Who is taking the Falcons tonight?

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  • Pin Fish
    SBR MVP
    • 11-28-08
    • 1295

    #71
    nuff said

    Originally posted by zigomanisinsider
    Al DeMarco
    Monday's Play 15 Dime - New Orleans Saints

    Many times you will hear the phrase "go against the public on Monday nights." Talk about pure, unsubstantiated rubbish. The public is NOT always wrong, and in this strange season where double-digit favorites have been a betting bonanza, and simply picking the straight-up winner of a game has produced over 80% pointspread winners on the year, laying points with the hottest team in the NFL can be understood.

    To use a boxing analogy, New Orleans was on the ropes last Sunday at Miami, clearly softened up for the antipated knockout by the Dolphins, who jumped on them early and enjoyed a double-digit halftime lead. But in a game that might define this club, and give it the confidence it needs no matter what situation it faces from this point forward, the Saints stunned Miami with 30 second-half points to win and cover in a 46-34 victory.

    New Orleans has covered 18 of its last 23, going 7-1 ATS in its last eight outings as a home favorite. While Drew Brees has garnered most of the attention for the team's success this season, the true key on offensive has been a ground game that entered the weekend ranked second in the NFL with a per game average of 154 yards. Powered by Mike Bell and Pierre Thomas, the ground attack should have continued success against a soft Atlanta defense allowing opposing ball carriers to average 4.6 yards per carry.

    A strong rushing attack allows Brees the luxury of picking his spots to go on an aerial attack, and tonight he'll be facing an Atlanta stop unit that entered the weekend ranked 25th in the league at stopping the pass. Quarterbacks are completing 60% of their passes against the Falcons, who have been unable to generate much of a pass rush on the season with just 12 sacks through six games. Last Sunday, Tony Romo of the Cowboys lit Atlanta's secondary up with a 21-for-29 effort worth 311 yards and 3 TDs.

    This is the Saints third "step-up" game of the season. In their first, they flattened the then-undefeated Jets, amidst all the "Rex Ryan is a genius" talk, 24-10 at home. Two weeks later, they hosted the 5-0 Giants and dominated them far more than the 48-27 final score would indicate. Now, coming off one of the biggest comeback wins in franchise history, they have the momentum and national forum to show the league they're for real with a rout of the visiting Falcons, who have lost two straight on the road by identical 16-point margins at New England and Dallas.




    IMPORTANT NOTE:

    This is NOT a play on the 1st Half of this game; rather it is simply my 1st Half of the SEASON Blowout of the Year selection - thus the title. Do not be confused. Do NOT play New Orleans in the 1st half of the game; play the Saints minus the points for the entire game.




    BOUGHT,PAID AND COMFIRMED--------GL GUYS
    Comment
    • jackpot269
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 09-24-07
      • 12842

      #72
      Im taking Atlanta Im down 2.80 putting 3.00 on them the way my picks have gone this week you may want to fad me
      Comment
      • coolbreeze02
        SBR Hustler
        • 10-06-09
        • 95

        #73
        hahaha z you are crazy. you always run from ralphie when he calls you out. ralphie's helped me with picks i was unsure of and helped make me a killing. i silently have been betting against you picks and im up! haha.

        parlay of the day:
        ATL +12 and the under
        prediction:
        ATL 17
        NO 27
        Comment
        • windmann2
          SBR High Roller
          • 09-04-09
          • 187

          #74
          Originally posted by pavyracer
          And I'm pretty sure Falcons spent the week picking up potatoes in Idaho instead of watching film of the Dolphins (which the Falcons destroyed in week 1) making the Saints defense look like high school.
          Yeah ok Pavy and the Falcons clearly have the home field advantage here and coming off a bye right?...Just like the Dolphins...Pavy you are ABSOLUTELY CLUELESS if you think the Falcons secondary has a chance against the Saints receivers....
          Comment
          • malay76
            SBR Sharp
            • 09-10-09
            • 262

            #75
            Comment
            • BrownTown
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 10-06-09
              • 624

              #76
              Close at half and the Saints will pull away late in the 3rd Q

              Well at least they fukking better!!!!
              Comment
              • DwightShrute
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-17-09
                • 103738

                #77
                Originally posted by pavyracer
                And I'm pretty sure Falcons spent the week picking up potatoes in Idaho instead of watching film of the Dolphins (which the Falcons destroyed in week 1) making the Saints defense look like high school.
                If you are referring to the week #1 meeting this year you are obviously a


                because anyone (except people with nicknames starting with P and ending with avyracer) who saw the game, saw a dolphins team that had more turnovers in that game then all last season but were still in it till late in the 4th Q. The last thing the Falcons did was destroy Miami. A more accurate description would be that Atlanta were lucky to have won that game.

