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  • KVB
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 05-29-14
    • 74817

    #771
    The streaky Morono wins 4 straight to bury the Faders, but just 3 losses in a row turns the tables, again.

    /BEGIN TRANSMISSION FOR THE FILE CLERK/

    Here's the So Far, with links to each play, including the Suspect Lines List.

    Morono is 11-9 ATS and Totals, 1-0 against the ML for +3.28 units. Morono has risked 47.86 units to make 3.28 units so far for an ROI of 6.85%...

    ATS/TOT To Win To Win
    RECORD Date Play 2 units FADE and Get PaidTM 2 units
    0-1 14-May IND -1 (+100) 1q -2 NY +1 (-129) 2
    0-2 ATL +1.5 (-139) 1q -2.78 CONN -1.5 (+108) 2.16
    0-3 CONN/ATL OVER 40.5 (-115) 1q -2.3 Conn/Atl OVER 40.5 (-110) 1q 2
    1-3 15-May CHI -1 (+102) 1q 2.04 WAS +1 (-107) -2.14
    1-4 CHI/WAS OVER 42 (-114) 1q -2.28 CHI/WAS UNDER 42 (-105) 1q 2
    2-4 LV/SEA OVER 41.5 (-121) 1q 2 LV/SEA UNDER 41.5 (-108) 1q -2.16
    3-4 LV/SEA OVER 83.5 (-115) 1h 2 LV/SEA UNDER 83.5 (-105) 1h -2.1
    3-5 LV +1.5 (-120) -2.4 SEA +1 (-105) 0.95
    4-5 16-May CONN -1.5 (-115) 2 PHO +1.5 (-105) -2.1
    5-5 NY/IND UNDER 164.5 (-114) 2 NY/IND OVER 164.5 (-105) -2.1
    6-5 NY +5.5 (-114) 2 NY -5.5 (-105) -2.1
    7-5 18-May NY +1.5 (-115) 1q 2 MIN -1.5 (-105) 1q -2.1
    8-5 PHO -3 (-110) 2 WAS +3 (-110) -2.2
    8-6 19-May CHI/ATL OVER 40.5 (-115) 1q -2.3 CHI/ATL UNDER 40.5 (-105) 1q 2
    8-7 20-May SEA -1 (-120) 1q -2.4 MIN +1.5 (-105) 1q 2
    8-8 21-May NY +3 (-115) -2.3 WASH -2.5 (-107) 2
    8-9 IND -1 (+100) 1q -2 ATL +1.5 (-115) 2
    9-9 LA/LV OVER 43 (-115) 1q 2 LA/LV UNDER 43 (-109) 1q -2.18
    23-May IND -104 1q 2 WAS -115 1q -2.3
    10-9 NY/CHI OVER 41 (-117) 1q 2 NY/CHI UNDER 42 (-110) -2.2
    11-9 CON +1.5 (-115) 1q 2 LV -1.5 (-113) 1q -2.26
    11-9 Total 3.28 Total -8.83
    Futures…
    CHI Champs +900
    Suspect Lines List
    14-May ATL +1.5 (-139) 1q -2.78 CONN -1.5 (+108) 2.16
    15-May LV +1.5 (-120) -2.4 SEA +1 (-105) 0.95

    Morono continues to bury the Faders.

    I continue to recommend better prices for his selections as it would not only increase his ROI, but also help to gain more ground against the Faders.

    He remains defiant.

    /END TRANSMISSION FOR THE FILE CLERK/

    Leggoo Morono!!!

    You got this!!! Don't lose your head in the face of success. Stay selective when you okay a play!

    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388179

      #772
      It seems he can’t get going with a nice consistent winning streak
      Comment
      • KVB
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 05-29-14
        • 74817

        #773
        Originally posted by jjgold
        It seems he can’t get going with a nice consistent winning streak
        He'd be sitting pretty had he not bet the 1st quarters of the first games of the season.
        Comment
        • jjgold
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 07-20-05
          • 388179

          #774
          There’s no angle betting the first quarter it’s a lottery ticket bet
          Comment
          • stake1
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-19-18
            • 18116

            #775
            Sunday’s? Well they are made for cleaning.
            Thom always gets cleaned on Sunday
            Comment
            • thomorino
              Restricted User
              • 06-01-17
              • 45842

              #776
              Originally posted by KVB
              The streaky Morono wins 4 straight to bury the Faders, but just 3 losses in a row turns the tables, again.

