2020 Election. The State by State Odds and MATH

[thechaoz]

Mr Trump wins again. Greatest winner in American history.

You should follow up on your American history.

You won't though with your GED and shit paying lower middle class job

[dustyy]

Trump now -120 at Betonline.

[Mike Huntertz]

Mr Trump wins again. Greatest winner in American history.

If I inherited $400 million from Daddy, I'd be a winner also.

[rkelly110]

If I inherited $400 million from Daddy, I'd be a winner also.

He even fukked that up.....

[pavyracer]

Trump now -120 at Betonline.

He was +155 at pinny a couple weeks ago. That's a horrible number to bet him now.

[ace7550]

He was +155 at pinny a couple weeks ago. That's a horrible number to bet him now.

+155 to -120 is a pretty huge change. What do you think caused it?

[15805]

Not sure, Georgia moved from -190 to -140.as well.

Tue 11/3		521 Republican Nominee wins Georgia		-140
8:00AM		522 Democratic Nominee wins Georgia		+100

Looks like you've been zeroing in on betting possibilities on election, thanks for the week by week analysis.
6/29 must have been the high water mark of the Biden hopefulls:

Not sure, Georgia moved from -190 to -140.as well.

Tue 11/3		521 Republican Nominee wins Georgia		-140
8:00AM		522 Democratic Nominee wins Georgia		+100

And Iowa moved from -210 to -150

Tue 11/3		531 Republican Nominee wins Iowa		-150
8:00AM		532 Democratic Nominee wins Iowa		+110

August 29

Tue 11/3		531 Republican Nominee wins Iowa		-335
8:00PM		532 Democratic Nominee wins Iowa		+245

Tue 11/3		521 Republican Nominee wins Georgia		-350
8:00PM		522 Democratic Nominee wins Georgia		+250

Imagine taking Trump in Georgia on 6/29 at -140 & taking Biden today in Ga. at +250

Biden once at -180 less than 2 weeks ago, losing ground faster than the ISIS caliphate did once
Trump became president.

By election day the key bet will be not who wins the election but rather:

Will Trump win with more electoral votes than he did in 2016 I suspect that will be even money:

Yes -110
No -110
The tide is definitely turning, trends all favoring Trump & I expect they will right through election day:

[ByeShea]

Wait. Maybe a strong debate performance by Biden can ...

LOL

[ace7550]

Update:

Below are 3 states that Trump is leading in according to him from this afternoon. He said he's leading in the following states and I added their current odds from 5Dimes...

Pennsylvania +230
Arizona +150
Florida +140(for this one he said he was leading NICELY)

The sharpest of all sharps has just set the sportsbooks straight. If Trump is right(nobody has any reason to believe that he's not) then the prices above are a TERRIFIC value! Get these bets in now before the lines move!!!

You were right Galt and apparently so was Trump. Would have been nice to bet these and then hedge them today. Especially Pennsylvania:
Republican to Win Pennsylvania +135 Democrat to Win Pennsylvania -165

[DwightShrute]

Might be shaky after he threw a snowflake fit in Ohio at the only American Tire manufacter and tanked their retirement, pension, 401 and stock. Trump is the ultimate snowflake. Tweets more than unemployed college girls daily.

Trump saw an injustice where the Tire Manufacturer allowed their employees to wear clothing that supports the killing of cops, the burning of cities and looting while banning attire which supported the Police. Trump spoke on behalf of the other employees and on the behalf of millions of other. The tire company caved soon after.

Trump is the man of the people

[ace7550]

This seems crazy to me:
Republican to Win California +1200 Democrat to Win California -2000

Dems won Ca in 2016 by over 4 million votes.
Clinton, 8,753,788 61.5% Trump, 4,483,810 31.5%

Dem to win Ca should be -20000. Not -2000.

[RonPaul2008]

+155 to -120 is a pretty huge change. What do you think caused it?

That's just BOL with an outlier. The real odds are approximately 55% Biden, 45% Trump.

https://www.predictit.org/

[DwightShrute]

That's just BOL with an outlier. The real odds are approximately 55% Biden, 45% Trump.

https://www.predictit.org/

The real odds are about 65% Trump, 35% Sleepy Joe

[Itsamazing777]

Joe not even visiting michigan he knows its over

[15805]

Joe not even visiting michigan he knows its over

About 8 states have moved like this:

June 29

Tue 11/3		599 Republican Nominee wins Wisconsin		+165
8:00AM		600 Democratic Nominee wins Wisconsin		-215

Today

Tue 11/3		599 Republican Nominee wins Wisconsin		-120
8:00PM		600 Democratic Nominee wins Wisconsin		-120

#######################################J une 29

Tue 11/3		531 Republican Nominee wins Iowa		-210
8:00AM		532 Democratic Nominee wins Iowa		+160

Today

Tue 11/3		531 Republican Nominee wins Iowa		-335
8:00PM		532 Democratic Nominee wins Iowa		+245

On & on it goes!

