Kentucky Derby Predictions

**Madison** · 05-02-24, 03:01 PM

Track Phantom will compete with Dornoch and possibly Fierceness and others for the early pace. Fierceness is a freak and avoiding traffic issues wins easy. This is a closers race. Sierra Leone, and an interesting one is Stronghold who just might find himself in a great stalking position.

All that aside, it should be a great race!!

**hawkwind** · 05-02-24, 03:17 PM

Honor Marie closing Strong for a 1st or 2nd Place Finish.

**Madison** · 05-02-24, 04:37 PM

Originally posted by hawkwind

Honor Marie closing Strong for a 1st or 2nd Place Finish.

Agree. Much overlooked.

**BOA12** · 05-03-24, 01:55 AM

Originally posted by Madison

Track Phantom will compete with Dornoch and possibly Fierceness and others for the early pace. Fierceness is a freak and avoiding traffic issues wins easy. This is a closers race. Sierra Leone, and an interesting one is Stronghold who just might find himself in a great stalking position.

All that aside, it should be a great race!!

I'm all over Stronghold M.

**DrunkHorseplayer** · 05-03-24, 10:55 AM

This race is wide open once you get past the chalk who's run a couple of clunkers and could do so again; I'll take a shot at a trifecta. 7,8,17/4,7,8,17/4,5,7,8,17; 27 bucks for a shot at four figures.

**trobin31** · 05-03-24, 11:06 AM

Unless there’s a horse who gets an extra dose of roids and stimulants before the race, or we get a muddy track, feels like a chalk year

im taking Fierceness

**Chi_archie** · 05-03-24, 01:53 PM

Originally posted by SBR Andy

The 150th Run for the Roses is almost here and Kentucky Derby Odds are starting to settle on the board. Let's take a look at the horses in the field, post positions, and current prices.

*Odds updated Friday, May 3rd

Horse	Trainer	Post Position	FanDuel	bet365
Fierceness	Todd Pletcher	16	+250	+300
Sierra Leone	Chad Brown	2	+300	+250
Catching Freedom	Brad Cox	4	+800	+1000
Just a Touch	Brad Cox	8	+1000	+1400
Forever Young	Yoshito Yahagi	11	+1000	+800
Honor Marle	Whit Beckman	7	+2000	+2500
Resillience	Bill Mott	18	+2000	+2500
Dornoch	Danny Gargan	1	+2000	+2500
Just Steel	D. Wayne Lukas	6	+2000	+2000
Stronghold	Phil D’Amato	17	+2000	+2500
Track Phantom	Steve Asmussen	12	+2000	+1400
Mystik Dan	Kenny McPeek	3	+2000	+2000
Domestic Product	Chad Brown	14	+3000	+2500
Catalytic	Saffie Joseph Jr.	5	+3000	+4000
Endlessly	Michael McCarthy	13	+3000	+2500
T O Password	Caisuke Takayanagi	10	+3000	+2000
West Saratoga	Larry Demeritte	12	+5000	+5000
Grand Mo the First	Victor Barboza Jr.	15	+5000	+6600
Epic Ride	John Ennis	20	+5000	+2500
Society Man	Danny Garban	19	+5000	+2500
Mugatu	Jeff Engler	AE 22	+5000	+10000

What are your Kentucky Derby Predictions for the big race on Saturday? I know we've got some great horse cappers in the community so let's find some winners!

I'll take a stab on Track Phantom - can be found as high as 33/1 right now.

Randy!

I predict a high paying exacta

**SBR Andy** · 05-03-24, 02:18 PM

Originally posted by Chi_archie

Randy!

I predict a high paying exacta

Let's hear it...

**chen** · 05-03-24, 03:47 PM

I like #8 just a touch

**trobin31** · 05-03-24, 04:43 PM

Is there a way to bet the Japanese horses not to win?

**konck** · 05-04-24, 06:50 AM

the 8

**Madison** · 05-04-24, 11:23 AM

Originally posted by DrunkHorseplayer

This race is wide open once you get past the chalk who's run a couple of clunkers and could do so again; I'll take a shot at a trifecta. 7,8,17/4,7,8,17/4,5,7,8,17; 27 bucks for a shot at four figures.

It's either Fierceness or who knows. If he finds the lead early he will run the front runners off their feet. Thus closers under him. Otherwise and it is a crap shoot with one the closers your bet key IMHO.

BOL to all!!

**Madison** · 05-04-24, 11:25 AM

Originally posted by trobin31

Is there a way to bet the Japanese horses not to win?

I thought, maybe ten years ago, you could do this in Europe, and word was maybe coming to NA, but haven't heard a word since???

**brock** · 05-04-24, 12:05 PM

Andy Sterling picks
Honor Marle
Domestic Product
Think I'll box six horses for a dollar bet. $30 total bet.

**thezbar** · 05-04-24, 03:58 PM

I played #14 Endlessly wp and a tri box with the two chalks. G.L.everyone

**hanco21** · 05-04-24, 04:17 PM

11-3

**str** · 05-04-24, 04:21 PM

The first two fractions posted if 22.7 and First half fraction in 45 and change or 46. and 3/4 fraction in 109 and change or 1:10 will be a big advantage for the closers.

1:10 .20 or less for 3/4's and the closers should be running late.

First two fractions of 23 or slower and a 1/2 mile in 47 or slower should allow the speed to hang around and should compromise the closers.

Watch the clock which should show up in the upper corner of the screen.

Pace makes the race almost all the time in this event.

Hope that helps.

Good Luck everyone.

**Headsterx** · 05-04-24, 04:28 PM

Originally posted by str

The first two fractions posted if 22.7 and First half fraction in 45 and change or 46. and 3/4 fraction in 109 and change or 1:10 will be a big advantage for the closers.

1:10 .20 or less for 3/4's and the closers should be running late.

First two fractions of 23 or slower and a 1/2 mile in 47 or slower should allow the speed to hang around and should compromise the closers.

Watch the clock which should show up in the upper corner of the screen.

Pace makes the race almost all the time in this event.

Hope that helps.

Good Luck everyone.

I’m a degen but no nothing about horse e. Give me a winner!

**str** · 05-04-24, 04:32 PM

Originally posted by Headsterx

I’m a degen but no nothing about horse e. Give a winner!

I assume a very fast pace.

So it is Sierra Leone for me.

My picks in my thread were all based on a very fast early pace.

Top 4:

2. Sierra Leon
7.Honor Marie
4. Catching Freedom
15. Domestic Product

All deep closers.
I’m betting on a 46 or faster first 1/2 mile and a 1:09 and change or 10 flat 3/4 time. If so, I’ve got a shot.
A slow early pace and my tickets will land on the floor before they reach the stretch. Lol.

Good luck everyone. Enjoy the race.

**Doug tushyterror** · 05-04-24, 04:38 PM

**Seattle Slew** · 05-04-24, 05:46 PM

Catching Freedom
Track Phantom
Sierra Leone
Endlessly

GL to all.