              /BEGIN TRANSMISSION FOR THE FILE CLERK/

              Here's the So Far, with links to each play, including the Suspect Lines List.

              Morono is 11-9 ATS and Totals, 1-0 against the ML for +3.28 units. Morono has risked 47.86 units to make 3.28 units so far for an ROI of 6.85%...

              ATS/TOT To Win To Win
              RECORD Date Play 2 units FADE and Get PaidTM 2 units
              0-1 14-May IND -1 (+100) 1q -2 NY +1 (-129) 2
              0-2 ATL +1.5 (-139) 1q -2.78 CONN -1.5 (+108) 2.16
              0-3 CONN/ATL OVER 40.5 (-115) 1q -2.3 Conn/Atl OVER 40.5 (-110) 1q 2
              1-3 15-May CHI -1 (+102) 1q 2.04 WAS +1 (-107) -2.14
              1-4 CHI/WAS OVER 42 (-114) 1q -2.28 CHI/WAS UNDER 42 (-105) 1q 2
              2-4 LV/SEA OVER 41.5 (-121) 1q 2 LV/SEA UNDER 41.5 (-108) 1q -2.16
              3-4 LV/SEA OVER 83.5 (-115) 1h 2 LV/SEA UNDER 83.5 (-105) 1h -2.1
              3-5 LV +1.5 (-120) -2.4 SEA +1 (-105) 0.95
              4-5 16-May CONN -1.5 (-115) 2 PHO +1.5 (-105) -2.1
              5-5 NY/IND UNDER 164.5 (-114) 2 NY/IND OVER 164.5 (-105) -2.1
              6-5 NY +5.5 (-114) 2 NY -5.5 (-105) -2.1
              7-5 18-May NY +1.5 (-115) 1q 2 MIN -1.5 (-105) 1q -2.1
              8-5 PHO -3 (-110) 2 WAS +3 (-110) -2.2
              8-6 19-May CHI/ATL OVER 40.5 (-115) 1q -2.3 CHI/ATL UNDER 40.5 (-105) 1q 2
              8-7 20-May SEA -1 (-120) 1q -2.4 MIN +1.5 (-105) 1q 2
              8-8 21-May NY +3 (-115) -2.3 WASH -2.5 (-107) 2
              8-9 IND -1 (+100) 1q -2 ATL +1.5 (-115) 2
              9-9 LA/LV OVER 43 (-115) 1q 2 LA/LV UNDER 43 (-109) 1q -2.18
              23-May IND -104 1q 2 WAS -115 1q -2.3
              10-9 NY/CHI OVER 41 (-117) 1q 2 NY/CHI UNDER 42 (-110) -2.2
              11-9 CON +1.5 (-115) 1q 2 LV -1.5 (-113) 1q -2.26
              11-9 Total 3.28 Total -8.83
              Futures…
              CHI Champs +900
              Suspect Lines List
              14-May ATL +1.5 (-139) 1q -2.78 CONN -1.5 (+108) 2.16
              15-May LV +1.5 (-120) -2.4 SEA +1 (-105) 0.95

              Morono continues to bury the Faders.

              I continue to recommend better prices for his selections as it would not only increase his ROI, but also help to gain more ground against the Faders.

              He remains defiant.

              /END TRANSMISSION FOR THE FILE CLERK/

              Leggoo Morono!!!

              You got this!!! Don't lose your head in the face of success. Stay selective when you okay a play!

              Originally posted by KVB

              He'd be sitting pretty had he not bet the 1st quarters of the first games of the season.
              Originally posted by stake1
              Sunday’s? Well they are made for cleaning.
              Thom always gets cleaned on Sunday
              Dumb shits
              Comment
              • KVB
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 05-29-14
                • 74817

                #777
                Morono we got a game today.

