the hawks in Atlanta. They may or may not cover

                                          This is gambling anything can happen. Squares have their wins also.
                                          Comment
                                          • eidolon
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 01-02-08
                                            • 9531

                                            #56
                                            OK....im allin on ATL
                                            Comment
                                            • lyon804
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 11-02-09
                                              • 6526

                                              #57
                                              Again, guys I understand anything can happen. I obviously don't feel that strongly because I haven't bet nothing on this game. I am just saying it looks funny. Maybe I am wrong. Who cares? I didn't mean to get all you Atlanta backers a headache. Hell, they might win by 20++ pts.One thing is for certain... This is uncertain.
                                              Comment
                                              • HoulihansTX
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 02-12-09
                                                • 30566

                                                #58
                                                All that matters in B-Ball is matchups, and situational plays.

                                                Lines being fishy, and RLM are irrelevant when betting hoops.

                                                Dont believe me check my stats.
                                                Comment
                                                • BadBeatBodog
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 06-05-08
                                                  • 1006

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by diaboliquesaint
                                                  lol I can't wait to see this thread after the game! I took ATL -4.5 this morning and it's now -3.5 so no major difference. I still see them covering but wouldn't have taken if I'd seen all the indecision on here!
                                                  Having -4.5 when WA is -3.5 is a -6.5% edge.
                                                  "Things happen for a reason, they say, but I say there's a reason things happen"

                                                  "Not everybody talks, but everybody lies / Not everybody lives, but everybody dies"
                                                  Comment
                                                  • twister
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 09-09-08
                                                    • 405

                                                    #60
                                                    Portland have the upper hand early doors.

                                                    Glad I put my 1 SBR point and $50 on Portland ML, so far. Hopefully I won't come to regret that.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Regul8er
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 11-06-07
                                                      • 10666

                                                      #61
                                                      Uh Oh....I came in to see a 5 point Portland lead at half!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • lyon804
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 11-02-09
                                                        • 6526

                                                        #62
                                                        Regulator, You had the one all the way! It was in the bag!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Regul8er
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 11-06-07
                                                          • 10666

                                                          #63
                                                          hahahaha....I wouldnt quite say that buddy. But thank you, looks like the oddsmaker had this line deadon.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jmp
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 08-21-09
                                                            • 325

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by lyon804
                                                            Again, guys I understand anything can happen. I obviously don't feel that strongly because I haven't bet nothing on this game. I am just saying it looks funny. Maybe I am wrong. Who cares? I didn't mean to get all you Atlanta backers a headache. Hell, they might win by 20++ pts.One thing is for certain... This is uncertain.

                                                            people like you are sort of . come on man, you come in and make a thread called "teaching squares lessons," huffing and puffing then come with a neutral, olive branch, remark like that.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BadBeatBodog
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 06-05-08
                                                              • 1006

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by diaboliquesaint
                                                              lol I can't wait to see this thread after the game! I took ATL -4.5 this morning and it's now -3.5 so no major difference. I still see them covering but wouldn't have taken if I'd seen all the indecision on here!
                                                              Sorry diablo but I had to bump this post.
                                                              "Things happen for a reason, they say, but I say there's a reason things happen"

                                                              "Not everybody talks, but everybody lies / Not everybody lives, but everybody dies"
                                                              Comment
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