                I will agree that they will comeback tonight with a real solid effort after being destroyed in the 2H is Dallas last week. I see them leaving with a win.
                Comment
                • pavyracer
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 04-12-07
                  • 82900

                  #78
                  Yes..the Dolphins had turnovers. You know the ones where someone fumbles the ball while running without being chased towards the end zone or the QB throws interceptions where the defender looks the other way and the ball magically appears in his hands. Atlanta defense was horrible on that game and allowing 7 points on the 4th quarter while being up by 19 is a sign of a bad performance.
                  Comment
                  • pavyracer
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 04-12-07
                    • 82900

                    #79
                    Originally posted by windmann2
                    Yeah ok Pavy and the Falcons clearly have the home field advantage here and coming off a bye right?...Just like the Dolphins...Pavy you are ABSOLUTELY CLUELESS if you think the Falcons secondary has a chance against the Saints receivers....
                    The Saints have to score 14 points more than the Falcons to cover your bet. I'm saying the Falcons have the offense to put up numbers and stay within the 14 points. The difference between the Giants and the Falcons is that the Falcons have a massive running game and can control the clock. It appears the Giants are awful and I wouldn't put too much emphasis on the Saints win against the Giants. Atlanta has one of the more efficient offenses in the league and can hurt you with many weapons.
                    Comment
                    • JerseyShop101
                      Restricted User
                      • 09-04-08
                      • 2704

                      #80
                      I like Atlanta with the points. SHouold be one of the better MNF games.
                      Comment
                      • mdemps9190
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-08-07
                        • 1957

                        #81
                        I'm leaning falcons but not sure yet. If the line breaks 14 I will definitely hit the falcons up.
                        Comment
                        • KKoz9
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-07-06
                          • 1982

                          #82
                          I'm takin the 12 points and runnin with em, it's a gift
                          Comment
                          • Gundog
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 12-15-07
                            • 833

                            #83
                            After tonight the Falcons will wish they was in Idaho.
                            The perfect baked potato has crisp golden skin on the outside and is pure white and fluffy on the inside. Can you say Saint's? Someone would have to over cook Falcon Meat to even make it smell good while grilling over Hickory Wood. Now that's some stinky butt meat.
                            But hey i bet some of you guys out there can make Carp taste like Cake.
                            Good Luck in your picks
                            I'm on Jolly ole St plus the points in this one.

                            All kidding aside to all who bet's this fine Monday Night NFL Football Game.
                            The Good Lord" Gave you a Body that can stand Almost Anything. It's your mind you have to convince.

                            Once you learn to Quit It Becomes A " HABIT"



                            Im so far behind i actually think im in First.

                            To get to "Easy Street" you must Travel through "The Dump"
                            Comment
                            • Gundog
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 12-15-07
                              • 833

                              #84
                              Hope you can run better than Turner tonight.
                              The Good Lord" Gave you a Body that can stand Almost Anything. It's your mind you have to convince.

                              Once you learn to Quit It Becomes A " HABIT"



                              Im so far behind i actually think im in First.

                              To get to "Easy Street" you must Travel through "The Dump"
                              Comment
                              • frostno98
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 09-11-07
                                • 9769

                                #85
                                Originally posted by pavyracer
                                The Saints have to score 14 points more than the Falcons to cover your bet. I'm saying the Falcons have the offense to put up numbers and stay within the 14 points. The difference between the Giants and the Falcons is that the Falcons have a massive running game and can control the clock. It appears the Giants are awful and I wouldn't put too much emphasis on the Saints win against the Giants. Atlanta has one of the more efficient offenses in the league and can hurt you with many weapons.
                                If the 49er's can hang with the Colts, the Falcons should have no problem hanging with the Saints.
                                Comment
                                • alka07
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 10-04-09
                                  • 441

                                  #86
                                  atlanto the points for me
                                  Comment
                                  • Gundog
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 12-15-07
                                    • 833

                                    #87
                                    That's right.
                                    And you know what? They will.
                                    Tonights game is a free for all.
                                    N.O. is the best team in the NFL AT THIS TIME.
                                    Throw out your cheat sheets, Stats, and everything on paper.
                                    This Saint's team is for real.
                                    The Good Lord" Gave you a Body that can stand Almost Anything. It's your mind you have to convince.

                                    Once you learn to Quit It Becomes A " HABIT"



                                    Im so far behind i actually think im in First.

                                    To get to "Easy Street" you must Travel through "The Dump"
                                    Comment
                                    • Gundog
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 12-15-07
                                      • 833

                                      #88
                                      Should of said Jolly ole St. minus the points tonight.
                                      My TYPO
                                      The Good Lord" Gave you a Body that can stand Almost Anything. It's your mind you have to convince.

                                      Once you learn to Quit It Becomes A " HABIT"



                                      Im so far behind i actually think im in First.