                7 pm eastern, Dallas at New York. These early season forecasts point to Dallas here. I have Dallas winning by three in what's basically the most efficient Forecast I can make with what little data we have.

                I have to the think the books are pulling one here, trying to draw the sharp money onto Dallas. But the WNBA volume isn't that great.

                Surely this line falls.

                Morono, let's pick up Dallas +1.5 and then wait until the market shifts to try to get NY + something at home.

                I'd suggest the moneyline shot as a dog for both sides but, as you can see, the books aren't gonna really let that happen.

                Leggo Morono, what are you thinking? Let's take a shot on expected line movement.

                I'm taking 665 Dallas +1.5 (-112), let's get it.

                Why is there a fukkin Monday night game anyway this week?

                Morono, early leans for Reg Season League MVP?

                Lemme know.

                Comment
                • KVB
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 05-29-14
                  • 74817

                  #778
                  I also have a 169 point game in that Forecast.

                  So it's not very useful on the Total bet.

                  Morono, what about Dallas 1q or 1st half? In case they give up the ass in the end to NY.

                  Lemme know.

                  Comment
                  • KVB
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 05-29-14
                    • 74817

                    #779
                    Seriosly Morono, let's talk WNBA in here.

                    I know it's early season, but that train is definitely rolling.
                    Last edited by KVB; 05-24-21, 01:13 PM. Reason: Meant to say talk, not take WNBA here. OP Check in.
                    Comment
                    • thomorino
                      Restricted User
                      • 06-01-17
                      • 45842

                      #780
                      Originally posted by KVB
                      Morono we got a game today.

                      7 pm eastern, Dallas at New York. These early season forecasts point to Dallas here. I have Dallas winning by three in what's basically the most efficient Forecast I can make with what little data we have.

                      I have to the think the books are pulling one here, trying to draw the sharp money onto Dallas. But the WNBA volume isn't that great.

                      Surely this line falls.

                      Morono, let's pick up Dallas +1.5 and then wait until the market shifts to try to get NY + something at home.

                      I'd suggest the moneyline shot as a dog for both sides but, as you can see, the books aren't gonna really let that happen.

                      Leggo Morono, what are you thinking? Let's take a shot on expected line movement.

                      I'm taking 665 Dallas +1.5 (-112), let's get it.

                      Why is there a fukkin Monday night game anyway this week?

                      Morono, early leans for Reg Season League MVP?

                      Lemme know.

                      Originally posted by KVB
                      I also have a 169 point game in that Forecast.

                      So it's not very useful on the Total bet.

                      Morono, what about Dallas 1q or 1st half? In case they give up the ass in the end to NY.

                      Lemme know.

                      Originally posted by KVB
                      Seriosly Morono, let's talk WNBA in here.

                      I know it's early season, but that train is definitely rolling.
                      You are a dumb shit. You are calling me a moron typing morono.
                      Comment
                      • thomorino
                        Restricted User
                        • 06-01-17
                        • 45842

                        #781
                        The Liberty are 3-1 off a nice win, this Dallas team is going to be motivated for a win, so I’d lean to Dallas early but the Liberty are clearly the better team right now.
                        Comment
                        • KVB
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 05-29-14
                          • 74817

                          #782
                          But the market is thirsty for Dallas. We're seeing that line flip even.

                          The second trade of a successful middle is a winner.

                          Eyeing that New York as a +1, hoping we see +1.5.

                          If so I'm going for it, I'd rather hold NY than Dallas, and I'm already holding dallas.

                          Comment
                          • KVB
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 05-29-14
                            • 74817

                            #783
                            Originally posted by thomorino
                            You are a dumb shit. You are calling me a moron typing morono.
                            That's fair, even if it was a habit and even a little term of endearment.

                            Comment
                            • KVB
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 05-29-14
                              • 74817

                              #784
                              Let's bring it and make this the best thread at SBR.