[JohnGalt2341]

Well, it's pretty obvious to me why the Wisconsin line has moved so much recently. This will be interesting to see if it keeps moving in September or if it moves back some.

[khicks26]

Biden is running the same campaign Hillary did in 2016.


This election is 50/50.

[ace7550]

CA now at -1500 to go Dem. This is about as close to free money as it gets. If this line is still around come election day I'll go all in on it.
Biden could drive a truck into a crowd the day before the election and CA would still go blue.

[jt315]

Well, it's pretty obvious to me why the Wisconsin line has moved so much recently. This will be interesting to see if it keeps moving in September or if it moves back some.

Gee I wonder what that could be .

[d2bets]

Biden is running the same campaign Hillary did in 2016.


This election is 50/50.

Really? He's going to ignore Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania?

[Itsamazing777]

Really? He's going to ignore Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania?

Hes conceded Michigan.....
Wont even visit

[vitterd]

Hes conceded Michigan.....
Wont even visit

Lmao. What??? Is something wrong with you? Trump pulled his ads from Michigan for 2 weeks. Walk upstairs, grab your fat mom and shake her for not swallowing the night your were conceived

[Itsamazing777]

Lmao. What??? Is something wrong with you? Trump pulled his ads from Michigan for 2 weeks. Walk upstairs, grab your fat mom and shake her for not swallowing the night your were conceived

Trump is visiting michigan next Thursday....

[vitterd]

Trump is visiting michigan next Thursday....

He’s going everywhere now dumb dumb. Biden is ahead in Michigan and is also going there. But you also said Thalib would lose there and she won by 30 points. Maybe you should predict Kentucky or a state like that.

[The General]

I'm not gonna dis Mr Biden because he's a good dude really, but Mr Trump is the best choice for Americans currently. Hands down. Hate the man but respect his ideology and his rank. Most successful American in history who also loves his country.

[khicks26]

Really? He's going to ignore Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania?

Maybe, we will see.


No, he's running on I'm not as bad as the other guy without making any concessions to the base which is to the left of him.


He's trying to get moderate Rep's to change sides because Trump is an asshole.

[vitterd]

I'm not gonna dis Mr Biden because he's a good dude really, but Mr Trump is the best choice for Americans currently. Hands down. Hate the man but respect his ideology and his rank. Most successful American in history who also loves his country.

He’s not successful and he hates America. Especially soldiers and middle class.

[MinnesotaFats]

CA now at -1500 to go Dem. This is about as close to free money as it gets. If this line is still around come election day I'll go all in on it.
Biden could drive a truck into a crowd the day before the election and CA would still go blue.

This really shows how bad a VP pick Harris was

She is HATED in CA, HATED by suburban women and the fact she is black scares the shit out of half the Democrats lol

[RudyRuetigger]

no dumbass

its because noone wants to keep money pending until november in a book that might not even be around

RUDY


PLAYERS ADVOCATE



you are welcome men

[DrunkHorseplayer]

CA now at -1500 to go Dem. This is about as close to free money as it gets. If this line is still around come election day I'll go all in on it.
Biden could drive a truck into a crowd the day before the election and CA would still go blue.

You should bet that right now, assuming it's a trustworthy book.

[RudyRuetigger]

That's it huh? So... according to you all the Trump supporters on SBR are afraid that 5Dimes won't exist in 4 months? Makes perfect sense... I'll take my chances.
Let's keep in mind that I think Trump has roughly a 45% chance of winning. I don't think my bets above are a lock by any means... however... do they have value? Well... considering that the price is now -170 I would say Yes, they do.

I haven't seen 1 single screen shot from ANY Trump supporters that have bet on him. There are 100's of people on SBR that GUARANTEE Trump's victory... and not a single one of them has posted a screenshot of them betting on Trump. You're telling me it's because they think 5Dimes will be out of business in 4 months? I'm not buying it. It's either because they don't believe their own words... or they are broke.

I buried this guy


5dimes wont be existing

[ace7550]

You should bet that right now, assuming it's a trustworthy book.

It's sportsbetting.ag. I just don't wanna tie my money up for 2 months. Or longer if this mail in ballot shit makes the count take forever.

[ace7550]

Heritage - Republican to win Arizona +140
Sbag - Democrat to win Arizona -130
Lots of others like this if you shop around.

[JohnGalt2341]

FiveThirtyEight simulated 40,000 2020 elections. Very interesting scenarios.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/?utm_source=digg

[carolinakid]

it not a toss up in NC, Trump has NC................