Monkeyfocker, durito, Bullajami, Justin, "made it" list chime in

[fiveteamer]

I'm going pro, I will probably be having some unemployment cheques coming in.

After three years in the work force, I decided it is not for me (yes I started working at 25).

I need some tips on how to go pro. What are your secrets?

[Justin7]

Secret #1: Keep your full time job until your bankroll is 100k+

[fiveteamer]

That is not realistic.

[flyingillini]

No Mames

[mathdotcom]

lol dont listen to justin
you need a nickel but the more you start with the better

justin is biggest square on forum

[Fishhead]

That is not realistic.

With overlays, you can do it with a much smaller bankroll.

Remember, Justin probably needs 50,000 a year to live on, you only need about 4,544 .....right?

[MonkeyF0cker]

It's really not something you can snap your fingers and decide to do, 5T. And you should at least have enough money to live off of for about a year apart from your starting bankroll.

[MonkeyF0cker]

If I were you, I'd probably start with the simplest form - steam chasing.

[Bread]

I'm proud of you Teamer. I knew you'd make it one day!

[mathdotcom]

Monkey would rather make $10 using the binomial distribution than sit in his underwear like Nicky and make $100 just waiting for the right number

[MonkeyF0cker]

Using the binomial distribution? Do you know anything about statistics, regression, or Monte Carlo simulations? LOL.

And I bet mostly openers. I would bet I get better numbers than Nicky on 90% of my games.

[pavyracer]

It might be easier if you start playing sports, become a pro and then start fixing games.

[mathdotcom]

lol you type reg y x and look at your coefficients and standard errors with your pecker in your hand thinking you are big time

yet Nicky probably has 10x your roll and doesnt sit in a depressing Vegas sportsbook all day... yet he couldn't even tell you what a distribution is

simplest is always best. a computer science loser should know that better than anyone.

[Bread]

I was looking all day for a Nicky dick sucking thread and I finally found one!

Alright!

[MonkeyF0cker]

So you're basically admitting you really don't know shit about regression. So you certainly wouldn't know a single thing about ** sims. And where do you think the steam is coming from, if not from people with advanced models that calculate fair value and practice statistical arbitrage? It's certainly people that follow the steam blindly isn't it? You really are a fukkin moron. Change your name. You're an embarrassment to mathematics.

[mathdotcom]

lol Bread he is just the poster child of steam chasing which disgusts Monkey because it is too unsophisticated for his tastes

[mathdotcom]

So you're basically admitting you really don't know shit about regression. So you certainly wouldn't know a single thing about ** sims. And where do you think the steam is coming from, if not from people with advanced models that calculate fair value and practice statistical arbitrage? It's certainly people that follow the steam blindly isn't it? You really are a fukkin moron. Change your name. You're an embarrassment to mathematics.

Yes because regression is so much more complicated than that

[mathdotcom]

Monkey thanks for the lesson

Is nice to finally know that you're the guy moving the numbers

[mmike032]

grow some weed Fiver.
sea of green setup will keep you in the money

[MonkeyF0cker]

Yes because regression is so much more complicated than that

Right. You can just plug in any old numbers and...

*presto*

Fair value.

[MonkeyF0cker]

lol Bread he is just the poster child of steam chasing which disgusts Monkey because it is too unsophisticated for his tastes

Or maybe it's preschool for handicappers and anyone who is serious has been limited or booted out of most slow moving books that make steam chasing worthwhile.

[mathdotcom]

The theory is not that difficult and you don't even need to know much of it - most programs will do everything for you.

And yeah, it is really hard to figure out what explanatory variables to use.

[mathdotcom]

Or maybe it's preschool for handicappers and anyone who is serious has been limited or booted out of most slow moving books that make steam chasing worthwhile.

You might want to sign up at a few more books pal

[MonkeyF0cker]

And the binomial distribution fits where, exactly, in regression?

[MonkeyF0cker]

You might want to sign up at a few more books pal

Funny. You act like you know me and like you know what you're talking about...

[mathdotcom]

It was a joke referring to the fact that you'd rather "play with distributions".

Though binomial regression is particularly applicable to sports given you are interested in a binary outcome. So let me correct my error in claiming you type reg y x and change that to you having to type probit/logit y x

[pavyracer]

Only math you need to know to become a pro: "1+1=3"

[accuscoresucks]

CIMG1224


nothing like breakfast at home for a job

[jellobiafra]

Hey ITH, do you have a .gif of two nerds fighting? I can't find one. TIA.


Just kidding guys. Re-tape the glasses and get back at it...

[mathdotcom]

pavy the best is actually "0.5 * 0.5 * 0.5 * 0.5 * 0.5 * 0.5 * 0.5 * 0.5 = 0" aka "I have a system that will involve betting that the Colts will not lose 8 games in a row"

[fiveteamer]

I remember that breakfast.

After December I will not be eating like that for a long, long time.

Oatmeal, canned tuna, canned beans, rice. That will be my diet.

[Bread]

I remember that breakfast too. Kinda weird that he saved it

[fiveteamer]

Bread it is on mysbr

LOL, remember mysbr? People used it for like one afternoon.

[Bread]

[wtf]