                              Any pickem and thought of NY +1 getting snatched up in the market.

                              Plenty of pressure and action on Dallas though, I hope I can get NY, I don't really want to be holding just Dallas.

                              Maybe even go NY live when Dallas takes the lead, but I hope it doesn't come to counting on that.

                              Comment
                              • ljdethal
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 05-14-21
                                • 9

                                #785
                                WNBA thread gets heated seesh
                                Comment
                                • KVB
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 05-29-14
                                  • 74817

                                  #786
                                  Originally posted by ljdethal
                                  WNBA thread gets heated seesh
                                  nah man, we shifting gears here.

                                  This thead is gonna rock soon, winner or loser, we're going to start talking WNBA in here.

                                  From the OP's thoughts to market analysis, trades, you name it.

                                  I'm serious too.

                                  Comment
                                  • KVB
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 05-29-14
                                    • 74817

                                    #787
                                    I'm serious Mo, I'll leave if you want and just stick to tracking your bets, but I think we can do a lot more in this thread than just win baby.

                                    Comment
                                    • Unrivaled
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 10-24-11
                                      • 6685

                                      #788
                                      Originally posted by thomorino
                                      You are a dumb shit. You are calling me a moron typing morono.
                                      All evidence I've collected suggests you are a moron. What's wrong with what he said?
                                      Comment
                                      • thomorino
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 06-01-17
                                        • 45842

                                        #789
                                        Originally posted by Unrivaled
                                        All evidence I've collected suggests you are a moron. What's wrong with what he said?
                                        You are a dumb shit.
                                        Comment
                                        • KVB
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 05-29-14
                                          • 74817

                                          #790
                                          Shit, NY +1 just not out there very long.

                                          I don't think NY +1.5 is coming.

                                          Might end up with Dal +1.5/NY to win.

                                          But it looks more and more like I may have to go live.
                                          Comment
                                          • thomorino
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 06-01-17
                                            • 45842

                                            #791
                                            In the futures market it is bizarre that Seattle is favored to win the title at +225. Sue Bird isn’t getting younger and Howard and Clark are both gone.

                                            Seattle is favored to win the title but they have zero chance to win it unless they make a trade, I backed Seattle last year to win it and cashed, but this Seattle team is nowhere near as good.
                                            Comment
                                            • thomorino
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 06-01-17
                                              • 45842

                                              #792
                                              The liberty are playing well and they have been underrated, but they are becoming a popular team to bet, this is a more important game for Dallas. Dallas has played much less than the liberty so fatigue might be a small factor, Liberty are a young team though.
                                              Comment
                                              • KVB
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 05-29-14
                                                • 74817

                                                #793
                                                Originally posted by thomorino
                                                The liberty are playing well and they have been underrated, but they are becoming a popular team to bet, this is a more important game for Dallas. Dallas has played much less than the liberty so fatigue might be a small factor, Liberty are a young team though.
                                                Maybe I don't panic then, maybe I'm not so bad off with Dallas +1.5.

                                                I can get NY +1, but they just don't want to move to 1.5.

                                                This game could be a good one tonight, down to the wire.
                                                Comment
                                                • KVB
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 05-29-14
                                                  • 74817

                                                  #794
                                                  From a forecast standpoint we can really get rolling after the teams have completed 4 games, then again after 4 games each home and road.

                                                  But when we get a team who's played 5 games against a team with only 2 we just try to make due and develop what we can.

                                                  NY +1's disappearing again. Books playing around here, trying to induce NY action with the moves, I think there going to try to offset the Dal action because right now they are taking a position.

                                                  Just some general things I'm mentioning that I see as we will see all these same antics from the books moving forward and it's up to us to make sense of it when we know the teams.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • KVB
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 05-29-14
                                                    • 74817

                                                    #795
                                                    Originally posted by thomorino
                                                    In the futures market it is bizarre that Seattle is favored to win the title at +225. Sue Bird isn’t getting younger and Howard and Clark are both gone.

