Teases Are Sucker Bets

[Cheme82]

Just like LT and Fishhead said, Wong teasers (go through 7 and 3) are the only way to go. Please don't tease totals, just look at the % that the 6 points represent in a game's total vs. a game's spread. Not as good as before because you see a lot of spreads at 9 and 3 and don't forget that teasing a dog from +2 to +8 is good too, it doesn't have to be only on faves.

Like Fishead said it is important to pay attention to the rules though. Don't lay more than -110 and make sure that a tie pushes your bet. A lot of places have 1 tie=loss.

[Blargh]

Off work today and did some data mining for last season.
For 08-09 NFL reg season
Favs won 66% ATS with a 6pt teaser
Dogs won 64% ATS with a 6pt teaser
Over won 70% with a 6pt teaser
Under won 64% with a 6pt teaser.

So for last year even betting only the Overs on a 6pt teaser you're expected win % would only be 49%.
If you only played teasers on over with total of less than 40 pre-tease the games won 73% (45-16) of the time giving a 53% expected return. Unfortunately the number of games matching that critirea ranged from 1 to 6 in a week.
Teasing the over with a O/U of 35.5 or less was 10-4 last year.

I used covers.com and manually tracked the data. Cannot guarentee it's 100% accuracate.

[Scorpion]

Off work today and did some data mining for last season.
For 08-09 NFL reg season
Favs won 66% ATS with a 6pt teaser
Dogs won 64% ATS with a 6pt teaser
Over won 70% with a 6pt teaser
Under won 64% with a 6pt teaser.

So for last year even betting only the Overs on a 6pt teaser you're expected win % would only be 49%.
If you only played teasers on over with total of less than 40 pre-tease the games won 73% (45-16) of the time giving a 53% expected return. Unfortunately the number of games matching that critirea ranged from 1 to 6 in a week.
Teasing the over with a O/U of 35.5 or less was 10-4 last year.

I used covers.com and manually tracked the data. Cannot guarentee it's 100% accuracate.

doesnt mean much if you dont know about the line movement
for example what % of the dogs covered when the money was on the dog? how about dogs of 1.5, 2, and 2.5?
You get bad results because you are mixing the good plays with aver or below average plays

[wacked]

As others have said, the key to teasers are crossing the right numbers. Once those are crossed and after doing some research you can really make some nice bank playing the right teasers. As other have said certain teasers such as 10 point teasers win at a larger clip obviously but after taking into account the odds the risk/reward is nowhere near 2 point teasers.

It all comes back to being patient, don't drop all your bankroll on a few plays and as FISH said, you can consistently come out a winner in the long run.

[Rixsaw]

Like Fishead said it is important to pay attention to the rules though. Don't lay more than -110 and make sure that a tie pushes your bet. A lot of places have 1 tie=loss.

It's interesting that you brought this up. I had a 3 team 9 pts teaser in week 1. 2 teams won, the 3rd team tied. It was graded as a push by The Greek. It wa a push because a 9pts teaser is not available in a 2 team teaser. If I had done a 3 team 6pts teaser, my play would have counted as a 2 team teaser win.

[Intuitive_Edge]

Precisely why books are either getting away from "Wongable" spreads or are no longer paying +100 on two-team six-pointers.

How many places are paying +100 besides 5Dimes ? Legends -107 BetJamaica -110 WSEX -110 TheGreek -110

[LT Profits]

And not so coincidentally, there are no Wong teasers for Week 1 at 5 Dimes at the moment.

[Nismo]

I hate it when 5Dimes does that. Pinney too