                                      To get to "Easy Street" you must Travel through "The Dump"
                                      Comment
                                      • Serbone
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-21-09
                                        • 1300

                                        #89
                                        Originally posted by windmann2
                                        Falcons defense is 23rd in the league...Their secondary is swiss cheese...need I say more???
                                        We are starting to understand that the Falcons have played a tougher schedule than the Saints. So when looking at defensive rankings, you have to realize that Atlanta's defense faced stronger offensive challenges than NO.

                                        RECENT: Atl lost to a revitalized Dallas off a bye last week... and NO returned two INT's to catch Miami late last week... Miami beat the Jets this week but was outgained BIG by the Jets... Miami had 2 kickoff returns and one fumble return. NO earlier beat the Giants, but Giants are proving to be much weaker than we thought, getting beat soundly at home by AZ and pounded yesterday by Philly.

                                        NO is 6-0, due for a letdown a la Colts yesterday, maybe even play a bad game.

                                        Division game, Atlanta has sees Brees before, Atlanta needs the game and will be pumped up to knock off NO. I worry about ATL's secondary, but Atlanta has a good running game to keep NO offense off the field. When they need a first down, Ryan can get it to his TE.
                                        I am taking ATL + 12.
                                        Comment
                                        • yisman
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 09-01-08
                                          • 75682

                                          #90
                                          If I bet, it will be on the Falcons.
                                          [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                          [/quote]

                                          [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                          Comment
                                          • crackerjack
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-01-06
                                            • 3366

                                            #91
                                            If NO can put 48 on NYG and 48 on Detroit and 46 on a fairly decent Miami team last week, why won't they put up that many tonight? Has anyone watched Atlanta? The Bears moved up and down the field on them and would have scored more except for red zone turnovers. And the Cowboys did the same. Over is the play.
                                            Comment
                                            • roasthawg
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-09-07
                                              • 2990

                                              #92
                                              I'm on the Falcons... Saints are a covering machine and they got me last week when I thought I had money in the bag with the Fins but on Monday night I expect a relatively tight game from a pretty solid Atalanta team.
                                              Comment
                                              • Gundog
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 12-15-07
                                                • 833

                                                #93
                                                Yea i'll agree with all the above. It's all on who we will throw out our hard earned cash at tonight.
                                                No one wanted Drew. Look at him now. No one wanted that Defensive back the Saint's have (when he gets one more interception he will break a NFL Record)
                                                Atlanta could not slow down Romo!
                                                I'll put my money on The Saints .
                                                Look for at least 35 pass attempts for the Home Domers.
                                                Look for 40 plus points on the board for the Home team.
                                                Good Luck either way you lean.
                                                The Good Lord" Gave you a Body that can stand Almost Anything. It's your mind you have to convince.

                                                Once you learn to Quit It Becomes A " HABIT"



                                                Im so far behind i actually think im in First.

                                                To get to "Easy Street" you must Travel through "The Dump"
                                                Comment
                                                • ASH0479
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 02-24-09
                                                  • 491

                                                  #94
                                                  Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                  ZBOIZ is on a roll. Biggest homer ever. I like the Saints they have a very good team. The only issue i have with this game is that Sedrick Ellis is out and the Falcons have a good offensive line and will be able to run the ball.
                                                  Actually isnt the Falcons running game struggling this year compared to last year....Turner is nowhere near what he was last year and his backup is out for this game...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ASH0479
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 02-24-09
                                                    • 491

                                                    #95
                                                    Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                    Yes..the Dolphins had turnovers. You know the ones where someone fumbles the ball while running without being chased towards the end zone or the QB throws interceptions where the defender looks the other way and the ball magically appears in his hands. Atlanta defense was horrible on that game and allowing 7 points on the 4th quarter while being up by 19 is a sign of a bad performance.

                                                    At least 20points the Dolphins scored were off of Saints turnovers inside their own 20 yard line....The saints defense is much improved this season and the Falcons secondary is like Swiss Cheese...they have been getting carved up and guess who comes calling today....the line is 12 for a reason...


                                                    Sure there is a chance of a letdown game...but the Saints on National TV, Monday Night Football, they can showcase their talent...I will hop on for the ride.....WHO DAT
                                                    Comment
                                                    • marabdl86
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-06-09
                                                      • 1067

                                                      #96
                                                      Lang is on the saints and Yankees Betters BEWARE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Fiasco
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-02-08
                                                        • 2406

                                                        #97
                                                        falcons O-line is good as long as the saints line up heads-up against them and try to bull rush... falcons running game's suffered bc of this but if the saints don't try to use their athleticism falcons roll... falcons D should be fine...