                                                    Seattle is favored to win the title but they have zero chance to win it unless they make a trade, I backed Seattle last year to win it and cashed, but this Seattle team is nowhere near as good.
                                                    I actually like your Chicago future and +900 was a good price. A couple of other teams are going to have to step up for us to see CHI +900 again.

                                                    I see it went from +700 now down to +600.

                                                    Solid looking play here, with eventual room to sell back whether you intend to or not.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • KiDBaZkiT
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 10-20-09
                                                      • 14962

                                                      #796
                                                      Originally posted by thomorino
                                                      In the futures market it is bizarre that Seattle is favored to win the title at +225.

                                                      Sue Bird

                                                      isn’t getting younger and Howard and Clark are both gone.

                                                      Seattle is favored to win the title but they have zero chance to win it unless they make a trade, I backed Seattle last year to win it and cashed, but this Seattle team is nowhere near as good.
                                                      I hate that ugly little dyke and her ugly little wife.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • KVB
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 05-29-14
                                                        • 74817

                                                        #797
                                                        Even the NJ shops that hang the extra half point when there’s momentum just hop between -1 and +1, no pk at all.

                                                        Lines hopping market wide between NY -1, pk, and +1 but it doesn’t stay at +1 for long.

                                                        This game could be a good one to watch down the stretch, for WNBA.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • KVB
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 05-29-14
                                                          • 74817

                                                          #798
                                                          Originally posted by KVB
                                                          ...I'm taking 665 Dallas +1.5 (-112)...
                                                          This is all I have for now, the markets were on to us and I clearly wasn't the only one trying to get some NY as a spread dog. I will be looking live for a chance at a NY bet.

                                                          NY fatigue, like Mo said, is there too.

                                                          If they go down, can they come back?

                                                          A good game down the stretch could also mean the OVER but I'm passing there.

                                                          Comment
                                                          • KVB
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 05-29-14
                                                            • 74817

                                                            #799
                                                            NY +2.5 (-258) as a pre game live market prop is there, but that price is crazy.

                                                            Also Mo they have highest scoring half props, something to consider for future games.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • KVB
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 05-29-14
                                                              • 74817

                                                              #800
                                                              Originally posted by KVB
                                                              ...I'm taking 665 Dallas +1.5 (-112)...
                                                              Picked up NY +1.5 (-115)

                                                              These prices make these trades less than ideal but this game might come down to the wire.

                                                              Comment
                                                              • thomorino
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 06-01-17
                                                                • 45842

                                                                #801
                                                                I knew the value was Dallas early, I should have bet that
                                                                Comment
                                                                • KVB
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 05-29-14
                                                                  • 74817

                                                                  #802
                                                                  Yup, even without seeing the result.

                                                                  But once the action started I obviously could have had a much better number on NY.

                                                                  lol.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • KVB
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 05-29-14
                                                                    • 74817

                                                                    #803
                                                                    So something is up with this game. We don't usually see Monday games, it's not being shown anywhere (except maybe WNBA league pass which I actually haven't gotten yet this year).

                                                                    This article shows where some games are shown, but it skips the 24th.

                                                                    Sunday, May 23
                                                                    New York at Chicago, 1 p.m. (ESPN)
                                                                    Washington at Indiana, 1 p.m. (ESPN3)
                                                                    Connecticut at Las Vegas, 6 p.m. (Facebook)
                                                                    Tuesday, May 25
                                                                    Dallas at New York, 7 p.m. (Twitter)
                                                                    Atlanta at Chicago, 8 p.m. (CBS Sports Network)
                                                                    Connecticut at Seattle, 10 p.m. (CBS Sports Network)

                                                                    As the WNBA enters its 25th season, viewers will be able to watch more games than ever before across a variety of networks and streaming platforms.


                                                                    I can't fine a stream for it in my normal streams.


                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • thomorino
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 06-01-17
                                                                      • 45842

                                                                      #804
                                                                      The game is on Facebook not normal tv
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • KVB
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 05-29-14
                                                                        • 74817

                                                                        #805
                                                                        I see, I know that can happen just didn't see it listed.
                                                                        Comment
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