                                                        but I'm obviously on +12

                                                        and may even drop a few on the ML getting almost +500 is just too good
                                                        Comment
                                                        • windmann2
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 09-04-09
                                                          • 187

                                                          #98
                                                          Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                          The Saints have to score 14 points more than the Falcons to cover your bet. I'm saying the Falcons have the offense to put up numbers and stay within the 14 points. The difference between the Giants and the Falcons is that the Falcons have a massive running game and can control the clock. It appears the Giants are awful and I wouldn't put too much emphasis on the Saints win against the Giants. Atlanta has one of the more efficient offenses in the league and can hurt you with many weapons.
                                                          NO!! I only need the Saints -4 for my 7 team teaser to cash...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • blanc0
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 03-29-09
                                                            • 256

                                                            #99
                                                            i don't see the falcons winning, they are good but still too many mistakes imo. On the other hand the spread is pretty huge, which makes me doubt if the Saints can cover. I know they can put up big numbers, but that spread against a decent offensive team makes me feel a bit iffy about it.

                                                            Falcons will try to run the ball alot to run down the clock & keep the Drew-crew off the field. I also see Ryan throw an interception or 2 in a big play attempt when they are near midfield (afaik Matty keeps it to short passes on their own side of the field) to catch up with the saints when they are down on points, adding to the scoreless gametime making the saints go all the way back.

                                                            With that mindset, i teased em.

                                                            Saints -5.5 & under 61.5 (2.5U)

                                                            my 2 cents
                                                            Comment
                                                            • bradleysnyder
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 04-18-07
                                                              • 6662

                                                              #100
                                                              Originally posted by DwightShrute
                                                              I am on the Falcons. Both teams fun to watch. Divisional game. A turnover can be the difference.


                                                              ATLANTA FALCONS +450


                                                              absolute JOKE .....IF THE COWBOYS CAN SPANK ATL AT HOME THE SAINTS SHOULD HAVE NO PROBLEMS


                                                              38-17 NEW ORLEANS
                                                              Comment
                                                              • lakerboy
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 04-02-09
                                                                • 94383

                                                                #101
                                                                Interesting feedback so far. Looks like most feel the Saints will win big cause they are at home and its time for the show. Fun game to watch thats for sure.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • DwightShrute
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-17-09
                                                                  • 103738

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Originally posted by bradleysnyder
                                                                  absolute JOKE .....IF THE COWBOYS CAN SPANK ATL AT HOME THE SAINTS SHOULD HAVE NO PROBLEMS


                                                                  38-17 NEW ORLEANS
                                                                  perhaps, but how do we explain the Raiders beating the Eagles a couple weeks ago?

                                                                  Let's hope it's a great game
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • pavyracer
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 04-12-07
                                                                    • 82900

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Originally posted by ASH0479
                                                                    At least 20points the Dolphins scored were off of Saints turnovers inside their own 20 yard line....The saints defense is much improved this season and the Falcons secondary is like Swiss Cheese...they have been getting carved up and guess who comes calling today....the line is 12 for a reason...


                                                                    Sure there is a chance of a letdown game...but the Saints on National TV, Monday Night Football, they can showcase their talent...I will hop on for the ride.....WHO DAT
                                                                    How come the Dolphins, 49ers, Bears, Patriots and Panthers couldn't score more than 20 and carve up this swiss cheese defense? You think Brady and Cutler would have a feast on swiss cheese?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • mgcolby
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 10-19-07
                                                                      • 950

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Originally posted by ZBOIZ
                                                                      But that was against the Wildcat ......Atlanta doesn't run a wildcat. You cant say " This team struggles against the wildcat so they cant stop the run" that would be premature.

                                                                      In the 2nd half the Saints came out and shut the wildcat down and forced Miami to go to there passing game. That was clearly a trap game for the Saints and they still came back from a 24-3 deficit and won by double digits on the road! How many teams in the NFL can do that in a trap game?


                                                                      With the Saints being at home this what I see!

                                                                      Saints 48

                                                                      Falcons 21
                                                                      Not to mention the 17 of those 24 points came off turnovers. People should watch the game or at least look up the box score before talking.

                                                                      And Atlanta's defense scares who? 27th against the Pass and 21st against the run. Not exactly the dooms day defense.

                                                                      They played the Pats and Cowboys and got destroyed by both, and that was while Brady was still struggling. The beat the dolphins on opening day.

                                                                      They beat a bad Bears team
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • mgcolby
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 10-19-07
                                                                        • 950

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                                        How come the Dolphins, 49ers, Bears, Patriots and Panthers couldn't score more than 20 and carve up this swiss cheese defense? You think Brady and Cutler would have a feast on swiss cheese?
                                                                        Brady did they just shot themselves in the foot in the redzone. Sam Aiken stopped his route in the end zone after beating his man and Brady put the ball in a perfect spot for a TD if he just took two more steps intstead of stopping. And on another Red Zone possesion Galloway dropped a ball that hit him in the chess. Along with Brady overthrowing multiple receivers. The pats had 447 yards of offense.


                                                                        And Jay Cutler is the most overrated QB in the league.
                                                                        Comment
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